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Avellino vs Padova Result & Analysis

Date: 07/03/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 1-0
Avellino
Avellino
Vs
35%
29%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Padova
Padova
Italy: Serie B
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Avellino win✓ Hit
35.3%
Avg Implied 43.0% · @ 2.14
Edge
-7.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.3%
Avg Implied 31.5% · @ 2.92
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Padova win✗ Miss
35.3%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.61
Edge
+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

AvellinoAvellino

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W12L01L31W12L13L01L11D00D04LH·SAM10/01H·CAR17/01A·SPE24/01H·CES31/01A·MON08/02H·FRO11/02H·PES15/02A·REG22/02H·JUV28/02A·VEN03/03
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.571.271.470.931.67
vs Stronger (4)1.002.001.501.000.503.00
vs Similar (26)1.121.501.231.541.001.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Padova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PadovaPadova

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W12L03L12L33D10W01L11D21W22DH·MOD11/01H·MAN17/01A·SUD25/01H·MON01/02A·JUV07/02H·CAR10/02A·SAM14/02H·BAR21/02A·MOD28/02H·SPE03/03
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.301.201.271.071.33
vs Stronger (9)0.781.330.751.750.801.00
vs Similar (21)1.291.291.361.091.201.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.3%
Under 1.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.5%
@ 2.20+4.3%
Under 2.5
53.5%
@ 1.61-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.0%
Under 3.5
75.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.9%
No
47.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-0
9.2%
0-1
8.8%
1-0 ✓
8.8%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
8.1%
0-2
6.4%
2-0
6.4%
Avellino goals ↓
Padova goals →
01234
09.2%8.8%6.4%2.7%0.9%
18.8%14%8.1%3.4%1.1%
26.4%8.1%5.1%2.2%0.7%
32.7%3.4%2.2%0.9%0.3%
40.9%1.1%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Avellino goals (down), columns = Padova goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Venezia
2.16
Frosinone
2.13
Monza
1.98
Palermo
1.88
Catanzaro
1.58
Modena
1.41
Juve Stabia
1.34
Avellino
1.26
Cesena
1.21
Padova
1.21
Mantova
1.21
Sampdoria
1.16
Carrarese
1.16
Virtus Entella
1.11
Empoli
1.08
Sudtirol
1.07
Bari
1.05
Reggiana
0.97
Spezia
0.92
Pescara
0.92
Avellino is 0.05 points better than Padova in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.21).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Venezia
2.03
Frosinone
2.00
Catanzaro
1.63
Monza
1.60
Palermo
1.57
Pescara
1.34
Modena
1.26
Carrarese
1.24
Empoli
1.24
Cesena
1.18
Mantova
1.18
Juve Stabia
1.17
Spezia
1.13
Avellino
1.10
Padova
1.03
Sudtirol
0.95
Bari
0.95
Virtus Entella
0.95
Reggiana
0.95
Sampdoria
0.92
Avellino is 0.08 goals better than Padova in terms of goals scored per game (1.10 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Venezia
0.82
Monza
0.88
Frosinone
0.89
Palermo
0.90
Modena
0.95
Juve Stabia
1.20
Sudtirol
1.20
Sampdoria
1.26
Catanzaro
1.28
Padova
1.29
Virtus Entella
1.34
Carrarese
1.37
Empoli
1.42
Cesena
1.47
Reggiana
1.47
Avellino
1.49
Bari
1.50
Mantova
1.50
Spezia
1.55
Pescara
1.74
Avellino is 0.20 goals worse than Padova in terms of goals conceded per game (1.49 vs 1.29).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Venezia
64%
Mantova
57%
Catanzaro
54%
Juve Stabia
53%
Monza
52%
Pescara
51%
Sampdoria
51%
Carrarese
51%
Modena
50%
Avellino
50%
Cesena
50%
Frosinone
50%
Palermo
49%
Spezia
48%
Empoli
48%
Padova
48%
Virtus Entella
46%
Bari
46%
Reggiana
41%
Sudtirol
41%
Avellino is 2.5 percentage points better than Padova in terms of average possession (50% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

AvellinoAvellino

For 5.5 · Against 4.2 · Total 9.7

🚩 Corners

170362816464215749364523891010171112107A·VENH·JUVA·REGH·PESH·FROA·MONH·CESA·SPEH·CARH·SAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

8041311244213124312335438333736A·VENH·JUVA·REGH·PESH·FROA·MONH·CESA·SPEH·CARH·SAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 13.9 · Total 28.0

⚠️ Fouls

3809112117151017181314141091414171411151720382535272423312532A·VENH·JUVA·REGH·PESH·FROA·MONH·CESA·SPEH·CARH·SAM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

PadovaPadova

For 4.1 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.6

🚩 Corners

150653593153841393562312118126115128815H·SPEA·MODH·BARA·SAMH·CARA·JUVH·MONA·SUDH·MANH·MOD
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

7023234122332311333312573554464H·SPEA·MODH·BARA·SAMH·CARA·JUVH·MONA·SUDH·MANH·MOD
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.5 · Against 13.9 · Total 29.4

⚠️ Fouls

36015131313191520121810122416917101420111328263432283625273424H·SPEA·MODH·BARA·SAMH·CARA·JUVH·MONA·SUDH·MANH·MOD
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AvellinoAvellino

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.510.09.04.54.34.831.031.430.6
vs Stronger (6)9.88.311.33.33.73.028.834.723.0
vs Similar (43)9.510.28.74.84.45.231.330.931.6
vs Weaker (1)8.0-8.02.0-2.031.0-31.0
% over line46%56%36%66%56%76%96%100%92%
% under line54%44%64%34%44%24%4%0%8%
This opponent (Padova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PadovaPadova

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.010.45.15.05.130.130.230.0
vs Stronger (17)10.512.19.45.25.05.430.430.330.4
vs Similar (33)10.09.211.15.05.14.930.030.229.6
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line60%62%58%76%73%79%96%92%100%
% under line40%38%42%24%27%21%4%8%0%
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Pescara
10.7
Virtus Entella
10.3
Padova
10.2
Palermo
10.1
Spezia
10.1
Carrarese
9.9
Bari
9.7
Frosinone
9.6
Mantova
9.5
Avellino
9.5
Empoli
9.4
Venezia
9.4
Juve Stabia
9.2
Monza
9.0
Reggiana
9.0
Sudtirol
9.0
Sampdoria
9.0
Modena
8.9
Cesena
8.9
Catanzaro
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Spezia
5.7
Sampdoria
5.5
Mantova
5.4
Carrarese
5.4
Reggiana
5.2
Modena
5.1
Pescara
5.1
Padova
5.1
Bari
5.0
Juve Stabia
4.9
Palermo
4.9
Catanzaro
4.8
Frosinone
4.8
Cesena
4.7
Sudtirol
4.6
Avellino
4.5
Empoli
4.4
Venezia
4.4
Virtus Entella
4.4
Monza
4.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Mantova
33.5
Spezia
33.1
Juve Stabia
32.7
Sampdoria
32.1
Frosinone
31.4
Sudtirol
31.0
Avellino
31.0
Pescara
30.6
Reggiana
30.6
Padova
30.1
Virtus Entella
30.0
Catanzaro
29.8
Bari
29.6
Venezia
29.3
Palermo
29.3
Modena
29.3
Empoli
28.8
Carrarese
28.4
Monza
28.3
Cesena
27.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.0%
Under 9.5
49.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.4%
Under 3.5
29.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
94.4%
Under 21.5
5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

AvellinoAvellino

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D01L21W00D02L00D11D00D03LH·SAM10/01H·CAR17/01A·SPE24/01H·CES31/01A·MON08/02H·FRO11/02H·PES15/02A·REG22/02H·JUV28/02A·VEN03/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.800.600.470.601.13
vs Stronger (4)0.500.751.000.000.001.50
vs Similar (26)0.620.810.540.540.691.08
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Padova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PadovaPadova

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L02L11D01L10W01L11D20W11DH·MOD11/01H·MAN17/01A·SUD25/01H·MON01/02A·JUV07/02H·CAR10/02A·SAM14/02H·BAR21/02A·MOD28/02H·SPE03/03
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.730.530.870.400.60
vs Stronger (9)0.440.890.501.000.400.80
vs Similar (21)0.480.670.550.820.400.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %37% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Avellino over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avellino over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avellino over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

AvellinoAvellino

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L00D10W12L11D01L00D00D01LH·SAM10/01H·CAR17/01A·SPE24/01H·CES31/01A·MON08/02H·FRO11/02H·PES15/02A·REG22/02H·JUV28/02A·VEN03/03
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.770.671.000.330.53
vs Stronger (4)0.501.250.501.000.501.50
vs Similar (26)0.500.690.691.000.310.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Padova) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PadovaPadova

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W11D01L01L32W00D00D00D01L11DH·MOD11/01H·MAN17/01A·SUD25/01H·MON01/02A·JUV07/02H·CAR10/02A·SAM14/02H·BAR21/02A·MOD28/02H·SPE03/03
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.570.670.400.670.73
vs Stronger (9)0.330.440.250.750.400.20
vs Similar (21)0.810.620.820.270.801.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Avellino) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Avellino over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avellino over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Avellino over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Padova over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls97.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls94.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls88.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards85.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 25.5 fouls78.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.575.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.573.3%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners72.5%-------✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards70.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Avellino
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Tommaso Biasci29%
Andrea Favilli17%
Raffaele Russo11%
Martin Palumbo11%
Armando Izzo10%
Facundo Lescano9%
Lorenco Šimić9%
Michele Besaggio8%
Antony Iannarilli7%
Valerio Crespi7%
Patrick Enrici7%
Filippo Missori6%
Justin Kumi5%
Roberto Insigne5%
Francesco Patierno4%
Gennaro Tutino4%
Tommaso Cancellotti3%
Dimitrios Sounas3%
Luca Palmiero0%
Marco Armellino0%
Andrea Cagnano0%
Marco Sala0%
Luca Pandolfi0%
Claudio Manzi0%
Lorenzo Sgarbi0%
Emmanuel Gyabuaa0%
Giovanni Daffara0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Luca D'Andrea0%
Alessandro Milani0%
Andrea Le Borgne0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Armando Izzo40%
Andrea Cagnano38%
Claudio Manzi33%
Alessandro Fontanarosa28%
Luca Palmiero27%
Francesco Patierno26%
Andrea Le Borgne25%
Lorenco Šimić24%
Dimitrios Sounas24%
Tommaso Cancellotti21%
Filippo Missori19%
Luca Pandolfi17%
Marco Sala15%
Martin Palumbo11%
Michele Besaggio11%
Justin Kumi11%
Patrick Enrici10%
Tommaso Biasci9%
Raffaele Russo9%
Antony Iannarilli7%
Alessandro Milani7%
Gennaro Tutino4%
Giovanni Daffara4%
Roberto Insigne0%
Andrea Favilli0%
Marco Armellino0%
Facundo Lescano0%
Lorenzo Sgarbi0%
Emmanuel Gyabuaa0%
Luca D'Andrea0%
Valerio Crespi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Armando Izzo20%
Andrea Favilli17%
Marco Sala15%
Dimitrios Sounas12%
Roberto Insigne9%
Facundo Lescano9%
Raffaele Russo9%
Martin Palumbo8%
Valerio Crespi7%
Filippo Missori6%
Tommaso Biasci6%
Francesco Patierno4%
Gennaro Tutino4%
Patrick Enrici3%
Luca Palmiero3%
Tommaso Cancellotti3%
Lorenco Šimić3%
Michele Besaggio3%
Antony Iannarilli0%
Marco Armellino0%
Andrea Cagnano0%
Luca Pandolfi0%
Claudio Manzi0%
Lorenzo Sgarbi0%
Emmanuel Gyabuaa0%
Giovanni Daffara0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Luca D'Andrea0%
Justin Kumi0%
Alessandro Milani0%
Andrea Le Borgne0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tommaso Biasci17%
Martin Palumbo8%
Valerio Crespi7%
Raffaele Russo6%
Roberto Insigne5%
Francesco Patierno4%
Michele Besaggio3%
Armando Izzo0%
Tommaso Cancellotti0%
Andrea Favilli0%
Lorenco Šimić0%
Antony Iannarilli0%
Luca Palmiero0%
Gennaro Tutino0%
Marco Armellino0%
Andrea Cagnano0%
Dimitrios Sounas0%
Marco Sala0%
Facundo Lescano0%
Luca Pandolfi0%
Claudio Manzi0%
Lorenzo Sgarbi0%
Emmanuel Gyabuaa0%
Patrick Enrici0%
Giovanni Daffara0%
Alessandro Fontanarosa0%
Luca D'Andrea0%
Justin Kumi0%
Filippo Missori0%
Alessandro Milani0%
Andrea Le Borgne0%
Padova
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Mattia Bortolussi28%
Kevin Lasagna24%
Alessandro Seghetti17%
Filippo Sgarbi14%
Christian Pastina10%
Gianluca Caprari9%
Luca Di Maggio7%
Francesco Di Mariano7%
Carlo Faedo6%
Kevin Varas Marcillo6%
Alessandro Capelli6%
Jonas Harder4%
Cristian Buonaiuto4%
Marco Perrotta3%
Pietro Fusi3%
Antonio Barreca0%
Papu Gómez0%
Daniele Baselli0%
Francesco Belli0%
Lorenzo Crisetig0%
Paolo Ghiglione0%
Giulio Favale0%
Alessandro Sorrentino0%
Mattia Fortin0%
Lorenzo Villa0%
Giovanni Giunti0%
Jonathan Silva0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marco Perrotta40%
Pietro Fusi38%
Daniele Baselli38%
Antonio Barreca30%
Christian Pastina30%
Lorenzo Villa25%
Giovanni Giunti25%
Jonas Harder23%
Lorenzo Crisetig20%
Francesco Di Mariano20%
Carlo Faedo19%
Mattia Fortin14%
Francesco Belli14%
Papu Gómez11%
Paolo Ghiglione11%
Kevin Varas Marcillo11%
Alessandro Capelli11%
Luca Di Maggio11%
Filippo Sgarbi10%
Giulio Favale9%
Cristian Buonaiuto7%
Jonathan Silva6%
Alessandro Seghetti6%
Alessandro Sorrentino4%
Mattia Bortolussi3%
Gianluca Caprari0%
Kevin Lasagna0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alessandro Capelli17%
Cristian Buonaiuto11%
Kevin Varas Marcillo11%
Gianluca Caprari9%
Pietro Fusi9%
Francesco Di Mariano7%
Paolo Ghiglione6%
Giulio Favale5%
Antonio Barreca4%
Lorenzo Crisetig4%
Kevin Lasagna4%
Mattia Bortolussi3%
Papu Gómez0%
Daniele Baselli0%
Francesco Belli0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Marco Perrotta0%
Christian Pastina0%
Alessandro Sorrentino0%
Mattia Fortin0%
Carlo Faedo0%
Luca Di Maggio0%
Lorenzo Villa0%
Giovanni Giunti0%
Jonathan Silva0%
Jonas Harder0%
Alessandro Seghetti0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Papu Gómez33%
Kevin Lasagna20%
Mattia Bortolussi16%
Kevin Varas Marcillo8%
Cristian Buonaiuto7%
Francesco Di Mariano7%
Jonathan Silva6%
Alessandro Seghetti6%
Luca Di Maggio4%
Pietro Fusi3%
Alessandro Capelli3%
Antonio Barreca0%
Gianluca Caprari0%
Daniele Baselli0%
Francesco Belli0%
Lorenzo Crisetig0%
Paolo Ghiglione0%
Filippo Sgarbi0%
Marco Perrotta0%
Giulio Favale0%
Christian Pastina0%
Alessandro Sorrentino0%
Mattia Fortin0%
Carlo Faedo0%
Lorenzo Villa0%
Giovanni Giunti0%
Jonas Harder0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (36)
€117m
FRO (33)
€84m
MON (29)
€70m
PAL (27)
€54m
SAM (27)
€37m
MOD (28)
€31m
CES (32)
€28m
AVE (27)
€26m
PAD (31)
€25m
MAN (32)
€24m
SUD (27)
€21m
CAT (30)
€21m
EMP (27)
€20m
CAR (22)
€15m
JS (33)
€13m
SPE (34)
€11m
VE (27)
€11m
PES (27)
€8m
REG (27)
€8m
BAR (22)
€8m
Avellino and Padova have a similar squad value (both €26m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (9)
€39m
FRO (8)
€34m
MON (11)
€26m
PAL (7)
€23m
SAM (7)
€14m
MAN (12)
€12m
CAT (15)
€12m
EMP (9)
€11m
CES (10)
€10m
MOD (9)
€7m
PAD (9)
€6m
AVE (10)
€6m
CAR (5)
€5m
PES (10)
€4m
SPE (10)
€3m
VE (7)
€3m
SUD (5)
€3m
JS (8)
€2m
BAR (6)
€2m
REG (6)
€1m
Avellino and Padova have a similar attack value (both €6m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (11)
€31m
FRO (11)
€27m
MON (7)
€24m
PAL (7)
€12m
MOD (9)
€11m
SUD (10)
€11m
AVE (6)
€9m
SAM (6)
€7m
PAD (9)
€7m
MAN (10)
€6m
VE (11)
€6m
EMP (9)
€6m
CES (9)
€5m
JS (11)
€5m
SPE (11)
€4m
BAR (6)
€3m
CAR (7)
€2m
REG (9)
€2m
CAT (2)
€2m
PES (6)
€1m
Avellino's midfield is €1m more valuable than Padova's (€9m vs €7m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
VEN (16)
€47m
FRO (14)
€24m
MON (11)
€20m
PAL (13)
€19m
SAM (14)
€17m
MOD (10)
€12m
CES (13)
€12m
PAD (13)
€12m
AVE (11)
€11m
CAT (13)
€8m
SUD (12)
€8m
CAR (10)
€8m
MAN (10)
€7m
JS (14)
€6m
REG (12)
€4m
EMP (9)
€4m
SPE (13)
€4m
PES (11)
€3m
BAR (10)
€3m
VE (9)
€2m
Avellino and Padova have a similar defence value (both €11m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
AVE wins
1
Draws
0
PAD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Avellino vs Padova · H/A from AVE
DateH/AGameScore
30/09/25APadova Vs AVE2-2

AvellinoAvellino

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/03/26AVenezia Vs AVE4-0
28/02/26HAVE Vs Juve Stabia0-0
22/02/26AReggiana Vs AVE1-1
15/02/26HAVE Vs Pescara0-1
11/02/26HAVE Vs Frosinone1-3
08/02/26AMonza Vs AVE2-1
31/01/26HAVE Vs Cesena3-1
24/01/26ASpezia Vs AVE1-0
17/01/26HAVE Vs Carrarese1-2
10/01/26HAVE Vs Sampdoria2-1

PadovaPadova

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/03/26HPAD Vs Spezia2-2
28/02/26AModena Vs PAD1-2
21/02/26HPAD Vs Bari1-1
14/02/26ASampdoria Vs PAD1-0
10/02/26HPAD Vs Carrarese1-0
07/02/26AJuve Stabia Vs PAD3-3
01/02/26HPAD Vs Monza1-2
25/01/26ASudtirol Vs PAD3-0
17/01/26HPAD Vs Mantova1-2
11/01/26HPAD Vs Modena2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Avellino
Avellino
Italy: Serie B
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDL1.12
HomeLWLLD1.36
AwayDLLDL0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %26%36%16%
AVG goals2.542.602.48
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %48%56%40%
Over 3.5 %22%24%20%
Scored1.041.200.88
Conceded1.501.401.60
BTTS56%56%56%
Clean Sheet18%24%12%
Corners9.4810.008.96
Cards4.544.284.80
Padova
Padova
Italy: Serie B
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWD1.08
HomeLLWDD1.08
AwayLLDLW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%19%25%
AVG goals2.262.152.38
Over 1.5 %70%73%67%
Over 2.5 %40%38%42%
Over 3.5 %16%15%17%
Scored1.041.041.04
Conceded1.221.121.33
BTTS58%62%54%
Clean Sheet24%23%25%
Corners10.169.9610.38
Cards5.065.045.08

