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Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal Result & Analysis

Date: 13/09/2025
Time: 19:00
Final 2-0
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Vs
57%
24%
19%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Villarreal
Villarreal
Spain: La Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Atletico Madrid win✓ Hit
57.4%
Avg Implied 52.3% · @ 1.81
Edge
+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.8%
Avg Implied 25.6% · @ 3.70
Edge
-1.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Villarreal win✗ Miss
18.8%
Avg Implied 22.1% · @ 4.28
Edge
-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L30W00D40W02L41W40W12L11D11DA·LAS19/04H·RAY24/04A·ALA03/05H·REA10/05A·OSA15/05H·REA18/05A·GIR25/05A·ESP17/08H·ELC23/08A·ALA30/08
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.931.032.210.861.691.19
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.571.861.251.502.002.33
vs Weaker (23)2.040.782.600.601.620.92
Clean sheet %33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VillarrealVillarreal

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-503L10W42W10W30W32W42W20W50W11DA·CEL23/04H·ESP27/04H·OSA03/05A·GIR10/05H·LEG14/05A·BAR18/05H·SEV25/05H·OVI15/08H·GIR24/08A·CEL31/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.132.401.001.331.27
vs Stronger (3)1.671.671.002.002.001.50
vs Similar (13)1.461.312.141.290.671.33
vs Weaker (14)2.290.862.860.571.711.14
Clean sheet %27% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.0%
Under 1.5
19.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.5%
@ 1.70+2.4%
Under 2.5
42.5%
@ 2.09-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.1%
Under 3.5
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
56.6%
No
43.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
2-1
9.9%
2-0 ✓
9.5%
1-0
8.8%
3-1
6.5%
3-0
6.2%
0-0
6.0%
1-2
5.3%
Atletico Madrid goals ↓
Villarreal goals →
01234
06.0%4.2%2.7%1.0%0.2%
18.8%11%5.3%1.9%0.5%
29.5%9.9%5.2%1.8%0.5%
36.2%6.5%3.4%1.2%0.3%
43.0%3.1%1.6%0.6%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Atletico Madrid goals (down), columns = Villarreal goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Barcelona
2.47
Real Madrid
2.26
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.82
Real Betis
1.58
Celta Vigo
1.42
Getafe
1.34
Rayo Vallecano
1.32
Valencia
1.29
Real Sociedad
1.21
Espanyol
1.21
Athletic Club
1.18
Elche
1.13
Alaves
1.13
Sevilla
1.13
Levante
1.11
Mallorca
1.11
Osasuna
1.11
Girona
1.08
Oviedo
0.76
Atletico Madrid is 0.08 points worse than Villarreal in terms of average points per game (1.82 vs 1.89).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Barcelona
2.50
Real Madrid
2.03
Villarreal
1.89
Atletico Madrid
1.63
Real Sociedad
1.55
Real Betis
1.55
Celta Vigo
1.39
Elche
1.29
Levante
1.24
Mallorca
1.24
Valencia
1.21
Sevilla
1.21
Osasuna
1.16
Alaves
1.16
Espanyol
1.13
Athletic Club
1.13
Rayo Vallecano
1.08
Girona
1.03
Getafe
0.84
Oviedo
0.68
Atletico Madrid is 0.26 goals worse than Villarreal in terms of goals scored per game (1.63 vs 1.89).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Real Madrid
0.92
Barcelona
0.95
Getafe
1.00
Atletico Madrid
1.16
Rayo Vallecano
1.16
Villarreal
1.21
Real Betis
1.26
Celta Vigo
1.26
Osasuna
1.32
Valencia
1.45
Espanyol
1.45
Girona
1.45
Alaves
1.47
Elche
1.50
Mallorca
1.50
Athletic Club
1.53
Oviedo
1.58
Sevilla
1.58
Levante
1.61
Real Sociedad
1.61
Atletico Madrid is 0.05 goals better than Villarreal in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 1.21).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Barcelona
69%
Real Madrid
59%
Elche
58%
Rayo Vallecano
53%
Atletico Madrid
53%
Real Sociedad
51%
Sevilla
51%
Girona
51%
Celta Vigo
50%
Real Betis
50%
Athletic Club
49%
Alaves
48%
Valencia
48%
Mallorca
47%
Osasuna
47%
Oviedo
46%
Villarreal
45%
Levante
43%
Espanyol
42%
Getafe
40%
Atletico Madrid is 8.8 percentage points better than Villarreal in terms of average possession (53% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

