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Ayr Utd vs Arbroath Result & Analysis

Date: 19/07/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 4-0
Ayr Utd
Ayr Utd
Vs
40%
29%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ayr Utd win✓ Hit
40.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arbroath win✗ Miss
30.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-611D30W01L11D05L22D10W10W02L61WH·HAM22/03H·DUN29/03A·RAI05/04H·FAL11/04A·LIV18/04H·QUE26/04A·AIR02/05A·PAR06/05H·PAR09/05A·ANN15/07
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.871.071.871.001.871.13
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (28)1.791.072.001.001.571.14
vs Weaker (1)6.001.00--6.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-532W11D11D10W10W40W15L03L11D00DA·ALL08/03H·DUM15/03A·KEL22/03H·COV29/03A·MON05/04H·STE12/04A·ANN19/04A·INV26/04H·QUE03/05H·ST 12/07
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.601.071.620.751.571.43
vs Stronger (6)1.500.672.000.331.001.00
vs Similar (15)1.471.071.250.881.711.29
vs Weaker (9)1.891.332.000.801.752.00
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%018%127%221%313%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.2%
Under 1.5
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
45.2%
Under 2.5
54.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.9%
Under 3.5
76.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.5%
No
48.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
1-0
10.0%
0-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
0-1
8.2%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
7.3%
0-2
5.4%
Ayr Utd goals ↓
Arbroath goals →
01234
09.6%8.2%5.4%2.0%0.6%
110.0%14%7.3%2.7%0.8%
27.6%8.6%4.9%1.9%0.5%
33.4%3.9%2.2%0.8%0.2%
41.2%1.3%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ayr Utd goals (down), columns = Arbroath goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aberdeen
2.57
Celtic
2.50
Dundee
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ross County
2.40
Livingston
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
Dundee Utd
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Falkirk
2.00
Airdrie United
1.80
Hibernian
1.80
ST Johnstone
1.80
Queen's Park
1.80
Partick
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Montrose
1.75
East Fife
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Motherwell
1.71
Morton
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Kilmarnock
1.00
Inverness CT
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Kelty Hearts
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Dunfermline
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Stirling
0.50
Dumbarton
0.25
East Kilbride
0.25
Stranraer
0.25
Elgin
0.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.25
ST Mirren
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Edinburgh City
0.00
Ayr Utd is 1.25 points better than Arbroath in terms of average points per game (2.25 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
4.25
Dundee
4.00
Airdrie United
3.20
Queen's Park
3.20
Hibernian
3.00
Aberdeen
2.86
Partick
2.75
Falkirk
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ayr Utd
2.25
Clyde
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.20
Dundee Utd
2.00
Ross County
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Raith Rovers
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Montrose
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Spartans
1.33
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Livingston
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Peterhead
1.25
Queen of the South
1.25
Dumbarton
1.00
Dunfermline
1.00
Stranraer
1.00
Inverness CT
0.75
Morton
0.75
Cove Rangers
0.75
Elgin
0.75
Forfar
0.75
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.75
Brechin
0.50
East Kilbride
0.50
Kelty Hearts
0.50
Stirling
0.50
Arbroath
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
ST Mirren
0.00
Kilmarnock
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Ayr Utd is 2.00 goals better than Arbroath in terms of goals scored per game (2.25 vs 0.25).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.00
Livingston
0.25
Motherwell
0.71
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Ross County
0.80
ST Mirren
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Dundee
1.00
Aberdeen
1.00
Rangers
1.00
Raith Rovers
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Dundee Utd
1.17
Spartans
1.17
Falkirk
1.17
Queen's Park
1.20
Ayr Utd
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Montrose
1.25
East Fife
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.25
ST Johnstone
1.40
Celtic
1.50
Morton
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Inverness CT
1.75
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Stirling
2.00
Airdrie United
2.20
Cove Rangers
2.25
Brechin
2.50
Stranraer
2.50
Stenhousemuir
2.75
Peterhead
2.75
Dumbarton
3.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.25
Elgin
3.50
East Kilbride
4.00
Edinburgh City
4.00
Ayr Utd and Arbroath are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.25).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.
For 4.0 · Against 5.0 · Total 9.0

🟨 Cards

90459A·PAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

ArbroathArbroath

For 5.7 · Against 3.2 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

1905231136245446641271227448981241914H·QUEA·INVA·ANNH·STEA·MONH·COVA·KELH·DUMA·ALLA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.8

🟨 Cards

5022112244121334244530330H·QUEA·INVA·ANNH·STEA·MONH·COVA·KELH·DUMA·ALLA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.6 · Against 10.4 · Total 19.0

⚠️ Fouls

320910151799811866948111611551319321819141512271618H·QUEA·INVA·ANNH·STEA·MONH·COVA·KELH·DUMA·ALLA·DUM
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.20.00.4---
vs Stronger (1)---0.00.0----
vs Similar (47)---0.20.00.4---
vs Weaker (2)---0.0-0.0---
% over line---2%0%4%---
% under line---98%100%96%---
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.27.912.32.52.72.219.819.819.8
vs Stronger (11)9.99.010.53.03.22.820.619.821.2
vs Similar (26)9.16.911.51.92.11.720.620.021.2
vs Weaker (13)12.08.815.23.23.62.818.019.716.3
% over line54%32%75%32%40%24%33%32%35%
% under line46%68%25%68%60%76%67%68%65%
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.8
Aberdeen
11.6
Ross County
11.5
Falkirk
11.4
Hibernian
11.3
Morton
11.2
Motherwell
11.2
Dundee Utd
11.1
Kilmarnock
10.7
Dumbarton
10.7
ST Johnstone
10.7
Dunfermline
10.6
Rangers
10.6
Airdrie United
10.6
Dundee
10.5
Heart Of Midlothian
10.5
Stirling
10.4
Arbroath
10.3
Kelty Hearts
10.1
ST Mirren
10.1
Partick
10.1
Annan Athletic
10.1
Brechin
10.0
Cove Rangers
10.0
Clyde
9.8
Forfar
9.6
East Fife
9.6
Stenhousemuir
9.5
Montrose
9.4
Stranraer
9.2
Edinburgh City
9.2
Elgin
9.2
Spartans
9.1
Livingston
9.0
Inverness CT
8.9
Peterhead
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Ayr Utd
9.0
Peterhead
5.1
Morton
4.7
Aberdeen
4.6
Elgin
4.6
Forfar
4.6
Edinburgh City
4.5
Dundee Utd
4.4
Clyde
4.3
ST Mirren
4.3
Stirling
4.2
Rangers
4.2
Falkirk
4.1
Motherwell
4.1
Hibernian
4.1
Partick
4.0
Stranraer
4.0
ST Johnstone
4.0
Spartans
4.0
Heart Of Midlothian
3.9
East Fife
3.9
Kilmarnock
3.9
Dundee
3.8
Livingston
3.7
Annan Athletic
3.7
Stenhousemuir
3.7
Dumbarton
3.7
Dunfermline
3.6
Montrose
3.6
Brechin
3.5
Celtic
3.5
Airdrie United
3.5
Inverness CT
3.4
Ross County
3.3
Kelty Hearts
3.3
Arbroath
3.2
Cove Rangers
2.7

