This opponent (GO Ahead Eagles) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GO Ahead Eagles
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.97
1.53
2.33
1.27
1.60
1.80
vs Stronger (13)
1.77
2.31
2.00
2.17
1.57
2.43
vs Similar (17)
2.12
0.94
2.56
0.67
1.62
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-0pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (21%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.6%
Under 1.5
12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
68.6%
Under 2.5
31.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
47.1%
Under 3.5
52.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.4%
No
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
9.5%
2-0
9.0%
1-1 ✓
8.4%
3-1
7.8%
3-0
7.5%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
5.0%
4-1
4.9%
AZ Alkmaar goals ↓
GO Ahead Eagles goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
3.7%
2.3%
1.6%
0.6%
0.1%
1
6.5%
8.4%
4.0%
1.4%
0.4%
2
9.0%
9.5%
5.0%
1.7%
0.5%
3
7.5%
7.8%
4.1%
1.4%
0.4%
4
4.6%
4.9%
2.6%
0.9%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AZ Alkmaar goals (down), columns = GO Ahead Eagles goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Barendrecht
2.50
Heerenveen
2.33
Excelsior
2.33
SC Genemuiden
2.33
Utrecht
2.25
Rijnsburgse Boys
2.25
ASWH
2.25
Heracles
2.20
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
GO Ahead Eagles
2.20
Noordwijk
2.17
Feyenoord
2.00
Waalwijk
2.00
De Graafschap
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Winterswijk
2.00
Koninklijke HFC
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Achilles Veen
2.00
Quick '20
2.00
PSV Eindhoven
1.75
Quick Boys
1.75
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Hercules
1.67
Blauw Geel
1.67
Ajax
1.50
Groningen
1.50
Twente
1.50
Cambuur
1.50
Telstar
1.50
Fortuna Sittard
1.50
MVV
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
TEC
1.50
Gemert
1.50
Sportlust '46
1.50
ADO '20
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
RKAVV
1.50
UDI '19
1.50
HV & CV Quick
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Poortugaal
1.50
Kolping Boys
1.33
Dovo
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Capelle
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
PEC Zwolle
1.00
Spakenburg
1.00
RKAV Volendam
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
EVV
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
HBC
1.00
De Bilt
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
Geldrop
1.00
Willem II
0.50
Katwijk
0.50
Hoek
0.50
Zwaluw VFC
0.50
Juliana '31
0.50
Roda
0.00
Vitesse
0.00
NAC Breda
0.00
VVV Venlo
0.00
ADO Den Haag
0.00
Emmen
0.00
Dordrecht
0.00
FC OSS
0.00
Den Bosch
0.00
Almere City FC
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
De Treffers
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
Harkemase Boys
0.00
GOES
0.00
Kozakken Boys
0.00
HHC
0.00
URK
0.00
Kloetinge
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
Heerjansdam
0.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
0.00
ACV
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
Forum Sport
0.00
Huizen
0.00
SteDoCo
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Laar
0.00
SVBO
0.00
DAW Schaijk
0.00
Blauw Wit '34
0.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
0.00
UNA
0.00
ONS Sneek
0.00
DEM
0.00
AZ Alkmaar and GO Ahead Eagles are level in average points per game (both 2.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
FC Eindhoven
4.00
PSV Eindhoven
3.50
Ijsselmeervogels
3.33
Sparta Nijkerk
3.25
Utrecht
3.00
Groningen
3.00
Barendrecht
3.00
Excelsior
2.67
Waalwijk
2.67
De Graafschap
2.67
Cambuur
2.50
Fortuna Sittard
2.50
FC Volendam
2.50
Hercules
2.33
Blauw Geel
2.33
Quick Boys
2.25
AZ Alkmaar
2.20
Feyenoord
2.00
Heerenveen
2.00
Twente
2.00
GO Ahead Eagles
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Rijnvogels
2.00
Katwijk
2.00
GOES
2.00
TEC
2.00
URK
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Gemert
2.00
Excelsior Maassluis
2.00
Sportlust '46
2.00
ACV
2.00
Achilles Veen
2.00
SteDoCo
2.00
HBC
2.00
De Bilt
2.00
HV & CV Quick
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
Geldrop
2.00
Noordwijk
1.83
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.75
Eemdijk
1.75
Kolping Boys
1.67
Capelle
1.67
Willem II
1.50
Telstar
1.50
MVV
1.50
ASWH
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Juliana '31
1.50
Heracles
1.40
SC Genemuiden
1.33
Winterswijk
1.33
Koninklijke HFC
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
AFC Amsterdam
1.33
Quick '20
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
Roda
1.00
Ajax
1.00
Vitesse
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
NAC Breda
1.00
VVV Venlo
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
ADO Den Haag
1.00
Dordrecht
1.00
FC OSS
1.00
Den Bosch
1.00
De Treffers
1.00
Dovo
1.00
Harkemase Boys
1.00
Kozakken Boys
1.00
Kloetinge
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
ADO '20
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
Heerjansdam
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Huizen
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
SVBO
1.00
RKAVV
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
1.00
UNA
1.00
ONS Sneek
1.00
DEM
1.00
Hoek
0.50
Zwaluw VFC
0.50
Emmen
0.00
Almere City FC
0.00
Helmond Sport
0.00
Excelsior '31
0.00
HHC
0.00
GVVV Veenendaal
0.00
ROHDA Raalte
0.00
EVV
0.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
0.00
Hollandia
0.00
TOGB
0.00
Forum Sport
0.00
Meerssen
0.00
Laar
0.00
DAW Schaijk
0.00
Blauw Wit '34
0.00
AZ Alkmaar is 0.20 goals better than GO Ahead Eagles in terms of goals scored per game (2.20 vs 2.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
EVV
0.00
Winterswijk
0.33
Heracles
0.40
Barendrecht
0.50
ASWH
0.50
Sportlust '46
0.50
ADO '20
0.50
RKAVV
0.50
SC Genemuiden
0.67
Noordwijk
0.83
Utrecht
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.00
Ajax
1.00
GO Ahead Eagles
1.00
Sparta Rotterdam
1.00
Telstar
1.00
NEC Nijmegen
1.00
Emmen
1.00
De Graafschap
1.00
HHC
1.00
Gemert
1.00
Hsc 21
1.00
Elinkwijk
1.00
Hollandia
1.00
SVV Scheveningen
1.00
SDC Putten
1.00
Meerssen
1.00
Smitshoek
1.00
Olde Veste '54
1.00
UDI '19
1.00
PSV Eindhoven
1.25
Rijnsburgse Boys
1.25
Feyenoord
1.33
Heerenveen
1.33
Waalwijk
1.33
FC Lisse
1.33
Blauw Geel
1.33
Quick '20
1.33
OJC Rosmalen
1.33
MVV
1.50
FC Volendam
1.50
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Quick Boys
1.50
Hoek
1.50
Excelsior Maassluis
1.50
Vvsb
1.50
Achilles Veen
1.50
Ajax Amateurs
1.50
Excelsior
1.67
Hercules
1.67
Sparta Nijkerk
1.75
Willem II
2.00
Groningen
2.00
NAC Breda
2.00
VVV Venlo
2.00
Fortuna Sittard
2.00
PEC Zwolle
2.00
Dordrecht
2.00
Den Bosch
2.00
Dovo
2.00
Harkemase Boys
2.00
Kozakken Boys
2.00
Spakenburg
2.00
Kloetinge
2.00
RKAV Volendam
2.00
Capelle
2.00
FC 's-Gravenzande
2.00
Forum Sport
2.00
Huizen
2.00
HBC
2.00
De Bilt
2.00
Zwaluw VFC
2.00
DAW Schaijk
2.00
Blauw Wit '34
2.00
HV & CV Quick
2.00
Juliana '31
2.00
Poortugaal
2.00
DVS 33 Ermelo
2.00
Geldrop
2.00
DEM
2.00
Ijsselmeervogels
2.33
Twente
2.50
Cambuur
2.50
Katwijk
2.50
Eemdijk
2.50
Rijnvogels
2.67
Kolping Boys
2.67
Roda
3.00
Vitesse
3.00
Almere City FC
3.00
Helmond Sport
3.00
Koninklijke HFC
3.00
AFC Amsterdam
3.00
TEC
3.00
GVVV Veenendaal
3.00
SteDoCo
3.00
SVBO
3.00
ONS Sneek
3.00
ADO Den Haag
4.00
FC OSS
4.00
De Treffers
4.00
Excelsior '31
4.00
GOES
4.00
URK
4.00
ROHDA Raalte
4.00
Heerjansdam
4.00
TOGB
4.00
UNA
4.00
ACV
5.00
Laar
6.00
AZ Alkmaar and GO Ahead Eagles are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
GO Ahead Eagles
54%
AZ Alkmaar
46%
AZ Alkmaar is 8.0 percentage points worse than GO Ahead Eagles in terms of average possession (46% vs 54%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AZ Alkmaar
For 6.2 · Against 3.8 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.1 · Against 10.9 · Total 23.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
GO Ahead Eagles
For 5.6 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 3.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 11.1 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AZ Alkmaar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
9.3
9.6
4.1
4.0
4.3
22.2
21.7
22.8
vs Stronger (2)
7.5
3.0
12.0
1.5
1.0
2.0
15.5
16.0
15.0
vs Similar (19)
9.3
9.2
9.4
4.1
4.8
3.3
23.7
23.9
23.6
vs Weaker (29)
9.7
9.9
9.5
4.3
3.6
5.1
21.7
20.5
22.8
% over line
43%
35%
52%
60%
58%
62%
61%
57%
65%
% under line
57%
65%
48%
40%
42%
38%
39%
43%
35%
This opponent (GO Ahead Eagles) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GO Ahead Eagles
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.3
10.8
2.7
2.4
2.9
19.5
19.7
19.4
vs Stronger (22)
9.4
9.1
9.5
2.8
2.2
3.2
18.9
19.5
18.5
vs Similar (26)
11.5
10.9
11.9
2.5
2.3
2.6
19.9
19.5
20.2
vs Weaker (2)
12.0
12.0
-
3.5
3.5
-
21.0
21.0
-
% over line
51%
48%
54%
34%
25%
42%
33%
38%
29%
% under line
49%
52%
46%
66%
75%
58%
67%
62%
71%
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Waalwijk
11.7
Vitesse
11.3
Dordrecht
10.9
Heracles
10.8
NEC Nijmegen
10.8
FC OSS
10.7
Sparta Rotterdam
10.7
GO Ahead Eagles
10.6
PSV Eindhoven
10.6
VVV Venlo
10.6
Den Bosch
10.5
FC Volendam
10.5
Telstar
10.4
Emmen
10.4
Willem II
10.4
Utrecht
10.3
Feyenoord
10.3
PEC Zwolle
10.1
Helmond Sport
10.1
Almere City FC
10.1
Excelsior
10.0
Heerenveen
9.9
MVV
9.9
Cambuur
9.9
Twente
9.9
Roda
9.9
Fortuna Sittard
9.9
FC Eindhoven
9.8
De Graafschap
9.8
AZ Alkmaar
9.6
NAC Breda
9.5
ADO Den Haag
9.3
Groningen
9.1
Ajax
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
AZ Alkmaar
4.6
Ajax
4.3
ADO Den Haag
4.3
Emmen
3.9
Twente
3.9
Roda
3.9
Feyenoord
3.8
Cambuur
3.8
Excelsior
3.8
Fortuna Sittard
3.8
Helmond Sport
3.8
Dordrecht
3.7
FC Volendam
3.6
FC OSS
3.6
NEC Nijmegen
3.6
NAC Breda
3.6
Vitesse
3.6
Utrecht
3.6
De Graafschap
3.6
Den Bosch
3.6
VVV Venlo
3.5
Almere City FC
3.5
Groningen
3.5
PEC Zwolle
3.4
Sparta Rotterdam
3.4
Heracles
3.4
PSV Eindhoven
3.3
Willem II
3.3
MVV
3.3
GO Ahead Eagles
3.3
FC Eindhoven
3.2
Telstar
3.2
Waalwijk
3.2
Heerenveen
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Helmond Sport
26.0
FC OSS
26.0
ADO Den Haag
25.2
Dordrecht
25.0
Vitesse
25.0
Emmen
25.0
Telstar
24.8
Cambuur
24.5
VVV Venlo
23.4
MVV
23.1
Roda
23.1
Ajax
23.1
Heracles
22.5
FC Volendam
22.1
Fortuna Sittard
22.0
Den Bosch
21.8
AZ Alkmaar
21.7
FC Eindhoven
21.6
Almere City FC
21.5
De Graafschap
21.4
Heerenveen
21.3
PEC Zwolle
21.1
NEC Nijmegen
21.1
Twente
20.9
Excelsior
20.8
Utrecht
20.7
Groningen
20.7
NAC Breda
20.5
Feyenoord
20.3
GO Ahead Eagles
20.0
Waalwijk
19.5
Willem II
19.5
Sparta Rotterdam
18.4
PSV Eindhoven
17.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
48.5%
Under 9.5
51.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
66.8%
Under 3.5
33.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
70.2%
Under 21.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
AZ Alkmaar or Draw✓ Hit
86.7%
Avg Implied -
68%
19%
13%
covers AZ Alkmaar + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar or GO Ahead Eagles✗ Miss
81.3%
Avg Implied -
68%
19%
13%
covers AZ Alkmaar + GO Ahead Eagles
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or GO Ahead Eagles✓ Hit
32.0%
Avg Implied -
68%
19%
13%
covers Draw + GO Ahead Eagles
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
91.7%
Under
8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
71.0%
Under
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
45.3%
Under
54.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
24.0%
Under
76.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.0%
Under
35.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
28.3%
Under
71.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.0%
Under
91.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.2%
Under
97.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to AZ Alkmaar, so a minus line means AZ Alkmaar give that many goals of a start and GO Ahead Eagles receive them. At -1, AZ Alkmaar must win by two or more to land; a one-goal AZ Alkmaar win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (AZ Alkmaar)Actual: GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar -2
27.0%
Draw -2
19.9%
GO Ahead Eagles +2
53.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (AZ Alkmaar)Actual: GO Ahead Eagles
AZ Alkmaar -1
46.9%
Draw -1
21.1%
GO Ahead Eagles +1
32.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (AZ Alkmaar)Actual: AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar +1
86.7%
Draw +1
8.4%
GO Ahead Eagles -1
4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (AZ Alkmaar)Actual: AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar +2
95.1%
Draw +2
3.5%
GO Ahead Eagles -2
1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AZ Alkmaar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.53
0.56
0.44
0.79
0.64
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (13)
0.62
0.54
0.71
0.43
0.50
0.67
vs Weaker (16)
0.69
0.56
0.44
0.44
1.00
0.71
Clean sheet %
57% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (GO Ahead Eagles) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GO Ahead Eagles
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
0.87
0.87
0.80
0.53
vs Stronger (13)
0.77
1.08
0.67
1.33
0.86
0.86
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.41
1.00
0.56
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AZ Alkmaar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.73
1.06
0.31
0.93
1.21
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (13)
1.00
0.77
0.86
0.14
1.17
1.50
vs Weaker (16)
1.00
0.62
1.22
0.44
0.71
0.86
Clean sheet %
57% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (GO Ahead Eagles) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
GO Ahead Eagles
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.83
1.47
0.40
0.80
1.27
vs Stronger (13)
1.00
1.23
1.33
0.83
0.71
1.57
vs Similar (17)
1.24
0.53
1.56
0.11
0.88
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
GO Ahead Eagles over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
97.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
91.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
87.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
85.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
83.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Away
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 3.5 goals
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
74.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
71.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 1.5 goals
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 21.5 fouls
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AZ Alkmaar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Troy Parrott36%
Mexx Meerdink30%
Sven Mijnans23%
Ibrahim Sadiq22%
Ruben van Bommel18%
Ro-Zangelo Daal14%
Jayden Addai13%
Mayckel Lahdo11%
Denso Kasius11%
Zico Buurmeester10%
Ernest Poku8%
Kees Smit7%
David Möller Wolfe6%
Mees de Wit5%
Wouter Goes5%
Seiya Maikuma5%
Kristijan Belić4%
Peer Koopmeiners4%
Jordy Clasie3%
Alexandre Penetra2%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Elijah Dijkstra0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lequincio Zeefuik33%
Dave Kwakman30%
Kristijan Belić29%
Wouter Goes29%
Ro-Zangelo Daal29%
Ruben van Bommel18%
David Möller Wolfe17%
Jordy Clasie16%
Mees de Wit15%
Sven Mijnans14%
Kees Smit13%
Peer Koopmeiners13%
Maxim Dekker11%
Alexandre Penetra11%
Ernest Poku10%
Seiya Maikuma9%
Bruno Martins Indi8%
Mexx Meerdink8%
Ibrahim Sadiq7%
Denso Kasius7%
Jayden Addai4%
Troy Parrott2%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Mayckel Lahdo0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Elijah Dijkstra0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ruben van Bommel15%
David Möller Wolfe15%
Sven Mijnans14%
Ernest Poku12%
Peer Koopmeiners11%
Ibrahim Sadiq11%
Jordy Clasie11%
Dave Kwakman10%
Wouter Goes10%
Troy Parrott9%
Zico Buurmeester7%
Seiya Maikuma7%
Kees Smit7%
Denso Kasius7%
Mees de Wit5%
Mayckel Lahdo3%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Kristijan Belić0%
Alexandre Penetra0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Ro-Zangelo Daal0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Mexx Meerdink0%
Jayden Addai0%
Elijah Dijkstra0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ruben van Bommel27%
Sven Mijnans25%
Troy Parrott21%
Mexx Meerdink20%
Ibrahim Sadiq19%
Ernest Poku18%
Denso Kasius7%
Mayckel Lahdo6%
Jayden Addai4%
Peer Koopmeiners4%
Zico Buurmeester2%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Jordy Clasie0%
Mees de Wit0%
Kristijan Belić0%
Alexandre Penetra0%
Seiya Maikuma0%
David Möller Wolfe0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Wouter Goes0%
Ro-Zangelo Daal0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Elijah Dijkstra0%
Kees Smit0%
GO Ahead Eagles
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen44%
Jakob Breum27%
Victor Kaj Edvardsen23%
Mats Deijl15%
Oliver Antman14%
Mathis Suray14%
Finn Stokkers14%
Milan Smit12%
Enric Llansana11%
Gerrit Nauber8%
Evert Linthorst8%
Bobby Adekanye7%
Dean James7%
Søren Tengstedt6%
Jari De Busser0%
Luca Plogmann0%
Joris Kramer0%
Oscar Pettersson0%
Julius Dirksen0%
Oskar Siira Sivertsen0%
Jamal Amofa0%
Calvin Twigt0%
Luca Everink0%
Robbin Weijenberg0%
Aske Adelgaard0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jamal Amofa67%
Luca Everink20%
Aske Adelgaard19%
Victor Kaj Edvardsen18%
Enric Llansana16%
Mathis Suray14%
Bobby Adekanye13%
Jakob Breum13%
Calvin Twigt11%
Gerrit Nauber11%
Evert Linthorst10%
Joris Kramer10%
Dean James10%
Finn Stokkers9%
Milan Smit8%
Mats Deijl8%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen6%
Jari De Busser5%
Oliver Antman3%
Luca Plogmann0%
Oscar Pettersson0%
Søren Tengstedt0%
Julius Dirksen0%
Oskar Siira Sivertsen0%
Robbin Weijenberg0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Oliver Antman36%
Jakob Breum20%
Victor Kaj Edvardsen15%
Enric Llansana13%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen12%
Evert Linthorst10%
Dean James10%
Finn Stokkers9%
Milan Smit8%
Aske Adelgaard4%
Joris Kramer2%
Mats Deijl2%
Jari De Busser0%
Gerrit Nauber0%
Luca Plogmann0%
Oscar Pettersson0%
Bobby Adekanye0%
Søren Tengstedt0%
Julius Dirksen0%
Mathis Suray0%
Oskar Siira Sivertsen0%
Jamal Amofa0%
Calvin Twigt0%
Luca Everink0%
Robbin Weijenberg0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jakob Breum27%
Victor Kaj Edvardsen26%
Oscar Pettersson25%
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen12%
Mathis Suray11%
Milan Smit8%
Oliver Antman6%
Joris Kramer5%
Finn Stokkers5%
Dean James3%
Enric Llansana3%
Mats Deijl2%
Jari De Busser0%
Gerrit Nauber0%
Luca Plogmann0%
Evert Linthorst0%
Bobby Adekanye0%
Søren Tengstedt0%
Julius Dirksen0%
Oskar Siira Sivertsen0%
Jamal Amofa0%
Calvin Twigt0%
Luca Everink0%
Robbin Weijenberg0%
Aske Adelgaard0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
ROD (17)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
HS (16)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FO (17)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
AZ Alkmaar's squad is €114m more valuable than GO Ahead Eagles's (€136m vs €22m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
EXC (9)
€7m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
ROD (7)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
FV (6)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
HS (5)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
FO (5)
€1m
AZ Alkmaar's attack is €52m more valuable than GO Ahead Eagles's (€61m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
ROD (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
HS (5)
€1m
FO (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
AZ Alkmaar's midfield is €17m more valuable than GO Ahead Eagles's (€21m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
ROD (6)
€2m
FO (9)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
HS (6)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
DB (7)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
AZ Alkmaar's defence is €46m more valuable than GO Ahead Eagles's (€54m vs €8m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
Feyenoord
Utrecht
Twente
NEC Nijmegen
Heerenveen
PEC Zwolle
Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen
Heracles
NAC Breda
Willem II
Waalwijk
Almere City FC
Telstar
Dordrecht
Den Bosch
Cambuur
De Graafschap
ADO Den Haag