This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TSV Hartberg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.57
1.14
1.71
2.50
1.44
vs Stronger (14)
1.14
2.14
0.86
2.57
1.43
1.71
vs Similar (15)
1.93
1.07
1.43
0.86
2.38
1.25
vs Weaker (1)
11.00
1.00
-
-
11.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
83.0%
Under 1.5
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
60.6%
Under 2.5
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.3%
Under 3.5
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.2%
No
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.0%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.5%
1-0 ✓
7.6%
3-1
6.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-0
5.6%
Austria Vienna goals ↓
TSV Hartberg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.4%
4.1%
2.9%
1.1%
0.3%
1
7.6%
11%
5.8%
2.2%
0.7%
2
8.5%
9.8%
5.7%
2.2%
0.6%
3
5.6%
6.5%
3.8%
1.5%
0.4%
4
2.7%
3.2%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Austria Vienna goals (down), columns = TSV Hartberg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Sturm Graz
1.97
Austria Vienna
1.88
Red Bull Salzburg
1.78
Wolfsberger AC
1.72
Lask Linz
1.71
Rapid Vienna
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.33
FC BW Linz
1.19
WSG Wattens
0.94
Grazer AK
0.88
Austria Klagenfurt
0.84
SCR Altach
0.81
Austria Vienna is 0.54 points better than TSV Hartberg in terms of average points per game (1.88 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Sturm Graz
2.06
Wolfsberger AC
1.88
Red Bull Salzburg
1.66
Lask Linz
1.60
Austria Vienna
1.47
Rapid Vienna
1.38
TSV Hartberg
1.21
FC BW Linz
1.16
WSG Wattens
1.09
Grazer AK
1.06
Austria Klagenfurt
1.03
SCR Altach
0.91
Austria Vienna is 0.26 goals better than TSV Hartberg in terms of goals scored per game (1.47 vs 1.21).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Austria Vienna
1.00
Red Bull Salzburg
1.12
Lask Linz
1.14
Wolfsberger AC
1.19
Sturm Graz
1.22
TSV Hartberg
1.27
Rapid Vienna
1.32
FC BW Linz
1.41
SCR Altach
1.44
WSG Wattens
1.56
Grazer AK
1.69
Austria Klagenfurt
2.19
Austria Vienna is 0.27 goals better than TSV Hartberg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.00 vs 1.27).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Red Bull Salzburg
62%
Lask Linz
58%
Rapid Vienna
57%
Austria Vienna
54%
Sturm Graz
52%
TSV Hartberg
50%
SCR Altach
47%
Wolfsberger AC
46%
WSG Wattens
45%
Austria Klagenfurt
45%
FC BW Linz
41%
Grazer AK
41%
Austria Vienna is 3.5 percentage points better than TSV Hartberg in terms of average possession (54% vs 50%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Austria Vienna
For 4.5 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 5.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 11.6 · Total 23.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
TSV Hartberg
For 4.4 · Against 6.1 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.7 · Against 3.4 · Total 6.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.9 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Austria Vienna
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
9.8
10.8
5.6
5.9
5.4
25.4
24.4
26.2
vs Stronger (4)
9.0
8.5
9.5
7.5
10.0
5.0
27.0
30.5
23.5
vs Similar (25)
10.9
10.6
11.2
5.9
5.7
6.2
24.6
22.5
26.5
vs Weaker (21)
9.8
9.0
10.6
5.0
5.3
4.7
26.1
25.7
26.4
% over line
57%
57%
58%
80%
87%
74%
81%
78%
83%
% under line
43%
43%
42%
20%
13%
26%
19%
22%
17%
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TSV Hartberg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.8
10.3
9.2
4.7
4.9
4.5
22.9
23.4
22.4
vs Stronger (21)
9.4
11.2
7.7
4.9
4.6
5.2
24.0
25.0
23.1
vs Similar (28)
10.1
9.6
10.6
4.7
5.1
4.3
22.0
22.2
21.8
vs Weaker (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
45%
50%
39%
76%
75%
77%
62%
67%
57%
% under line
55%
50%
61%
24%
25%
23%
38%
33%
43%
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Austria Vienna
10.5
Wolfsberger AC
10.3
Lask Linz
10.1
