Auda vs Super Nova Result & Analysis

Date: 29/08/2026

Time: 16:00

Final 1-1

Auda

57%

26%

17%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Super Nova

Latvia: Virsliga

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

Auda are tipped to lift the win as the model’s favourite result, with a 57% chance of triumph. The expected total of 2.6 goals points to a moderate scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.4% probability. Home side Auda, playing at home against a weaker opponent, averages 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, while Super Nova, on the road to a stronger side, averages 1.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded. The match carries a 57% home win, 26% draw and 17% away win probability. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.0%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.9%), Under 6.5 (98.4%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.2%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (96.6%), Under 5.5 (95.4%), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (95.2%).

Results analysis

The pre-match favourite, a home win for Auda, failed to materialise as the match finished 1-1, a draw that extended both sides’ recent streaks. The model had given Auda a 57% chance of victory, yet the outcome was a draw. The model’s call was therefore wrong. Every suggested pick was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.5%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.1%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 98.9%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.4%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.3%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 96.1%, Under 5.5 hit at 95.4%, and Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 95.2%. The match delivered a balanced 1-1 scoreline, confirming the model’s predictions on total goals and half-time figures, but not on the outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Auda win✗ Miss

56.5%

Avg Implied 64.5% · @ 1.40

Edge

-8.0%

Best 5 market prices

Superbet

1.43

Dafabet

1.42

Pinnacle

1.42

Betano

1.42

Unibet

1.41

Draw✓ Hit

26.0%

Avg Implied 21.1% · @ 4.26

Edge

+4.9%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

4.51

Dafabet

4.50

BetVictor

4.40

Betfair

4.40

1xBet

4.30

Super Nova win✗ Miss

17.4%

Avg Implied 14.3% · @ 6.29

Edge

+3.1%

Best 5 market prices

BetVictor

7.00

1xBet

6.93

Marathonbet

6.65

Pinnacle

6.54

Bet365

6.50

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Auda

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.0

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

1.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.03	1.40	1.13	1.13	0.93	1.67
vs Stronger (6)	0.33	2.33	0.33	2.00	0.33	2.67
vs Similar (13)	0.92	1.31	1.14	1.00	0.67	1.67
vs Weaker (11)	1.55	1.00	1.60	0.80	1.50	1.17
Clean sheet %	30% (+2pp vs league)

This opponent (Super Nova) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Super Nova

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.4

Avg scored

1.3

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.17	1.43	1.17	1.28	1.17	1.67
vs Stronger (13)	1.31	2.23	1.25	2.25	1.40	2.20
vs Similar (17)	1.06	0.82	1.10	0.50	1.00	1.29
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	27% (-2pp vs league)

This opponent (Auda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

73.7%

@ 1.19-4.0%

Under 1.5

26.3%

@ 4.12+4.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.22

Betfair

1.20

BetVictor

1.20

Superbet

1.17

1xBet

1.16

Under

Betfair

4.50

Marathonbet

4.15

1xBet

4.15

BetVictor

4.10

Bet365

4.00

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

47.2%

@ 1.64-9.2%

Under 2.5

52.8%

@ 2.12+9.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.70

Pinnacle

1.67

BetVictor

1.66

Marathonbet

1.64

1xBet

1.64

Under

Betfair

2.20

Unibet

2.18

Pinnacle

2.16

1xBet

2.10

Bet365

2.10

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

25.6%

@ 2.61-9.8%

Under 3.5

74.4%

@ 1.43+9.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

2.75

Bet365

2.75

Pinnacle

2.67

Betfair

2.63

1xBet

2.56

Under

Unibet

1.47

Betfair

1.47

Pinnacle

1.44

Superbet

1.42

Marathonbet

1.40

Both teams to scoreActual: Yes

Yes

48.2%

@ 1.81-2.6%

51.8%

@ 1.87+2.6%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Bet365

1.91

BetVictor

1.83

Betfair

1.83

Superbet

1.83

Marathonbet

1.81

Unibet

1.91

Betfair

1.91

William Hil

1.91

Superbet

1.88

1xBet

1.86

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1 ✓

12.4%@ 7.65+6.8%

1-0

12.0%@ 6.47+5.5%

2-0

11.3%@ 6.44+4.6%

2-1

9.6%@ 7.19+3.7%

0-0

8.8%@ 12.56+5.4%

3-0

6.4%@ 9.04+1.7%

3-1

5.5%@ 10.13+1.3%

0-1

5.5%@ 16.36+2.9%

Auda goals ↓

	Super Nova goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.8%	5.5%	2.8%	0.8%	0.2%
1	12%	12%	4.8%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11%	9.6%	4.1%	1.2%	0.2%
3	6.4%	5.5%	2.3%	0.7%	0.1%
4	2.7%	2.3%	1.0%	0.3%	0.1%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Auda goals (down), columns = Super Nova goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Rīgas FS

2.43

Riga

2.29

Auda

2.00

FK Liepaja

1.88

BFC Daugavpils

1.62

Super Nova

1.33

Grobiņa

1.00

FS Jelgava

0.86

Ogre United

0.57

Tukums

0.38

Auda is 0.67 points better than Super Nova in terms of average points per game (2.00 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Riga

3.00

Rīgas FS

2.57

FK Liepaja

2.00

BFC Daugavpils

1.50

Super Nova

1.17

Grobiņa

1.14

FS Jelgava

1.14

Auda

1.14

Ogre United

1.00

Tukums

0.75

Auda is 0.02 goals worse than Super Nova in terms of goals scored per game (1.14 vs 1.17).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Auda

0.57

Rīgas FS

0.86

BFC Daugavpils

0.88

Super Nova

1.00

Riga

1.14

FK Liepaja

1.25

FS Jelgava

1.71

Tukums

2.38

Grobiņa

2.57

Ogre United

3.00

Auda is 0.43 goals better than Super Nova in terms of goals conceded per game (0.57 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Auda or Draw✓ Hit

82.6%

Avg Implied 85.2% · @ 1.07

Edge

-2.6%

57%

26%

17%

covers Auda + Draw

Best 5 market prices

BetVictor

1.11

Betano

1.11

William Hil

1.10

Superbet

1.08

Bet365

1.07

Auda or Super Nova✗ Miss

74.0%

Avg Implied 79.6% · @ 1.15

Edge

-5.6%

57%

26%

17%

covers Auda + Super Nova

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.20

Betano

1.18

Bet365

1.17

Superbet

1.14

Marathonbet

1.14

Draw or Super Nova✓ Hit

43.5%

Avg Implied 35.3% · @ 2.59

Edge

+8.2%

57%

26%

17%

covers Draw + Super Nova

Best 5 market prices

Betfair

2.80

Bet365

2.75

BetVictor

2.75

1xBet

2.62

William Hil

2.62

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Auda over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

81.9%

@ 1.08-4.2%

Under

18.1%

@ 6.70+4.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.10

1xBet

1.07

Under

1xBet

6.90

Bet365

6.50

Auda over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

51.0%

@ 1.48-11.2%

Under

49.0%

@ 2.44+11.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.53

Pinnacle

1.51

Marathonbet

1.48

1xBet

1.48

Unibet

1.42

Under

Pinnacle

2.51

1xBet

2.46

Unibet

2.43

Marathonbet

2.40

Bet365

2.38

Auda over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

24.5%

@ 2.50-12.1%

Under

75.5%

@ 1.45+12.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.62

1xBet

2.55

Marathonbet

2.51

Unibet

2.33

Under

Unibet

1.46

1xBet

1.45

Marathonbet

1.44

Bet365

1.44

Auda over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

9.5%

@ 5.00-9.0%

Under

90.5%

@ 1.13+9.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.00

Bet365

5.00

Under

Bet365

1.14

1xBet

1.12

Super Nova over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

57.4%

@ 1.64+1.4%

Under

42.6%

@ 2.09-1.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.73

Pinnacle

1.68

1xBet

1.63

Marathonbet

1.62

Unibet

1.54

Under

Unibet

2.15

Pinnacle

2.14

Marathonbet

2.08

1xBet

2.08

Bet365

2.00

Super Nova over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

21.1%

@ 4.15-1.2%

Under

78.9%

@ 1.19+1.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

4.33

Marathonbet

4.33

1xBet

3.80

Under

1xBet

1.21

Bet365

1.20

Marathonbet

1.16

Super Nova over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

5.5%

@ 10.00-3.8%

Under

94.5%

@ 1.03+3.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

10.00

Under

Bet365

1.03

Super Nova over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

1.1%

@ 21.00-98.9%

Under

98.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

21.00

Under

No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Auda, so a minus line means Auda give that many goals of a start and Super Nova receive them. At -1, Auda must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Auda win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Auda)Actual: Super Nova

Auda -2

14.4%

@ 3.61-9.6%

Draw -2

17.8%

@ 4.03-3.7%

Super Nova +2

67.8%

@ 1.59+13.3%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

3.84

Bet365

3.75

Unibet

3.25

Draw

Marathonbet

4.35

Bet365

4.33

Unibet

3.40

Away

Bet365

1.67

Marathonbet

1.58

Unibet

1.53

Handicap -1 (Auda)Actual: Super Nova

Auda -1

32.2%

@ 2.09-9.4%

Draw -1

24.3%

@ 3.48-0.7%

Super Nova +1

43.5%

@ 2.60+10.1%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

2.20

Marathonbet

2.12

Betfair

2.10

Unibet

1.95

Draw

Bet365

3.75

Marathonbet

3.55

Betfair

3.50

Unibet

3.10

Away

Betfair

2.80

Bet365

2.62

Marathonbet

2.62

Unibet

2.38

Handicap +1 (Auda)Actual: Auda

Auda +1

82.6%

@ 1.11-1.6%

Draw +1

11.6%

@ 9.00+1.2%

Super Nova -1

5.9%

@ 17.00+0.4%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.11

Draw

Bet365

9.00

Away

Bet365

17.00

Handicap +2 (Auda)Actual: Auda

Auda +2

94.1%

@ 1.02+0.6%

Draw +2

4.5%

@ 21.00-0.1%

Super Nova -2

1.4%

@ 51.00-0.5%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.02

Draw

Bet365

21.00

Away

Bet365

51.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Auda

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.0

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.50	0.57	0.47	0.47	0.53	0.67
vs Stronger (6)	0.00	1.00	0.00	1.33	0.00	0.67
vs Similar (13)	0.46	0.46	0.43	0.14	0.50	0.83
vs Weaker (11)	0.82	0.45	0.80	0.40	0.83	0.50
Clean sheet %	57% (+28pp vs league)

This opponent (Super Nova) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Super Nova

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

0.7

Avg scored

0.4

Avg conceded

0.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.47	0.70	0.50	0.50	0.42	1.00
vs Stronger (13)	0.62	1.08	0.62	0.88	0.60	1.40
vs Similar (17)	0.35	0.41	0.40	0.20	0.29	0.71
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	53% (+25pp vs league)

This opponent (Auda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

67.2%

@ 1.29-4.4%

Under 0.5

32.8%

@ 3.25+4.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.30

Bet365

1.30

BetVictor

1.29

Betfair

1.29

1xBet

1.28

Under

Bet365

3.40

BetVictor

3.30

Betfair

3.25

William Hil

3.25

Marathonbet

3.14

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

31.9%

@ 2.39-6.6%

Under 1.5

68.1%

@ 1.49+6.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

2.50

Bet365

2.50

Pinnacle

2.48

1xBet

2.41

Marathonbet

2.41

Under

Unibet

1.53

BetVictor

1.51

Pinnacle

1.51

Betfair

1.50

Bet365

1.50

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

9.9%

@ 5.83-5.9%

Under 2.5

90.1%

@ 1.10+5.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

6.50

1xBet

5.85

William Hil

5.80

Marathonbet

5.80

Betfair

5.50

Under

Betfair

1.13

William Hil

1.12

Bet365

1.12

BetVictor

1.08

1xBet

1.07

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Auda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

