This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Vienna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.24
1.88
1.15
1.31
1.33
2.50
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
3.00
0.25
2.25
0.33
4.00
vs Similar (11)
1.36
1.36
1.00
0.60
1.67
2.00
vs Weaker (7)
2.00
1.57
2.25
1.25
1.67
2.00
Clean sheet %
16% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Lustenau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
85.9%
Under 1.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
65.3%
Under 2.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
43.4%
Under 3.5
56.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
67.2%
No
32.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
2-2
6.9%
0-2
5.2%
0-1
5.0%
1-3
4.9%
1-0 ✓
4.6%
Austria Lustenau goals ↓
Austria Vienna goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.4%
5.0%
5.2%
3.0%
1.3%
1
4.6%
11%
8.5%
4.9%
2.1%
2
4.6%
7.9%
6.9%
4.0%
1.7%
3
2.5%
4.3%
3.7%
2.2%
0.9%
4
1.0%
1.7%
1.5%
0.9%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Austria Lustenau goals (down), columns = Austria Vienna goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Red Bull Salzburg
2.41
Sturm Graz
2.06
Lask Linz
1.69
Austria Vienna
1.38
Rapid Vienna
1.31
Wolfsberger AC
1.30
Austria Lustenau
1.29
Austria Klagenfurt
1.19
WSG Wattens
1.19
TSV Hartberg
1.03
SCR Altach
0.88
Ried
0.72
Austria Lustenau is 0.10 points worse than Austria Vienna in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.38).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Red Bull Salzburg
2.09
Austria Vienna
1.79
Sturm Graz
1.78
Lask Linz
1.69
Wolfsberger AC
1.58
Rapid Vienna
1.56
Austria Lustenau
1.49
Austria Klagenfurt
1.41
WSG Wattens
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.22
SCR Altach
0.91
Ried
0.84
Austria Lustenau is 0.31 goals worse than Austria Vienna in terms of goals scored per game (1.49 vs 1.79).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Red Bull Salzburg
0.69
Sturm Graz
0.91
Lask Linz
1.19
Rapid Vienna
1.47
Austria Vienna
1.56
Ried
1.56
Wolfsberger AC
1.58
WSG Wattens
1.66
SCR Altach
1.66
Austria Lustenau
1.74
TSV Hartberg
1.75
Austria Klagenfurt
1.97
Austria Lustenau is 0.18 goals worse than Austria Vienna in terms of goals conceded per game (1.74 vs 1.56).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
56%
Lask Linz
55%
Austria Vienna
53%
Rapid Vienna
52%
Sturm Graz
49%
Wolfsberger AC
49%
WSG Wattens
49%
SCR Altach
49%
Austria Lustenau
48%
TSV Hartberg
47%
Austria Klagenfurt
46%
Ried
46%
Austria Lustenau is 5.2 percentage points worse than Austria Vienna in terms of average possession (48% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Austria Lustenau
For 3.2 · Against 5.8 · Total 9.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.9 · Against 13.7 · Total 28.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Austria Vienna
For 5.8 · Against 5.8 · Total 11.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 12.8 · Total 25.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Austria Lustenau
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (17)
10.1
8.9
11.2
4.4
3.8
4.9
28.0
28.9
27.2
vs Stronger (10)
10.5
8.2
12.8
4.3
3.6
5.0
28.6
28.6
28.6
vs Similar (7)
9.6
10.0
9.2
4.4
4.0
4.8
27.1
29.3
25.5
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
53%
38%
67%
65%
50%
78%
88%
88%
89%
% under line
47%
62%
33%
35%
50%
22%
12%
12%
11%
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Vienna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (25)
10.2
10.2
10.3
3.9
4.2
3.7
24.7
24.2
25.3
vs Stronger (7)
9.0
8.7
9.5
2.9
3.8
1.7
17.2
17.0
17.5
vs Similar (11)
11.5
12.4
10.7
4.3
4.2
4.3
27.6
28.2
27.2
vs Weaker (7)
9.1
8.5
10.0
4.4
4.5
4.3
25.6
24.8
26.7
% over line
61%
58%
64%
52%
62%
42%
74%
75%
73%
% under line
39%
42%
36%
48%
38%
58%
26%
25%
27%
This opponent (Austria Lustenau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wolfsberger AC
11.5
Rapid Vienna
11.2
Lask Linz
10.5
Austria Vienna
10.2
Austria Lustenau
10.1
Ried
10.0
Red Bull Salzburg
9.8
Austria Klagenfurt
9.6
WSG Wattens
9.5
Sturm Graz
9.5
TSV Hartberg
9.1
SCR Altach
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sturm Graz
5.7
SCR Altach
5.1
Austria Klagenfurt
4.8
Austria Lustenau
4.6
Rapid Vienna
4.6
Lask Linz
4.4
TSV Hartberg
4.4
Austria Vienna
4.3
Red Bull Salzburg
4.2
WSG Wattens
4.1
Ried
3.8
Wolfsberger AC
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Austria Lustenau
28.0
Rapid Vienna
27.3
SCR Altach
27.2
Lask Linz
26.3
Austria Klagenfurt
26.2
Sturm Graz
26.0
Wolfsberger AC
25.6
TSV Hartberg
25.1
Austria Vienna
24.7
Ried
24.2
Red Bull Salzburg
23.8
WSG Wattens
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.5%
Under 9.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.9%
Under 3.5
43.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
85.9%
Under 21.5
14.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Austria Lustenau
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.65
0.82
0.88
0.62
0.44
1.00
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
0.80
0.40
0.80
0.40
0.80
vs Similar (7)
1.00
0.86
1.67
0.33
0.50
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
35% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Vienna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.52
0.64
0.38
0.46
0.67
0.83
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.14
0.25
0.75
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (11)
0.55
0.36
0.20
0.00
0.83
0.67
vs Weaker (7)
0.71
0.57
0.75
0.75
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
52% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Lustenau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Austria Lustenau over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Lustenau over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Lustenau over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Austria Lustenau
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.71
1.06
0.88
1.25
0.56
0.89
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.50
0.60
1.80
0.20
1.20
vs Similar (7)
1.14
0.43
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Austria Vienna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.72
1.24
0.77
0.85
0.67
1.67
vs Stronger (7)
0.00
1.86
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.33
vs Similar (11)
0.82
1.00
0.80
0.60
0.83
1.33
vs Weaker (7)
1.29
1.00
1.50
0.50
1.00
1.67
Clean sheet %
28% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Lustenau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Austria Lustenau over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Lustenau over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Lustenau over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
93.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
85.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
76.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Austria Lustenau
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lukas Fridrikas41%
Bryan Silva Teixeira25%
Emrehan Gedikli20%
Yadaly Diaby16%
Michael Cheukoua16%
Anderson16%
Anthony Schmid15%
Darijo Grujcic12%
Stefano Surdanović12%
Nemanja Motika6%
Tobias Berger5%
Adriel5%
Hakim Guenouche3%
Matthias Maak3%
Jean Hugonet3%
Pius Grabher3%
Dániel Tiefenbach0%
Ammar Helac0%
Domenik Schierl0%
Fabian Gmeiner0%
Cem Türkmen0%
Torben Rhein0%
Yuliwes Bellache0%
Henri Koudossou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pius Grabher27%
Lukas Fridrikas25%
Anderson22%
Darijo Grujcic21%
Bryan Silva Teixeira19%
Henri Koudossou17%
Cem Türkmen16%
Stefano Surdanović15%
Yuliwes Bellache14%
Adriel14%
Hakim Guenouche13%
Dániel Tiefenbach13%
Matthias Maak13%
Nemanja Motika11%
Michael Cheukoua11%
Tobias Berger10%
Domenik Schierl9%
Jean Hugonet9%
Fabian Gmeiner7%
Ammar Helac0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Torben Rhein0%
Yadaly Diaby0%
Anthony Schmid0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bryan Silva Teixeira31%
Anderson19%
Lukas Fridrikas19%
Yadaly Diaby12%
Anthony Schmid11%
Hakim Guenouche10%
Stefano Surdanović9%
Darijo Grujcic8%
Torben Rhein8%
Fabian Gmeiner7%
Dániel Tiefenbach7%
Pius Grabher0%
Ammar Helac0%
Domenik Schierl0%
Michael Cheukoua0%
Matthias Maak0%
Adriel0%
Tobias Berger0%
Jean Hugonet0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Cem Türkmen0%
Yuliwes Bellache0%
Nemanja Motika0%
Henri Koudossou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Silva Teixeira12%
Anthony Schmid11%
Tobias Berger10%
Anderson9%
Lukas Fridrikas9%
Yadaly Diaby4%
Jean Hugonet3%
Stefano Surdanović3%
Hakim Guenouche0%
Pius Grabher0%
Darijo Grujcic0%
Dániel Tiefenbach0%
Ammar Helac0%
Domenik Schierl0%
Michael Cheukoua0%
Matthias Maak0%
Fabian Gmeiner0%
Adriel0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Cem Türkmen0%
Torben Rhein0%
Yuliwes Bellache0%
Nemanja Motika0%
Henri Koudossou0%
Austria Vienna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Haris Tabaković34%
Marco Đuričin33%
Andreas Gruber31%
Dominik Fitz21%
Can Keleş17%
Matan Baltaxa12%
Reinhold Ranftl10%
Manfred Fischer10%
Doron Leidner10%
Muharem Husković9%
Aleksandar Jukić9%
Matthias Braunöder8%
Nikola Dovedan5%
Manuel Polster4%
Marvin Martins3%
Christian Früchtl0%
Johannes Handl0%
Matteo Meisl0%
James Holland0%
Lucas Galvão0%
Georg Teigl0%
Lukas Mühl0%
Billy Koumetio0%
Ibrahima Drame0%
Florian Wustinger0%
Romeo Vučić0%
Dario Kreiker0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lucas Galvão35%
Marco Đuričin33%
Dario Kreiker33%
James Holland24%
Matthias Braunöder23%
Marvin Martins20%
Ibrahima Drame20%
Muharem Husković18%
Reinhold Ranftl18%
Dominik Fitz18%
Andreas Gruber17%
Georg Teigl15%
Manuel Polster15%
Manfred Fischer12%
Matan Baltaxa12%
Haris Tabaković11%
Lukas Mühl10%
Doron Leidner10%
Nikola Dovedan9%
Can Keleş4%
Christian Früchtl0%
Johannes Handl0%
Aleksandar Jukić0%
Matteo Meisl0%
Billy Koumetio0%
Florian Wustinger0%
Romeo Vučić0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dominik Fitz24%
Nikola Dovedan23%
Andreas Gruber21%
Muharem Husković18%
Manuel Polster11%
Doron Leidner10%
Aleksandar Jukić9%
Haris Tabaković9%
Matthias Braunöder8%
Marvin Martins6%
Manfred Fischer5%
Georg Teigl5%
James Holland4%
Reinhold Ranftl3%
Christian Früchtl0%
Johannes Handl0%
Matteo Meisl0%
Lucas Galvão0%
Lukas Mühl0%
Marco Đuričin0%
Matan Baltaxa0%
Can Keleş0%
Billy Koumetio0%
Ibrahima Drame0%
Florian Wustinger0%
Romeo Vučić0%
Dario Kreiker0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Haris Tabaković34%
Andreas Gruber21%
Dominik Fitz21%
Manfred Fischer18%
Aleksandar Jukić12%
Nikola Dovedan5%
Can Keleş4%
Manuel Polster4%
Reinhold Ranftl3%
Matthias Braunöder3%
Christian Früchtl0%
Johannes Handl0%
Matteo Meisl0%
James Holland0%
Lucas Galvão0%
Georg Teigl0%
Lukas Mühl0%
Marco Đuričin0%
Marvin Martins0%
Matan Baltaxa0%
Billy Koumetio0%
Ibrahima Drame0%
Doron Leidner0%
Muharem Husković0%
Florian Wustinger0%
Romeo Vučić0%
Dario Kreiker0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
AL (22)
€5m
Austria Lustenau's squad is €18m less valuable than Austria Vienna's (€5m vs €23m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RIE (7)
€2m
Austria Lustenau's attack is €7m less valuable than Austria Vienna's (€2m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
SA (3)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
Austria Lustenau's midfield is €6m less valuable than Austria Vienna's (€1m vs €7m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
AL (9)
€2m
Austria Lustenau's defence is €5m less valuable than Austria Vienna's (€2m vs €7m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
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Red Bull Salzburg
Sturm Graz
Lask Linz
Wolfsberger AC
Rapid Vienna
WSG Wattens
Austria Klagenfurt
TSV Hartberg
SCR Altach
Ried