TSV Hartberg
9.7
WSG Wattens
9.7
SCR Altach
9.6
Sturm Graz
9.5
Rapid Vienna
9.4
Grazer AK
9.2
FC BW Linz
9.1
Austria Klagenfurt
9.0
Red Bull Salzburg
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Austria Vienna
6.0
Grazer AK
5.1
SCR Altach
5.1
Wolfsberger AC
5.0
Rapid Vienna
4.9
TSV Hartberg
4.8
Sturm Graz
4.6
Austria Klagenfurt
4.6
Lask Linz
4.5
WSG Wattens
4.4
FC BW Linz
4.4
Red Bull Salzburg
3.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SCR Altach
26.6
Grazer AK
25.5
Austria Vienna
25.4
Lask Linz
24.6
Sturm Graz
24.5
Wolfsberger AC
23.9
FC BW Linz
23.8
Rapid Vienna
23.4
WSG Wattens
23.4
Austria Klagenfurt
22.8
TSV Hartberg
22.8
Red Bull Salzburg
21.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
49.3%
Under 9.5
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
80.8%
Under 3.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
64.5%
Under 21.5
35.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Austria Vienna
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.50
0.54
0.62
0.82
0.41
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
2.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.40
0.29
0.57
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (13)
1.00
0.46
1.00
0.40
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TSV Hartberg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.67
0.50
0.93
1.00
0.44
vs Stronger (14)
0.57
1.00
0.29
1.43
0.86
0.57
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.40
0.71
0.43
0.88
0.38
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Austria Vienna over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Austria Vienna
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.57
1.38
0.62
0.47
0.53
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
2.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (15)
0.80
0.60
1.29
0.71
0.38
0.50
vs Weaker (13)
0.92
0.54
1.40
0.60
0.62
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (TSV Hartberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
TSV Hartberg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.90
0.64
0.79
1.50
1.00
vs Stronger (14)
0.57
1.14
0.57
1.14
0.57
1.14
vs Similar (15)
1.13
0.67
0.71
0.43
1.50
0.88
vs Weaker (1)
8.00
1.00
-
-
8.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Austria Vienna) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Austria Vienna over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Austria Vienna over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
TSV Hartberg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 2.5 cards
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Austria Vienna
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Maurice Malone36%
Dominik Fitz34%
Nik Prelec21%
Andreas Gruber19%
Muharem Husković12%
Manfred Fischer9%
Tin Plavotić8%
Lucas Galvão8%
Reinhold Ranftl6%
Abubakr Barry6%
Philipp Wiesinger5%
Matteo Perez Vinlöf3%
Aleksandar Dragović0%
Hakim Guenouche0%
Marvin Potzmann0%
Johannes Handl0%
Marko Raguž0%
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger0%
Marvin Martins0%
Cristiano Robert0%
Florian Wustinger0%
Moritz Wels0%
Luca Pazourek0%
Philipp Maybach0%
Konstantin Aleksa0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marvin Martins50%
Dominik Fitz38%
Lucas Galvão38%
Philipp Maybach29%
Abubakr Barry28%
Aleksandar Dragović28%
Philipp Wiesinger27%
Muharem Husković25%
Matteo Perez Vinlöf24%
Reinhold Ranftl19%
Manfred Fischer18%
Maurice Malone18%
Tin Plavotić17%
Cristiano Robert17%
Nik Prelec15%
Marvin Potzmann14%
Hakim Guenouche8%
Johannes Handl7%
Andreas Gruber6%
Marko Raguž5%
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger3%
Florian Wustinger0%
Moritz Wels0%
Luca Pazourek0%
Konstantin Aleksa0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dominik Fitz38%
Andreas Gruber13%
Maurice Malone12%
Konstantin Aleksa11%
Reinhold Ranftl9%
Abubakr Barry9%
Manfred Fischer6%
Matteo Perez Vinlöf6%
Marko Raguž5%
Aleksandar Dragović0%
