PythiaFootballBETA
Atlético América hosts Ranger's II in the Andorra: 2a División. Ranger's II's recent form is concerning, having lost their last 5 matches, following a 1-3 defeat to City Escaldes. Conversely, Atlético América has been unbeaten in their last 5 matches, drawing 1-1 with UE Santa Coloma II in their last outing.
The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 3.6 goals. The most likely score is 2-1, with a probability of 9.4%. Atlético América has been scoring an average of 2 goals at home against weaker opponents, while conceding 2.2 goals. Ranger's II has been scoring 1.4 goals away against stronger opponents, while conceding 2.4 goals.
The model's selection is the home win, with a probability of 60%. The home win percentage is 60%, the draw percentage is 21%, and the away win percentage is 19%. The model's selection for this match is the home win. Other selections include Over 1.5, which the model has already hit, with a probability of 88.2%.
The win extends Atlético América's unbeaten run to six matches, following a 5-0 thrashing of Ranger's II. The model's selection, a home win, proved correct, as the predicted favourite convincingly took all three points. The final scoreline was a resounding 5-0, aligning with the model's expected outcome. The model's call was correct, as the pre-match probability of a home win stood at 60%. The model's selection of over 1.5 goals also came in, with a probability of 88.2% and a result of 'hit'. The suggested pick of over 1.5 goals was the only selection provided, and it proved accurate.
Atlètic Amèrica| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.47 | 2.53 | 1.50 | 2.43 | 1.44 | 2.62 |
| vs Stronger (5) | 0.60 | 5.00 | 1.00 | 8.00 | 0.50 | 4.25 |
| vs Similar (2) | 0.00 | 3.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| vs Weaker (23) | 1.78 | 1.91 | 1.67 | 2.08 | 1.91 | 1.73 |
| Clean sheet % | 13% (-11pp vs league) | |||||
Ranger's II| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.08 | 3.00 | 0.83 | 3.33 | 1.29 | 2.71 |
| vs Stronger (6) | 0.83 | 3.33 | 0.67 | 4.00 | 1.00 | 2.67 |
| vs Similar (7) | 1.29 | 2.71 | 1.00 | 2.67 | 1.50 | 2.75 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 8% (-17pp vs league) | |||||
| Ranger's II goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| 1 | 5.6% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| 2 | 7.4% | 9.4% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| 3 | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 4 | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 | 88.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/25 | A | 1-4 | |
| 24/11/24 | H | 1-1 | |
| 05/10/24 | A | 1-0 |
Atlètic Amèrica| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/04/25 | H | 2-0 | |
| 30/03/25 | H | 3-0 | |
| 22/02/25 | A | 1-4 | |
| 19/02/25 | A | 1-1 | |
| 09/02/25 | H | 3-0 | |
| 02/02/25 | H | 1-3 | |
| 26/01/25 | A | 4-2 | |
| 18/01/25 | H | 0-2 | |
| 24/11/24 | H | 1-1 | |
| 09/11/24 | A | 1-4 |
Ranger's II| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/25 | A | 3-1 | |
| 29/03/25 | A | 4-1 | |
| 22/02/25 | H | 1-4 | |
| 15/02/25 | H | 1-6 | |
| 01/02/25 | H | 0-8 | |
| 19/01/25 | A | 4-1 | |
| 14/12/24 | A | 1-4 | |
| 01/12/24 | H | 2-1 | |
| 24/11/24 | A | 1-1 | |
| 10/11/24 | A | 3-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  Carroi | 16 | 35 | 69% | 2.2 | 40 | 14 | +26 | 3.4 | 75% | 62% | 44% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 0.9 | - |
| 2 | Atlètic Amèrica | 16 | 30 | 56% | 1.9 | 35 | 16 | +19 | 3.2 | 88% | 56% | 38% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 3 |  City Escaldes | 16 | 23 | 44% | 1.4 | 30 | 29 | +1 | 3.7 | 75% | 69% | 56% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.9 | 1.8 | - |
| 4 |  UE Santa Coloma II | 16 | 16 | 25% | 1.0 | 21 | 29 | -8 | 3.1 | 75% | 56% | 44% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.8 | - |
| 5 | Ranger's II | 16 | 10 | 19% | 0.6 | 16 | 54 | -38 | 4.4 | 88% | 81% | 69% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 3.4 | - |
| 6 |  Atlètic Club II | 0 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | +0 | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - |