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Austria Salzburg vs SV Kapfenberg Result & Analysis

Date: 21/08/2026
Time: 16:30
Final 3-2
Austria Salzburg
Austria Salzburg
Vs
56%
24%
20%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
SV Kapfenberg
SV Kapfenberg
Austria: 2. Liga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Austria Salzburg's recent form note is a compelling storyline, having won two consecutive games after a slight dip in form. The model predicts a home win, with a 56% probability, making it the favourite to take the three points. There's a 24% chance of a draw, while SV Kapfenberg's away win is the least likely outcome, with a 20% probability. The expected total goals is 3.0, suggesting a high-scoring match. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.3% probability.

Austria Salzburg has been scoring an average of 1.75 goals at home, conceding 1.17. Meanwhile, SV Kapfenberg has scored 0.83 goals on average while away, conceding 1.58. The model's selection is Over 1.5, with an 81.2% probability, indicating a strong likelihood of at least two goals being scored. The suggested picks also include Over 3.5 cards, with a 75.9% probability. The home win percentage is 56%, the draw percentage is 24%, and the away win percentage is 20%.

Results analysis

Austria Salzburg’s win extends their recent run, finishing the match 3-2 to secure the home victory the model had predicted. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was assigned a 56 % probability and proved correct. The model’s selections performed strongly: Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.3 %, Under 7.5 at 98.8 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.6 %, Under 6.5 at 96.6 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 94.4 %, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 92.6 %, Home +2 handicap at 92.3 %, and Under 5.5 at 91.5 %. All picks settled as hit, confirming the model’s accuracy across the board.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Austria Salzburg win✓ Hit
56.1%
Avg Implied 47.5% · @ 1.94
Edge
+8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.10
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.07
Superbet
2.07
BetVictor
2.05
Draw✗ Miss
24.0%
Avg Implied 25.3% · @ 3.64
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.88
10Bet
3.85
888Sport
3.75
Dafabet
3.70
Marathonbet
3.65
SV Kapfenberg win✗ Miss
19.9%
Avg Implied 27.1% · @ 3.40
Edge
-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
4.20
888Sport
4.20
SBO
3.92
Unibet
3.60
Pinnacle
3.42

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Austria SalzburgAustria Salzburg

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-511D00D11D10W20W22D51W20W41W13LA·WSP06/04H·ADM11/04A·AUS17/04H·SV 25/04A·STU02/05H·AUS08/05A·WAL25/07A·WSP02/08H·FIR08/08A·AUS15/08
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.231.791.141.381.31
vs Stronger (2)2.001.502.000.002.003.00
vs Similar (27)1.411.221.771.231.071.21
vs Weaker (1)5.001.00--5.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Kapfenberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SV KapfenbergSV Kapfenberg

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L31W01L14L03L21W41W04L23L01LA·AUS10/04H·SCH17/04A·AUS25/04H·FC 02/05H·SKN08/05A·AUS14/05A·TRE25/07H·FC 31/07A·SCH08/08H·WAC15/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.901.071.731.202.07
vs Stronger (4)0.753.500.333.002.005.00
vs Similar (25)1.081.681.251.420.921.92
vs Weaker (1)4.001.00--4.001.00
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Salzburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.2%
@ 1.17+2.2%
Under 1.5
18.8%
@ 4.42-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
888Sport
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Under
Betfair
4.80
Pinnacle
4.67
BetVictor
4.60
Bet365
4.50
888Sport
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.9%
@ 1.60-0.3%
Under 2.5
42.1%
@ 2.23+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.68
Pinnacle
1.62
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Under
Pinnacle
2.32
10Bet
2.30
Bet365
2.30
Marathonbet
2.25
Betfair
2.25
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
35.5%
@ 2.47-2.0%
Under 3.5
64.5%
@ 1.48+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.75
Betfair
2.55
Pinnacle
2.53
Betano
2.47
888Sport
2.45
Under
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
888Sport
1.50
Superbet
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.5%
@ 1.55-2.0%
No
42.5%
@ 2.28+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.62
Unibet
1.60
888Sport
1.60
Betfair
1.57
William Hil
1.55
No
BetVictor
2.40
Superbet
2.37
1xBet
2.37
Betano
2.35
Marathonbet
2.33

