Atlètic Amèrica vs City Escaldes Result & Analysis

Date: 06/04/2025

Time: 10:00

Final 2-0

Atlètic Amèrica

39%

22%

39%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

City Escaldes

Andorra: 2a Divisió

Referee: -

Match preview & prediction

Atlético América, the home side, has been unbeaten in their last 5 matches, drawing 4 and winning 1, with a 1-1 scoreline against UE Santa Coloma II their most recent result. Their home form is a concern, with an average of 1.33 goals scored and 2.33 conceded against opponents of similar strength. City Escaldes, the away side, have suffered 2 straight defeats, but their away form is slightly better, averaging 2 goals scored and conceded against similar opponents. The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 4 goals and a most likely total of 6 or more goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a 7.9% probability. The model's selection is the home win, with a 39% probability, while the away win and draw are also possible, with 39% and 22% probabilities respectively. The model's selection for Over 1.5 goals has a 91.5% probability, while Over 2.5 goals has a 76% probability and BTTS Yes has a 75.4% probability.

Results analysis

Atlético América's win extends their unbeaten run in their last 5 matches, having drawn their previous encounter with UE Santa Coloma II. The final score was 2-0, a result that far exceeded the predicted total of 4 goals. The model's selection, a home win, was correct, with a pre-match probability of 39%.

The model's selection, Home win, proved correct. The model's selection was the favourite. Over 1.5 goals was the model's selection and hit, with a probability of 91.5%, while Over 2.5 goals, the model's selection, missed, with a probability of 76%. BTTS Yes, the model's selection, also missed, with a probability of 75.4%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atlètic Amèrica win✓ Hit

38.7%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Draw✗ Miss

22.2%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

City Escaldes win✗ Miss

39.1%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Atlètic Amèrica

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.7

Avg scored

2.4

Avg conceded

1.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.40	2.63	1.36	2.64	1.44	2.62
vs Stronger (6)	0.50	4.67	0.50	5.50	0.50	4.25
vs Similar (2)	0.00	3.50	0.00	1.00	0.00	6.00
vs Weaker (22)	1.77	2.00	1.64	2.27	1.91	1.73
Clean sheet %	10% (-15pp vs league)

This opponent (City Escaldes) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

City Escaldes

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

4.0

Avg scored

1.9

Avg conceded

2.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	2.17	2.08	1.43	2.00	3.20	2.20
vs Stronger (9)	1.78	2.22	1.20	2.00	2.50	2.50
vs Similar (3)	3.33	1.67	2.00	2.00	6.00	1.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	17% (-8pp vs league)

This opponent (Atlètic Amèrica) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (21%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

91.5%

Under 1.5

8.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

76.0%

Under 2.5

24.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

56.4%

Under 3.5

43.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

75.4%

24.6%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

8.1%

1-2

7.4%

2-2

7.3%

2-1

7.3%

1-3

4.9%

2-3

4.9%

3-2

4.9%

3-1

4.9%

Atlètic Amèrica goals ↓

	City Escaldes goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	2.6%	3.0%	3.7%	2.5%	1.2%
1	2.9%	8.1%	7.4%	4.9%	2.5%
2	3.7%	7.3%	7.3%	4.9%	2.4%
3	2.4%	4.9%	4.9%	3.2%	1.6%
4	1.2%	2.4%	2.4%	1.6%	0.8%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Atlètic Amèrica goals (down), columns = City Escaldes goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Carroi

2.19

Atlètic Amèrica

1.88

City Escaldes

1.44

UE Santa Coloma II

1.00

Ranger's II

0.62

Atlètic Amèrica is 0.44 points better than City Escaldes in terms of average points per game (1.88 vs 1.44).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Carroi

2.50

Atlètic Amèrica

2.19

City Escaldes

1.88

UE Santa Coloma II

1.31

Ranger's II

1.00

Atlètic Amèrica is 0.31 goals better than City Escaldes in terms of goals scored per game (2.19 vs 1.88).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Carroi

0.88

Atlètic Amèrica

1.00

UE Santa Coloma II

1.81

City Escaldes

1.81

Ranger's II

3.38

Atlètic Amèrica is 0.81 goals better than City Escaldes in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.81).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Over 1.5	91.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Over 2.5	76.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss
BTTS Yes	75.4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RI (34)

€5m

ACI (35)

€5m

USC (26)

€5m

CAR (29)

€3m

CE (51)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RI (0)

€0m

ACI (0)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

CE (0)

€0m

USC (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RI (0)

€0m

ACI (0)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

CE (0)

€0m

USC (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RI (0)

€0m

ACI (0)

€0m

CAR (0)

€0m

CE (0)

€0m

USC (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Atlètic Amèrica vs City Escaldes · H/A from AA

Date	H/A	Game	Score
02/02/25	H	AA Vs City Escaldes	1-3
26/01/25	A	City Escaldes Vs AA	4-2
19/10/24	A	City Escaldes Vs AA	0-5

Atlètic Amèrica

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
30/03/25	H	AA Vs Carroi	3-0
22/02/25	A	Ranger's II Vs AA	1-4
19/02/25	A	Carroi Vs AA	1-1
09/02/25	H	AA Vs UE Santa Coloma II	3-0
02/02/25	H	AA Vs City Escaldes	1-3
26/01/25	A	City Escaldes Vs AA	4-2
18/01/25	H	AA Vs UE Santa Coloma II	0-2
24/11/24	H	AA Vs Ranger's II	1-1
09/11/24	A	UE Santa Coloma II Vs AA	1-4
19/10/24	A	City Escaldes Vs AA	0-5

City Escaldes

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
23/02/25	H	CE Vs UE Santa Coloma II	1-0
15/02/25	A	Ranger's II Vs CE	1-6
08/02/25	A	Carroi Vs CE	3-1
02/02/25	A	Atlètic Amèrica Vs CE	1-3
26/01/25	H	CE Vs Atlètic Amèrica	4-2
14/12/24	H	CE Vs Ranger's II	1-4
01/12/24	H	CE Vs Carroi	1-2
24/11/24	A	UE Santa Coloma II Vs CE	2-2
27/10/24	H	CE Vs Carroi	0-1
19/10/24	H	CE Vs Atlètic Amèrica	0-5

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Atlètic Amèrica

Andorra: 2a Divisió

Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LWDWW	1.10
Home	DLLWW	1.00
Away	WWLDW	1.20

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	28%	36%
AVG goals	3.86	3.84	3.88
Over 1.5 %	88%	88%	88%
Over 2.5 %	72%	72%	72%
Over 3.5 %	48%	44%	52%
Scored	1.58	1.64	1.52
Conceded	2.28	2.20	2.36
BTTS	52%	60%	44%
Clean Sheet	14%	16%	12%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

City Escaldes

Andorra: 2a Divisió

Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WWLWW	1.42
Home	LLLWW	1.29
Away	DDWLW	1.60

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	42%	43%	40%
AVG goals	4.25	3.43	5.40
Over 1.5 %	83%	71%	100%
Over 2.5 %	83%	71%	100%
Over 3.5 %	67%	43%	100%
Scored	2.17	1.43	3.20
Conceded	2.08	2.00	2.20
BTTS	67%	43%	100%
Clean Sheet	17%	29%	0%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 13. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Carroi	16	35	69%	2.2	40	14	+26	3.4	75%	62%	44%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	0	0	0	2.5	0.9	-
2	Atlètic Amèrica	16	30	56%	1.9	35	16	+19	3.2	88%	56%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.2	1.0	-
3	City Escaldes	16	23	44%	1.4	30	29	+1	3.7	75%	69%	56%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.9	1.8	-
4	UE Santa Coloma II	16	16	25%	1.0	21	29	-8	3.1	75%	56%	44%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	0	0	0	1.3	1.8	-
5	Ranger's II	16	10	19%	0.6	16	54	-38	4.4	88%	81%	69%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	0	0	0	1.0	3.4	-
6	Atlètic Club II	0	0	0%	0.0	0	0	+0	-	0%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	0	0	0	0.0	0.0	-

Andorra: 2a Divisió 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Andorra: 2a Divisió stats & trends →

← all matches

Atlètic Amèrica vs City Escaldes Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Atlètic Amèrica

City Escaldes

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Atlètic Amèrica

City Escaldes

📊 12. Overall Statistics

🏆 13. League Table

A Pro feature