This opponent (Rapid Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid Vienna
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.26
1.00
1.10
1.10
1.44
0.89
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (6)
1.00
1.83
1.00
1.75
1.00
2.00
vs Weaker (12)
1.42
0.58
1.17
0.67
1.67
0.50
Clean sheet %
32% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Lustenau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.5%
Under 1.5
21.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.9%
Under 2.5
46.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
31.6%
Under 3.5
68.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.6%
No
48.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.2%
0-2
11.1%
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.9%
0-3
7.2%
0-0
6.9%
1-3
6.4%
2-1
4.5%
Austria Lustenau goals ↓
Rapid Vienna goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.9%
10%
11%
7.2%
3.5%
1
4.2%
11%
9.9%
6.4%
3.1%
2
2.3%
4.5%
4.4%
2.9%
1.4%
3
0.7%
1.3%
1.3%
0.8%
0.4%
4
0.2%
0.3%
0.3%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Austria Lustenau goals (down), columns = Rapid Vienna goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Red Bull Salzburg
2.41
Sturm Graz
2.06
Lask Linz
1.69
Austria Vienna
1.38
Rapid Vienna
1.31
Wolfsberger AC
1.30
Austria Lustenau
1.29
Austria Klagenfurt
1.19
WSG Wattens
1.19
TSV Hartberg
1.03
SCR Altach
0.88
Ried
0.72
Austria Lustenau is 0.03 points worse than Rapid Vienna in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.31).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Red Bull Salzburg
2.09
Austria Vienna
1.79
Sturm Graz
1.78
Lask Linz
1.69
Wolfsberger AC
1.58
Rapid Vienna
1.56
Austria Lustenau
1.49
Austria Klagenfurt
1.41
WSG Wattens
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.22
SCR Altach
0.91
Ried
0.84
Austria Lustenau is 0.08 goals worse than Rapid Vienna in terms of goals scored per game (1.49 vs 1.56).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Red Bull Salzburg
0.69
Sturm Graz
0.91
Lask Linz
1.19
Rapid Vienna
1.47
Austria Vienna
1.56
Ried
1.56
Wolfsberger AC
1.58
WSG Wattens
1.66
SCR Altach
1.66
Austria Lustenau
1.74
TSV Hartberg
1.75
Austria Klagenfurt
1.97
Austria Lustenau is 0.27 goals worse than Rapid Vienna in terms of goals conceded per game (1.74 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
56%
Lask Linz
55%
Austria Vienna
53%
Rapid Vienna
52%
Sturm Graz
49%
Wolfsberger AC
49%
WSG Wattens
49%
SCR Altach
49%
Austria Lustenau
48%
TSV Hartberg
47%
Austria Klagenfurt
46%
Ried
46%
Austria Lustenau is 4.0 percentage points worse than Rapid Vienna in terms of average possession (48% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Austria Lustenau
For 4.0 · Against 5.3 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 14.0 · Total 26.6
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rapid Vienna
For 7.2 · Against 5.1 · Total 12.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 1.6 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 13.9 · Total 28.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Austria Lustenau
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (13)
10.5
8.7
12.0
4.1
3.3
4.7
27.1
27.2
27.0
vs Stronger (8)
10.1
6.8
13.5
4.4
3.8
5.0
29.8
30.2
29.2
vs Similar (5)
11.0
12.5
10.0
3.6
2.5
4.3
22.8
21.0
24.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
54%
33%
71%
62%
50%
71%
85%
83%
86%
% under line
46%
67%
29%
38%
50%
29%
15%
17%
14%
This opponent (Rapid Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid Vienna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (19)
11.3
12.9
9.4
4.7
5.1
4.3
28.3
31.9
24.3
vs Stronger (1)
17.0
-
17.0
4.0
-
4.0
22.0
-
22.0
vs Similar (6)
11.5
14.0
6.5
5.2
5.8
4.0
34.3
38.0
27.0
vs Weaker (12)
10.7
12.2
9.2
4.6
4.7
4.5
25.8
27.8
23.8
% over line
63%
90%
33%
68%
60%
78%
95%
100%
89%
% under line
37%
10%
67%
32%
40%
22%
5%
0%
11%
This opponent (Austria Lustenau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Wolfsberger AC
11.4
Rapid Vienna
11.3
Lask Linz
10.7
Austria Lustenau
10.5
Ried
10.4
WSG Wattens
10.0
TSV Hartberg
9.9
Red Bull Salzburg
9.7
Sturm Graz
9.6