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1MonzaMonza4283
57%
2.0
6737+30
2.5
74%
48%
21%
9.1
40%
4.5
63%
27.9
88%
70
2624201.60.9
52%
2VeneziaVenezia3882
63%
2.2
7731+46
2.8
89%
58%
32%
9.2
47%
4.4
71%
30.2
92%
117
3931472.00.8
64%
3FrosinoneFrosinone3881
61%
2.1
7634+42
2.9
84%
61%
37%
10.2
61%
4.9
76%
30.5
97%
84
3427242.00.9
50%
4PalermoPalermo4075
52%
1.9
6336+27
2.5
75%
45%
20%
9.5
50%
5.0
74%
28.3
90%
54
2312191.60.9
49%
5CatanzaroCatanzaro4368
42%
1.6
7055+15
2.9
84%
53%
37%
8.7
42%
4.9
65%
30.4
100%
21
12281.61.3
54%
6ModenaModena3955
38%
1.4
4937+12
2.2
74%
49%
10%
9.3
44%
4.6
66%
29.3
90%
31
711121.30.9
50%
7Juve StabiaJuve Stabia4155
29%
1.3
4849-1
2.4
73%
44%
24%
8.8
29%
5.0
74%
29.5
95%
13
2561.21.2
53%
8AvellinoAvellino3949
33%
1.3
4358-15
2.6
77%
46%
23%
9.3
51%
5.0
69%
30.8
97%
26
69111.11.5
50%
9PadovaPadova3846
32%
1.2
3949-10
2.3
61%
39%
21%
9.8
53%
4.8
74%
28.6
97%
25
67121.01.3
48%
10CesenaCesena3846
32%
1.2
4556-11
2.7
79%
53%
29%
9.4
47%
4.1
58%
25.4
82%
28
105121.21.5
50%
11MantovaMantova3846
34%
1.2
4557-12
2.7
71%
53%
26%
9.8
50%
5.3
82%
32.3
100%
24
12671.21.5
57%
12CarrareseCarrarese3844
26%
1.2
4752-5
2.6
74%
50%
29%
10.5
68%
5.1
71%
28.5
87%
15
5281.21.4
51%
13SampdoriaSampdoria3844
29%
1.2
3548-13
2.2
63%
39%
16%
9.2
39%
4.8
70%
32.2
92%
37
147170.91.3
51%
14SudtirolSudtirol4043
20%
1.1
3848-10
2.1
68%
38%
18%
8.2
30%
4.0
54%
30.8
95%
21
31180.91.2
41%
15Virtus EntellaVirtus Entella3842
26%
1.1
3651-15
2.3
74%
37%
18%
9.9
63%
4.4
62%
29.5
95%
11
3620.91.3
46%
16BariBari4042
25%
1.1
3860-22
2.5
78%
50%
20%
9.4
50%
4.7
65%
29.0
85%
8
2330.91.5
46%
17EmpoliEmpoli3841
24%
1.1
4754-7
2.7
76%
47%
32%
10.0
55%
4.5
76%
30.4
92%
20
11641.21.4
48%
18ReggianaReggiana3837
24%
1.0
3656-20
2.4
68%
47%
26%
9.4
42%
4.5
66%
29.4
92%
8
1240.91.5
41%
19PescaraPescara3835
18%
0.9
5166-15
3.1
89%
63%
39%
10.5
63%
5.1
76%
31.3
95%
8
4131.31.7
51%
20SpeziaSpezia3835
21%
0.9
4359-16
2.7
76%
45%
29%
9.9
53%
5.4
82%
31.5
100%
11
3441.11.6
48%
Italy: Serie B 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →

👥 18. Who played

Minutes played, then goals, assists, cards and match rating. Substitutes in grey.

← all matches