PythiaFootballBETA
Austria Salzburg, unbeaten in their last 5 matches, will host First Vienna on August 8. The home side has been solid at home, scoring 1.64 goals per game while conceding 1.0. However, they face a First Vienna team that has been potent on the road, scoring 0.83 goals per game away from home, albeit conceding 0.5.
The model projects a low-scoring match, with an expected total of 2.0 goals and a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 14.9%. First Vienna's away form suggests they may be able to hold off Austria Salzburg's attack, and the model's pick is an away win. The model's selection is the Under 3.5 goals, with a probability of 84.9%.
The probabilities for the match result are 33% for Austria Salzburg, 33% for a draw, and 34% for First Vienna. The model's selection, the Under 3.5 goals, is the most likely pick, with a probability of 84.9%. The model's selection, Under 3.5, is the most likely pick, with a probability of 84.9%.
In a stunning upset, Austria Salzburg's 4-1 win over First Vienna extends their run of consecutive wins to three. The model's selection, an away win, was incorrect as the home team came out on top. The model had assigned a 34% probability to First Vienna's win, but they fell short. The model's suggested pick, Under 3.5 goals, missed, with a probability of 84.9%. The most likely score was a 1-1 draw, with a 14.9% probability, but the actual result was far from that. Austria Salzburg's recent form has been impressive, with two wins in their last four games, while First Vienna have struggled, coming off a defeat in their last outing.
Austria Salzburg| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.43 | 1.27 | 1.57 | 1.21 | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 2.00 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.54 | 1.31 | 1.00 | 1.21 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 5.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+10pp vs league) | |||||
First Vienna| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.13 | 0.93 | 1.29 | 1.21 | 1.00 | 0.69 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 1.19 | 0.96 | 1.38 | 1.31 | 1.00 | 0.64 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 2.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+20pp vs league) | |||||
| First Vienna goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 14% | 12% | 6.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| 1 | 12% | 15% | 7.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| 2 | 6.6% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 2.2% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Austria SalzburgFirst ViennaAustria Salzburg| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (34) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Stronger (2) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (31) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Weaker (1) | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - |
| % under line | - | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | - | - |
First Vienna| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 8.2 | 9.7 | 7.0 | 1.2 | 1.4 | 1.0 | 24.8 | 21.7 | 27.4 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 3.0 | 3.0 | - | 3.3 | 5.0 | 0.0 | 25.0 | 25.0 | - |
| vs Similar (45) | 8.7 | 11.0 | 7.0 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 24.8 | 21.0 | 27.4 |
| vs Weaker (2) | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 23% | 33% | 14% | 12% | 17% | 8% | 69% | 50% | 86% |
| % under line | 77% | 67% | 86% | 88% | 83% | 92% | 31% | 50% | 14% |
Austria Salzburg| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.67 | 0.53 | 0.79 | 0.57 | 0.56 | 0.50 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.59 | 0.56 | 0.85 | 0.62 | 0.36 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 2.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+37pp vs league) | |||||
First Vienna| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.70 | 0.33 | 0.64 | 0.50 | 0.75 | 0.19 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.70 | 0.37 | 0.69 | 0.54 | 0.71 | 0.21 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 2.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 70% (+44pp vs league) | |||||
Austria Salzburg| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.77 | 0.73 | 0.79 | 0.64 | 0.75 | 0.81 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.67 | 0.70 | 0.69 | 0.69 | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 3.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+24pp vs league) | |||||
First Vienna| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.43 | 0.60 | 0.64 | 0.71 | 0.25 | 0.50 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.48 | 0.59 | 0.69 | 0.77 | 0.29 | 0.43 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 0.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+30pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 85.8% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 3.5 | 84.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✗ Miss |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 83.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 11.5 corners | 77.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 3.5 cards | 70.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 70.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/12/25 | H | 0-0 | |
| 08/08/25 | A | 3-0 |
Austria Salzburg| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 25/07/26 | A | 1-5 | |
| 08/05/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 17/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 11/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 06/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 03/04/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 20/03/26 | A | 2-1 |
First Vienna| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08/26 | H | 4-0 | |
| 25/07/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 14/05/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 08/05/26 | A | 1-0 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 24/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 17/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 12/04/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 06/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 03/04/26 | H | 1-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  FC BW Linz | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 3.2 | 80% | 80% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2.6 | 0.6 | - |
| 2 |  FC Liefering | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 4.2 | 100% | 100% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2.6 | 1.6 | - |
| 3 | First Vienna | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 60% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 4 |  Floridsdorfer AC | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 80% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 5 | Austria Salzburg | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 6 |  Wacker Innsbruck | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 2.4 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | - |
| 7 |  Austria Vienna (Am) | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 2.6 | 80% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | - |
| 8 |  Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 3.2 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.0 | - |
| 9 |  Admira Wacker | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 10 |  SKU Amstetten | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 2.4 | 80% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 11 |  Sturm Graz II | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 4.6 | 100% | 80% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 2.6 | - |
| 12 |  Rapid Wien II | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.2 | - |
| 13 |  Voitsberg | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | - |
| 14 |  WSPG Wels | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 3.2 | 100% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.0 | - |
| 15 |  SKN ST. Polten | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 16 |  SV Kapfenberg | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3.6 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.4 | - |