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Athlone Town vs Bray Wanderers Result & Analysis

Date: 08/07/2022
Time: 18:45
Final 1-2
Athlone Town
Athlone Town
Vs
31%
27%
42%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers
Ireland: First Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Athlone Town win✗ Miss
31.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers win✓ Hit
41.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L01L12L12L03L03L52W12L25L13LH·WEX29/04A·WAT02/05H·COR06/05H·LON13/05A·GAL20/05A·BRA27/05H·COB10/06A·TRE17/06H·WAT27/06A·WEX01/07
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.102.551.602.600.602.50
vs Stronger (15)1.272.801.753.000.712.57
vs Similar (5)0.601.801.001.000.332.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %0% (-26pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D11D14L22D30W11D15L01L22D13LH·COB29/04A·WEX02/05H·WAT06/05A·TRE13/05H·ATH27/05A·LON10/06H·GAL17/06A·WAT24/06H·WEX27/06H·COR01/07
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.901.711.002.360.801.00
vs Stronger (15)0.732.130.883.120.571.00
vs Similar (6)1.330.671.330.331.331.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %24% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Athlone Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.3%
Under 1.5
20.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.9%
Under 2.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.5%
Under 3.5
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.0%
No
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.7%
1-2 ✓
9.0%
2-1
7.6%
0-1
7.6%
0-2
6.8%
0-0
6.8%
1-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
Athlone Town goals ↓
Bray Wanderers goals →
01234
06.8%7.6%6.8%3.5%1.4%
16.3%13%9.0%4.7%1.8%
24.9%7.6%5.9%3.1%1.2%
32.2%3.4%2.6%1.4%0.5%
40.7%1.1%0.9%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Athlone Town goals (down), columns = Bray Wanderers goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cork City
2.12
Waterford
2.03
Galway United
1.83
Longford Town
1.56
Treaty United
1.32
Wexford
1.28
Bray Wanderers
0.84
Athlone Town
0.75
Cobh Ramblers
0.53
Athlone Town is 0.09 points worse than Bray Wanderers in terms of average points per game (0.75 vs 0.84).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Waterford
2.29
Cork City
1.97
Galway United
1.74
Longford Town
1.50
Wexford
1.41
Athlone Town
1.38
Treaty United
1.21
Cobh Ramblers
1.16
Bray Wanderers
0.94
Athlone Town is 0.44 goals better than Bray Wanderers in terms of goals scored per game (1.38 vs 0.94).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cork City
0.69
Galway United
0.97
Waterford
1.09
Longford Town
1.35
Wexford
1.47
Treaty United
1.47
Bray Wanderers
1.94
Athlone Town
2.34
Cobh Ramblers
2.44
Athlone Town is 0.41 goals worse than Bray Wanderers in terms of goals conceded per game (2.34 vs 1.94).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D10W12L00D01L21W12L13L01LH·WEX29/04A·WAT02/05H·COR06/05H·LON13/05A·GAL20/05A·BRA27/05H·COB10/06A·TRE17/06H·WAT27/06A·WEX01/07
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.401.100.601.200.201.00
vs Stronger (15)0.471.130.751.380.140.86
vs Similar (5)0.201.000.000.500.331.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D11D01L01L10W11D02L00D10W02LH·COB29/04A·WEX02/05H·WAT06/05A·TRE13/05H·ATH27/05A·LON10/06H·GAL17/06A·WAT24/06H·WEX27/06H·COR01/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.620.270.640.500.60
vs Stronger (15)0.330.730.120.750.570.71
vs Similar (6)0.500.330.670.330.330.33
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %48% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Athlone Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Athlone Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L02L00D03L02L31W00D12L12LH·WEX29/04A·WAT02/05H·COR06/05H·LON13/05A·GAL20/05A·BRA27/05H·COB10/06A·TRE17/06H·WAT27/06A·WEX01/07
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.451.001.400.401.50
vs Stronger (15)0.801.671.001.620.571.71
vs Similar (5)0.400.801.000.500.001.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %15% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D13L21W20W00D13L01L12L11DH·COB29/04A·WEX02/05H·WAT06/05A·TRE13/05H·ATH27/05A·LON10/06H·GAL17/06A·WAT24/06H·WEX27/06H·COR01/07
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.521.100.731.730.300.40
vs Stronger (15)0.401.400.752.380.000.29
vs Similar (6)0.830.330.670.001.000.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %48% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Athlone Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Athlone Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (21)
€3m
WAT (19)
€2m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
Athlone Town and Bray Wanderers have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
WAT (6)
€1m
GU (7)
€1m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
Athlone Town and Bray Wanderers have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (5)
€1m
BW (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
Athlone Town and Bray Wanderers have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
GU (7)
€1m
WAT (8)
€1m
CR (2)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
AT wins
1
Draws
1
BW wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Athlone Town vs Bray Wanderers · H/A from AT
DateH/AGameScore
27/05/22ABray Wanderers Vs AT3-0
01/04/22HAT Vs Bray Wanderers1-1

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/07/22AWexford Vs AT3-1
27/06/22HAT Vs Waterford2-5
17/06/22ATreaty United Vs AT2-1
10/06/22HAT Vs Cobh Ramblers5-2
27/05/22ABray Wanderers Vs AT3-0
20/05/22AGalway United Vs AT3-0
13/05/22HAT Vs Longford Town1-2
06/05/22HAT Vs Cork City1-2
02/05/22AWaterford Vs AT1-0
29/04/22HAT Vs Wexford0-3

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/07/22HBW Vs Cork City1-3
27/06/22HBW Vs Wexford2-2
24/06/22AWaterford Vs BW1-0
17/06/22HBW Vs Galway United1-5
10/06/22ALongford Town Vs BW1-1
27/05/22HBW Vs Athlone Town3-0
13/05/22ATreaty United Vs BW2-2
06/05/22HBW Vs Waterford1-4
02/05/22AWexford Vs BW1-1
29/04/22HBW Vs Cobh Ramblers1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Athlone Town
Athlone Town
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 0 Draws / 9 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL0.25
HomeLLLWL0.50
AwayLLLLL0.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %5%10%0%
AVG goals3.654.203.10
Over 1.5 %95%100%90%
Over 2.5 %75%80%70%
Over 3.5 %35%40%30%
Scored1.101.600.60
Conceded2.552.602.50
BTTS70%90%50%
Clean Sheet0%0%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLDL0.86
HomeLWLDL0.64
AwayLDDDL1.10
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %14%9%20%
AVG goals2.623.361.80
Over 1.5 %71%82%60%
Over 2.5 %48%73%20%
Over 3.5 %33%55%10%
Scored0.901.000.80
Conceded1.712.361.00
BTTS57%64%50%
Clean Sheet24%27%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1WaterfordWaterford3571
63%
2.0
8038+42
3.4
83%
74%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1112.31.1
-
2Cork CityCork City3268
62%
2.1
6322+41
2.7
69%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.00.7
-
3Galway UnitedGalway United3564
51%
1.8
6134+27
2.7
77%
60%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.0
-
4Longford TownLongford Town3453
41%
1.6
5146+5
2.9
88%
62%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.4
-
5Treaty UnitedTreaty United3445
32%
1.3
4150-9
2.7
82%
53%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.5
-
6WexfordWexford3241
31%
1.3
4547-2
2.9
81%
59%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.5
-
7Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3227
19%
0.8
3062-32
2.9
81%
56%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.9
-
8Athlone TownAthlone Town3224
22%
0.8
4475-31
3.7
97%
75%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.3
-
9Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3217
12%
0.5
3778-41
3.6
84%
66%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.4
-
Ireland: First Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

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