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.3%@ 6.58+4.7%
2-1
9.9%@ 7.47+4.1%
2-0
9.2%@ 9.52+4.6%
1-0
8.5%@ 8.40+3.3%
3-1
6.4%@ 12.12+2.8%
0-0
6.0%@ 12.29+2.4%
3-0
5.9%@ 15.18+3.0%
1-2
5.6%@ 10.72+1.5%
Austria Salzburg goals ↓
SV Kapfenberg goals →
01234
06.0%4.3%2.9%1.0%0.3%
18.5%11%5.6%2.0%0.5%
29.2%9.9%5.4%1.9%0.5%
35.9%6.4%3.4%1.2%0.3%
42.8%3.1%1.7%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Austria Salzburg goals (down), columns = SV Kapfenberg goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FC BW Linz
2.40
Floridsdorfer AC
2.00
First Vienna
2.00
FC Liefering
2.00
Austria Salzburg
1.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.80
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.80
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.40
Rapid Wien II
1.20
Sturm Graz II
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Voitsberg
1.00
WSPG Wels
0.80
SKN ST. Polten
0.60
SV Kapfenberg
0.60
Austria Salzburg is 1.20 points better than SV Kapfenberg in terms of average points per game (1.80 vs 0.60).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FC Liefering
2.60
FC BW Linz
2.60
Sturm Graz II
2.00
Austria Salzburg
2.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.80
First Vienna
1.80
Voitsberg
1.40
Wacker Innsbruck
1.40
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.40
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
1.20
SV Kapfenberg
1.20
Rapid Wien II
1.20
WSPG Wels
1.20
Admira Wacker
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
SKN ST. Polten
0.20
Austria Salzburg is 0.80 goals better than SV Kapfenberg in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.20).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FC BW Linz
0.60
SKN ST. Polten
0.80
Wacker Innsbruck
1.00
Admira Wacker
1.00
Floridsdorfer AC
1.20
First Vienna
1.20
SKU Amstetten
1.20
Austria Vienna (Am)
1.20
Austria Salzburg
1.40
FC Liefering
1.60
Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz
2.00
Voitsberg
2.00
WSPG Wels
2.00
Rapid Wien II
2.20
SV Kapfenberg
2.40
Sturm Graz II
2.60
Austria Salzburg is 1.00 goals better than SV Kapfenberg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.40 vs 2.40).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Austria SalzburgAustria Salzburg

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

SV KapfenbergSV Kapfenberg

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Austria SalzburgAustria Salzburg

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (36)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (2)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (33)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (SV Kapfenberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SV KapfenbergSV Kapfenberg

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.88.810.51.10.91.221.223.219.8
vs Stronger (6)8.511.06.01.01.01.014.517.012.0
vs Similar (42)10.18.011.41.10.91.422.925.321.4
vs Weaker (2)---0.0-0.0---
% over line40%50%33%16%12%20%50%75%33%
% under line60%50%67%84%88%80%50%25%67%
This opponent (Austria Salzburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
SKN ST. Polten
10.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
10.5
FC Liefering
10.3
SV Kapfenberg
10.3
SKU Amstetten
10.2
First Vienna
10.1
Floridsdorfer AC
10.0
Rapid Wien II
9.7
Voitsberg
9.0
FC BW Linz
8.8
Admira Wacker
8.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
SV Kapfenberg
6.5
Voitsberg
5.7
SKN ST. Polten
5.5
Floridsdorfer AC
5.4
SKU Amstetten
5.3
First Vienna
5.0
FC Liefering
4.9
Admira Wacker
4.7
FC BW Linz
4.6
Austria Vienna (Am)
4.3
Rapid Wien II
4.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
First Vienna
26.4
Floridsdorfer AC
26.0
Voitsberg
25.3
Austria Vienna (Am)
25.2
FC Liefering
25.1
SV Kapfenberg
24.1
SKU Amstetten
23.8
Rapid Wien II
23.8
Admira Wacker
23.3
SKN ST. Polten
22.5
FC BW Linz
22.5
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
49.9%
@ 1.78-2.0%
Under 9.5
50.1%
@ 1.93+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.80
Superbet
1.80
1xBet
1.79
Pinnacle
1.77
Under
Pinnacle
1.99
Marathonbet
1.94
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.91
Betano
1.91
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
75.9%
Under 3.5
24.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
65.5%
Under 21.5
34.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Austria Salzburg or Draw✓ Hit
80.1%
Avg Implied 73.4% · @ 1.26
Edge
+6.7%
56%
24%
20%
covers Austria Salzburg + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.33
William Hil
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Austria Salzburg or SV Kapfenberg✓ Hit
76.0%
Avg Implied 75.5% · @ 1.23
Edge
+0.4%
56%
24%
20%
covers Austria Salzburg + SV Kapfenberg
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Draw or SV Kapfenberg✗ Miss
43.9%
Avg Implied 51.1% · @ 1.82
Edge
-7.2%
56%
24%
20%
covers Draw + SV Kapfenberg
Best 5 market prices
888Sport
2.10
10Bet
2.05
Bet365
2.00
SBO
1.96
Unibet
1.74

