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Ayia Napa vs PAEEK Result & Analysis

Date: 11/02/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 3-3
Ayia Napa
Ayia Napa
Vs
32%
30%
38%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
PAEEK
PAEEK
Cyprus: 2. Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Ayia Napa win✗ Miss
32.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
PAEEK win✗ Miss
37.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L20W12L01L12L12L12L23L10W01LA·OMO12/11A·PAE26/11H·XYL03/12A·AE 10/12H·OTH17/12A·PEY22/12H·ETH07/01A·XYL15/01A·OLY22/01H·ANA28/01
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.221.121.121.201.30
vs Stronger (18)1.171.221.121.121.201.30
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (PAEEK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PAEEKPAEEK

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L31W11D21W22D01L34L21W13L00DH·AYI26/11A·KRA03/12H·XYL10/12A·OMO17/12H·AE 22/12A·ANA07/01H·OLY15/01H·ERM21/01A·KRA28/01H·XYL04/02
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.161.261.001.301.331.22
vs Stronger (15)1.201.071.000.831.331.22
vs Similar (3)1.332.001.332.00--
vs Weaker (1)0.002.000.002.00--
Clean sheet %21% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.1%
Under 1.5
28.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
43.8%
Under 2.5
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.7%
Under 3.5
77.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
50.6%
No
49.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%
0-0
10.1%
0-1
9.9%
1-0
8.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-1
7.5%
0-2
7.1%
2-0
5.9%
Ayia Napa goals ↓
PAEEK goals →
01234
010%9.9%7.1%3.0%1.0%
18.9%14%8.2%3.5%1.1%
25.9%7.5%4.8%2.0%0.6%
32.3%2.9%1.8%0.8%0.2%
40.7%0.8%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ayia Napa goals (down), columns = PAEEK goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Othellos
2.03
AE Zakakiou
1.93
Ethnikos Achna
1.90
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.72
PAEEK
1.44
Xylotympou
1.44
Ermis
1.43
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.38
Krasava Ypsonas
1.36
Peyia
1.34
Ayia Napa
1.26
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.22
MEAP Nisou
1.14
Omonia Aradippou
1.10
Alki Oroklini
0.53
Olympiada Lympion
0.41
Ayia Napa is 0.19 points worse than PAEEK in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.44).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Krasava Ypsonas
2.11
Xylotympou
1.70
AE Zakakiou
1.59
Ethnikos Achna
1.59
Othellos
1.59
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.45
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.33
PAEEK
1.30
Ermis
1.21
Ayia Napa
1.11
Omonia 29is Maiou
1.10
Omonia Aradippou
1.00
Peyia
0.86
MEAP Nisou
0.83
Olympiada Lympion
0.78
Alki Oroklini
0.65
Ayia Napa is 0.19 goals worse than PAEEK in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 1.30).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
AE Zakakiou
0.72
Omonia 29is Maiou
0.79
Ethnikos Achna
0.93
Othellos
0.97
Peyia
1.00
PAEEK
1.11
Omonia Aradippou
1.14
Ermis
1.14
Ahironas / Onisilos
1.17
Ayia Napa
1.22
MEAP Nisou
1.41
Xylotympou
1.44
Krasava Ypsonas
1.57
Anagennisi Deryneia
1.70
Olympiada Lympion
2.19
Alki Oroklini
2.53
Ayia Napa is 0.11 goals worse than PAEEK in terms of goals conceded per game (1.22 vs 1.11).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L00D02L01L02L02L11D10W00DH·MEA05/11A·OMO12/11A·PAE26/11H·XYL03/12A·AE 10/12H·OTH17/12A·PEY22/12H·ETH07/01A·OLY22/01H·ANA28/01
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.250.810.141.000.330.67
vs Stronger (16)0.250.810.141.000.330.67
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %44% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (PAEEK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PAEEKPAEEK

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D20W10W00D10W01L03L00D03L00DH·AYI26/11A·KRA03/12H·XYL10/12A·OMO17/12H·AE 22/12A·ANA07/01H·OLY15/01H·ERM21/01A·KRA28/01H·XYL04/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.320.530.200.500.440.56
vs Stronger (15)0.400.400.330.170.440.56
vs Similar (3)0.001.330.001.33--
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %68% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W02L20W10W00D10W10W01L00D01LH·MEA05/11A·OMO12/11A·PAE26/11H·XYL03/12A·AE 10/12H·OTH17/12A·PEY22/12H·ETH07/01A·OLY22/01H·ANA28/01
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.810.380.860.290.780.44
vs Stronger (16)0.810.380.860.290.780.44
vs Similar (0)------
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %69% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (PAEEK) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PAEEKPAEEK

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D01L21W12L00D31W21W10W00DH·AYI26/11A·KRA03/12H·XYL10/12A·OMO17/12H·AE 22/12A·ANA07/01H·OLY15/01H·ERM21/01A·KRA28/01H·XYL04/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.840.740.800.800.890.67
vs Stronger (15)0.800.670.670.670.890.67
vs Similar (3)1.330.671.330.67--
vs Weaker (1)0.002.000.002.00--
Clean sheet %42% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayia Napa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ayia Napa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayia Napa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
PAEEK over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.577.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.571.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (18)
€5m
KY (20)
€4m
O2M (10)
€3m
EA (2)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
Ayia Napa and PAEEK have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KY (8)
€2m
OA (5)
€1m
O2M (2)
€0m
EA (1)
€0m
AN (1)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
Ayia Napa and PAEEK have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (4)
€1m
KY (4)
€0m
O2M (2)
€0m
EA (0)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
PAE (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
OA (9)
€2m
O2M (6)
€2m
KY (8)
€1m
EA (1)
€0m
PAE (1)
€0m
AN (0)
€0m
Ayia Napa and PAEEK have a similar defence value (both €0m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
AN wins
0
Draws
0
PAE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ayia Napa vs PAEEK · H/A from AN
DateH/AGameScore
26/11/22APAEEK Vs AN0-2

Ayia NapaAyia Napa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/01/23HAN Vs Anagennisi Deryneia0-1
22/01/23AOlympiada Lympion Vs AN0-1
15/01/23AXylotympou Vs AN3-2
07/01/23HAN Vs Ethnikos Achna1-2
22/12/22APeyia Vs AN2-1
17/12/22HAN Vs Othellos1-2
10/12/22AAE Zakakiou Vs AN1-0
03/12/22HAN Vs Xylotympou1-2
26/11/22APAEEK Vs AN0-2
12/11/22AOmonia Aradippou Vs AN4-0

PAEEKPAEEK

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/02/23HPAE Vs Xylotympou0-0
28/01/23AKrasava Ypsonas Vs PAE3-1
21/01/23HPAE Vs Ermis2-1
15/01/23HPAE Vs Olympiada Lympion3-4
07/01/23AAnagennisi Deryneia Vs PAE1-0
22/12/22HPAE Vs AE Zakakiou2-2
17/12/22AOmonia 29is Maiou Vs PAE1-2
10/12/22HPAE Vs Xylotympou1-1
03/12/22AKrasava Ypsonas Vs PAE1-3
26/11/22HPAE Vs Ayia Napa0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ayia Napa
Ayia Napa
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLWL1.11
HomeDLLLL1.00
AwayWLLLW1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %33%25%40%
AVG goals2.392.252.50
Over 1.5 %78%88%70%
Over 2.5 %44%38%50%
Over 3.5 %11%0%20%
Scored1.171.121.20
Conceded1.221.121.30
BTTS39%62%20%
Clean Sheet33%25%40%
Corners---
Cards---
PAEEK
PAEEK
Cyprus: 2. Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLD1.37
HomeDDLWD1.20
AwayWWWLL1.56
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %37%30%44%
AVG goals2.422.302.56
Over 1.5 %63%60%67%
Over 2.5 %42%30%56%
Over 3.5 %26%20%33%
Scored1.161.001.33
Conceded1.261.301.22
BTTS53%40%67%
Clean Sheet21%30%11%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1OthellosOthellos2959
66%
2.0
4628+18
2.6
76%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
2AE ZakakiouAE Zakakiou2956
55%
1.9
4621+25
2.3
62%
48%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.7
-
3Ethnikos AchnaEthnikos Achna2955
55%
1.9
4627+19
2.5
66%
52%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.60.9
-
4Omonia 29is MaiouOmonia 29is Maiou2950
48%
1.7
3223+9
1.9
55%
28%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0021.10.8
-
5Ahironas / OnisilosAhironas / Onisilos2940
34%
1.4
4234+8
2.6
69%
38%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.2
-
6ErmisErmis2840
39%
1.4
3432+2
2.4
64%
43%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.1
-
7XylotympouXylotympou2739
41%
1.4
4639+7
3.1
74%
56%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.4
-
8PAEEKPAEEK2739
37%
1.4
3530+5
2.4
63%
44%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.1
-
9PeyiaPeyia2939
34%
1.3
2529-4
1.9
55%
28%
10%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.0
-
10Krasava YpsonasKrasava Ypsonas2838
36%
1.4
5944+15
3.7
89%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2012.11.6
-
11Ayia NapaAyia Napa2734
37%
1.3
3033-3
2.3
74%
37%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
12Anagennisi DeryneiaAnagennisi Deryneia2733
33%
1.2
3646-10
3.0
81%
59%
41%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
13MEAP NisouMEAP Nisou2933
34%
1.1
2441-17
2.2
45%
38%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.4
-
14Omonia AradippouOmonia Aradippou2932
24%
1.1
2933-4
2.1
59%
34%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1121.01.1
-
15Olympiada LympionOlympiada Lympion2711
7%
0.4
2159-38
3.0
74%
41%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.2
-
16Alki OrokliniAlki Oroklini179
12%
0.5
1143-32
3.2
65%
53%
35%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.5
-
Cyprus: 2. Division 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Cyprus: 2. Division stats & trends →

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