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Ayr Utd vs Falkirk Result & Analysis

Date: 16/07/2024
Time: 18:45
Final 1-0
Ayr Utd
Ayr Utd
Vs
39%
27%
34%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Falkirk
Falkirk
Scotland: League Cup
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ayr Utd win✓ Hit
39.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Falkirk win✗ Miss
33.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-502L21W12L21W12L11D50W01L00D33DA·DUN02/03A·INV16/03H·QUE23/03H·AIR29/03A·RAI06/04H·MOR09/04H·ARB13/04A·DUN20/04A·PAR27/04H·DUN03/05
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.571.801.601.201.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)1.521.481.861.501.151.46
vs Weaker (3)1.332.331.003.001.502.00
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FalkirkFalkirk

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-721W41W41W71W51W20W22D33D22D20WA·STI09/03A·QUE16/03H·EDI23/03A·MON30/03H·COV06/04A·HAM13/04H·KEL20/04A·ANN27/04H·ALL04/05H·DUN13/07
Avg total
4.5
Avg scored
3.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.600.802.620.812.570.79
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)2.710.652.700.802.710.43
vs Weaker (13)2.461.002.500.832.431.14
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%7%014%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.9%
Under 1.5
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
55.7%
Under 2.5
44.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.4%
Under 3.5
66.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.9%
No
40.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
8.0%
1-0 ✓
7.1%
0-0
6.6%
0-1
6.4%
2-0
6.3%
2-2
6.1%
Ayr Utd goals ↓
Falkirk goals →
01234
06.6%6.4%5.3%2.5%0.9%
17.1%13%8.0%3.7%1.3%
26.3%8.7%6.1%2.8%1.0%
33.2%4.4%3.1%1.4%0.5%
41.2%1.7%1.2%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ayr Utd goals (down), columns = Falkirk goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Aberdeen
2.57
Celtic
2.50
Dundee
2.50
Rangers
2.50
Ross County
2.40
Livingston
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
Falkirk
2.00
Spartans
2.00
Dundee Utd
2.00
ST Johnstone
1.80
Hibernian
1.80
Queen's Park
1.80
Airdrie United
1.80
Partick
1.75
Montrose
1.75
East Fife
1.75
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Motherwell
1.71
Morton
1.50
Peterhead
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Kilmarnock
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Arbroath
1.00
Cove Rangers
1.00
Kelty Hearts
1.00
Inverness CT
1.00
Dunfermline
0.75
Stenhousemuir
0.75
Stirling
0.50
Dumbarton
0.25
Stranraer
0.25
Elgin
0.25
East Kilbride
0.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.25
ST Mirren
0.00
Brechin
0.00
Edinburgh City
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Buckie Thistle
0.00
Ayr Utd is 0.25 points better than Falkirk in terms of average points per game (2.25 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celtic
4.25
Dundee
4.00
Queen's Park
3.20
Airdrie United
3.20
Hibernian
3.00
Aberdeen
2.86
Partick
2.75
Rangers
2.50
Falkirk
2.50
Clyde
2.25
Ayr Utd
2.25
ST Johnstone
2.20
Ross County
2.00
East Fife
2.00
Dundee Utd
2.00
Annan Athletic
1.75
Raith Rovers
1.75
Alloa Athletic
1.75
Montrose
1.50
Motherwell
1.43
Spartans
1.33
Livingston
1.25
Peterhead
1.25
Stenhousemuir
1.25
Queen of the South
1.25
Hamilton Academical
1.25
Buckie Thistle
1.25
Dumbarton
1.00
Dunfermline
1.00
Stranraer
1.00
Morton
0.75
Forfar
0.75
Elgin
0.75
Cove Rangers
0.75
Inverness CT
0.75
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
0.75
Brechin
0.50
Stirling
0.50
Kelty Hearts
0.50
East Kilbride
0.50
Arbroath
0.25
Edinburgh City
0.25
Kilmarnock
0.00
ST Mirren
0.00
Heart Of Midlothian
0.00
Ayr Utd is 0.25 goals worse than Falkirk in terms of goals scored per game (2.25 vs 2.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kilmarnock
0.00
Livingston
0.25
Motherwell
0.71
Hamilton Academical
0.75
Ross County
0.80
Dundee
1.00
Aberdeen
1.00
Rangers
1.00
ST Mirren
1.00
Hibernian
1.00
Forfar
1.00
Raith Rovers
1.00
Falkirk
1.17
Spartans
1.17
Dundee Utd
1.17
Queen's Park
1.20
Partick
1.25
Dunfermline
1.25
Arbroath
1.25
Montrose
1.25
East Fife
1.25
Annan Athletic
1.25
Ayr Utd
1.25
Alloa Athletic
1.25
ST Johnstone
1.40
Celtic
1.50
Morton
1.50
Clyde
1.50
Queen of the South
1.50
Inverness CT
1.75
Stirling
2.00
Kelty Hearts
2.00
Heart Of Midlothian
2.00
Airdrie United
2.20
Cove Rangers
2.25
Brechin
2.50
Stranraer
2.50
Peterhead
2.75
Stenhousemuir
2.75
Dumbarton
3.25
Bonnyrigg Rose Athletic
3.25
Elgin
3.50
Edinburgh City
4.00
East Kilbride
4.00
Buckie Thistle
4.25
Ayr Utd is 0.08 goals worse than Falkirk in terms of goals conceded per game (1.25 vs 1.17).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

FalkirkFalkirk

For 8.8 · Against 3.4 · Total 12.2

🚩 Corners

16013113347931066492559210114161112161011101111H·ALLA·ANNH·KELA·HAMH·COVA·MONH·EDIA·QUEA·STIA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

501322322112211422224434133544H·ALLA·ANNH·KELA·HAMH·COVA·MONH·EDIA·QUEA·STIA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 9.8 · Total 20.0

⚠️ Fouls

290101017710811186513781191181310820241829112019202118H·ALLA·ANNH·KELA·HAMH·COVA·MONH·EDIA·QUEA·STIA·COV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (44)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (6)---0.00.00.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FalkirkFalkirk

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.710.511.03.73.14.421.920.723.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (33)10.410.410.43.42.84.021.720.522.8
vs Weaker (17)11.410.612.04.53.85.122.420.923.8
% over line72%65%79%54%36%72%47%35%58%
% under line28%35%21%46%64%28%53%65%42%
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Celtic
11.9
Rangers
11.3
Heart Of Midlothian
11.2
Dundee
11.1
Dundee Utd
11.1
Ross County
11.1
Kelty Hearts
11.0
Morton
10.9
ST Mirren
10.8
Motherwell
10.8
Falkirk
10.8
Kilmarnock
10.7
Arbroath
10.7
Dunfermline
10.7
Aberdeen
10.5
Dumbarton
10.5
Stenhousemuir
10.3
Hibernian
10.3
Stirling
10.3
Montrose
10.2
ST Johnstone
10.1
Cove Rangers
10.1
Forfar
10.1
Annan Athletic
10.0
Partick
10.0
Brechin
10.0
Inverness CT
10.0
Edinburgh City
10.0
Stranraer
9.9
Airdrie United
9.9
Clyde
9.8
East Fife
9.6
Livingston
9.5
Spartans
9.4
Peterhead
8.8
Elgin
8.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Peterhead
4.8
Annan Athletic
4.7
Heart Of Midlothian
4.3
Morton
4.3
Rangers
4.2
Aberdeen
4.1
Kilmarnock
4.0
Dumbarton
4.0
Stenhousemuir
4.0
Dundee
4.0
Dundee Utd
4.0
Hibernian
4.0
Falkirk
4.0
Montrose
4.0
Stirling
4.0
Motherwell
4.0
ST Johnstone
3.8
Ross County
3.8
East Fife
3.7
Dunfermline
3.6
Elgin
3.6
Edinburgh City
3.6
Celtic
3.6
Kelty Hearts
3.6
Stranraer
3.5
Brechin
3.5
Partick
3.5
Livingston
3.5
Arbroath
3.4
Clyde
3.4
Forfar
3.4
Airdrie United
3.3
Spartans
3.2
ST Mirren
3.2
Cove Rangers
3.2
Inverness CT
2.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Peterhead
24.8
Aberdeen
24.2
Livingston
23.9
Elgin
23.7
Forfar
23.7
Kilmarnock
22.8
Heart Of Midlothian
22.7
Motherwell
22.4
ST Johnstone
22.3
Morton
22.3
Ross County
22.2
Dundee Utd
22.2
Rangers
21.9
Stenhousemuir
21.9
Falkirk
21.8
Kelty Hearts
21.7
Hibernian
21.6
East Fife
21.5
ST Mirren
21.3
Montrose
21.1
Annan Athletic
20.9
Arbroath
20.9
Spartans
20.9
Dumbarton
20.5
Edinburgh City
20.4
Clyde
20.4
Brechin
20.4
Stirling
20.2
Stranraer
20.0
Dundee
20.0
Partick
19.9
Celtic
19.5
Inverness CT
19.3
Dunfermline
19.3
Cove Rangers
18.8
Airdrie United
18.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Ayr Utd or Draw✓ Hit
66.2%
Avg Implied -
39%
27%
34%
covers Ayr Utd + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd or Falkirk✓ Hit
73.1%
Avg Implied -
39%
27%
34%
covers Ayr Utd + Falkirk
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Falkirk✗ Miss
60.7%
Avg Implied -
39%
27%
34%
covers Draw + Falkirk
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Ayr Utd over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.1%
Under
21.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
44.9%
Under
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
19.6%
Under
80.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.8%
Under
93.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
75.2%
Under
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
40.6%
Under
59.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
16.5%
Under
83.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.3%
Under
94.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Ayr Utd, so a minus line means Ayr Utd give that many goals of a start and Falkirk receive them. At -1, Ayr Utd must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Ayr Utd win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Ayr Utd)Actual: Falkirk
Ayr Utd -2
7.7%
Draw -2
12.0%
Falkirk +2
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Ayr Utd)Actual: Draw
Ayr Utd -1
19.8%
Draw -1
19.5%
Falkirk +1
60.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Ayr Utd)Actual: Ayr Utd
Ayr Utd +1
66.2%
Draw +1
17.8%
Falkirk -1
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Ayr Utd)Actual: Ayr Utd
Ayr Utd +2
84.1%
Draw +2
10.1%
Falkirk -2
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D01L01L01L11D30W00D00D13LA·DUN02/03A·INV16/03H·QUE23/03H·AIR29/03A·RAI06/04H·MOR09/04H·ARB13/04A·DUN20/04A·PAR27/04H·DUN03/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.870.930.930.470.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.740.781.000.930.460.62
vs Weaker (3)0.331.670.001.000.502.00
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FalkirkFalkirk

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D20W31W21W00D22D11D12L00DA·STI09/03A·QUE16/03H·EDI23/03A·MON30/03H·COV06/04A·HAM13/04H·KEL20/04A·ANN27/04H·ALL04/05H·DUN13/07
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.501.380.440.860.57
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.060.411.200.500.860.29
vs Weaker (13)1.230.621.670.330.860.86
Clean sheet %60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ayr Utd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W11D20W11D00D20W01L00D20WA·DUN02/03A·INV16/03H·QUE23/03H·AIR29/03A·RAI06/04H·MOR09/04H·ARB13/04A·DUN20/04A·PAR27/04H·DUN03/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.700.870.670.730.73
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (27)0.780.700.860.570.690.85
vs Weaker (3)1.000.671.002.001.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Falkirk) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FalkirkFalkirk

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W41W21W40W30W20W00D22D10W20WA·STI09/03A·QUE16/03H·EDI23/03A·MON30/03H·COV06/04A·HAM13/04H·KEL20/04A·ANN27/04H·ALL04/05H·DUN13/07
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.470.301.250.381.710.21
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (17)1.650.241.500.301.860.14
vs Weaker (13)1.230.380.830.501.570.29
Clean sheet %77% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ayr Utd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Falkirk over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.597.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals94.7%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals93.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.592.4%-------✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap84.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals83.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.582.9%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals80.4%-------✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap80.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.579.9%-------✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals78.1%-------✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals75.2%-------✗ Miss
Home or Away73.1%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Falkirk · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Scott Bain0%
Ryan Strain0%
Ethan Ross0%
Liam Henderson0%
Leon McCann0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Aodhan Doherty0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Leon McCann33%
Aodhan Doherty33%
Scott Bain0%
Ryan Strain0%
Ethan Ross0%
Liam Henderson0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Scott Bain0%
Ryan Strain0%
Ethan Ross0%
Liam Henderson0%
Leon McCann0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Aodhan Doherty0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ethan Ross33%
Scott Bain0%
Ryan Strain0%
Liam Henderson0%
Leon McCann0%
Ben Parkinson0%
Aodhan Doherty0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (29)
€136m
CEL (27)
€116m
HOM (30)
€22m
HIB (27)
€20m
MOT (26)
€16m
ABE (27)
€15m
DU (22)
€11m
SM (24)
€8m
KIL (24)
€7m
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
SJ (25)
€5m
LIV (25)
€4m
DUN (26)
€4m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
RC (11)
€1m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
KH (4)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
AA (2)
€0m
EK (4)
€0m
MON (4)
€0m
STE (2)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STI (3)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
Ayr Utd's squad is €4m less valuable than Falkirk's (€2m vs €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (11)
€56m
RAN (9)
€38m
HOM (12)
€12m
MOT (10)
€10m
HIB (9)
€7m
ABE (7)
€4m
DU (7)
€4m
KIL (9)
€3m
SJ (9)
€2m
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (9)
€2m
SM (8)
€1m
LIV (7)
€1m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
KH (3)
€1m
AA (1)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
EK (3)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CLY (2)
€0m
RC (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Ayr Utd's attack is €1m less valuable than Falkirk's (€1m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (8)
€44m
CEL (5)
€20m
HIB (7)
€8m
ABE (8)
€4m
HOM (6)
€4m
SM (6)
€3m
DU (6)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
KIL (5)
€2m
MOT (4)
€1m
LIV (8)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
SJ (5)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
DUN (4)
€0m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
RC (3)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
MON (2)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
EF (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
EC (1)
€0m
DUM (0)
€0m
FOR (0)
€0m
STR (0)
€0m
STE (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KH (0)
€0m
EK (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
QOT (0)
€0m
Ayr Utd and Falkirk have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RAN (12)
€54m
CEL (11)
€41m
ABE (12)
€7m
HOM (12)
€6m
MOT (12)
€5m
HIB (11)
€5m
DU (9)
€4m
FAL (13)
€3m
SM (10)
€3m
KIL (10)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
DUN (13)
€2m
SJ (11)
€2m
LIV (10)
€1m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RC (7)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
QOT (1)
€0m
FOR (1)
€0m
STE (1)
€0m
KH (1)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
DUM (1)
€0m
STR (1)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
EK (1)
€0m
STI (1)
€0m
MON (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
EF (0)
€0m
CLY (0)
€0m
EC (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Ayr Utd's defence is €2m less valuable than Falkirk's (€1m vs €3m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
AU wins
0
Draws
0
FAL wins

Head-to-head

Ayr Utd vs Falkirk · H/A from AU
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/24HAU Vs Dunfermline3-3
27/04/24APartick Vs AU0-0
20/04/24ADundee Utd Vs AU1-0
13/04/24HAU Vs Arbroath5-0
09/04/24HAU Vs Morton1-1
06/04/24ARaith Rovers Vs AU2-1
29/03/24HAU Vs Airdrie United2-1
23/03/24HAU Vs Queen's Park1-2
16/03/24AInverness CT Vs AU1-2
02/03/24ADunfermline Vs AU2-0

FalkirkFalkirk

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
13/07/24HFAL Vs Dundee Utd2-0
04/05/24HFAL Vs Alloa2-2
27/04/24AAnnan Athletic Vs FAL3-3
20/04/24HFAL Vs Kelty Hearts2-2
13/04/24AHamilton Vs FAL0-2
06/04/24HFAL Vs Cove Rangers5-1
30/03/24AMontrose Vs FAL1-7
23/03/24HFAL Vs Edinburgh City4-1
16/03/24AQueen of Sth Vs FAL1-4
09/03/24AStirling Vs FAL1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ayr Utd
Ayr Utd
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLDD1.26
HomeLWDWD1.25
AwayLWLLD1.27
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%33%35%
AVG goals2.963.042.88
Over 1.5 %78%79%77%
Over 2.5 %64%67%62%
Over 3.5 %32%33%31%
Scored1.361.421.31
Conceded1.601.621.58
BTTS56%54%58%
Clean Sheet24%29%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Falkirk
Falkirk
Scotland: League Cup
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDDW2.18
HomeWWDDW2.20
AwayWWWWD2.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%64%64%
AVG goals3.323.163.48
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %68%72%64%
Over 3.5 %46%44%48%
Scored2.382.362.40
Conceded0.940.801.08
BTTS54%48%60%
Clean Sheet40%48%32%
Corners10.7410.4811.00
Cards3.983.354.58

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FalkirkFalkirk52104
60%
2.0
10150+51
2.9
77%
54%
37%
11.4
56%
4.1
44%
22.1
56%
6
2131.91.0
-
2LivingstonLivingston52103
58%
2.0
8538+47
2.4
73%
54%
12%
8.8
50%
5.2
69%
24.4
62%
4
1111.60.7
-
3PartickPartick5282
44%
1.6
6552+13
2.2
67%
42%
10%
9.5
38%
4.6
69%
20.8
44%
3
1111.21.0
-
4MortonMorton5274
37%
1.4
6264-2
2.4
71%
42%
21%
11.8
69%
4.2
69%
19.7
38%
1
0001.21.2
-
5
A
Ayr		3663
50%
1.8
5739+18
2.7
78%
42%
25%
9.9
53%
4.4
72%
22.5
61%
0
0001.61.1
-
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd3663
50%
1.8
5739+18
2.7
78%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.61.1
-
7Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United5656
27%
1.0
5893-35
2.7
75%
52%
29%
11.4
50%
3.6
56%
22.3
62%
0
0001.01.7
-
8Raith RoversRaith Rovers3653
42%
1.5
4743+4
2.5
75%
42%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.31.2
-
9
RR
Raith Rvs		3653
42%
1.5
4743+4
2.5
75%
42%
19%
7.9
28%
4.1
58%
23.1
67%
0
0001.31.2
-
10DunfermlineDunfermline5249
25%
0.9
4064-24
2.0
60%
31%
12%
9.2
38%
3.9
50%
22.9
62%
4
2020.81.2
-
11
H
Hamilton		3636
28%
1.0
3864-26
2.8
78%
61%
31%
10.9
50%
4.1
53%
23.0
69%
0
0001.11.8
-
12Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical3636
28%
1.0
3864-26
2.8
78%
61%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
13Queens ParkQueens Park3635
25%
1.0
3655-19
2.5
75%
53%
19%
11.8
64%
4.0
58%
19.4
36%
0
0001.01.5
-
14QueenQueen's Park3635
25%
1.0
3655-19
2.5
75%
53%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.01.5
-
15Cove RangersCove Rangers45
25%
1.2
33+0
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.80.8
-
16Queen of the SouthQueen of the South21
0%
0.5
12-1
1.5
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.51.0
-
17StenhousemuirStenhousemuir20
0%
0.0
25-3
3.5
100%
100%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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