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Austria Salzburg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
85.5%
@ 1.14+3.7%
Under
14.5%
@ 5.09-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Under
888Sport
6.00
10Bet
5.50
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.00
BetVictor
4.80
Austria Salzburg over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
57.4%
@ 1.75+4.2%
Under
42.6%
@ 1.99-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
BetVictor
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Under
10Bet
2.20
888Sport
2.20
Bet365
2.10
Pinnacle
2.01
Marathonbet
1.93
Austria Salzburg over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
30.4%
@ 3.33+2.4%
Under
69.6%
@ 1.29-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.60
Betano
3.55
Pinnacle
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Under
888Sport
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Austria Salzburg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
13.0%
@ 6.63-1.1%
Under
87.0%
@ 1.09+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
8.00
Betano
7.10
1xBet
6.70
Superbet
6.00
Bet365
6.00
Under
888Sport
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.06
SV Kapfenberg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
66.0%
@ 1.31-4.9%
Under
34.0%
@ 3.20+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.40
888Sport
1.40
10Bet
1.36
Betano
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
Under
BetVictor
3.50
Pinnacle
3.42
Superbet
3.40
1xBet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
SV Kapfenberg over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
29.4%
@ 2.52-7.8%
Under
70.6%
@ 1.49+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.90
10Bet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Pinnacle
2.53
Betfair
2.50
Under
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.55
1xBet
1.55
BetVictor
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
SV Kapfenberg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.6%
@ 5.98-6.0%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.10+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
5.90
BetVictor
5.50
Under
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
BetVictor
1.11
1xBet
1.10
SV Kapfenberg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.4%
@ 15.62-3.7%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.02+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
23.00
Superbet
18.00
Bet365
12.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Austria Salzburg, so a minus line means Austria Salzburg give that many goals of a start and SV Kapfenberg receive them. At -1, Austria Salzburg must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Austria Salzburg win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Austria Salzburg)Actual: SV Kapfenberg
Austria Salzburg -2
16.1%
@ 6.16+1.5%
Draw -2
17.5%
@ 5.33+0.6%
SV Kapfenberg +2
66.4%
@ 1.32-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.30
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.25
10Bet
5.25
Draw
Marathonbet
6.05
Betfair
6.00
Bet365
5.00
Superbet
4.85
10Bet
4.75
Away
10Bet
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
Handicap -1 (Austria Salzburg)Actual: Draw
Austria Salzburg -1
33.6%
@ 3.09+4.4%
Draw -1
22.5%
@ 3.85-0.9%
SV Kapfenberg +1
43.9%
@ 1.90-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.50
Superbet
2.80
10Bet
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
4.00
Marathonbet
3.95
Superbet
3.70
10Bet
3.60
Away
10Bet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Marathonbet
1.74
Betfair
1.67
Handicap +1 (Austria Salzburg)Actual: Austria Salzburg
Austria Salzburg +1
80.1%
@ 1.24+7.8%
Draw +1
12.2%
@ 5.68-3.7%
SV Kapfenberg -1
7.7%
@ 7.63-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.29
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Superbet
5.80
Marathonbet
5.25
Away
Superbet
8.00
Bet365
8.00
Marathonbet
6.90
Handicap +2 (Austria Salzburg)Actual: Austria Salzburg
Austria Salzburg +2
92.3%
@ 1.06+4.0%
Draw +2
5.5%
@ 13.00-1.7%
SV Kapfenberg -2
2.2%
@ 21.00-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
21.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Austria SalzburgAustria Salzburg

