This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aris Thessalonikis
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.90
1.47
0.71
1.08
1.15
vs Stronger (11)
1.09
0.91
1.00
0.88
1.33
1.00
vs Similar (6)
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.67
0.00
1.33
vs Weaker (13)
1.85
0.85
2.33
0.50
1.43
1.14
Clean sheet %
37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Atromitos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
65.9%
Under 1.5
34.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.8%
@ 2.29-3.2%
Under 2.5
62.2%
@ 1.59+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.1%
Under 3.5
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.8%
No
54.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0 ✓
12.4%
1-0
11.3%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
2-0
7.2%
1-2
7.1%
0-2
6.2%
Atromitos goals ↓
Aris Thessalonikis goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
10%
6.2%
2.2%
0.6%
1
11%
15%
7.1%
2.5%
0.7%
2
7.2%
7.7%
4.1%
1.4%
0.4%
3
2.8%
2.9%
1.5%
0.5%
0.1%
4
0.8%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Atromitos goals (down), columns = Aris Thessalonikis goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
AEK Athens FC
2.34
Panathinaikos
2.16
Olympiakos Piraeus
2.08
PAOK
1.82
Aris Thessalonikis
1.45
OFI Crete
1.24
OFI
1.24
Atromitos
1.22
Volos NFC
1.08
PAS Giannina
1.00
Asteras Tripolis
0.97
Panetolikos
0.92
Ionikos
0.86
Lamia
0.83
Levadiakos
0.83
Atromitos is 0.23 points worse than Aris Thessalonikis in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.45).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
AEK Athens FC
1.97
Olympiakos Piraeus
1.95
Aris Thessalonikis
1.55
PAOK
1.53
Panathinaikos
1.32
OFI Crete
1.12
OFI
1.12
Atromitos
1.11
PAS Giannina
0.97
Panetolikos
0.94
Volos NFC
0.92
Levadiakos
0.81
Ionikos
0.78
Asteras Tripolis
0.72
Lamia
0.69
Atromitos is 0.44 goals worse than Aris Thessalonikis in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.55).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Panathinaikos
0.45
AEK Athens FC
0.45
Olympiakos Piraeus
0.68
PAOK
0.87
Asteras Tripolis
1.06
Aris Thessalonikis
1.11
Atromitos
1.11
OFI Crete
1.24
OFI
1.24
Levadiakos
1.42
PAS Giannina
1.47
Ionikos
1.53
Panetolikos
1.67
Lamia
1.69
Volos NFC
1.76
Atromitos is 0.01 goals worse than Aris Thessalonikis in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Atromitos
For 3.4 · Against 4.6 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 17.3 · Total 31.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Aris Thessalonikis
For 5.7 · Against 3.7 · Total 9.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 3.7 · Total 6.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.3 · Against 15.2 · Total 29.5
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Atromitos
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.0
7.9
8.0
3.5
3.4
3.5
31.4
31.5
31.2
vs Stronger (13)
8.5
9.4
7.6
3.0
3.8
2.5
30.0
33.8
26.2
vs Similar (25)
7.9
8.3
7.5
3.8
3.5
4.2
32.9
30.9
34.9
vs Weaker (12)
7.5
6.0
9.8
3.2
3.0
3.8
29.6
30.7
28.0
% over line
32%
29%
37%
46%
42%
50%
92%
95%
89%
% under line
68%
71%
63%
54%
58%
50%
8%
5%
11%
This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aris Thessalonikis
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.4
7.9
8.9
4.2
4.0
4.3
32.6
32.3
33.0
vs Stronger (15)
10.2
9.2
11.2
4.8
3.1
7.3
33.2
31.5
34.8
vs Similar (8)
7.0
7.0
7.0
5.2
6.5
4.0
29.4
31.5
28.0
vs Weaker (27)
7.9
7.5
8.3
3.5
3.8
3.1
33.1
32.9
33.4
% over line
38%
30%
45%
60%
54%
67%
97%
100%
95%
% under line
62%
70%
55%
40%
46%
33%
3%
0%
5%
This opponent (Atromitos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
AEK Athens FC
9.8
PAOK
9.3
Olympiakos Piraeus
9.1
PAS Giannina
9.0
Volos NFC
9.0
Levadiakos
8.7
Panetolikos
8.7
Aris Thessalonikis
8.6
Panathinaikos
8.5
Lamia
8.4
OFI Crete
8.4
Ionikos
8.2
Atromitos
7.9
Asteras Tripolis
7.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Panathinaikos
5.9
Aris Thessalonikis
5.6
PAOK
5.3
AEK Athens FC
5.3
Levadiakos
5.1
Volos NFC
4.9
Ionikos
4.8