For 5.7 · Against 2.5 · Total 8.2

🚩 Corners

120611023181745333536344712491186898A·ALAH·ELCA·ESPA·GIRH·REAA·OSAH·REAA·ALAH·RAYA·LAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

60323331111123213115362215242A·ALAH·ELCA·ESPH·REAA·OSAH·REAA·ALAH·RAYA·LASH·VAL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 12.3 · Total 24.0

⚠️ Fouls

31017101471114111312911127121318815131327212524212319312326A·ALAH·ELCA·ESPA·GIRH·REAA·OSAH·REAA·ALAH·RAYA·LAS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

VillarrealVillarreal

For 4.8 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

140518110135311363528863669118149810149A·CELH·GIRH·OVIH·SEVA·BARH·LEGA·GIRH·OSAH·ESPA·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.2

🟨 Cards

50111213121132414222341225544A·CELH·GIRH·OVIH·SEVA·BARH·LEGA·GIRH·OSAH·ESPA·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.7 · Against 12.5 · Total 22.2

⚠️ Fouls

30081189108814914511101310181911101619171822231623283026A·CELH·GIRH·OVIH·SEVA·BARH·LEGA·GIRH·OSAH·ESPA·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.98.43.64.32.923.022.923.0
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (11)10.412.48.44.36.62.322.724.820.6
vs Weaker (39)8.79.18.43.43.73.123.022.423.7
% over line39%59%18%52%61%44%59%55%64%
% under line61%41%82%48%39%56%41%45%36%
This opponent (Villarreal) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VillarrealVillarreal

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.29.88.55.14.85.523.924.023.8
vs Stronger (7)9.79.010.73.94.53.022.022.221.7
vs Similar (19)9.19.98.45.45.45.321.822.121.6
vs Weaker (24)9.110.18.15.34.46.226.226.126.4
% over line46%54%38%74%71%77%69%67%71%
% under line54%46%62%26%29%23%31%33%29%
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Real Madrid
10.8
Barcelona
10.8
Real Sociedad
10.2
Rayo Vallecano
10.2
Valencia
9.9
Levante
9.8
Girona
9.5
Mallorca
9.5
Real Betis
9.4
Sevilla
9.3
Osasuna
9.2
Espanyol
9.2
Alaves
9.2
Villarreal
9.0
Atletico Madrid
9.0
Athletic Club
8.9
Oviedo
8.7
Celta Vigo
8.3
Elche
8.3
Getafe
8.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Getafe
6.0
Alaves
5.7
Villarreal
5.4
Sevilla
5.2
Elche
5.2
Real Betis
5.0
Real Sociedad
4.8
Girona
4.8
Oviedo
4.8
Rayo Vallecano
4.7
Celta Vigo
4.6
Osasuna
4.6
Espanyol
4.4
Valencia
4.3
Athletic Club
4.3
Levante
4.3
Real Madrid
4.3
Atletico Madrid
4.2
Barcelona
4.1
Mallorca
4.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Getafe
30.0
Alaves
28.8
Elche
28.4
Oviedo
26.8
Espanyol
26.0
Real Betis
26.0
Rayo Vallecano
24.8
Sevilla
24.5
Valencia
24.4
Real Sociedad
24.2
Villarreal
24.1
Athletic Club
23.9
Celta Vigo
23.9
Osasuna
23.9
Mallorca
23.8
Levante
23.8
Girona
23.8
Real Madrid
22.9
Atletico Madrid
22.7
Barcelona
22.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
48.0%
Under 9.5
52.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
68.8%
Under 3.5
31.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
65.9%
Under 21.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D20W00D40W01L20W00D10W11D11DA·LAS19/04H·RAY24/04A·ALA03/05H·REA10/05A·OSA15/05H·REA18/05A·GIR25/05A·ESP17/08H·ELC23/08A·ALA30/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.401.210.360.940.44
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.860.860.500.501.331.33
vs Weaker (23)1.130.261.500.300.850.23
Clean sheet %67% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VillarrealVillarreal

