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Auda vs FK Liepaja Result & Analysis

Date: 25/08/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 1-0
Auda
Auda
Vs
45%
28%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FK Liepaja
FK Liepaja
Latvia: Virsliga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Auda are favoured to win this Virsliga clash, with a 45 % chance of victory, 28 % for a draw and 27 % for FK Liepaja. The match is expected to see 2.6 goals on average, and the most likely total is 2, with a 26 % probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, occurring with a 13.4 % chance. Auda, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, have scored an average of 1.25 goals and conceded 1.0. FK Liepaja, on the road against a comparable side, average 1.6 goals scored and only 0.4 conceded. Suggested picks from the model include Under 7.5 (99.4 %), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2 %), Under 6.5 (98.2 % with a 7 % edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.7 %), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.4 %), Away under 3.5 goals (97.3 % with a 6 % edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.2 % with a 6 % edge) and Under 5.5 (94.8 % with a 6 % edge).

Results analysis

Auda extended their two-game winning run with a 1-0 victory over FK Liepaja, confirming the model’s prediction that the home side would win. The pre-match favourite, Home win, carried a 45% probability and was correct. The match produced the expected 1-0 scoreline, matching the most likely 1-0 outcome in the model’s spread. Every suggested pick settled in favour of the model: Under 7.5 (99.4%) hit, Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.3%) hit, Under 6.5 (98.2%) hit, Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.7%) hit, Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.4%) hit, Away under 3.5 goals (97.3%) hit, Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.5%) hit, and Under 5.5 (94.8%) hit. The selections largely came through, underscoring the model’s accuracy.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Auda win✓ Hit
45.2%
Avg Implied 46.0% · @ 1.97
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.05
Dafabet
2.03
BetVictor
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Draw✗ Miss
28.0%
Avg Implied 26.0% · @ 3.48
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.60
BetVictor
3.60
1xBet
3.58
Marathonbet
3.56
Pinnacle
3.55
FK Liepaja win✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied 28.0% · @ 3.23
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.50
BetVictor
3.30
Dafabet
3.30
1xBet
3.26
Marathonbet
3.24

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AudaAuda

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-423L01L22D02L11D10W10W10W04L30WA·MET26/10H·TUK02/11A·GRO09/11H·RIG29/06A·RĪG04/07H·BFC26/07H·DIN04/08A·FS 09/08A·DIN13/08H·TUK21/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.431.331.200.931.67
vs Stronger (6)0.332.330.332.000.332.67
vs Similar (12)0.921.421.171.170.671.67
vs Weaker (12)1.751.002.000.831.501.17
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D21W03L40W13L20W13L12L21W31WH·FS 25/10A·BFC02/11A·SUP09/11H·OGR30/06A·BFC04/07A·FS 26/07A·AUS30/07A·TUK02/08A·SUP09/08H·GRO21/08
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.301.921.081.411.47
vs Stronger (5)1.002.402.002.500.332.33
vs Similar (12)1.750.922.000.431.401.60
vs Weaker (13)1.771.231.751.501.781.11
Clean sheet %27% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Auda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%8%016%126%222%314%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
75.2%
@ 1.17-3.2%
Under 1.5
24.8%
@ 4.25+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.20
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Under
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
10Bet
4.33
BetVictor
4.33
Marathonbet
4.30
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
49.0%
@ 1.62-7.9%
Under 2.5
51.0%
@ 2.15+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.65
Bet365
1.62
BetVictor
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Under
Bet365
2.25
Pinnacle
2.20
Betfair
2.20
10Bet
2.20
1xBet
2.15
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
27.2%
@ 2.55-9.0%
Under 3.5
72.8%
@ 1.44+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Unibet
2.63
BetVictor
2.60
Pinnacle
2.60
Marathonbet
2.52
Under
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Betfair
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Superbet
1.45
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.8%
@ 1.54-5.8%
No
46.2%
@ 2.27+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.57
Unibet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Superbet
1.56
BetVictor
1.53
No
Betfair
2.38
BetVictor
2.30
William Hil
2.30
10Bet
2.30
1xBet
2.29

