Atmosfera vs FA Šiauliai II Result & Analysis

Atmosfera is coming off a defeat, having been thrashed 3-1 by Kauno Žalgiris II, but they have shown resilience in their recent form, with a win and a draw in their last two home matches. In those games, they scored an average of 3 goals and conceded just 1.33. Their opponents, FA Šiauliai II, have struggled on the road, scoring an average of 1.86 goals and conceding 2.14. The model predicts a high-scoring match, with an expected total of 4 goals and a 21% chance of 6 or more goals. The most likely score is 2-1 to Atmosfera, with a probability of 8.6%. The model's selection is a Home win, with a probability of 57%. Other selections include Over 1.5, Over 2.5, and BTTS Yes, with probabilities of 91.5%, 76.2%, and 72.5% respectively. Atmosfera is the favourite to win, with a 57% chance, while FA Šiauliai II has a 22% chance of winning. The draw has a 20% chance.

The draw between Atmosfera and FA Šiauliai II was a major upset, as the home team's recent form suggested a win. In fact, their last five matches read DLWDW, coming off a draw, but the pre-match favourite failed to deliver, with the model's selection of a Home win coming up short. The model's call was wrong, as the actual result was a draw. Meanwhile, the model's selection of a Home win held a 57% probability of success. The suggested picks, however, fared better, with Over 1.5 goals hitting at 91.5% probability and BTTS Yes also hitting at 72.5%. Over 2.5 goals, however, missed at 76.2%. The final score was 1-1, a fitting result given the model's most likely scores, which included a 2-1 win for Atmosfera and a 1-1 draw.