PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Auda vs Grobiņa Result & Analysis

Date: 24/04/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Auda
Auda
Vs
74%
19%
7%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Grobiņa
Grobiņa
Latvia: Virsliga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Auda win✓ Hit
73.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
18.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Grobiņa win✗ Miss
7.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AudaAuda

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W50W12L22D10W20W12L30W10W20WA·TUK03/11H·MET09/11H·RĪG05/03A·RIG10/03H·SUP16/03H·FS 30/03A·BFC04/04H·FK 09/04A·MET13/04H·TUK18/04
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.830.671.760.411.921.00
vs Stronger (4)1.751.751.502.002.001.50
vs Similar (16)1.440.691.440.221.431.29
vs Weaker (10)2.500.202.330.172.750.25
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Grobiņa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrobiņaGrobiņa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L02L11D32W14L24L02L11D14L03LH·RĪG03/11A·FS 09/11H·FS 06/03H·BFC11/03A·FK 16/03H·MET30/03A·TUK05/04A·SUP10/04H·RĪG15/04A·RIG19/04
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.972.471.572.570.442.38
vs Stronger (9)0.333.670.504.000.203.40
vs Similar (14)1.291.932.331.830.502.00
vs Weaker (7)1.142.001.502.250.671.67
Clean sheet %13% (-15pp vs league)
This opponent (Auda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%8%017%125%222%315%48%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
75.5%
Under 1.5
24.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
50.1%
Under 2.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.1%
Under 3.5
71.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
37.4%
No
62.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0 ✓
15.8%
1-0
13.9%
3-0
11.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-1
8.5%
0-0
7.7%
3-1
6.0%
4-0
6.0%
Auda goals ↓
Grobiņa goals →
01234
07.7%2.9%1.0%0.2%0.0%
114%8.7%2.1%0.4%0.1%
216%8.5%2.3%0.4%0.1%
311%6.0%1.6%0.3%0.0%
46.0%3.2%0.9%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Auda goals (down), columns = Grobiņa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Riga
2.44
Rīgas FS
2.42
FK Liepaja
1.69
BFC Daugavpils
1.33
Auda
1.25
FS Jelgava
1.06
Tukums
1.00
Grobiņa
0.95
Super Nova
0.89
Metta / LU
0.86
JDFS Alberts
0.50
Auda is 0.30 points better than Grobiņa in terms of average points per game (1.25 vs 0.95).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Rīgas FS
2.78
Riga
2.36
FK Liepaja
1.64
BFC Daugavpils
1.44
Super Nova
1.22
Auda
1.22
FS Jelgava
1.08
Metta / LU
1.08
Tukums
1.08
Grobiņa
0.89
JDFS Alberts
0.00
Auda is 0.33 goals better than Grobiņa in terms of goals scored per game (1.22 vs 0.89).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
JDFS Alberts
0.50
Riga
0.72
Rīgas FS
1.08
FS Jelgava
1.28
Auda
1.36
FK Liepaja
1.53
Super Nova
1.56
Grobiņa
1.68
BFC Daugavpils
1.72
Tukums
1.75
Metta / LU
2.06
Auda is 0.32 goals better than Grobiņa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.36 vs 1.68).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AudaAuda

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W20W02L00D00D10W01L10W10W10WA·TUK03/11H·MET09/11H·RĪG05/03A·RIG10/03H·SUP16/03H·FS 30/03A·BFC04/04H·FK 09/04A·MET13/04H·TUK18/04
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.370.710.290.620.46
vs Stronger (4)0.251.000.501.500.000.50
vs Similar (16)0.500.440.670.220.290.71
vs Weaker (10)1.100.000.830.001.500.00
Clean sheet %67% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Grobiņa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrobiņaGrobiņa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D01L01L13L22D02L11D01L00DH·RĪG03/11A·FS 09/11H·FS 06/03H·BFC11/03A·FK 16/03H·MET30/03A·TUK05/04A·SUP10/04H·RĪG15/04A·RIG19/04
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.130.641.360.380.94
vs Stronger (9)0.221.220.252.000.200.60
vs Similar (14)0.571.000.670.830.501.12
vs Weaker (7)0.711.291.001.500.331.00
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Auda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Auda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Auda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Auda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grobiņa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grobiņa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grobiņa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AudaAuda

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W10W22D10W10W11D20W00D10WA·TUK03/11H·MET09/11H·RĪG05/03A·RIG10/03H·SUP16/03H·FS 30/03A·BFC04/04H·FK 09/04A·MET13/04H·TUK18/04
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.301.060.121.310.54
vs Stronger (4)1.500.751.000.502.001.00
vs Similar (16)0.940.250.780.001.140.57
vs Weaker (10)1.400.201.500.171.250.25
Clean sheet %73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Grobiņa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

GrobiņaGrobiņa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L10W31W01L02L00D00D13L03LH·RĪG03/11A·FS 09/11H·FS 06/03H·BFC11/03A·FK 16/03H·MET30/03A·TUK05/04A·SUP10/04H·RĪG15/04A·RIG19/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.330.931.210.061.44
vs Stronger (9)0.112.440.252.000.002.80
vs Similar (14)0.710.931.671.000.000.88
vs Weaker (7)0.430.710.500.750.330.67
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Auda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Auda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Auda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Auda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grobiņa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grobiņa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Grobiņa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.575.5%-------✓ Hit
Home win73.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.9%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (27)
€16m
RF (29)
€11m
AUD (25)
€6m
FL (21)
€5m
SN (24)
€3m
GRO (25)
€3m
FJ (23)
€3m
BD (21)
€3m
TUK (20)
€2m
M/L (4)
€0m
JA (1)
€0m
Auda's squad is €3m more valuable than Grobiņa's (€6m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (10)
€7m
RF (15)
€6m
AUD (11)
€3m
FL (7)
€2m
GRO (10)
€1m
SN (8)
€1m
FJ (8)
€1m
TUK (7)
€1m
BD (7)
€1m
M/L (1)
€0m
JA (0)
€0m
Auda's attack is €2m more valuable than Grobiņa's (€3m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (5)
€3m
RF (4)
€2m
SN (6)
€1m
FL (4)
€1m
BD (6)
€1m
GRO (6)
€1m
FJ (5)
€0m
AUD (3)
€0m
TUK (3)
€0m
M/L (1)
€0m
JA (0)
€0m
Auda and Grobiņa have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RIG (12)
€6m
RF (10)
€3m
AUD (11)
€3m
FL (10)
€2m
FJ (10)
€1m
GRO (9)
€1m
TUK (10)
€1m
BD (8)
€1m
SN (10)
€1m
M/L (2)
€0m
JA (1)
€0m
Auda's defence is €1m more valuable than Grobiņa's (€3m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
1
AUD wins
2
Draws
1
GRO wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Auda vs Grobiņa · H/A from AUD
DateH/AGameScore
22/09/24HAUD Vs Grobiņa2-0
02/07/24HAUD Vs Grobiņa0-1
11/05/24AGrobiņa Vs AUD2-2
31/03/24AGrobiņa Vs AUD1-1

AudaAuda

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/04/25HAUD Vs Tukums2-0
13/04/25AMetta / LU Vs AUD0-1
09/04/25HAUD Vs FK Liepaja3-0
04/04/25ABFC Daugavpils Vs AUD2-1
30/03/25HAUD Vs FS Jelgava2-0
16/03/25HAUD Vs Super Nova1-0
10/03/25ARiga Vs AUD2-2
05/03/25HAUD Vs Rīgas FS1-2
09/11/24HAUD Vs Metta / LU5-0
03/11/24ATukums Vs AUD0-3

GrobiņaGrobiņa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/04/25ARiga Vs GRO3-0
15/04/25HGRO Vs Rīgas FS1-4
10/04/25ASuper Nova Vs GRO1-1
05/04/25ATukums Vs GRO2-0
30/03/25HGRO Vs Metta / LU2-4
16/03/25AFK Liepaja Vs GRO4-1
11/03/25HGRO Vs BFC Daugavpils3-2
06/03/25HGRO Vs FS Jelgava1-1
09/11/24AFS Jelgava Vs GRO2-0
03/11/24HGRO Vs Rīgas FS0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Auda
Auda
Latvia: Virsliga
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.82
HomeLWWWW1.96
AwayWWDLW1.67
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%62%50%
AVG goals2.522.352.71
Over 1.5 %72%73%71%
Over 2.5 %52%38%67%
Over 3.5 %24%19%29%
Scored1.681.691.67
Conceded0.840.651.04
BTTS44%31%58%
Clean Sheet42%58%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Grobiņa
Grobiņa
Latvia: Virsliga
Recent: 1 Wins / 2 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDLL0.96
HomeLDWLL1.12
AwayLLLDL0.81
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%33%19%
AVG goals3.183.582.81
Over 1.5 %90%92%88%
Over 2.5 %60%71%50%
Over 3.5 %36%50%23%
Scored1.121.460.81
Conceded2.062.122.00
BTTS52%62%42%
Clean Sheet16%17%15%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1RigaRiga3688
75%
2.4
8526+59
3.1
81%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
16
7362.40.7
-
2Rīgas FSRīgas FS3687
78%
2.4
10039+61
3.9
78%
72%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
6232.81.1
-
3FK LiepajaFK Liepaja3661
50%
1.7
5955+4
3.2
83%
69%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.61.5
-
4BFC DaugavpilsBFC Daugavpils3648
36%
1.3
5262-10
3.2
78%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.7
-
5AudaAuda3645
36%
1.2
4449-5
2.6
67%
44%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
3031.21.4
-
6FS JelgavaFS Jelgava3638
22%
1.1
3946-7
2.4
69%
39%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1011.11.3
-
7TukumsTukums3636
25%
1.0
3963-24
2.8
75%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.8
-
8GrobiņaGrobiņa3836
24%
0.9
3464-30
2.6
68%
37%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1110.91.7
-
9Super NovaSuper Nova3632
17%
0.9
4456-12
2.8
81%
50%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.6
-
10Metta / LUMetta / LU3631
22%
0.9
3974-35
3.1
78%
58%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.1
-
11JDFS AlbertsJDFS Alberts21
0%
0.5
01-1
0.5
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.5
-
Latvia: Virsliga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: Virsliga stats & trends →

← all matches