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%@ 6.45+6.8%
1-0 ✓
9.7%@ 8.47+4.6%
2-1
9.2%@ 7.55+3.6%
0-0
8.4%@ 12.89+5.1%
2-0
8.3%@ 9.87+4.0%
0-1
6.8%@ 11.42+3.1%
1-2
6.8%@ 10.09+2.6%
2-2
5.2%@ 10.57+1.1%
Auda goals ↓
FK Liepaja goals →
01234
08.4%6.8%4.5%1.7%0.5%
19.7%13%6.8%2.5%0.7%
28.3%9.2%5.2%1.9%0.5%
34.2%4.7%2.6%1.0%0.3%
41.6%1.8%1.0%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Auda goals (down), columns = FK Liepaja goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Rīgas FS
2.43
Riga
2.29
Auda
2.00
FK Liepaja
1.88
BFC Daugavpils
1.62
Super Nova
1.33
Grobiņa
1.00
FS Jelgava
0.86
Ogre United
0.57
Tukums
0.38
Auda is 0.12 points better than FK Liepaja in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.88).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Riga
3.00
Rīgas FS
2.57
FK Liepaja
2.00
BFC Daugavpils
1.50
Super Nova
1.17
Grobiņa
1.14
FS Jelgava
1.14
Auda
1.14
Ogre United
1.00
Tukums
0.75
Auda is 0.86 goals worse than FK Liepaja in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Auda
0.57
Rīgas FS
0.86
BFC Daugavpils
0.88
Super Nova
1.00
Riga
1.14
FK Liepaja
1.25
FS Jelgava
1.71
Tukums
2.38
Grobiņa
2.57
Ogre United
3.00
Auda is 0.68 goals better than FK Liepaja in terms of goals conceded per game (0.57 vs 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Auda or Draw✓ Hit
73.2%
Avg Implied 72.5% · @ 1.26
Edge
+0.7%
45%
28%
27%
covers Auda + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.26
Auda or FK Liepaja✓ Hit
72.0%
Avg Implied 74.6% · @ 1.22
Edge
-2.6%
45%
28%
27%
covers Auda + FK Liepaja
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Draw or FK Liepaja✗ Miss
54.8%
Avg Implied 52.8% · @ 1.73
Edge
+1.9%
45%
28%
27%
covers Draw + FK Liepaja
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.80
SBO
1.77
10Bet
1.77
William Hil
1.75
Betfair
1.73

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Auda over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.1%
@ 1.14-2.6%
Under
21.9%
@ 4.77+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.00
1xBet
4.80
10Bet
4.50
Auda over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
44.8%
@ 1.78-6.6%
Under
55.2%
@ 1.89+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.86
1xBet
1.81
Marathonbet
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Unibet
1.74
Under
Bet365
2.00
Pinnacle
1.91
Marathonbet
1.88
1xBet
1.85
Unibet
1.85
Auda over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.6%
@ 3.42-7.5%
Under
80.4%
@ 1.27+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.50
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.35
Under
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.22
Auda over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.8%
@ 6.95-6.6%
Under
93.2%
@ 1.07+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
1xBet
6.90
Under
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
FK Liepaja over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
67.3%
@ 1.29-4.0%
Under
32.7%
@ 3.21+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.33
1xBet
1.30
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Under
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.20
10Bet
3.20
1xBet
3.20
FK Liepaja over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
30.8%
@ 2.46-6.6%
Under
69.2%
@ 1.47+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.60
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.49
Marathonbet
2.45
1xBet
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.52
Bet365
1.50
1xBet
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Marathonbet
1.46
FK Liepaja over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 5.82-5.5%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.09+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.05
1xBet
5.90
Bet365
5.50
Under
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.06
FK Liepaja over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.7%
@ 10.50-6.1%
Under
97.3%
@ 1.02+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.50
Under
Bet365
1.02

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Auda, so a minus line means Auda give that many goals of a start and FK Liepaja receive them. At -1, Auda must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Auda win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Auda)Actual: FK Liepaja
Auda -2
9.3%
@ 6.33-4.4%
Draw -2
14.0%
@ 5.22-2.6%
FK Liepaja +2
76.7%
@ 1.25+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
7.40
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
5.10
Draw
Marathonbet
5.90
Bet365
5.50
Unibet
4.25
Away
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
Handicap -1 (Auda)Actual: Draw
Auda -1
23.3%
@ 3.34-2.9%
Draw -1
21.9%
@ 3.69-1.8%
FK Liepaja +1
54.8%
@ 1.75+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Bet365
3.25
Unibet
2.85
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.84
10Bet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Unibet
3.10
Away
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.77
Unibet
1.73
Betfair
1.73
Marathonbet
1.70
Handicap +1 (Auda)Actual: Auda
Auda +1
73.2%
@ 1.23+3.5%
Draw +1
15.8%
@ 5.00-1.4%
FK Liepaja -1
10.9%
@ 6.62-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.20
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.15
Unibet
4.35
Away
Marathonbet
7.10
Bet365
7.00
Unibet
5.75
Handicap +2 (Auda)Actual: Auda
Auda +2
89.1%
@ 1.08+3.0%
Draw +2
7.6%
@ 11.00-0.8%
FK Liepaja -2
3.3%
@ 17.00-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.08
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Away
Bet365
17.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AudaAuda

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L20W02L00D10W00D10W02L10WA·MET26/10H·TUK02/11A·GRO09/11H·RIG29/06A·RĪG04/07H·BFC26/07H·DIN04/08A·FS 09/08A·DIN13/08H·TUK21/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.600.530.530.530.67
vs Stronger (6)0.001.000.001.330.000.67
vs Similar (12)0.500.500.500.170.500.83
vs Weaker (12)0.830.500.830.500.830.50
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D00D02L30W01L20W12L11D01L10WH·FS 25/10A·BFC02/11A·SUP09/11H·OGR30/06A·BFC04/07A·FS 26/07A·AUS30/07A·TUK02/08A·SUP09/08H·GRO21/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.600.850.540.760.65
vs Stronger (5)0.201.200.501.500.001.00
vs Similar (12)0.670.330.860.000.400.80
vs Weaker (13)1.150.621.001.001.220.44
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Auda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
67.6%
@ 1.28-4.5%
Under 0.5
32.4%
@ 3.30+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.26
Under
Bet365
3.40
William Hil
3.40
BetVictor
3.30
Marathonbet
3.28
1xBet
3.28
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
31.6%
@ 2.35-7.5%
Under 1.5
68.4%
@ 1.50+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.42
Betfair
2.38
William Hil
2.38
Bet365
2.38
1xBet
2.36
Under
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
William Hil
1.53
Betfair
1.53
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.2%
@ 5.53-6.4%
Under 2.5
89.8%
@ 1.10+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.75
1xBet
5.70
Marathonbet
5.70
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Under
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
BetVictor
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Auda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
47.0%
@ 1.74-6.1%
Under
53.0%
@ 1.97+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.78
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.71
Under
Pinnacle
1.99
1xBet
1.98
Marathonbet
1.95
Auda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
12.1%
@ 4.78-7.1%
Under
87.9%
@ 1.14+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.95
1xBet
4.60
Under
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
Auda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.3%
Under
97.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Liepaja over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
40.4%
@ 2.09-3.8%
Under
59.6%
@ 1.66+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.13
Marathonbet
2.09
1xBet
2.06
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.61
FK Liepaja over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
9.5%
@ 7.05-3.5%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.05+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.50
1xBet
6.60
Under
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
FK Liepaja over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AudaAuda

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D02L00D11D00D10W00D02L20WA·MET26/10H·TUK02/11A·GRO09/11H·RIG29/06A·RĪG04/07H·BFC26/07H·DIN04/08A·FS 09/08A·DIN13/08H·TUK21/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.830.800.670.401.00
vs Stronger (6)0.331.330.330.670.332.00
vs Similar (12)0.420.920.671.000.170.83
vs Weaker (12)0.920.501.170.330.670.67
Clean sheet %47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Liepaja) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D21W01L10W12L00D01L01L20W21WH·FS 25/10A·BFC02/11A·SUP09/11H·OGR30/06A·BFC04/07A·FS 26/07A·AUS30/07A·TUK02/08A·SUP09/08H·GRO21/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.701.080.540.650.82
vs Stronger (5)0.801.201.501.000.331.33
vs Similar (12)1.080.581.140.431.000.80
vs Weaker (13)0.620.620.750.500.560.67
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Auda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.7%
@ 1.16-2.8%
Under 0.5
23.3%
@ 4.50+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Under
Marathonbet
4.60
1xBet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
William Hil
4.33
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
42.3%
@ 1.83-8.2%
Under 1.5
57.7%
@ 1.86+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.85
Marathonbet
1.84
1xBet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
10Bet
1.77
Under
10Bet
1.93
William Hil
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
Bet365
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
17.3%
@ 3.65-7.9%
Under 2.5
82.7%
@ 1.23+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.70
Marathonbet
3.58
1xBet
3.58
Under
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Auda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
52.8%
@ 1.52-8.2%
Under
47.2%
@ 2.37+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.52
Under
1xBet
2.37
Auda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
18.0%
@ 3.45-8.5%
Under
82.0%
@ 1.25+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.40
Under
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.23
Auda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.5%
@ 9.50-5.2%
Under
95.5%
@ 1.01+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.50
Under
1xBet
1.01
FK Liepaja over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
47.8%
@ 1.77-3.9%
Under
52.2%
@ 1.90+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.78
1xBet
1.77
Under
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.86
FK Liepaja over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.1%
@ 5.03-4.1%
Under
85.9%
@ 1.11+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.25
1xBet
4.80
Under
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
FK Liepaja over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.2%1.02
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
---+6.7%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals97.7%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.4%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.3%1.02
Bet365
1.02
----+6.1%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals95.5%1.01
1xBet
1.01
----+5.2%✓ Hit
Under 5.594.8%1.05
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Unibet
1.01
--+5.6%✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals93.2%1.07
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
---+6.6%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals90.5%1.05
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.03
---+3.5%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals89.8%1.10
Betfair
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
BetVictor
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
+6.4%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals89.7%1.09
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.06
--+5.5%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap89.1%1.08
Bet365
1.08
----+3.0%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals87.9%1.14
1xBet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
---+7.1%✓ Hit
Under 4.587.2%1.16
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Unibet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
+7.7%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals85.9%1.11
1xBet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.10
---+4.1%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals82.7%1.23
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
1xBet
1.21
-+7.9%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals82.0%1.25
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.23
---+8.5%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals80.4%1.27
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.22
--+7.5%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals78.1%1.14
10Bet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
---2.6%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals76.7%1.16
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.18
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
--2.8%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap76.7%1.25
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.22
--+7.1%✓ Hit
Over 1.575.2%1.17
Betfair
1.20
Unibet
1.20
10Bet
1.18
BetVictor
1.18
Bet365
1.17
-3.2%✗ Miss
Home or Draw73.2%1.26
Betfair
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.26
+0.7%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap73.2%1.23
Marathonbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.20
--+3.5%✓ Hit
Under 3.572.8%1.44
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Betfair
1.47
Pinnacle
1.46
Superbet
1.45
+9.0%✓ Hit
Home or Away72.0%1.22
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.26
Superbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
-2.6%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (27)
€16m
RF (29)
€11m
AUD (25)
€6m
FL (21)
€5m
OU (27)
€3m
SN (24)
€3m
GRO (25)
€3m
FJ (23)
€3m
BD (21)
€3m
TUK (20)
€2m
Auda's squad is €1m more valuable than FK Liepaja's (€6m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (10)
€7m
RF (15)
€6m
AUD (11)
€3m
FL (7)
€2m
OU (12)
€2m
GRO (10)
€1m
SN (8)
€1m
FJ (8)
€1m
TUK (7)
€1m
BD (7)
€1m
Auda and FK Liepaja have a similar attack value (both €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (5)
€3m
RF (4)
€2m
SN (6)
€1m
FL (4)
€1m
BD (6)
€1m
OU (4)
€1m
GRO (6)
€1m
FJ (5)
€0m
AUD (3)
€0m
TUK (3)
€0m
Auda and FK Liepaja have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (12)
€6m
RF (10)
€3m
AUD (11)
€3m
FL (10)
€2m
FJ (10)
€1m
GRO (9)
€1m
TUK (10)
€1m
OU (11)
€1m
BD (8)
€1m
SN (10)
€1m
Auda and FK Liepaja have a similar defence value (both €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
AUD wins
2
Draws
4
FL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Auda vs FK Liepaja · H/A from AUD
DateH/AGameScore
20/10/25HAUD Vs FK Liepaja1-2
27/07/25AFK Liepaja Vs AUD2-0
24/05/25AFK Liepaja Vs AUD0-0
09/04/25HAUD Vs FK Liepaja3-0
05/10/24AFK Liepaja Vs AUD2-1
21/07/24HAUD Vs FK Liepaja2-0
19/05/24HAUD Vs FK Liepaja1-1
09/04/24AFK Liepaja Vs AUD1-0

AudaAuda

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26HAUD Vs Tukums3-0
13/08/26ADinamo Tirana Vs AUD4-0
09/08/26AFS Jelgava Vs AUD0-1
04/08/26HAUD Vs Dinamo Tirana1-0
26/07/26HAUD Vs BFC Daugavpils1-0
04/07/26ARīgas FS Vs AUD1-1
29/06/26HAUD Vs Riga0-2
09/11/25AGrobiņa Vs AUD2-2
02/11/25HAUD Vs Tukums0-1
26/10/25AMetta / LU Vs AUD3-2

FK LiepajaFK Liepaja

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
21/08/26HFL Vs Grobiņa3-1
09/08/26ASuper Nova Vs FL1-2
02/08/26ATukums Vs FL2-1
30/07/26AAustria Vienna Vs FL3-1
26/07/26AFS Jelgava Vs FL0-2
04/07/26ABFC Daugavpils Vs FL3-1
30/06/26HFL Vs Ogre United4-0
09/11/25ASuper Nova Vs FL3-0
02/11/25ABFC Daugavpils Vs FL1-2
25/10/25HFL Vs FS Jelgava2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Auda
Auda
Latvia: Virsliga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLW1.50
HomeLLWWW1.76
AwayLDDWL1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%56%32%
AVG goals2.562.602.52
Over 1.5 %68%72%64%
Over 2.5 %48%48%48%
Over 3.5 %28%28%28%
Scored1.361.641.08
Conceded1.200.961.44
BTTS42%36%48%
Clean Sheet36%48%24%
Corners1.00-1.00
Cards0.00-0.00
FK Liepaja
FK Liepaja
Latvia: Virsliga
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLWW1.68
HomeWDDWW1.95
AwayLWLLW1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%55%46%
AVG goals3.183.273.11
Over 1.5 %84%82%86%
Over 2.5 %70%68%71%
Over 3.5 %42%50%36%
Scored1.682.051.39
Conceded1.501.231.71
BTTS60%59%61%
Clean Sheet24%36%14%
Corners11.00-11.00
Cards4.00-4.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Rīgas FSRīgas FS717
71%
2.4
186+12
3.4
71%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
6232.60.9
-
2RigaRiga716
71%
2.3
218+13
4.1
100%
86%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7363.01.1
-
3FK LiepajaFK Liepaja815
62%
1.9
1610+6
3.2
88%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.01.2
-
4AudaAuda714
57%
2.0
84+4
1.7
57%
14%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3031.10.6
-
5BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils813
50%
1.6
127+5
2.4
62%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.50.9
-
6Super NovaSuper Nova68
33%
1.3
76+1
2.2
83%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.0
-
7GrobiņaGrobiņa77
29%
1.0
818-10
3.7
86%
71%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.12.6
-
8FS JelgavaFS Jelgava76
29%
0.9
812-4
2.9
71%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.11.7
-
9Ogre UnitedOgre United74
14%
0.6
721-14
4.0
100%
100%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.03.0
-
10TukumsTukums83
12%
0.4
619-13
3.1
88%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.82.4
-
Latvia: Virsliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: Virsliga stats & trends →

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