This match is finely balanced, with Austria Vienna (Am) and Austria Salzburg set to clash in the Austria: 2. Liga. Austria Salzburg's recent form is a storyline worth noting, as they're on a 2-game winning run, including a 4-1 victory over First Vienna. However, Austria Vienna (Am) is coming off a win, having beaten SKN ST. Polten 1-0.
The model predicts an away win, with a 38% chance of Austria Salzburg taking the three points. The expected total goals are 2.4, and the most likely score is 1-1, with a 14.2% probability. At home, Austria Vienna (Am) has scored an average of 0.92 goals and conceded 1.31, while their opponents have a similar strength tier. Away from home, Austria Salzburg has scored 1.08 goals and conceded 1.25, also against a similar strength tier.
The model's selection is the away win, with a 38% chance. The suggested picks include Under 3.5 with a 77.3% probability and Over 1.5 with a 71.1% probability. The probabilities for the match result are 32% for Austria Vienna (Am) win, 30% for a draw, and 38% for Austria Salzburg win.
Austria Vienna (Am) pulled off a stunning upset at home, defeating Austria Salzburg 3-1. This win extends their run of form, having won two of their last five matches. The model's selection, an away win by Austria Salzburg, was incorrect, with the pre-match probability of 38% not coming to fruition. The model's pick was the favourite, but it didn't come through. The suggested picks didn't fare much better, with "Under 3.5" missing by a wide margin, despite a 77.3% probability, and "Over 1.5" hitting, but there's no surprise there given its 71.1% probability.
Austria Vienna (Am)| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.13 | 1.33 | 0.93 | 1.33 | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 1.23 | 1.38 | 1.00 | 1.38 | 1.46 | 1.38 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-3pp vs league) | |||||
Austria Salzburg| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.53 | 1.23 | 1.79 | 1.14 | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 2.00 | 1.50 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 1.37 | 1.22 | 1.77 | 1.23 | 1.00 | 1.21 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 5.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+10pp vs league) | |||||
| Austria Salzburg goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 10% | 10% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 1.0% |
| 1 | 8.8% | 14% | 8.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 5.8% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Austria Vienna (Am)
Austria Salzburg
Austria Vienna (Am)| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.8 | 10.3 | 11.2 | 1.3 | 1.1 | 1.6 | 26.1 | 26.6 | 25.6 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 13.0 | - | 13.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 19.0 | - | 19.0 |
| vs Similar (45) | 10.6 | 10.3 | 11.0 | 1.4 | 1.2 | 1.6 | 26.6 | 26.6 | 26.6 |
| vs Weaker (2) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | 67% | 57% | 75% | 18% | 12% | 24% | 87% | 100% | 75% |
| % under line | 33% | 43% | 25% | 82% | 88% | 76% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
Austria Salzburg| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (35) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Stronger (2) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (32) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Weaker (1) | - | - | - | 0.0 | - | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - |
| % under line | - | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | - | - |
Austria Vienna (Am)| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.70 | 0.73 | 0.47 | 0.53 | 0.93 | 0.93 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.77 | 0.77 | 0.54 | 0.62 | 1.00 | 0.92 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+24pp vs league) | |||||
Austria Salzburg| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.70 | 0.53 | 0.86 | 0.57 | 0.56 | 0.50 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 1.00 | 0.50 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.63 | 0.56 | 0.92 | 0.62 | 0.36 | 0.50 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 2.00 | 0.00 | - | - | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+37pp vs league) | |||||
Austria Vienna (Am)| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.43 | 0.60 | 0.47 | 0.80 | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.46 | 0.62 | 0.46 | 0.77 | 0.46 | 0.46 |
| vs Weaker (2) | 0.50 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 57% (+30pp vs league) | |||||
Austria Salzburg| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.83 | 0.70 | 0.93 | 0.57 | 0.75 | 0.81 |
| vs Stronger (2) | 1.00 | 1.00 | 2.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.74 | 0.67 | 0.85 | 0.62 | 0.64 | 0.71 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 3.00 | 1.00 | - | - | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 53% (+27pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 87.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 81.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 3.5 | 77.3% | 1.34 | 1.37 | 1.37 | 1.36 | 1.36 | 1.34 | +7.9% | ✗ Miss |
| Under 11.5 corners | 75.6% | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.24 | - | - | - | +2.9% | - |
| Over 3.5 cards | 73.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 71.1% | 1.24 | 1.27 | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | -3.3% | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 25/10/25 | A | 2-0 |
Austria Vienna (Am)| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 31/07/26 | H | 0-3 | |
| 14/05/26 | H | 1-2 | |
| 08/05/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 0-5 | |
| 24/04/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 17/04/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 06/04/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 03/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 21/03/26 | H | 0-1 |
Austria Salzburg| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08/26 | H | 4-1 | |
| 02/08/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 25/07/26 | A | 1-5 | |
| 08/05/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 17/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 11/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 06/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 03/04/26 | H | 2-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | FC BW Linz | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 13 | 3 | +10 | 3.2 | 80% | 80% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 2.6 | 0.6 | - |
| 2 | FC Liefering | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 4.2 | 100% | 100% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2.6 | 1.6 | - |
| 3 | First Vienna | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 60% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 4 | Floridsdorfer AC | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 3.0 | 80% | 40% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.8 | 1.2 | - |
| 5 | Austria Salzburg | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 6 | Wacker Innsbruck | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 2.4 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.0 | - |
| 7 | Austria Vienna (Am) | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 2.6 | 80% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.4 | 1.2 | - |
| 8 | Schwarz-Weiß Bregenz | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 3.2 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.0 | - |
| 9 | Admira Wacker | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 2.2 | 60% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 10 | SKU Amstetten | 5 | 6 | 20% | 1.2 | 6 | 6 | +0 | 2.4 | 80% | 40% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 11 | Sturm Graz II | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 4.6 | 100% | 80% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2.0 | 2.6 | - |
| 12 | Rapid Wien II | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.2 | - |
| 13 | Voitsberg | 5 | 5 | 20% | 1.0 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 2.0 | - |
| 14 | WSPG Wels | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 3.2 | 100% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.0 | - |
| 15 | SKN ST. Polten | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 1 | 4 | -3 | 1.0 | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.2 | 0.8 | - |
| 16 | SV Kapfenberg | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 3.6 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.2 | 2.4 | - |