OFI Crete
4.7
Panetolikos
4.4
Atromitos
4.3
Olympiakos Piraeus
4.3
Asteras Tripolis
4.2
PAS Giannina
4.1
Lamia
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Panetolikos
35.2
Lamia
34.8
Volos NFC
33.0
Aris Thessalonikis
32.7
Ionikos
32.7
OFI Crete
32.5
PAS Giannina
32.1
Panathinaikos
32.1
Atromitos
31.8
AEK Athens FC
31.1
Asteras Tripolis
30.8
PAOK
30.2
Olympiakos Piraeus
27.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
35.5%
Under 9.5
64.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
68.1%
Under 3.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
97.4%
Under 21.5
2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Atromitos
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.60
0.60
0.47
0.27
0.73
vs Stronger (7)
0.00
0.57
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.60
vs Similar (16)
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.56
0.43
1.00
vs Weaker (7)
0.14
0.29
0.00
0.25
0.33
0.33
Clean sheet %
47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aris Thessalonikis
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.40
0.41
0.29
0.54
0.54
vs Stronger (11)
0.18
0.45
0.12
0.38
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (6)
0.00
0.33
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.67
vs Weaker (13)
0.92
0.38
1.00
0.33
0.86
0.43
Clean sheet %
63% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Atromitos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Atromitos over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Atromitos
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.60
0.73
0.60
0.73
0.60
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
1.29
0.00
1.50
0.20
1.20
vs Similar (16)
0.81
0.50
0.56
0.56
1.14
0.43
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
0.14
1.50
0.25
0.67
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Aris Thessalonikis) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Aris Thessalonikis
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.50
1.06
0.41
0.54
0.62
vs Stronger (11)
0.91
0.45
0.88
0.50
1.00
0.33
vs Similar (6)
0.50
0.67
1.00
0.67
0.00
0.67
vs Weaker (13)
0.92
0.46
1.33
0.17
0.57
0.71
Clean sheet %
60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Atromitos) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Atromitos over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Atromitos over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aris Thessalonikis over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 21.5 fouls
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 23.5 fouls
93.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 25.5 fouls
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 2.5 cards
84.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
75.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Atromitos
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aguibou Camara25%
Viðar Örn Kjartansson16%
Gaëtan Robail15%
Dorin Rotariu15%
Georgios Tzovaras12%
Juan Muñiz9%
Andreas Kuen9%
August Erlingmark8%
Samúel Kári Friðjónsson7%
Marios Tzavidas6%
Viktor Klonaridis4%
Wajdi Kechrida3%
Dimitris Chatziisaias3%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Laurens De Bock0%
Stefanos Stroungis0%
Kyriakos Kivrakidis0%
Konstantinos Kotsopoulos0%
Giannis Ikonomidis0%
Theofanis Mavromatis0%
Dani Suarez0%
Eder González0%
Nikolaos Athanasiou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Kyriakos Kivrakidis67%
Laurens De Bock31%
August Erlingmark29%
Juan Muñiz27%
Aguibou Camara25%
Dimitris Chatziisaias23%
Theofanis Mavromatis22%
Eder González22%
Andreas Kuen17%
Stefanos Stroungis17%
Wajdi Kechrida13%
Konstantinos Kotsopoulos11%
Giannis Ikonomidis11%
Dani Suarez11%
Samúel Kári Friðjónsson11%
Andreas Gianniotis10%
Gaëtan Robail9%
Viktor Klonaridis8%
Georgios Tzovaras8%
Dorin Rotariu7%
Viðar Örn Kjartansson3%
Nikolaos Athanasiou0%
Marios Tzavidas0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nikolaos Athanasiou20%
Andreas Kuen13%
Theofanis Mavromatis11%
Dani Suarez11%
Viktor Klonaridis8%
Laurens De Bock7%