Austria Vienna
9.6
SCR Altach
9.2
Austria Klagenfurt
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Sturm Graz
6.3
SCR Altach
5.0
Austria Klagenfurt
4.8
Rapid Vienna
4.7
Lask Linz
4.5
Austria Vienna
4.5
Austria Lustenau
4.4
WSG Wattens
4.4
TSV Hartberg
4.3
Red Bull Salzburg
4.2
Wolfsberger AC
4.1
Ried
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Rapid Vienna
28.3
Austria Lustenau
27.1
Austria Klagenfurt
26.9
Sturm Graz
26.2
Lask Linz
25.7
SCR Altach
25.6
Wolfsberger AC
25.5
Ried
24.7
Red Bull Salzburg
24.6
TSV Hartberg
24.5
Austria Vienna
24.2
WSG Wattens
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.2%
Under 9.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
59.6%
Under 3.5
40.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
83.7%
Under 21.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Austria Lustenau
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.54
1.08
0.67
0.83
0.43
1.29
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.00
0.25
1.00
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (5)
0.80
1.20
1.50
0.50
0.33
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
15% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid Vienna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.42
0.68
0.30
0.80
0.56
0.56
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (6)
0.17
1.33
0.25
1.25
0.00
1.50
vs Weaker (12)
0.50
0.33
0.33
0.50
0.67
0.17
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Lustenau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Austria Lustenau over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Lustenau over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Lustenau over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Vienna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Vienna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Vienna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Austria Lustenau
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.69
0.77
0.67
1.17
0.71
0.43
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.00
0.25
1.50
0.25
0.50
vs Similar (5)
1.40
0.40
1.50
0.50
1.33
0.33
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
54% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Rapid Vienna) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rapid Vienna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.84
0.32
0.80
0.30
0.89
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (6)
0.83
0.50
0.75
0.50
1.00
0.50
vs Weaker (12)
0.92
0.25
0.83
0.17
1.00
0.33
Clean sheet %
68% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Lustenau) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Austria Lustenau over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Lustenau over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Lustenau over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Vienna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Vienna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rapid Vienna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
92.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
78.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
78.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
71.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Austria Lustenau
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Lukas Fridrikas41%
Bryan Silva Teixeira25%
Emrehan Gedikli20%
Yadaly Diaby16%
Michael Cheukoua16%
Anderson16%
Anthony Schmid15%
Darijo Grujcic12%
Stefano Surdanović12%
Nemanja Motika6%
Tobias Berger5%
Adriel5%
Hakim Guenouche3%
Matthias Maak3%
Jean Hugonet3%
Pius Grabher3%
Dániel Tiefenbach0%
Ammar Helac0%
Domenik Schierl0%
Fabian Gmeiner0%
Cem Türkmen0%
Torben Rhein0%
Yuliwes Bellache0%
Henri Koudossou0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pius Grabher27%
Lukas Fridrikas25%
Anderson22%
Darijo Grujcic21%
Bryan Silva Teixeira19%
Henri Koudossou17%
Cem Türkmen16%
Stefano Surdanović15%
Yuliwes Bellache14%
Adriel14%
Hakim Guenouche13%
Dániel Tiefenbach13%
Matthias Maak13%
Nemanja Motika11%
Michael Cheukoua11%
Tobias Berger10%
Domenik Schierl9%
Jean Hugonet9%
Fabian Gmeiner7%
Ammar Helac0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Torben Rhein0%
Yadaly Diaby0%
Anthony Schmid0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bryan Silva Teixeira31%
Anderson19%
Lukas Fridrikas19%
Yadaly Diaby12%
Anthony Schmid11%
Hakim Guenouche10%
Stefano Surdanović9%
Darijo Grujcic8%
Torben Rhein8%
Fabian Gmeiner7%
Dániel Tiefenbach7%
Pius Grabher0%
Ammar Helac0%
Domenik Schierl0%
Michael Cheukoua0%
Matthias Maak0%
Adriel0%
Tobias Berger0%
Jean Hugonet0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Cem Türkmen0%
Yuliwes Bellache0%
Nemanja Motika0%
Henri Koudossou0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Silva Teixeira12%
Anthony Schmid11%
Tobias Berger10%
Anderson9%
Lukas Fridrikas9%
Yadaly Diaby4%
Jean Hugonet3%
Stefano Surdanović3%
Hakim Guenouche0%
Pius Grabher0%
Darijo Grujcic0%
Dániel Tiefenbach0%
Ammar Helac0%
Domenik Schierl0%
Michael Cheukoua0%
Matthias Maak0%
Fabian Gmeiner0%
Adriel0%
Emrehan Gedikli0%
Cem Türkmen0%
Torben Rhein0%
Yuliwes Bellache0%
Nemanja Motika0%
Henri Koudossou0%
Rapid Vienna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Guido Burgstaller49%
Yusuf Demir25%
Bernhard Zimmermann24%
Marco Grüll22%
Oliver Strunz21%
Ferdy Druijf19%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn15%
Roman Kerschbaum6%
Leopold Querfeld4%
Ante Bajić4%
Patrick Greil3%
Thorsten Schick0%
Maximilian Hofmann0%
Christoph Knasmüllner0%
Michael Sollbauer0%
Kevin Wimmer0%
Dragoljub Savić0%
Martin Koscelník0%
Jonas Antonius Auer0%
Dejan Petrović0%
Aleksa Pejić0%
Rene Kriwak0%
Martin Moormann0%
Niklas Hedl0%
Moritz Oswald0%
Denso Kasius0%
Nikolas Sattlberger0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksa Pejić39%
Thorsten Schick32%
Maximilian Hofmann30%
Roman Kerschbaum29%
Kevin Wimmer25%
Dejan Petrović25%
Yusuf Demir25%
Marco Grüll22%
Oliver Strunz21%
Jonas Antonius Auer21%
Denso Kasius20%
Moritz Oswald19%
Ante Bajić18%
Martin Koscelník17%
Nikolas Sattlberger17%
Guido Burgstaller16%
Bernhard Zimmermann14%
Martin Moormann9%
Michael Sollbauer8%
Christoph Knasmüllner8%
Ferdy Druijf8%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn8%
Patrick Greil6%
Leopold Querfeld4%
Dragoljub Savić0%
Rene Kriwak0%
Niklas Hedl0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yusuf Demir25%
Ferdy Druijf23%
Jonas Antonius Auer21%
Rene Kriwak20%
Denso Kasius20%
Marco Grüll19%
Thorsten Schick13%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn8%
Ante Bajić7%
Patrick Greil6%
Moritz Oswald6%
Guido Burgstaller5%
Martin Koscelník4%
Maximilian Hofmann0%
Christoph Knasmüllner0%
Roman Kerschbaum0%
Michael Sollbauer0%
Kevin Wimmer0%
Dragoljub Savić0%
Dejan Petrović0%
Aleksa Pejić0%
Martin Moormann0%
Niklas Hedl0%
Oliver Strunz0%
Bernhard Zimmermann0%
Nikolas Sattlberger0%
Leopold Querfeld0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yusuf Demir50%
Guido Burgstaller38%
Oliver Strunz21%
Rene Kriwak20%
Marco Grüll19%
Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn19%
Nikolas Sattlberger17%
Ferdy Druijf15%
Maximilian Hofmann10%
Bernhard Zimmermann7%
Roman Kerschbaum6%
Leopold Querfeld4%
Thorsten Schick0%
Christoph Knasmüllner0%
Ante Bajić0%
Patrick Greil0%
Michael Sollbauer0%
Kevin Wimmer0%
Dragoljub Savić0%
Martin Koscelník0%
Jonas Antonius Auer0%
Dejan Petrović0%
Aleksa Pejić0%
Martin Moormann0%
Niklas Hedl0%
Moritz Oswald0%
Denso Kasius0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
SA (23)
€9m
RIE (24)
€7m
WW (22)
€7m
AL (22)
€5m
Austria Lustenau's squad is €41m less valuable than Rapid Vienna's (€5m vs €46m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
AL (10)
€2m
RIE (7)
€2m
Austria Lustenau's attack is €14m less valuable than Rapid Vienna's (€2m vs €16m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
RIE (8)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
SA (3)
€1m
AL (3)
€1m
Austria Lustenau's midfield is €9m less valuable than Rapid Vienna's (€1m vs €10m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
RIE (9)
€3m
AL (9)
€2m
Austria Lustenau's defence is €17m less valuable than Rapid Vienna's (€2m vs €19m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →