AZ Alkmaar are tipped to win, the model’s pick, with a 48% chance of a home victory, 26% for a draw and 25% for Heerenveen. The expected total of 2.8 goals points to a moderate scoring game, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12.5% probability. AZ’s home form against weaker opponents shows an average of 2.4 goals scored and only 0.9 conceded, while Heerenveen’s away record against stronger teams yields no goals scored and 3.33 conceded on average. The model’s selections include Under 5.5 cards at 95.8%, Under 25.5 fouls at 92.8%, Under 4.5 cards at 89.1%, Under 23.5 fouls at 85.0%, Over 1.5 at 78.7% (hit), Under 3.5 cards at 75.7%, Under 11.5 corners at 74.3%, and Under 21.5 fouls at 72.7%. AZ’s recent four-game winning streak and Heerenveen’s recent draw set the stage for a tightly contested match.
Results analysis
The upset came early, as the pre-match favourite, AZ Alkmaar, failed to secure the win the model had pegged at a 48% probability. The match finished 1-1, a draw that the model had only a 26% chance of occurring. The home side’s 4-game winning streak was halted, while Heerenveen, after a draw, could not turn the tide. The model’s selection for Over 1.5 goals, with a 78.7% probability, proved correct, hitting the hit. All other suggested picks were not listed, so no further outcomes were reported. The model’s call for a home win was wrong, and the final score matched the most likely 1-1 outcome.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
AZ Alkmaar win✗ Miss
48.1%
Avg Implied 63.2% · @ 1.50
Edge
-15.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.5%
Avg Implied 21.6% · @ 4.38
Edge
+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen win✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied 15.2% · @ 6.23
Edge
+10.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
AZ Alkmaar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.03
1.17
2.43
1.36
1.69
1.00
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (7)
2.14
2.00
2.50
2.50
1.67
1.33
vs Weaker (22)
2.05
0.95
2.40
0.90
1.75
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heerenveen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
1.53
1.40
1.73
1.20
1.33
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
2.71
0.75
2.25
0.00
3.33
vs Similar (17)
1.65
1.12
1.78
1.11
1.50
1.12
vs Weaker (6)
1.33
1.33
1.00
3.50
1.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.7%
Under 1.5
21.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.0%
@ 1.68-2.4%
Under 2.5
46.0%
@ 2.17+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.7%
Under 3.5
68.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.0%
No
43.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.5%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
8.7%
2-0
8.2%
0-0
7.0%
1-2
6.6%
0-1
5.7%
2-2
5.6%
AZ Alkmaar goals ↓
Heerenveen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.0%
5.7%
4.0%
1.5%
0.4%
1
8.7%
13%
6.6%
2.6%
0.8%
2
8.2%
9.5%
5.6%
2.2%
0.6%
3
4.6%
5.3%
3.1%
1.2%
0.4%
4
1.9%
2.2%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AZ Alkmaar goals (down), columns = Heerenveen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Feyenoord
2.41
PSV Eindhoven
2.21
Ajax
2.06
AZ Alkmaar
1.97
Twente
1.95
Almere City FC
1.83
Sparta Rotterdam
1.66
Utrecht
1.58
FC Eindhoven
1.50
Willem II
1.50
NAC Breda
1.50
Heerenveen
1.28
VVV Venlo
1.25
Waalwijk
1.21
Vitesse
1.18
GO Ahead Eagles
1.18
NEC Nijmegen
1.15
Fortuna Sittard
1.06
FC Volendam
1.06
Excelsior
0.94
Emmen
0.89
Cambuur
0.56
Groningen
0.51
MVV
0.00
AZ Alkmaar is 0.69 points better than Heerenveen in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 1.28).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.62
Ajax
2.54
Feyenoord
2.38
Willem II
2.00
AZ Alkmaar
2.00
Twente