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L00D30W00D30W12L31W20W40W00DA·CEL23/04H·ESP27/04H·OSA03/05A·GIR10/05H·LEG14/05A·BAR18/05H·SEV25/05H·OVI15/08H·GIR24/08A·CEL31/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.571.670.400.470.73
vs Stronger (3)1.001.331.002.001.001.00
vs Similar (13)0.850.461.430.430.170.50
vs Weaker (14)1.290.502.000.140.570.86
Clean sheet %57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Atletico Madrid over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L10W00D00D01L21W40W02L00D00DA·LAS19/04H·RAY24/04A·ALA03/05H·REA10/05A·OSA15/05H·REA18/05A·GIR25/05A·ESP17/08H·ELC23/08A·ALA30/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.631.000.500.750.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.711.000.751.000.671.00
vs Weaker (23)0.910.521.100.300.770.69
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Villarreal) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VillarrealVillarreal

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W12L10W00D20W11D00D10W11DA·CEL23/04H·ESP27/04H·OSA03/05A·GIR10/05H·LEG14/05A·BAR18/05H·SEV25/05H·OVI15/08H·GIR24/08A·CEL31/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.570.730.600.870.53
vs Stronger (3)0.670.330.000.001.000.50
vs Similar (13)0.620.850.710.860.500.83
vs Weaker (14)1.000.360.860.431.140.29
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Atletico Madrid) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Atletico Madrid over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atletico Madrid over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Villarreal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards84.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.581.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls79.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners75.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Atletico Madrid
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ademola Lookman38%
Julián Álvarez33%
Alexander Sørloth26%
Javier Boñar25%
Antoine Griezmann22%
Giuliano Simeone13%
Giacomo Raspadori13%
Conor Gallagher12%
Thiago Almada10%
Nicolás González8%
Robin Le Normand7%
Marcos Llorente6%
Dávid Hancko6%
Nahuel Molina4%
Alex Baena4%
José María Giménez4%
Koke4%
Johnny Cardoso3%
Marc Pubill3%
Pablo Barrios3%
Jan Oblak0%
Clément Lenglet0%
Juan Musso0%
Javi Galán0%
Matteo Ruggeri0%
Obed Vargas0%
Rodrigo Mendoza0%
Julio Díaz0%
Javi Morcillo0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Julio Díaz50%
Javi Morcillo40%
Clément Lenglet29%
Alex Baena20%
Marc Pubill20%
Rodrigo Mendoza20%
Marcos Llorente19%
Robin Le Normand18%
Johnny Cardoso17%
Juan Musso17%
José María Giménez16%
Obed Vargas15%
Matteo Ruggeri15%
Koke15%
Nahuel Molina11%
Nicolás González11%
Thiago Almada10%
Giuliano Simeone10%
Alexander Sørloth9%
Ademola Lookman8%
Conor Gallagher8%
Giacomo Raspadori7%
Dávid Hancko6%
Pablo Barrios6%
Julián Álvarez4%
Antoine Griezmann2%
Jan Oblak0%
Javi Galán0%
Javier Boñar0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Julio Díaz25%
Julián Álvarez17%
Antoine Griezmann15%
Javi Galán14%
Giuliano Simeone13%
Giacomo Raspadori13%
Matteo Ruggeri13%
Ademola Lookman12%
Marcos Llorente10%
Rodrigo Mendoza10%
Nahuel Molina9%
Pablo Barrios9%
Obed Vargas8%
Alex Baena7%
Dávid Hancko6%
Koke5%
Thiago Almada5%
Clément Lenglet4%
José María Giménez4%
Conor Gallagher4%
Marc Pubill3%
Jan Oblak2%
Robin Le Normand2%
Alexander Sørloth2%
Juan Musso0%
Nicolás González0%
Johnny Cardoso0%
Javier Boñar0%
Javi Morcillo0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julián Álvarez31%
Ademola Lookman21%
Nicolás González19%
Alexander Sørloth19%
Antoine Griezmann16%
Conor Gallagher8%
Giuliano Simeone8%
José María Giménez4%
Pablo Barrios3%
Thiago Almada3%
Nahuel Molina2%
Marcos Llorente2%
Jan Oblak0%
Koke0%
Clément Lenglet0%
Juan Musso0%
Dávid Hancko0%
Giacomo Raspadori0%
Robin Le Normand0%
Javi Galán0%
Johnny Cardoso0%
Matteo Ruggeri0%
Alex Baena0%
Marc Pubill0%
Obed Vargas0%
Javier Boñar0%
Rodrigo Mendoza0%
Julio Díaz0%
Javi Morcillo0%
Villarreal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gerard Moreno38%