Hakim Guenouche0%
Marvin Potzmann0%
Johannes Handl0%
Tin Plavotić0%
Philipp Wiesinger0%
Lucas Galvão0%
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger0%
Marvin Martins0%
Nik Prelec0%
Cristiano Robert0%
Muharem Husković0%
Florian Wustinger0%
Moritz Wels0%
Luca Pazourek0%
Philipp Maybach0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Maurice Malone30%
Dominik Fitz25%
Andreas Gruber13%
Manfred Fischer9%
Tin Plavotić8%
Nik Prelec6%
Reinhold Ranftl3%
Aleksandar Dragović0%
Hakim Guenouche0%
Marvin Potzmann0%
Johannes Handl0%
Marko Raguž0%
Philipp Wiesinger0%
Lucas Galvão0%
Samuel Sahin-Radlinger0%
Marvin Martins0%
Abubakr Barry0%
Cristiano Robert0%
Muharem Husković0%
Florian Wustinger0%
Moritz Wels0%
Matteo Perez Vinlöf0%
Luca Pazourek0%
Philipp Maybach0%
Konstantin Aleksa0%
TSV Hartberg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Patrik Mijić33%
Muharem Husković23%
Elias Havel18%
Maximilian Fillafer14%
Donis Avdijaj13%
Jed Drew13%
Dominik Prokop10%
Youba Diarra7%
Tobias Kainz6%
Fabian Wilfinger5%
Marco Hoffmann4%
Jurgen Heil3%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Manuel Pfeifer0%
Mateo Karamatić0%
Nelson Amadin0%
Justin Omoregie0%
Benjamin Markuš0%
Paul Komposch0%
Raphael Hofer0%
Furkan Demir0%
Aaron Sky Schwarz0%
Damjan Kovačević0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Furkan Demir40%
Raphael Hofer29%
Fabian Wilfinger29%
Justin Omoregie26%
Youba Diarra23%
Paul Komposch23%
Mateo Karamatić17%
Donis Avdijaj17%
Benjamin Markuš17%
Tobias Kainz16%
Jurgen Heil16%
Damjan Kovačević14%
Dominik Prokop14%
Manuel Pfeifer12%
Elias Havel12%
Raphael Sallinger9%
Marco Hoffmann9%
Maximilian Fillafer7%
Patrik Mijić3%
Nelson Amadin0%
Muharem Husković0%
Jed Drew0%
Aaron Sky Schwarz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Justin Omoregie21%
Donis Avdijaj13%
Manuel Pfeifer12%
Furkan Demir12%
Maximilian Fillafer7%
Youba Diarra7%
Benjamin Markuš7%
Patrik Mijić6%
Marco Hoffmann4%
Dominik Prokop3%
Paul Komposch3%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Tobias Kainz0%
Jurgen Heil0%
Mateo Karamatić0%
Nelson Amadin0%
Elias Havel0%
Muharem Husković0%
Raphael Hofer0%
Jed Drew0%
Fabian Wilfinger0%
Aaron Sky Schwarz0%
Damjan Kovačević0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Patrik Mijić21%
Donis Avdijaj20%
Dominik Prokop10%
Muharem Husković8%
Marco Hoffmann4%
Tobias Kainz3%
Raphael Sallinger0%
Manuel Pfeifer0%
Jurgen Heil0%
Mateo Karamatić0%
Youba Diarra0%
Nelson Amadin0%
Justin Omoregie0%
Benjamin Markuš0%
Elias Havel0%
Paul Komposch0%
Maximilian Fillafer0%
Raphael Hofer0%
Jed Drew0%
Fabian Wilfinger0%
Furkan Demir0%
Aaron Sky Schwarz0%
Damjan Kovačević0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (31)
€105m
SG (26)
€52m
RV (33)
€46m
LL (22)
€44m
AV (30)
€23m
WA (28)
€12m
TH (27)
€10m
GA (23)
€9m
SA (23)
€9m
WW (22)
€7m
FBL (21)
€5m
Austria Vienna's squad is €13m more valuable than TSV Hartberg's (€23m vs €10m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (11)
€47m
SG (11)
€26m
RV (11)
€16m
LL (5)
€13m
AV (11)
€9m
SA (9)
€4m
WA (9)
€3m
WW (7)
€3m
TH (9)
€3m
GA (7)
€2m
FBL (9)
€2m
Austria Vienna's attack is €7m more valuable than TSV Hartberg's (€9m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (6)
€29m
SG (4)
€14m
LL (6)
€11m
RV (6)
€10m
AV (5)
€7m
WA (5)
€3m
TH (7)
€3m
WW (7)
€2m
FBL (4)
€1m
SA (3)
€1m
GA (3)
€1m
Austria Vienna's midfield is €4m more valuable than TSV Hartberg's (€7m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RBS (14)
€29m
LL (11)
€20m
RV (16)
€19m
SG (11)
€13m
AV (14)
€7m
WA (14)
€6m
GA (13)
€6m
TH (11)
€5m
SA (11)
€4m
WW (8)
€3m
FBL (8)
€2m
Austria Vienna's defence is €3m more valuable than TSV Hartberg's (€7m vs €5m).
Austria: Bundesliga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Austria: Bundesliga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Sturm Graz
Lask Linz
Red Bull Salzburg
Wolfsberger AC
Rapid Vienna
FC BW Linz
WSG Wattens
Grazer AK
Austria Klagenfurt
SCR Altach