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D01L10W10W20W20W00D11D03LA·WSP06/04H·ADM11/04A·AUS17/04H·SV 25/04A·STU02/05H·AUS08/05A·WAL25/07A·WSP02/08H·FIR08/08A·AUS15/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.570.860.570.560.56
vs Stronger (2)1.000.500.000.002.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.630.590.920.620.360.57
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Kapfenberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SV KapfenbergSV Kapfenberg

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W01L14L03L11D20W02L01L00DA·AUS10/04H·SCH17/04A·AUS25/04H·FC 02/05H·SKN08/05A·AUS14/05A·TRE25/07H·FC 31/07A·SCH08/08H·WAC15/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.200.401.130.331.27
vs Stronger (4)0.252.750.332.000.005.00
vs Similar (25)0.321.000.420.920.231.08
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Salzburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.8%
@ 1.27+1.2%
Under 0.5
26.2%
@ 3.37-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.32
BetVictor
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
Under
Betfair
3.50
William Hil
3.50
10Bet
3.45
BetVictor
3.40
Superbet
3.40
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
37.0%
@ 2.32-3.0%
Under 1.5
63.0%
@ 1.55+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.41
Betano
2.40
Betfair
2.38
1xBet
2.36
Marathonbet
2.36
Under
10Bet
1.60
William Hil
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Superbet
1.56
BetVictor
1.55
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
12.7%
@ 5.33-4.6%
Under 2.5
87.3%
@ 1.12+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.75
1xBet
5.55
Marathonbet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
5.00
Under
William Hil
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
BetVictor
1.11

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Austria Salzburg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
56.7%
@ 1.71+2.3%
Under
43.3%
@ 2.04-2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.72
Superbet
1.71
Under
10Bet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.10
Superbet
2.02
1xBet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.97
Austria Salzburg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
21.4%
@ 4.49+0.7%
Under
78.6%
@ 1.17-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.20
Marathonbet
5.00
Betano
4.60
Superbet
3.90
10Bet
3.75
Under
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Austria Salzburg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 10.08-3.7%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.03+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
11.00
Betano
9.75
10Bet
9.50
Under
10Bet
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.03
SV Kapfenberg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
33.3%
@ 2.11-10.5%
Under
66.7%
@ 1.65+10.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.18
Marathonbet
2.10
Superbet
2.07
Betano
2.07
Under
Betano
1.67
1xBet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.67
Superbet
1.67
Marathonbet
1.64
SV Kapfenberg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.4%
@ 7.06-5.8%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.07+5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
7.60
Marathonbet
7.50
10Bet
7.50
1xBet
7.00
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
SV Kapfenberg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.7%
@ 19.88-4.2%
Under
99.3%
@ 1.02+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
29.00
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Austria SalzburgAustria Salzburg

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D10W00D10W02L31W20W30W10WA·WSP06/04H·ADM11/04A·AUS17/04H·SV 25/04A·STU02/05H·AUS08/05A·WAL25/07A·WSP02/08H·FIR08/08A·AUS15/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.670.930.570.810.75
vs Stronger (2)1.001.002.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (27)0.780.630.850.620.710.64
vs Weaker (1)3.001.00--3.001.00
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Kapfenberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