Georges Mikautadze33%
Etta Eyong33%
Alberto Moleiro20%
Ayoze Pérez18%
Nicolas Pépé17%
Tani Oluwaseyi14%
Pape Gueye13%
Tajon Buchanan12%
Santi Comesaña11%
Alfon González10%
Manor Solomon9%
Ilias Akhomach7%
Rafa Marín3%
Santiago Mouriño3%
Alfonso Pedraza3%
Dani Parejo2%
Sergi Cardona2%
Renato Veiga2%
Thomas Partey0%
Juan Foyth0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Luiz Júnior0%
Alexander Freeman0%
Pau Navarro0%
Hugo Lopez0%
Carlos Maciá0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Santiago Mouriño38%
Pape Gueye31%
Alfonso Pedraza29%
Tajon Buchanan21%
Ilias Akhomach20%
Pau Navarro19%
Juan Foyth17%
Renato Veiga17%
Carlos Maciá17%
Santi Comesaña14%
Alberto Moleiro13%
Rafa Marín13%
Ayoze Pérez12%
Sergi Cardona12%
Nicolas Pépé11%
Luiz Júnior9%
Dani Parejo7%
Thomas Partey6%
Tani Oluwaseyi3%
Georges Mikautadze2%
Manor Solomon0%
Gerard Moreno0%
Alfon González0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Alexander Freeman0%
Etta Eyong0%
Hugo Lopez0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Etta Eyong67%
Hugo Lopez20%
Manor Solomon18%
Nicolas Pépé15%
Ayoze Pérez15%
Georges Mikautadze14%
Santi Comesaña14%
Ilias Akhomach13%
Alfonso Pedraza11%
Alberto Moleiro11%
Sergi Cardona10%
Santiago Mouriño6%
Tani Oluwaseyi5%
Pape Gueye5%
Rafa Marín3%
Dani Parejo2%
Tajon Buchanan2%
Thomas Partey0%
Juan Foyth0%
Gerard Moreno0%
Alfon González0%
Adrià Altimira0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Luiz Júnior0%
Renato Veiga0%
Alexander Freeman0%
Pau Navarro0%
Carlos Maciá0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Etta Eyong33%
Adrià Altimira25%
Nicolas Pépé20%
Pape Gueye18%
Georges Mikautadze17%
Gerard Moreno12%
Ayoze Pérez9%
Tani Oluwaseyi8%
Tajon Buchanan7%
Ilias Akhomach7%
Juan Foyth6%
Santi Comesaña5%
Alberto Moleiro4%
Rafa Marín3%
Sergi Cardona2%
Renato Veiga2%
Thomas Partey0%
Manor Solomon0%
Dani Parejo0%
Alfonso Pedraza0%
Alfon González0%
Arnau Tenas0%
Luiz Júnior0%
Santiago Mouriño0%
Alexander Freeman0%
Pau Navarro0%
Hugo Lopez0%
Carlos Maciá0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (27)
€1456m
BAR (30)
€1282m
AM (25)
€653m
VIL (24)
€325m
RS (24)
€247m
AC (29)
€241m
RB (25)
€235m
CV (24)
€163m
SEV (25)
€134m
VAL (27)
€125m
ESP (24)
€119m
GIR (28)
€114m
GET (24)
€90m
LEV (26)
€89m
ELC (27)
€79m
RV (23)
€76m
OSA (22)
€71m
ALA (25)
€68m
MAL (26)
€48m
OVI (23)
€30m
Atletico Madrid's squad is €328m more valuable than Villarreal's (€653m vs €325m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (10)
€842m
BAR (10)
€590m
AM (9)
€290m
RB (10)
€131m
VIL (8)
€124m
RS (10)
€110m
AC (10)
€106m
GIR (12)
€64m
CV (9)
€57m
LEV (10)
€51m
SEV (8)
€45m
VAL (10)
€40m
ESP (9)
€39m
GET (5)
€36m
ELC (13)
€34m
RV (10)
€30m
OSA (8)
€25m
ALA (8)
€24m
MAL (11)
€23m
OVI (11)
€15m
Atletico Madrid's attack is €166m more valuable than Villarreal's (€290m vs €124m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BAR (8)
€324m
RM (5)
€238m
AM (6)
€155m
RS (5)
€58m
AC (7)
€57m
VIL (4)
€52m
VAL (5)
€46m
CV (3)
€35m
RB (5)
€33m
ESP (5)
€31m
GIR (7)
€28m
GET (6)
€28m
SEV (5)
€23m
ALA (8)
€22m
LEV (5)
€16m
OSA (4)
€12m
ELC (5)
€12m
RV (4)
€9m
MAL (5)
€9m
OVI (4)
€6m
Atletico Madrid's midfield is €103m more valuable than Villarreal's (€155m vs €52m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RM (12)
€377m
BAR (12)
€368m
AM (10)
€208m
VIL (12)
€148m
RS (9)
€79m
AC (12)
€77m
CV (12)
€71m
RB (10)
€70m
SEV (12)
€65m
ESP (10)
€48m
VAL (12)
€39m
RV (9)
€36m
OSA (10)
€33m
ELC (9)
€33m
GET (13)
€26m
GIR (9)
€22m
LEV (11)
€22m
ALA (9)
€22m
MAL (10)
€16m
OVI (8)
€10m
Atletico Madrid's defence is €59m more valuable than Villarreal's (€208m vs €148m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
AM wins
5
Draws
1
VIL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Atletico Madrid vs Villarreal · H/A from AM
DateH/AGameScore
25/01/25HAM Vs Villarreal1-1
19/08/24AVillarreal Vs AM2-2
01/04/24AVillarreal Vs AM1-2
12/11/23HAM Vs Villarreal3-1
04/06/23AVillarreal Vs AM2-2
21/08/22HAM Vs Villarreal0-2
09/01/22AVillarreal Vs AM2-2
29/08/21HAM Vs Villarreal2-2

Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/25AAlaves Vs AM1-1
23/08/25HAM Vs Elche1-1
17/08/25AEspanyol Vs AM2-1
25/05/25AGirona Vs AM0-4
18/05/25HAM Vs Real Betis4-1
15/05/25AOsasuna Vs AM2-0
10/05/25HAM Vs Real Sociedad4-0
03/05/25AAlaves Vs AM0-0
24/04/25HAM Vs Rayo Vallecano3-0
19/04/25ALas Palmas Vs AM1-0

VillarrealVillarreal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/25ACelta Vigo Vs VIL1-1
24/08/25HVIL Vs Girona5-0
15/08/25HVIL Vs Oviedo2-0
25/05/25HVIL Vs Sevilla4-2
18/05/25ABarcelona Vs VIL2-3
14/05/25HVIL Vs Leganes3-0
10/05/25AGirona Vs VIL0-1
03/05/25HVIL Vs Osasuna4-2
27/04/25HVIL Vs Espanyol1-0
23/04/25ACelta Vigo Vs VIL3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid
Spain: La Liga
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDD1.94
HomeWWWWD2.26
AwayDLWLD1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%70%48%
AVG goals2.983.092.89
Over 1.5 %78%78%78%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %34%39%30%
Scored1.982.131.85
Conceded1.000.961.04
BTTS52%57%48%
Clean Sheet36%39%33%
Corners9.119.868.36
Cards4.264.763.76
Villarreal
Villarreal
Spain: La Liga
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWD1.88
HomeWWWWW1.96
AwayWLWWD1.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%54%54%
AVG goals3.323.882.81
Over 1.5 %84%92%77%
Over 2.5 %64%75%54%
Over 3.5 %36%54%19%
Scored2.022.501.58
Conceded1.301.381.23
BTTS66%67%65%
Clean Sheet22%33%12%
Corners9.199.838.54
Cards5.354.795.92

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1BarcelonaBarcelona3894
82%
2.5
9536+59
3.4
89%
74%
42%
11.3
68%
4.5
51%
21.4
50%
1282
5903243682.50.9
69%
2Real MadridReal Madrid3886
71%
2.3
7735+42
2.9
87%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
4.8
54%
24.4
68%
1456
8422383772.00.9
59%
3VillarrealVillarreal3872
58%
1.9
7246+26
3.1
92%
58%
37%
9.1
45%
4.3
58%
24.1
61%
325
124521481.91.2
45%
4Atletico MadridAtletico Madrid3869
55%
1.8
6244+18
2.8
74%
50%
26%
10.8
61%
4.4
59%
20.9
39%
653
2901552081.61.2
53%
5Real BetisReal Betis3860
39%
1.6
5948+11
2.8
89%
53%
26%
9.6
50%
4.6
65%
23.7
71%
235
13133701.61.3
50%
6Celta VigoCelta Vigo3854
37%
1.4
5348+5
2.7
79%
45%
24%
8.4
29%
4.4
58%
24.1
63%
163
5735711.41.3
50%
7GetafeGetafe3851
39%
1.3
3238-6
1.8
58%
26%
5%
8.9
37%
5.6
79%
29.8
100%
90
3628260.81.0
40%
8Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano3850
32%
1.3
4144-3
2.2
71%
37%
16%
10.9
66%
5.3
74%
24.5
76%
76
309361.11.2
53%
9ValenciaValencia3849
34%
1.3
4655-9
2.7
79%
42%
24%
9.9
45%
4.6
68%
24.2
66%
125
4046391.21.4
48%
10Real SociedadReal Sociedad3846
29%
1.2
5961-2
3.2
82%
58%
42%
10.1
53%
5.0
63%
26.6
76%
247
11058791.61.6
51%
11EspanyolEspanyol3846
32%
1.2
4355-12
2.6
76%
50%
24%
9.5
45%
5.2
70%
26.5
76%
119
3931481.11.4
42%
12Athletic ClubAthletic Club3845
34%
1.2
4358-15
2.7
74%
47%
21%
9.6
50%
4.6
67%
24.3
66%
241
10657771.11.5
49%
13ElcheElche3843
26%
1.1
4957-8
2.8
79%
58%
39%
8.3
34%
4.6
71%
28.3
92%
79
3412331.31.5
58%
14AlavesAlaves3843
29%
1.1
4456-12
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.1
53%
4.9
74%
28.4
95%
68
2422221.21.5
48%
15SevillaSevilla3843
32%
1.1
4660-14
2.8
79%
55%
26%
9.3
50%
5.2
68%
27.6
82%
134
4523651.21.6
51%
16OsasunaOsasuna3842
29%
1.1
4450-6
2.5
68%
50%
26%
8.6
32%
5.1
79%
25.1
82%
71
2512331.21.3
47%
17MallorcaMallorca3842
29%
1.1
4757-10
2.7
84%
63%
21%
10.0
58%
4.7
62%
24.6
74%
48
239161.21.5
47%
18LevanteLevante3842
29%
1.1
4761-14
2.8
87%
45%
29%
10.2
47%
4.9
71%
25.3
76%
89
5116221.21.6
43%
19GironaGirona3841
24%
1.1
3955-16
2.5
79%
45%
16%
9.4
39%
4.4
50%
25.0
71%
114
6428221.01.4
51%
20OviedoOviedo3829
16%
0.8
2660-34
2.3
66%
39%
16%
9.5
47%
4.2
58%
24.1
63%
30
156100.71.6
46%
Spain: La Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Spain: La Liga stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches