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Ayr Utd vs Queen's Park Result & Analysis

Date: 08/10/2022
Time: 14:00
Final 5-0
Ayr Utd
Ayr Utd
Vs
38%
30%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Queen
Queen's Park
Scotland: Championship
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ayr Utd win✓ Hit
38.2%
Avg Implied 48.7% · @ 1.90
Edge
-10.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
29.9%
Avg Implied 26.7% · @ 3.47
Edge
+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park win✗ Miss
31.9%
Avg Implied 24.6% · @ 3.76
Edge
+7.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D32W22D21W31W21W23L01LH·ARB30/07A·QUE05/08H·HAM13/08A·COV20/08H·DUN26/08A·MOR03/09A·RAI17/09H·INV01/10
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.751.381.251.002.251.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)2.001.431.671.002.251.75
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %12% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's Park

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D23L32W21W21W03L20W10W12LA·INV30/07H·AYR05/08H·PAR13/08A·ARB20/08H·COV27/08A·DUN03/09A·HAM17/09H·RAI01/10H·MOR04/10
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.561.441.801.601.251.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.621.501.801.601.331.33
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %22% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%20%27%10%019%127%221%313%46%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.3%
Under 1.5
28.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.0%
@ 1.89-5.6%
Under 2.5
56.0%
@ 1.86+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
22.9%
Under 3.5
77.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
50.8%
No
49.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-0
10.0%
1-0
9.9%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-0
7.2%
0-2
5.8%
Ayr Utd goals ↓
Queen's Park goals →
01234
010%8.8%5.8%2.2%0.6%
19.9%14%7.5%2.9%0.8%
27.2%8.3%4.8%1.8%0.5%
33.1%3.6%2.1%0.8%0.2%
41.0%1.1%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ayr Utd goals (down), columns = Queen's Park goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Airdrie United
2.25
Dundee
1.96
Queens Park
1.61
Ayr
1.61
Queen's Park
1.61
Ayr Utd
1.61
Morton
1.60
Partick
1.52
Alloa Athletic
1.50
Inverness CT
1.44
Raith Rvs
1.19
Raith Rovers
1.19
Arbroath
0.96
Hamilton Academical
0.93
Cove Rangers
0.87
Hamilton
0.86
Falkirk
0.00
Ayr Utd and Queen's Park are level in average points per game (both 1.61).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Airdrie United
2.25
Dundee
2.02
Queens Park
1.75
Queen's Park
1.75
Partick
1.73
Ayr
1.69
Ayr Utd
1.69
Morton
1.52
Alloa Athletic
1.50
Inverness CT
1.37
Raith Rvs
1.28
Raith Rovers
1.28
Cove Rangers
1.12
Falkirk
1.00
Hamilton Academical
0.95
Hamilton
0.86
Arbroath
0.79
Ayr Utd is 0.06 goals worse than Queen's Park in terms of goals scored per game (1.69 vs 1.75).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Airdrie United
1.00
Dundee
1.02
Morton
1.19
Ayr
1.19
Ayr Utd
1.19
Arbroath
1.23
Inverness CT
1.29
Raith Rvs
1.36
Raith Rovers
1.36
Partick
1.38
Queens Park
1.44
Queen's Park
1.44
Hamilton Academical
1.70
Hamilton
1.75
Cove Rangers
2.19
Alloa Athletic
2.50
Falkirk
3.50
Ayr Utd is 0.25 goals better than Queen's Park in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.44).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

QueenQueen's Park

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (8)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (7)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (1)---0.00.0----
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's Park

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (9)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (8)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (1)---0.0-0.0---
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Dundee
11.3
Hamilton
10.5
Queens Park
10.3
Ayr
10.3
Morton
10.3
Arbroath
10.1
Falkirk
10.0
Airdrie United
9.9
Raith Rvs
9.7
Partick
9.7
Inverness CT
9.3
Cove Rangers
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Falkirk
4.2
Raith Rvs
3.9
Hamilton
3.7
Dundee
3.7
Cove Rangers
3.6
Queens Park
3.5
Arbroath
3.4
Inverness CT
3.4
Ayr
3.3
Airdrie United
3.3
Partick
3.2
Morton
3.2

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Dundee
24.6
Hamilton
23.1
Inverness CT
22.8
Arbroath
22.7
Falkirk
22.2
Cove Rangers
21.4
Raith Rvs
21.4
Morton
20.9
Partick
20.6
Ayr
20.3
Airdrie United
19.2
Queens Park
18.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
58.3%
Under 9.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
42.4%
Under 3.5
57.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
47.4%
Under 21.5
52.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D02L11D00D11D10W02L00DH·ARB30/07A·QUE05/08H·HAM13/08A·COV20/08H·DUN26/08A·MOR03/09A·RAI17/09H·INV01/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.380.750.500.500.251.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)0.430.860.670.670.251.00
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's Park

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W10W10W10W02L10W00D01LA·INV30/07H·AYR05/08H·PAR13/08A·ARB20/08H·COV27/08A·DUN03/09A·HAM17/09H·RAI01/10H·MOR04/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.780.440.800.200.750.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.750.380.800.200.670.67
vs Weaker (1)1.001.00--1.001.00
Clean sheet %67% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ayr Utd over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D30W11D21W20W11D21W01LH·ARB30/07A·QUE05/08H·HAM13/08A·COV20/08H·DUN26/08A·MOR03/09A·RAI17/09H·INV01/10
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.380.620.750.502.000.75
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (7)1.570.571.000.332.000.75
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %38% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Queen's Park) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

QueenQueen's Park

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D03L22D11D11D01L10W10W11DA·INV30/07H·AYR05/08H·PAR13/08A·ARB20/08H·COV27/08A·DUN03/09A·HAM17/09H·RAI01/10H·MOR04/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.781.001.001.400.500.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.881.121.001.400.670.67
vs Weaker (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ayr Utd) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ayr Utd over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ayr Utd over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Queen's Park over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 5.5 cards88.1%--------
Under 25.5 fouls81.7%--------
Under 3.577.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 4.5 cards75.9%--------
Over 1.571.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners70.4%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (27)
€6m
DUN (21)
€5m
PAR (20)
€3m
AU (17)
€2m
QP (19)
€2m
RR (18)
€2m
MOR (14)
€1m
ARB (15)
€1m
IC (6)
€1m
HA (5)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
Ayr Utd and Queen's Park have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (9)
€2m
DUN (7)
€1m
PAR (6)
€1m
QP (8)
€1m
AU (6)
€1m
RR (5)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
IC (3)
€0m
HA (1)
€0m
ARB (3)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (1)
€0m
Ayr Utd and Queen's Park have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (7)
€2m
PAR (6)
€1m
FAL (5)
€1m
RR (6)
€1m
MOR (4)
€0m
ARB (5)
€0m
IC (2)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
AU (1)
€0m
QP (1)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Ayr Utd and Queen's Park have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FAL (13)
€3m
DUN (7)
€2m
AU (10)
€1m
PAR (8)
€1m
QP (10)
€1m
RR (7)
€0m
MOR (6)
€0m
ARB (7)
€0m
IC (1)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
CR (1)
€0m
AA (0)
€0m
Ayr Utd and Queen's Park have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
1
AU wins
0
Draws
0
QP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ayr Utd vs Queen's Park · H/A from AU
DateH/AGameScore
05/08/22AQueen's Park Vs AU2-3

Ayr UtdAyr Utd

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/10/22HAU Vs Inverness CT0-1
17/09/22ARaith Rovers Vs AU3-2
03/09/22AMorton Vs AU1-2
26/08/22HAU Vs Dundee3-1
20/08/22ACove Rangers Vs AU1-2
13/08/22HAU Vs Hamilton Academical2-2
05/08/22AQueen's Park Vs AU2-3
30/07/22HAU Vs Arbroath0-0

QueenQueen's Park

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/22HQP Vs Morton1-2
01/10/22HQP Vs Raith Rovers1-0
17/09/22AHamilton Academical Vs QP0-2
03/09/22ADundee Vs QP3-0
27/08/22HQP Vs Cove Rangers2-1
20/08/22AArbroath Vs QP1-2
13/08/22HQP Vs Partick3-2
05/08/22HQP Vs Ayr Utd2-3
30/07/22AInverness CT Vs QP1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ayr Utd
Ayr Utd
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLL1.75
HomeDDWL1.25
AwayWWWL2.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %50%25%75%
AVG goals3.122.254.00
Over 1.5 %75%50%100%
Over 2.5 %75%50%100%
Over 3.5 %50%50%50%
Scored1.751.252.25
Conceded1.381.001.75
BTTS75%50%100%
Clean Sheet12%25%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Queen
Queen's Park
Scotland: Championship
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.78
HomeLWWWL1.80
AwayDWLW1.75
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %56%60%50%
AVG goals3.003.402.50
Over 1.5 %89%80%100%
Over 2.5 %67%80%50%
Over 3.5 %22%40%0%
Scored1.561.801.25
Conceded1.441.601.25
BTTS67%80%50%
Clean Sheet22%20%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DundeeDundee52102
56%
2.0
10553+52
3.0
79%
52%
38%
9.8
56%
3.6
38%
21.2
50%
5
1222.01.0
-
2MortonMorton5283
42%
1.6
7962+17
2.7
77%
58%
27%
11.9
81%
5.3
75%
23.4
56%
1
0001.51.2
-
3PartickPartick5279
42%
1.5
9072+18
3.1
81%
63%
42%
10.8
75%
4.1
44%
19.9
31%
3
1111.71.4
-
4Inverness CTInverness CT5275
38%
1.4
7167+4
2.7
77%
54%
23%
12.5
62%
2.4
25%
15.9
25%
1
0001.41.3
-
5
A
Ayr		3658
44%
1.6
6143+18
2.9
81%
56%
39%
10.8
58%
3.1
31%
18.9
28%
0
0001.71.2
-
6Ayr UtdAyr Utd3658
44%
1.6
6143+18
2.9
81%
56%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.71.2
-
7Queens ParkQueens Park3658
47%
1.6
6352+11
3.2
83%
61%
39%
12.6
86%
3.0
36%
18.5
25%
0
0001.81.4
-
8QueenQueen's Park3658
47%
1.6
6352+11
3.2
83%
61%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.81.4
-
9ArbroathArbroath5250
17%
1.0
4164-23
2.0
65%
27%
13%
11.8
69%
4.3
62%
20.7
50%
1
0000.81.2
-
10Cove RangersCove Rangers5245
19%
0.9
58114-56
3.3
87%
62%
37%
10.2
56%
3.8
56%
20.2
38%
0
0001.12.2
-
11Raith RoversRaith Rovers3643
31%
1.2
4649-3
2.6
78%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1101.31.4
-
12
RR
Raith Rvs		3643
31%
1.2
4649-3
2.6
78%
44%
25%
9.6
47%
4.1
61%
19.7
42%
0
0001.31.4
-
13Hamilton AcademicalHamilton Academical4037
22%
0.9
3868-30
2.6
68%
42%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.7
-
14
H
Hamilton		3631
19%
0.9
3163-32
2.6
69%
42%
28%
11.3
69%
4.3
56%
22.6
56%
0
0000.91.8
-
15Airdrie UnitedAirdrie United49
75%
2.2
94+5
3.2
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.21.0
-
16Alloa AthleticAlloa Athletic23
50%
1.5
35-2
4.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.5
-
17FalkirkFalkirk20
0%
0.0
27-5
4.5
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2131.03.5
-
Scotland: Championship 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Scotland: Championship stats & trends →

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