1.95
Sparta Rotterdam
1.66
Utrecht
1.58
NAC Breda
1.50
VVV Venlo
1.50
Waalwijk
1.47
GO Ahead Eagles
1.35
Almere City FC
1.33
Vitesse
1.32
Heerenveen
1.25
NEC Nijmegen
1.24
FC Volendam
1.24
Fortuna Sittard
1.15
FC Eindhoven
1.00
Emmen
1.00
Groningen
0.94
Excelsior
0.94
Cambuur
0.76
MVV
0.50
AZ Alkmaar is 0.75 goals better than Heerenveen in terms of goals scored per game (2.00 vs 1.25).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Twente
0.76
Almere City FC
0.83
Feyenoord
0.88
FC Eindhoven
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.03
Sparta Rotterdam
1.08
Ajax
1.14
PSV Eindhoven
1.18
NAC Breda
1.25
NEC Nijmegen
1.32
Utrecht
1.44
Vitesse
1.47
VVV Venlo
1.50
Heerenveen
1.56
GO Ahead Eagles
1.65
Fortuna Sittard
1.82
Emmen
1.84
Waalwijk
1.88
Willem II
2.00
Cambuur
2.03
Excelsior
2.09
FC Volendam
2.09
Groningen
2.23
MVV
2.50
AZ Alkmaar is 0.53 goals better than Heerenveen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.03 vs 1.56).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AZ Alkmaar
For 4.8 · Against 3.1 · Total 7.9
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.2 · Against 1.5 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 7.8 · Total 20.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Heerenveen
For 5.8 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.0 · Total 2.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.0 · Against 7.0 · Total 14.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AZ Alkmaar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.3
8.3
8.2
1.3
1.5
1.2
19.8
19.3
20.2
vs Stronger (1)
-
-
-
0.0
-
0.0
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
8.8
8.0
9.5
1.2
1.4
1.0
23.2
22.5
24.0
vs Weaker (40)
8.2
8.4
8.0
1.4
1.6
1.2
19.1
18.7
19.4
% over line
38%
42%
33%
16%
17%
15%
33%
33%
33%
% under line
62%
58%
67%
84%
83%
85%
67%
67%
67%
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heerenveen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.8
10.5
11.0
1.2
1.4
0.9
16.7
15.6
17.8
vs Stronger (11)
10.4
11.5
9.7
0.5
0.3
0.6
10.6
7.5
12.7
vs Similar (31)
10.4
10.0
11.0
1.4
1.9
0.8
18.2
17.4
19.3
vs Weaker (8)
13.0
13.0
13.0
1.2
1.0
1.4
18.7
15.0
20.5
% over line
67%
58%
75%
8%
8%
8%
25%
8%
42%
% under line
33%
42%
25%
92%
92%
92%
75%
92%
58%
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Excelsior
12.2
Cambuur
10.6
Heerenveen
10.3
Almere City FC
10.2
Utrecht
10.2
VVV Venlo
10.2
NAC Breda
10.0
NEC Nijmegen
10.0
PSV Eindhoven
10.0
Ajax
9.9
Feyenoord
9.7
Waalwijk
9.6
Emmen
9.6
Fortuna Sittard
9.6
FC Eindhoven
9.3
Sparta Rotterdam
9.2
Willem II
9.2
MVV
9.1
Vitesse
9.1
GO Ahead Eagles
9.1
Groningen
8.8
AZ Alkmaar
8.8
Twente
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Almere City FC
4.1
FC Eindhoven
3.9
Twente
3.8
Vitesse
3.7
MVV
3.6
Feyenoord
3.5
NEC Nijmegen
3.4
NAC Breda
3.4
Emmen
3.3
PSV Eindhoven
3.3
Cambuur
3.2
VVV Venlo
3.2
Utrecht
3.2
Groningen
3.1
Willem II
3.1
AZ Alkmaar
3.0
Ajax
3.0
Excelsior
2.9
Fortuna Sittard
2.9
GO Ahead Eagles
2.9
Sparta Rotterdam
2.7
Waalwijk
2.7
Heerenveen
2.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Almere City FC
24.8
FC Eindhoven
23.2
Vitesse
23.1
Twente
22.5
Emmen
22.4
Groningen
22.3
NEC Nijmegen
22.0
NAC Breda
21.9
VVV Venlo
21.7
Utrecht
21.4
Excelsior
21.2
Fortuna Sittard
21.2
Waalwijk
20.6
Cambuur
20.6
Feyenoord
20.2
MVV
20.1
Ajax
19.9
AZ Alkmaar
19.5
Sparta Rotterdam
19.0
PSV Eindhoven
19.0
GO Ahead Eagles
18.8
Willem II
18.8
Heerenveen
17.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
48.8%
Under 9.5
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
24.3%
Under 3.5
75.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
27.3%
Under 21.5
72.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AZ Alkmaar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.63
1.50
0.71
0.81
0.56
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (7)
1.43
1.14
1.75
1.50
1.00
0.67
vs Weaker (22)
1.05
0.50
1.40
0.40
0.75
0.58
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heerenveen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.73
0.87
0.87
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
1.57
0.25
1.50
0.00
1.67
vs Similar (17)
0.88
0.47
1.11
0.56
0.62
0.38
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.25
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AZ Alkmaar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.53
0.93
0.64
0.88
0.44
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.86
0.75
1.00
0.67
0.67
vs Weaker (22)
1.00
0.45
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.42
Clean sheet %
57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heerenveen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.80
0.53
0.87
0.73
0.73
vs Stronger (7)
0.29
1.14
0.50
0.75
0.00
1.67
vs Similar (17)
0.76
0.65
0.67
0.56
0.88
0.75
vs Weaker (6)
0.67
0.83
0.00
2.50
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 5.5 cards
95.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 25.5 fouls
92.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5 cards
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 23.5 fouls
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5 cards
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
74.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 21.5 fouls
72.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AZ Alkmaar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Vangelis Pavlidis45%
Dani de Wit39%
Fedde De Jong33%
Jesper Karlsson32%
Jens Odgaard26%
Sven Mijnans14%
Zico Buurmeester14%
Håkon Evjen13%
Mayckel Lahdo12%
Myron Van Brederode12%
Tijjani Reijnders12%
Miloš Kerkez10%
Wouter Goes10%
Mees de Wit9%
Yukinari Sugawara9%
Yusuf Barasi6%
Jordy Clasie6%
Đorđe Mihailović5%
Maxim Dekker5%
Sam Beukema5%
Zinho Vanheusden0%
Mathew Ryan0%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Pantelis Hatzidiakos0%
Riechedly Bazoer0%
Hobie Verhulst0%
Peer Koopmeiners0%
Aslak Fonn Witry0%
Mexx Meerdink0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jordy Clasie22%
Dani de Wit19%
Jesper Karlsson16%
Pantelis Hatzidiakos16%
Miloš Kerkez16%
Sam Beukema14%
Yukinari Sugawara13%
Vangelis Pavlidis13%
Zinho Vanheusden12%
Riechedly Bazoer12%
Tijjani Reijnders12%
Mexx Meerdink11%
Đorđe Mihailović11%
Wouter Goes10%
Sven Mijnans10%
Bruno Martins Indi9%
Mees de Wit9%
Jens Odgaard7%
Håkon Evjen7%
Myron Van Brederode5%
Mathew Ryan4%
Mayckel Lahdo2%
Yusuf Barasi0%
Hobie Verhulst0%
Peer Koopmeiners0%
Aslak Fonn Witry0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Fedde De Jong0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Aslak Fonn Witry25%
Vangelis Pavlidis24%
Yukinari Sugawara22%
Håkon Evjen20%
Jesper Karlsson19%
Sven Mijnans19%
Tijjani Reijnders15%
Pantelis Hatzidiakos12%
Miloš Kerkez12%
Jens Odgaard12%
Peer Koopmeiners11%
Jordy Clasie8%
Dani de Wit6%
Yusuf Barasi6%
Đorđe Mihailović5%
Mees de Wit3%
Mayckel Lahdo2%
Myron Van Brederode2%
Zinho Vanheusden0%
Mathew Ryan0%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Riechedly Bazoer0%
Hobie Verhulst0%
Sam Beukema0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Fedde De Jong0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Wouter Goes0%
Mexx Meerdink0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vangelis Pavlidis45%
Jens Odgaard42%
Håkon Evjen20%
Dani de Wit19%
Tijjani Reijnders17%
Jesper Karlsson16%
Riechedly Bazoer8%
Yusuf Barasi6%
Đorđe Mihailović5%
Sven Mijnans5%
Yukinari Sugawara4%
Mayckel Lahdo2%
Pantelis Hatzidiakos2%
Miloš Kerkez2%
Zinho Vanheusden0%
Mathew Ryan0%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Jordy Clasie0%
Hobie Verhulst0%
Sam Beukema0%
Peer Koopmeiners0%
Aslak Fonn Witry0%
Mees de Wit0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Fedde De Jong0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Wouter Goes0%
Mexx Meerdink0%
Heerenveen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Sydney van Hooijdonk31%
Amin Sarr21%
Milan van Ewijk17%
Pelle van Amersfoort14%
Thom Haye9%
Antoine Colassin8%
Che Nunnely7%
Paweł Bochniewicz6%
Osame Sahraoui6%
Rami Kaib5%
Syb van Ottele5%
Mats Köhlert3%
Anas Tahiri3%
Jeffrey Bruma0%
Tibor Halilović0%
Joost van Aken0%
Andries Noppert0%
Rami Al Hajj0%
Xavier Mous0%
Sven van Beek0%
Simon Olsson0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Hussein Ali0%
Daniel Karlsbakk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Syb van Ottele32%
Che Nunnely27%
Jeffrey Bruma25%
Thom Haye24%
Antoine Colassin17%
Joost van Aken13%
Sven van Beek13%
Anas Tahiri12%
Paweł Bochniewicz12%
Rami Kaib10%
Mats Köhlert9%
Daniel Karlsbakk8%
Osame Sahraoui6%
Sydney van Hooijdonk6%
Simon Olsson6%
Milan van Ewijk6%
Tibor Halilović5%
Amin Sarr5%
Andries Noppert5%
Pelle van Amersfoort5%
Rami Al Hajj0%
Xavier Mous0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Hussein Ali0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Osame Sahraoui35%
Anas Tahiri21%
Amin Sarr11%
Mats Köhlert9%
Thom Haye9%
Simon Olsson6%
Rami Al Hajj6%
Andries Noppert5%
Paweł Bochniewicz3%
Sydney van Hooijdonk3%
Milan van Ewijk3%
Jeffrey Bruma0%
Tibor Halilović0%
Joost van Aken0%
Pelle van Amersfoort0%
Xavier Mous0%
Sven van Beek0%
Che Nunnely0%
Rami Kaib0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Hussein Ali0%
Daniel Karlsbakk0%
Antoine Colassin0%
Syb van Ottele0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amin Sarr47%
Sydney van Hooijdonk37%
Rami Al Hajj22%
Pelle van Amersfoort19%
Thom Haye9%
Antoine Colassin8%
Tibor Halilović5%
Rami Kaib5%
Mats Köhlert3%
Milan van Ewijk3%
Jeffrey Bruma0%
Joost van Aken0%
Andries Noppert0%
Anas Tahiri0%
Xavier Mous0%
Sven van Beek0%
Che Nunnely0%
Paweł Bochniewicz0%
Simon Olsson0%
Osame Sahraoui0%
Alex Timossi Andersson0%
Hussein Ali0%
Daniel Karlsbakk0%
Syb van Ottele0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
FS (20)
€17m
EXC (24)
€16m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
WAA (22)
€8m
VIT (23)
€7m
FV (20)
€6m
EMM (21)
€5m
MVV (21)
€4m
VV (19)
€4m
FE (16)
€3m
AZ Alkmaar's squad is €85m more valuable than Heerenveen's (€136m vs €50m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
EXC (9)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
VIT (9)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
FV (6)
€2m
FE (8)
€2m
MVV (8)
€1m
VV (6)
€1m
EMM (6)
€1m
AZ Alkmaar's attack is €37m more valuable than Heerenveen's (€61m vs €24m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
EXC (4)
€3m
EMM (7)
€2m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
MVV (4)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
FV (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
VIT (3)
€1m
FE (2)
€0m
VV (3)
€0m
AZ Alkmaar's midfield is €15m more valuable than Heerenveen's (€21m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
EXC (11)
€6m
WI (12)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
WAA (11)
€3m
FV (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
VIT (11)
€2m
VV (10)
€2m
MVV (9)
€2m
EMM (8)
€1m
FE (6)
€1m
AZ Alkmaar's defence is €33m more valuable than Heerenveen's (€54m vs €20m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Feyenoord
PSV Eindhoven
Twente
Ajax
Sparta Rotterdam
Utrecht
Waalwijk
Vitesse
GO Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen
Fortuna Sittard
FC Volendam
Emmen
Excelsior
Cambuur
Groningen
Almere City FC
NAC Breda
VVV Venlo
Willem II
FC Eindhoven
MVV