SV KapfenbergSV Kapfenberg

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W00D00D00D10W21W02L22D01LA·AUS10/04H·SCH17/04A·AUS25/04H·FC 02/05H·SKN08/05A·AUS14/05A·TRE25/07H·FC 31/07A·SCH08/08H·WAC15/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.700.670.600.870.80
vs Stronger (4)0.500.750.001.002.000.00
vs Similar (25)0.760.680.830.500.690.85
vs Weaker (1)2.001.00--2.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Salzburg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Austria Salzburg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Salzburg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Salzburg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
SV Kapfenberg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Away under 2.5 HT goals99.3%1.02
Betano
1.02
----+4.2%✓ Hit
Under 7.598.8%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.6%1.02
Betano
1.04
Superbet
1.01
888Sport
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-+3.7%✓ Hit
Under 6.596.6%1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-+4.8%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals94.4%1.03
10Bet
1.03
Betano
1.03
Superbet
1.03
--+3.7%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals92.6%1.07
Betano
1.10
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
10Bet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
+5.8%✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap92.3%1.06
Bet365
1.06
----+4.0%✓ Hit
Under 5.591.5%1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
888Sport
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
+3.0%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals90.4%1.10
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.13
Betfair
1.13
BetVictor
1.11
1xBet
1.10
+6.0%✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards88.9%--------
Under 2.5 HT goals87.3%1.12
William Hil
1.14
Superbet
1.14
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
BetVictor
1.11
+4.6%✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals87.0%1.09
888Sport
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.06
+1.1%✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals85.5%1.14
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.16
BetVictor
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
+3.7%✓ Hit
Under 4.581.4%1.17
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.19
888Sport
1.18
+2.2%✗ Miss
Over 1.581.2%1.17
Betano
1.20
Unibet
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
888Sport
1.18
10Bet
1.18
+2.2%✓ Hit
Home or Draw80.1%1.26
Betano
1.37
BetVictor
1.33
William Hil
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.31
+6.7%✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap80.1%1.24
Marathonbet
1.29
Superbet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
--+7.8%✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls79.7%--------
Home under 1.5 HT goals78.6%1.17
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.13
-0.7%✗ Miss
Home or Away76.0%1.23
Betano
1.27
1xBet
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
+0.4%✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards75.9%--------
Over 0.5 HT goals73.8%1.27
Betano
1.32
BetVictor
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.27
Superbet
1.27
+1.2%✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners73.5%1.33
Superbet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.31
1xBet
1.30
--+4.9%-
Away under 1.5 goals70.6%1.49
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.55
1xBet
1.55
BetVictor
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
+7.8%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (17)
€5m
FBL (21)
€5m
FV (24)
€5m
AV( (23)
€5m
SSP (20)
€4m
AW (23)
€4m
RWI (24)
€4m
SGI (22)
€4m
AS (22)
€4m
SB (22)
€3m
WW (19)
€3m
SA (20)
€3m
FA (19)
€3m
SK (23)
€3m
Austria Salzburg's squad is €1m more valuable than SV Kapfenberg's (€4m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FL (4)
€3m
RWI (12)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
AW (7)
€2m
AV( (7)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
SGI (7)
€1m
FV (7)
€1m
SB (9)
€1m
WW (7)
€1m
SA (7)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
AS (7)
€1m
SK (7)
€1m
Austria Salzburg and SV Kapfenberg have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FV (8)
€2m
SSP (6)
€1m
FBL (4)
€1m
FL (6)
€1m
FA (5)
€1m
AV( (5)
€1m
SK (6)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
SGI (6)
€1m
SA (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
WW (4)
€1m
RWI (4)
€1m
AS (4)
€1m
Austria Salzburg and SV Kapfenberg have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AV( (11)
€2m
AS (11)
€2m
FBL (8)
€2m
AW (11)
€2m
FV (9)
€2m
SGI (9)
€2m
FL (7)
€2m
WW (8)
€1m
SSP (8)
€1m
RWI (8)
€1m
SA (8)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
FA (7)
€1m
SK (10)
€1m
Austria Salzburg's defence is €1m more valuable than SV Kapfenberg's (€2m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
1
AS wins
0
Draws
1
SK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Austria Salzburg vs SV Kapfenberg · H/A from AS
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26HAS Vs SV Kapfenberg1-0
31/10/25ASV Kapfenberg Vs AS4-1

Austria SalzburgAustria Salzburg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26AAustria Vienna (Am) Vs AS3-1
08/08/26HAS Vs First Vienna4-1
02/08/26AWSPG Wels Vs AS0-2
25/07/26AWals-Grünau Vs AS1-5
08/05/26HAS Vs Austria Lustenau2-2
02/05/26ASturm Graz II Vs AS0-2
25/04/26HAS Vs SV Kapfenberg1-0
17/04/26AAustria Vienna (Am) Vs AS1-1
11/04/26HAS Vs Admira Wacker0-0
06/04/26AWSPG Wels Vs AS1-1

SV KapfenbergSV Kapfenberg

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/08/26HSK Vs Wacker Innsbruck0-1
08/08/26ASchwarz-Weiß Bregenz Vs SK3-2
31/07/26HSK Vs FC Liefering0-4
25/07/26ATreibach Vs SK1-4
14/05/26AAustria Vienna (Am) Vs SK1-2
08/05/26HSK Vs SKN ST. Polten0-3
02/05/26HSK Vs FC Liefering1-4
25/04/26AAustria Salzburg Vs SK1-0
17/04/26HSK Vs Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz3-1
10/04/26AAustria Klagenfurt Vs SK1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Austria Salzburg
Austria Salzburg
Austria: 2. Liga
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWL1.35
HomeDDWDW1.44
AwayDWWWL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %35%38%33%
AVG goals2.762.942.61
Over 1.5 %76%75%78%
Over 2.5 %53%62%44%
Over 3.5 %32%38%28%
Scored1.441.691.22
Conceded1.321.251.39
BTTS56%62%50%
Clean Sheet32%31%33%
Corners---
Cards---
SV Kapfenberg
SV Kapfenberg
Austria: 2. Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 0 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLL1.40
HomeWLLLL1.58
AwayLLWWL1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%46%38%
AVG goals3.243.503.00
Over 1.5 %86%88%85%
Over 2.5 %62%67%58%
Over 3.5 %34%42%27%
Scored1.501.751.27
Conceded1.741.751.73
BTTS62%62%62%
Clean Sheet14%12%15%
Corners10.278.7511.14
Cards5.275.505.14

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FC BW LinzFC BW Linz512
80%
2.4
133+10
3.2
80%
80%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2122.60.6
-
2FC LieferingFC Liefering510
60%
2.0
138+5
4.2
100%
100%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
3122.61.6
-
3First ViennaFirst Vienna510
60%
2.0
96+3
3.0
60%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.81.2
-
4Floridsdorfer ACFloridsdorfer AC510
60%
2.0
96+3
3.0
80%
40%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.81.2
-
5Austria SalzburgAustria Salzburg59
60%
1.8
107+3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1122.01.4
-
6Wacker InnsbruckWacker Innsbruck59
60%
1.8
75+2
2.4
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.0
-
7Austria Vienna (Am)Austria Vienna (Am)59
60%
1.8
76+1
2.6
80%
60%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.41.2
-
8Schwarz-Weiß BregenzSchwarz-Weiß Bregenz57
40%
1.4
610-4
3.2
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.22.0
-
9Admira WackerAdmira Wacker56
40%
1.2
65+1
2.2
60%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2121.21.0
-
10SKU AmstettenSKU Amstetten56
20%
1.2
66+0
2.4
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.2
-
11Sturm Graz IISturm Graz II56
40%
1.2
1013-3
4.6
100%
80%
80%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1122.02.6
-
12Rapid Wien IIRapid Wien II56
40%
1.2
611-5
3.4
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.22.2
-
13VoitsbergVoitsberg55
20%
1.0
710-3
3.4
80%
60%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.0
-
14WSPG WelsWSPG Wels54
20%
0.8
610-4
3.2
100%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.22.0
-
15SKN ST. PoltenSKN ST. Polten53
20%
0.6
14-3
1.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1110.20.8
-
16SV KapfenbergSV Kapfenberg53
20%
0.6
612-6
3.6
80%
80%
60%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.22.4
-
Austria: 2. Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: 2. Liga stats & trends →

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