51.3%

@ 1.54-8.8%

Under

48.7%

@ 2.32+8.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

1.57

Pinnacle

1.53

1xBet

1.52

Under

Pinnacle

2.42

1xBet

2.37

Marathonbet

2.16

Auda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

16.4%

@ 3.53-9.5%

Under

83.6%

@ 1.24+9.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

3.66

1xBet

3.40

Under

1xBet

1.26

Marathonbet

1.21

Auda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

3.9%

@ 9.60-5.7%

Under

96.1%

@ 1.01+5.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

9.60

Under

1xBet

1.01

Super Nova over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

34.5%

@ 2.86+2.4%

Under

65.5%

@ 1.35-2.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

2.92

1xBet

2.80

Under

1xBet

1.38

Marathonbet

1.32

Super Nova over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

7.5%

Under

92.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Super Nova over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

0.9%

Under

99.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Auda

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.0

Avg scored

0.5

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.53	0.83	0.67	0.67	0.40	1.00
vs Stronger (6)	0.33	1.33	0.33	0.67	0.33	2.00
vs Similar (13)	0.46	0.85	0.71	0.86	0.17	0.83
vs Weaker (11)	0.73	0.55	0.80	0.40	0.67	0.67
Clean sheet %	47% (+18pp vs league)

This opponent (Super Nova) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Super Nova

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.7

Avg scored

0.9

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.70	0.73	0.67	0.78	0.75	0.67
vs Stronger (13)	0.69	1.15	0.62	1.38	0.80	0.80
vs Similar (17)	0.71	0.41	0.70	0.30	0.71	0.57
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	47% (+18pp vs league)

This opponent (Auda) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

76.4%

@ 1.17-2.4%

Under 0.5

23.6%

@ 4.33+2.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.20

William Hil

1.20

Marathonbet

1.13

1xBet

1.13

Under

Marathonbet

4.50

1xBet

4.50

Bet365

4.33

William Hil

4.00

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

41.1%

@ 1.89-7.7%

Under 1.5

58.9%

@ 1.80+7.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.95

Bet365

1.91

Marathonbet

1.85

1xBet

1.85

Under

Marathonbet

1.83

1xBet

1.83

Bet365

1.80

William Hil

1.75

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

15.2%

@ 3.85-8.6%

Under 2.5

84.8%

@ 1.21+8.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

4.00

William Hil

4.00

1xBet

3.70

Marathonbet

3.68

Under

Bet365

1.22

Marathonbet

1.20

William Hil

1.20

1xBet

1.20

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Auda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