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Forfar
24.8
Peterhead
24.6
Elgin
23.8
Edinburgh City
23.8
Livingston
23.5
Aberdeen
23.3
East Fife
23.1
Clyde
22.6
Morton
22.2
ST Johnstone
22.1
Motherwell
22.0
Spartans
22.0
Falkirk
21.9
Stenhousemuir
21.8
Kilmarnock
21.7
ST Mirren
21.7
Stirling
21.5
Rangers
21.4
Heart Of Midlothian
21.4
Dundee Utd
21.0
Inverness CT
20.8
Ross County
20.7
Airdrie United
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Montrose
20.1
Partick
20.0
Dunfermline
20.0
Hibernian
19.9
Annan Athletic
19.8
Dundee
19.7
Arbroath
19.7
Kelty Hearts
19.7
Stranraer
19.6
Dumbarton
18.9
Celtic
18.4
Cove Rangers
18.1
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.1%
Under 3.5
99.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ayr Utd or Draw✓ Hit
69.8%
Avg Implied -
40%
29%
30%
covers Ayr Utd + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd or Arbroath✓ Hit
70.5%
Avg Implied -
40%
29%
30%
covers Ayr Utd + Arbroath
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Arbroath✗ Miss
59.6%
Avg Implied -
40%
29%
30%
covers Draw + Arbroath
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ayr Utd over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
74.1%
Under
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
39.0%
Under
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
15.4%
Under
84.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
4.8%
Under
95.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
67.9%
Under
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.4%
Under
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.7%
Under
89.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Ayr Utd, so a minus line means Ayr Utd give that many goals of a start and Arbroath receive them. At -1, Ayr Utd must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ayr Utd win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ayr Utd)Actual: Ayr Utd
Ayr Utd -2
7.0%
Draw -2
12.3%
Arbroath +2
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ayr Utd)Actual: Ayr Utd
Ayr Utd -1
19.3%
Draw -1
21.1%
Arbroath +1
59.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ayr Utd)Actual: Ayr Utd
Ayr Utd +1
69.8%
Draw +1
17.5%
Arbroath -1
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ayr Utd)Actual: Ayr Utd
Ayr Utd +2
87.4%
Draw +2
8.7%
Arbroath -2
3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D01L03L12L10W00D01L20WH·HAM22/03H·DUN29/03A·RAI05/04H·FAL11/04A·LIV18/04H·QUE26/04A·AIR02/05A·PAR06/05H·PAR09/05A·ANN15/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.471.000.470.600.47
vs Stronger (1)0.000.000.000.00--
vs Similar (28)0.790.501.070.500.500.50
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W10W10W10W12L02L01L00DA·ALL08/03H·DUM15/03A·KEL22/03H·COV29/03A·MON05/04H·STE12/04A·ANN19/04A·INV26/04H·QUE03/05H·ST 12/07
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.400.810.311.000.50
vs Stronger (6)1.000.331.330.330.670.33
vs Similar (15)0.730.400.500.381.000.43
vs Weaker (9)1.110.441.000.201.250.75
Clean sheet %70% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ayr Utd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D20W01L10W02L10W00D10W01L41WH·HAM22/03H·DUN29/03A·RAI05/04H·FAL11/04A·LIV18/04H·QUE26/04A·AIR02/05A·PAR06/05H·PAR09/05A·ANN15/07
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.600.870.531.270.67
vs Stronger (1)0.001.000.001.00--
vs Similar (28)1.000.570.930.501.070.64
vs Weaker (1)4.001.00--4.001.00
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Arbroath) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArbroathArbroath

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D01L01L00D00D30W03L01L10W00DA·ALL08/03H·DUM15/03A·KEL22/03H·COV29/03A·MON05/04H·STE12/04A·ANN19/04A·INV26/04H·QUE03/05H·ST 12/07
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.670.810.440.570.93
vs Stronger (6)0.500.330.670.000.330.67
vs Similar (15)0.730.670.750.500.710.86
vs Weaker (9)0.780.891.000.600.501.25
Clean sheet %57% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ayr Utd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arbroath over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards100.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards100.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.5 cards99.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 7.599.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 2.5 cards98.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.6%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals97.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.595.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals95.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.589.3%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals89.3%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap87.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals84.6%-------✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap80.7%-------✗ Miss
Under 3.576.1%-------✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals74.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.572.2%-------✓ Hit
Home or Away70.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Ayr Utd's squad is €1m more valuable than Arbroath's (€2m vs €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Ayr Utd and Arbroath have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Ayr Utd and Arbroath have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Ayr Utd and Arbroath have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
AU wins
3
Draws
2
ARB wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ayr Utd vs Arbroath · H/A from AU
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/24HAU Vs Arbroath5-0
23/01/24HAU Vs Arbroath2-0
13/01/24AArbroath Vs AU0-0
02/09/23AArbroath Vs AU2-1
31/03/23AArbroath Vs AU2-0
14/01/23HAU Vs Arbroath2-2
29/10/22AArbroath Vs AU0-2
30/07/22HAU Vs Arbroath0-0

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/07/25AAnnan Athletic Vs AU1-6
09/05/25HAU Vs Partick0-2
06/05/25APartick Vs AU0-1
02/05/25AAirdrie United Vs AU0-1
26/04/25HAU Vs Queen's Park2-2
18/04/25ALivingston Vs AU5-0
11/04/25HAU Vs Falkirk1-1
05/04/25ARaith Rovers Vs AU1-0
29/03/25HAU Vs Dunfermline3-0
22/03/25HAU Vs Hamilton Academical1-1

ArbroathArbroath

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
12/07/25HARB Vs ST Mirren0-0
03/05/25HARB Vs Queen of Sth1-1
26/04/25AInverness CT Vs ARB3-0
19/04/25AAnnan Athletic Vs ARB5-1
12/04/25HARB Vs Stenhousemuir4-0
05/04/25AMontrose Vs ARB0-1
29/03/25HARB Vs Cove Rangers1-0
22/03/25AKelty Hearts Vs ARB1-1
15/03/25HARB Vs Dumbarton1-1
08/03/25AAlloa Vs ARB2-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ayr Utd
Ayr Utd
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWLW1.78
HomeDWDDL2.04
AwayLLWWW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%60%44%
AVG goals2.863.122.60
Over 1.5 %74%80%68%
Over 2.5 %44%56%32%
Over 3.5 %30%36%24%
Scored1.822.121.52
Conceded1.041.001.08
BTTS44%52%36%
Clean Sheet38%40%36%
Corners---
Cards9.00-9.00
Arbroath
Arbroath
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDD1.38
HomeDWWDD1.52
AwayWDWLL1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%44%36%
AVG goals2.862.443.28
Over 1.5 %78%72%84%
Over 2.5 %62%56%68%
Over 3.5 %30%20%40%
Scored1.221.161.28
Conceded1.641.282.00
BTTS40%32%48%
Clean Sheet36%44%28%
Corners10.187.9512.30
Cards3.183.582.80

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ST JohnstoneST Johnstone48103
60%
2.1
8734+53
2.5
67%
44%
29%
10.0
50%
4.8
83%
22.5
67%
5
2121.80.7
-
2PartickPartick4889
48%
1.9
7246+26
2.5
75%
44%
27%
10.7
67%
4.6
58%
20.2
33%
3
1111.51.0
-
3DunfermlineDunfermline4874
44%
1.5
6949+20
2.5
73%
44%
25%
7.0
8%
4.8
83%
23.9
67%
4
2021.41.0
-
4ArbroathArbroath4871
38%
1.5
6055+5
2.4
69%
46%
21%
8.2
33%
4.2
67%
23.8
67%
1
0001.21.1
-
5MortonMorton4850
21%
1.0
4866-18
2.4
71%
44%
25%
10.2
58%
4.5
50%
23.4
58%
1
0001.01.4
-
6Ross CountyRoss County4849
25%
1.0
5075-25
2.6
69%
50%
29%
8.0
25%
3.9
58%
22.8
67%
1
0011.01.6
-
7Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United5047
20%
0.9
4667-21
2.3
64%
46%
22%
10.6
67%
3.3
50%
18.3
25%
0
0000.91.3
-
8Raith RoversRaith Rovers3645
33%
1.2
4342+1
2.4
75%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.21.2
-
9
RR
Raith Rvs		3645
33%
1.2
4342+1
2.4
75%
42%
19%
9.6
47%
4.3
56%
21.0
53%
0
0001.21.2
-
10Queens ParkQueens Park3641
25%
1.1
3548-13
2.3
67%
39%
19%
8.7
39%
4.1
69%
21.8
56%
0
0001.01.3
-
11QueenQueen's Park3641
25%
1.1
3548-13
2.3
67%
39%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.3
-
12
A
Ayr		3639
22%
1.1
3847-9
2.4
69%
42%
17%
10.0
50%
4.5
69%
22.4
58%
0
0001.11.3
-
13Ayr UtdAyr Utd3639
22%
1.1
3847-9
2.4
69%
42%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.3
-
14Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic49
75%
2.2
54+1
2.2
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
15StenhousemuirStenhousemuir45
25%
1.2
54+1
2.2
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.0
-
16Queen of the SouthQueen of the South22
0%
1.0
22+0
2.0
100%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
Scotland: Championship 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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