Wajdi Kechrida7%
Marios Tzavidas6%
Eder González6%
Gaëtan Robail6%
Dimitris Chatziisaias3%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Dorin Rotariu0%
Viðar Örn Kjartansson0%
Stefanos Stroungis0%
Kyriakos Kivrakidis0%
Konstantinos Kotsopoulos0%
Giannis Ikonomidis0%
Samúel Kári Friðjónsson0%
Juan Muñiz0%
August Erlingmark0%
Aguibou Camara0%
Georgios Tzovaras0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aguibou Camara25%
Konstantinos Kotsopoulos11%
Viðar Örn Kjartansson10%
Gaëtan Robail9%
Juan Muñiz9%
Andreas Kuen9%
Dorin Rotariu7%
Viktor Klonaridis4%
Georgios Tzovaras4%
Samúel Kári Friðjónsson4%
Marios Tzavidas3%
Eder González3%
Andreas Gianniotis0%
Wajdi Kechrida0%
Laurens De Bock0%
Dimitris Chatziisaias0%
Stefanos Stroungis0%
Kyriakos Kivrakidis0%
Giannis Ikonomidis0%
Theofanis Mavromatis0%
Dani Suarez0%
August Erlingmark0%
Nikolaos Athanasiou0%
Aris Thessalonikis
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Luis Palma28%
Andre Gray25%
Vladimír Darida24%
Aboubakar Kamara21%
Lukas Rupp12%
Juan Iturbe12%
Daniel Mancini12%
Manu García12%
Fabiano9%
Gervinho9%
Mateo García9%
Rafael Camacho8%
Nicolas N'Koulou6%
Jakub Brabec4%
Salem M'Bakata4%
Moses Odubajo4%
Bryan Dabo4%
Pape Cheikh0%
Lazaros Christodoulopoulos0%
Marios Siampanis0%
Oghenekaro Etebo0%
Bradley Mazikou0%
Cheick Doukouré0%
Julián Cuesta0%
Marvin Peersman0%
Rafail Sgouros0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aboubakar Kamara43%
Fabiano28%
Moses Odubajo28%
Bryan Dabo26%
Cheick Doukouré25%
Oghenekaro Etebo24%
Lazaros Christodoulopoulos23%
Pape Cheikh20%
Vladimír Darida14%
Marvin Peersman14%
Andre Gray12%
Juan Iturbe12%
Rafael Camacho12%
Daniel Mancini12%
Bradley Mazikou11%
Mateo García9%
Jakub Brabec9%
Julián Cuesta6%
Manu García6%
Nicolas N'Koulou6%
Salem M'Bakata4%
Luis Palma3%
Lukas Rupp0%
Marios Siampanis0%
Gervinho0%
Rafail Sgouros0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Daniel Mancini35%
Vladimír Darida19%
Manu García18%
Luis Palma14%
Lukas Rupp12%
Marvin Peersman10%
Bryan Dabo7%
Andre Gray6%
Cheick Doukouré6%
Mateo García6%
Salem M'Bakata4%
Rafael Camacho4%
Moses Odubajo4%
Bradley Mazikou4%
Juan Iturbe3%
Pape Cheikh0%
Jakub Brabec0%
Lazaros Christodoulopoulos0%
Marios Siampanis0%
Oghenekaro Etebo0%
Fabiano0%
Nicolas N'Koulou0%
Gervinho0%
Aboubakar Kamara0%
Julián Cuesta0%
Rafail Sgouros0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Aboubakar Kamara29%
Andre Gray19%
Vladimír Darida14%
Daniel Mancini12%
Manu García12%
Luis Palma10%
Fabiano6%
Bradley Mazikou4%
Rafael Camacho0%
Pape Cheikh0%
Lukas Rupp0%
Jakub Brabec0%
Lazaros Christodoulopoulos0%
Marios Siampanis0%
Oghenekaro Etebo0%
Moses Odubajo0%
Salem M'Bakata0%
Bryan Dabo0%
Nicolas N'Koulou0%
Gervinho0%
Juan Iturbe0%
Cheick Doukouré0%
Julián Cuesta0%
Mateo García0%
Marvin Peersman0%
Rafail Sgouros0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (29)
€175m
PAN (34)
€109m
AAF (26)
€85m
PAO (32)
€82m
AT (27)
€41m
OFI (24)
€18m
LEV (24)
€16m
PAN (27)
€13m
AT (31)
€13m
ATR (21)
€12m
VN (25)
€10m
PG (36)
€4m
Atromitos's squad is €29m less valuable than Aris Thessalonikis's (€12m vs €41m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (12)
€84m
PAN (13)
€46m
AAF (11)
€44m
PAO (11)
€30m
AT (13)
€22m
PAN (11)
€7m
OFI (6)
€6m
LEV (11)
€5m
AT (11)
€5m
VN (8)
€4m
ATR (7)
€3m
PG (12)
€1m
Atromitos's attack is €19m less valuable than Aris Thessalonikis's (€3m vs €22m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (6)
€47m
PAO (7)
€28m
PAN (8)
€26m
AAF (5)
€16m
AT (5)
€7m
LEV (4)
€5m
OFI (5)
€3m
AT (4)
€2m
ATR (3)
€2m
PAN (5)
€2m
VN (5)
€2m
PG (7)
€1m
Atromitos's midfield is €5m less valuable than Aris Thessalonikis's (€2m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OP (11)
€44m
PAN (13)
€38m
AAF (10)
€26m
PAO (14)
€24m
AT (9)
€12m
OFI (13)
€8m
ATR (11)
€6m
AT (16)
€6m
VN (12)
€5m
LEV (9)
€5m
PAN (11)
€3m
PG (17)
€2m
Atromitos's defence is €6m less valuable than Aris Thessalonikis's (€6m vs €12m).
Greece: Super League 1 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Greece: Super League 1 stats & trends →