59.2%

@ 1.35-9.1%

Under

40.8%

@ 2.90+9.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.35

Under

1xBet

2.90

Auda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

19.7%

@ 2.62-15.3%

Under

80.3%

@ 1.41+15.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

2.63

1xBet

2.60

Under

1xBet

1.43

Marathonbet

1.39

Auda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

4.8%

@ 6.40-9.5%

Under

95.2%

@ 1.07+9.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

6.40

Under

1xBet

1.07

Super Nova over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

43.0%

@ 2.40+4.6%

Under

57.0%

@ 1.49-4.6%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

2.40

Marathonbet

2.39

Under

1xBet

1.51

Marathonbet

1.47

Super Nova over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

10.9%

@ 9.10+0.8%

Under

89.1%

@ 1.01-0.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

9.50

1xBet

8.70

Under

1xBet

1.02

Marathonbet

1.01

Super Nova over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

1.7%

Under

98.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	99.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	99.1%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	98.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	98.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	+6.2%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	98.3%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	96.1%	1.01	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.7%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	95.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+5.8%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	95.2%	1.07	1xBet 1.07	-	-	-	-	+9.5%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	94.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.8%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	94.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+0.6%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	92.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	90.5%	1.13	Bet365 1.14	1xBet 1.12	-	-	-	+9.0%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	90.1%	1.10	Betfair 1.13	William Hil 1.12	Bet365 1.12	BetVictor 1.08	1xBet 1.07	+5.9%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	89.1%	1.01	1xBet 1.02	Marathonbet 1.01	-	-	-	-0.8%	✓ Hit
Under 4.5	88.3%	1.14	Bet365 1.17	1xBet 1.12	Marathonbet 1.12	-	-	+7.8%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	84.8%	1.21	Bet365 1.22	Marathonbet 1.20	William Hil 1.20	1xBet 1.20	-	+8.6%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	83.6%	1.24	1xBet 1.26	Marathonbet 1.21	-	-	-	+9.5%	✓ Hit
Home or Draw	82.6%	1.07	BetVictor 1.11	Betano 1.11	William Hil 1.10	Superbet 1.08	Bet365 1.07	-2.6%	✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap	82.6%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-1.6%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	81.9%	1.08	Bet365 1.10	1xBet 1.07	-	-	-	-4.2%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	80.3%	1.41	1xBet 1.43	Marathonbet 1.39	-	-	-	+15.3%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals	78.9%	1.19	1xBet 1.21	Bet365 1.20	Marathonbet 1.16	-	-	+1.2%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	76.4%	1.17	Bet365 1.20	William Hil 1.20	Marathonbet 1.13	1xBet 1.13	-	-2.4%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals	75.5%	1.45	Unibet 1.46	1xBet 1.45	Marathonbet 1.44	Bet365 1.44	-	+12.1%	✓ Hit
Under 3.5	74.4%	1.43	Unibet 1.47	Betfair 1.47	Pinnacle 1.44	Superbet 1.42	Marathonbet 1.40	+9.8%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	74.0%	1.15	William Hil 1.20	Betano 1.18	Bet365 1.17	Superbet 1.14	Marathonbet 1.14	-5.6%	✗ Miss
Over 1.5	73.7%	1.19	Bet365 1.22	Betfair 1.20	BetVictor 1.20	Superbet 1.17	1xBet 1.16	-4.0%	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RIG (27)

€16m

RF (29)

€11m

AUD (25)

€6m

FL (21)

€5m

OU (27)

€3m

SN (24)

€3m

GRO (25)

€3m

FJ (23)

€3m

BD (21)

€3m

TUK (20)

€2m

Auda's squad is €3m more valuable than Super Nova's (€6m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RIG (10)

€7m

RF (15)

€6m

AUD (11)

€3m

FL (7)

€2m

OU (12)

€2m

GRO (10)

€1m

SN (8)

€1m

FJ (8)

€1m

TUK (7)

€1m

BD (7)

€1m

Auda's attack is €2m more valuable than Super Nova's (€3m vs €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RIG (5)

€3m

RF (4)

€2m

SN (6)

€1m

FL (4)

€1m

BD (6)

€1m

OU (4)

€1m

GRO (6)

€1m

FJ (5)

€0m

AUD (3)

€0m

TUK (3)

€0m

Auda and Super Nova have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

RIG (12)

€6m

RF (10)

€3m

AUD (11)

€3m

FL (10)

€2m

FJ (10)

€1m

GRO (9)

€1m

TUK (10)

€1m

OU (11)

€1m

BD (8)

€1m

SN (10)

€1m

Auda's defence is €2m more valuable than Super Nova's (€3m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings

AUD wins

Draws

SN wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Auda vs Super Nova · H/A from AUD

Date	H/A	Game	Score
22/09/25	H	AUD Vs Super Nova	3-2
01/07/25	A	Super Nova Vs AUD	0-1
11/05/25	A	Super Nova Vs AUD	1-1
16/03/25	H	AUD Vs Super Nova	1-0
02/09/23	H	AUD Vs Super Nova	1-0
25/06/23	A	Super Nova Vs AUD	0-5
02/05/23	A	Super Nova Vs AUD	0-2
11/03/23	H	AUD Vs Super Nova	2-0

Auda

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
25/08/26	H	AUD Vs FK Liepaja	1-0
21/08/26	H	AUD Vs Tukums	3-0
13/08/26	A	Dinamo Tirana Vs AUD	4-0
09/08/26	A	FS Jelgava Vs AUD	0-1
04/08/26	H	AUD Vs Dinamo Tirana	1-0
26/07/26	H	AUD Vs BFC Daugavpils	1-0
04/07/26	A	Rīgas FS Vs AUD	1-1
29/06/26	H	AUD Vs Riga	0-2
09/11/25	A	Grobiņa Vs AUD	2-2
02/11/25	H	AUD Vs Tukums	0-1

Super Nova

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
22/08/26	H	SN Vs BFC Daugavpils	0-0
09/08/26	H	SN Vs FK Liepaja	1-2
20/07/26	H	SN Vs Grobiņa	2-0
06/07/26	H	SN Vs Ogre United	1-2
01/07/26	A	Tukums Vs SN	1-2
09/11/25	H	SN Vs FK Liepaja	3-0
02/11/25	H	SN Vs Rīgas FS	1-3
25/10/25	A	BFC Daugavpils Vs SN	2-2
18/10/25	A	Grobiņa Vs SN	0-0
04/10/25	H	SN Vs FS Jelgava	1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Auda

Latvia: Virsliga

Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WWLWW	1.50
Home	LWWWW	1.81
Away	LDDWL	1.17

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	44%	58%	29%
AVG goals	2.52	2.54	2.50
Over 1.5 %	66%	69%	62%
Over 2.5 %	46%	46%	46%
Over 3.5 %	28%	27%	29%
Scored	1.34	1.62	1.04
Conceded	1.18	0.92	1.46
BTTS	40%	35%	46%
Clean Sheet	38%	50%	25%
Corners	1.00	-	1.00
Cards	0.00	-	0.00

Super Nova

Latvia: Virsliga

Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WLWLD	1.26
Home	WLWLD	1.32
Away	LLDDW	1.20

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	32%	32%	32%
AVG goals	2.76	2.76	2.76
Over 1.5 %	82%	80%	84%
Over 2.5 %	52%	48%	56%
Over 3.5 %	28%	28%	28%
Scored	1.48	1.48	1.48
Conceded	1.28	1.28	1.28
BTTS	56%	60%	52%
Clean Sheet	32%	36%	28%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Rīgas FS	7	17	71%	2.4	18	6	+12	3.4	71%	57%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	11	6	2	3	2.6	0.9	-
2	Riga	7	16	71%	2.3	21	8	+13	4.1	100%	86%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	16	7	3	6	3.0	1.1	-
3	FK Liepaja	8	15	62%	1.9	16	10	+6	3.2	88%	75%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	2	1	2	2.0	1.2	-
4	Auda	7	14	57%	2.0	8	4	+4	1.7	57%	14%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	6	3	0	3	1.1	0.6	-
5	BFC Daugavpils	8	13	50%	1.6	12	7	+5	2.4	62%	50%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.5	0.9	-
6	Super Nova	6	8	33%	1.3	7	6	+1	2.2	83%	50%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.2	1.0	-
7	Grobiņa	7	7	29%	1.0	8	18	-10	3.7	86%	71%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.1	2.6	-
8	FS Jelgava	7	6	29%	0.9	8	12	-4	2.9	71%	57%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	0	1	1.1	1.7	-
9	Ogre United	7	4	14%	0.6	7	21	-14	4.0	100%	100%	71%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	2	1	1	1.0	3.0	-
10	Tukums	8	3	12%	0.4	6	19	-13	3.1	88%	75%	38%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	0.8	2.4	-

Latvia: Virsliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Latvia: Virsliga stats & trends →

← all matches

Auda vs Super Nova Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Auda

Super Nova

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Auda

Super Nova

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Auda

Super Nova

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Auda

Super Nova

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature