This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PAOK
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.13
1.00
2.53
1.07
1.73
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.17
1.50
2.00
1.17
0.33
1.83
vs Weaker (18)
2.78
0.67
2.89
1.00
2.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
43% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Athens Kallithea) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
88.6%
Under 1.5
11.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
70.9%
@ 1.78+18.2%
Under 2.5
29.1%
@ 1.98-18.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
49.8%
Under 3.5
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.1%
No
47.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-2
10.6%
0-3
10.2%
1-2
8.4%
1-3
8.0%
0-4
7.3%
0-1
6.8%
1-1
6.4%
1-4
5.8%
Athens Kallithea goals ↓
PAOK goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.2%
6.8%
11%
10%
7.3%
1
1.4%
6.4%
8.4%
8.0%
5.8%
2
0.8%
2.3%
3.3%
3.2%
2.3%
3
0.2%
0.6%
0.9%
0.8%
0.6%
4
0.0%
0.1%
0.2%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Athens Kallithea goals (down), columns = PAOK goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.36
Panathinaikos
1.92
AEK Athens FC
1.75
Aris Thessalonikis
1.74
PAOK
1.72
Asteras Tripolis
1.55
Levadiakos
1.48
Panetolikos
1.40
Atromitos
1.37
OFI Crete
1.19
OFI
1.19
Panserraikos
1.12
Kallithea
1.00
Volos NFC
0.98
Athens Kallithea
0.94
Lamia
0.54
Athens Kallithea is 0.78 points worse than PAOK in terms of average points per game (0.94 vs 1.72).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PAOK
1.97
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.78
AEK Athens FC
1.53
Levadiakos
1.48
Panathinaikos
1.36
Aris Thessalonikis
1.32
OFI Crete
1.25
OFI
1.25
Panserraikos
1.24
Asteras Tripolis
1.24
Atromitos
1.21
Kallithea
1.00
Athens Kallithea
0.94
Volos NFC
0.93
Panetolikos
0.83
Lamia
0.56
Athens Kallithea is 1.03 goals worse than PAOK in terms of goals scored per game (0.94 vs 1.97).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.67
AEK Athens FC
0.81
Panetolikos
0.81
Aris Thessalonikis
1.00
Panathinaikos
1.00
Atromitos
1.08
Levadiakos
1.12
Asteras Tripolis
1.16
PAOK
1.19
Kallithea
1.44
OFI Crete
1.47
OFI
1.47
Athens Kallithea
1.49
Volos NFC
1.55
Panserraikos
1.69
Lamia
1.76
Athens Kallithea is 0.29 goals worse than PAOK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.49 vs 1.19).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
AEK Athens FC
65%
PAOK
58%
Olympiakos Piraeus
57%
Panathinaikos
57%
Aris Thessalonikis
54%
Levadiakos
49%
Panserraikos
49%
OFI
48%
Volos NFC
47%
Atromitos
45%
Asteras Tripolis
45%
Kallithea
45%
Panetolikos
43%
Lamia
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AK
Athens Kallithea
For 4.7 · Against 7.0 · Total 11.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.4 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.3 · Against 15.1 · Total 28.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
PAOK
For 5.1 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.4 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 12.7 · Total 25.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AK
Athens Kallithea
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (25)
10.3
10.0
10.6
5.9
6.1
5.7
30.4
30.9
29.9
vs Stronger (13)
12.2
12.0
12.3
6.7
7.2
6.3
31.6
32.7
30.7
vs Similar (12)
8.3
8.0
8.7
5.0
5.0
5.0
29.1
29.2
29.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
64%
58%
69%
76%
83%
69%
96%
100%
92%
% under line
36%
42%
31%
24%
17%
31%
4%
0%
8%
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PAOK
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.6
8.6
4.5
5.0
4.0
25.2
24.2
26.1
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
8.4
7.9
9.1
5.0
6.1
3.6
24.9
24.0
26.0
vs Weaker (32)
9.5
10.9
8.2
4.3
4.3
4.2
25.4
24.4
26.2
% over line
49%
57%
40%
62%
73%
50%
73%
67%
80%
% under line
51%
43%
60%
38%
27%
50%
27%
33%
20%
This opponent (Athens Kallithea) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Athens Kallithea
10.3
Kallithea
10.3
Panathinaikos
9.9
AEK Athens FC
9.7
Lamia
9.2
Asteras Tripolis
9.0
PAOK
9.0
Levadiakos
8.9
OFI Crete
8.9
OFI
8.8
Panserraikos
8.7
Volos NFC
8.7
Aris Thessalonikis
8.6
Atromitos
8.6
Olympiakos Piraeus
8.5
Panetolikos
8.3
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panserraikos
7.0
Levadiakos
6.5
Atromitos
6.4
Volos NFC
6.2
Kallithea
6.1
OFI
6.1
OFI Crete
6.0
Aris Thessalonikis
5.9
Athens Kallithea
5.9
Panathinaikos
5.8
AEK Athens FC
5.7
PAOK
5.6
Asteras Tripolis
5.6
Panetolikos
5.3
Lamia
4.8
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Volos NFC
33.7
Levadiakos
31.0
Athens Kallithea
30.4
Panserraikos
30.2
Atromitos
30.1
OFI Crete
29.9
OFI
29.6
Aris Thessalonikis
29.5
Kallithea
28.9
Panathinaikos
28.8
Lamia
28.6
Panetolikos
27.8
AEK Athens FC
27.5
Asteras Tripolis
27.4
PAOK
25.1
Olympiakos Piraeus
24.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
46.3%
Under 9.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
81.4%
Under 3.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
90.7%
Under 21.5
9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AK
Athens Kallithea
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.32
0.68
0.42
0.75
0.23
0.62
vs Stronger (13)
0.31
0.46
0.33
0.50
0.29
0.43
vs Similar (12)
0.33
0.92
0.50
1.00
0.17
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
44% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PAOK
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.30
0.93
0.20
0.87
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.58
0.67
0.33
0.33
0.83
vs Weaker (18)
1.17
0.11
1.11
0.11
1.22
0.11
Clean sheet %
73% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Athens Kallithea) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Athens Kallithea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athens Kallithea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athens Kallithea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AK
Athens Kallithea
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.56
0.88
0.67
1.00
0.46
0.77
vs Stronger (13)
0.46
1.15
0.50
1.33
0.43
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.58
0.83
0.67
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (PAOK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
PAOK
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.70
1.60
0.87
0.87
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.92
1.33
0.83
0.00
1.00
vs Weaker (18)
1.61
0.56
1.78
0.89
1.44
0.22
Clean sheet %
53% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Athens Kallithea) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Athens Kallithea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athens Kallithea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athens Kallithea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAOK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
82.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away win
79.4%
1.42
-
-
-
-
-
+13.5%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5
70.9%
1.78
-
-
-
-
-
+18.2%
✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
PAOK
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mbwana Ally Samatta29%
Andrija Živković25%
Mady Camara24%
Giannis Konstantelias18%
Kiril Despodov17%
Abdul Rahman Baba15%
Fedor Chalov14%
Tarik Tissoudali14%
Stefan Schwab14%
Dimitrios Pelkas13%
Ioannis Michailidis12%
Taison9%
Shola Shoretire8%
Thomas Murg7%
Brandon Thomas6%
Joan Sastre5%
Magomed Ozdoev3%
Dejan Lovren0%
Dominik Kotarski0%
Tiemoué Bakayoko0%
Tomasz Kędziora0%
Vieirinha0%
Jonny Otto0%
Konstantinos Thymianis0%
Omar Colley0%
Soualiho Meïté0%
Mateusz Wieteska0%
Sergio Peña0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dejan Lovren29%
Dimitrios Pelkas27%
Mady Camara26%
Ioannis Michailidis25%
Magomed Ozdoev24%
Vieirinha20%
Jonny Otto19%
Andrija Živković19%
Tarik Tissoudali14%
Abdul Rahman Baba13%
Tiemoué Bakayoko12%
Kiril Despodov11%
Stefan Schwab11%
Giannis Konstantelias11%
Mateusz Wieteska10%
Joan Sastre9%
Tomasz Kędziora9%
Shola Shoretire8%
Dominik Kotarski8%
Omar Colley8%
Mbwana Ally Samatta7%
Taison6%
Brandon Thomas6%
Fedor Chalov3%
Thomas Murg0%
Konstantinos Thymianis0%
Soualiho Meïté0%
Sergio Peña0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Vieirinha20%
Kiril Despodov20%
Andrija Živković19%
Fedor Chalov14%
Mbwana Ally Samatta14%
Dimitrios Pelkas13%
Taison9%
Jonny Otto6%
Mady Camara5%
Tarik Tissoudali5%
Joan Sastre5%
Ioannis Michailidis4%
Magomed Ozdoev3%
Stefan Schwab3%
Giannis Konstantelias3%
Abdul Rahman Baba3%
Dejan Lovren0%
Dominik Kotarski0%
Tiemoué Bakayoko0%
Thomas Murg0%
Tomasz Kędziora0%
Konstantinos Thymianis0%
Omar Colley0%
Soualiho Meïté0%
Mateusz Wieteska0%
Sergio Peña0%
Brandon Thomas0%
Shola Shoretire0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Giannis Konstantelias16%
Thomas Murg14%
Mbwana Ally Samatta14%
Taison12%
Stefan Schwab11%
Mady Camara8%
Andrija Živković6%
Kiril Despodov6%
Fedor Chalov3%
Dejan Lovren0%
Dominik Kotarski0%
Magomed Ozdoev0%
Tiemoué Bakayoko0%
Tomasz Kędziora0%
Dimitrios Pelkas0%
Vieirinha0%
Tarik Tissoudali0%
Jonny Otto0%
Abdul Rahman Baba0%
Konstantinos Thymianis0%
Omar Colley0%
Soualiho Meïté0%
Mateusz Wieteska0%
Sergio Peña0%
Brandon Thomas0%
Joan Sastre0%
Ioannis Michailidis0%
Shola Shoretire0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Greece: Super League 1 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PAOK
Olympiakos Piraeus
Panathinaikos
Aris Thessalonikis
AEK Athens FC
Levadiakos
Asteras Tripolis
Panetolikos
Atromitos
Panserraikos
Volos NFC
OFI
Kallithea
Lamia