AZ Alkmaar are tipped to win, the model picking a home victory with a 58% chance, while the draw sits at 23% and Heerenveen’s chances are 19%. The expected goal tally is 3.1, but the most likely total is two goals, with a 22% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 10.8% chance. AZ, playing at home against a weaker side, averages 2.3 goals scored and 0.8 conceded, whereas Heerenveen, away against a stronger opponent, nets only 0.25 and concedes 2.5. The suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls at 92.7%, Under 5.5 cards at 92.1%, Under 23.5 fouls at 84.9%, Over 1.5 at 83.0%, Under 4.5 cards at 82.3%, Over 8.5 corners at 75.3% (miss), and Under 21.5 fouls at 72.5%. AZ’s recent form shows a four-game winning streak, while Heerenveen come off a draw.
Results analysis
The model’s prediction proved spot on as AZ Alkmaar’s 9-1 rout of Heerenveen confirmed the home side’s 4-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite, Home win, came through with a 58% probability, and the model’s pick was correct. The suggested selections largely hit: Under 25.5 fouls at 92.7%, Under 5.5 cards at 92.1%, Under 23.5 fouls at 84.9%, Over 1.5 at 83.0%, Under 4.5 cards at 82.3%, and Under 21.5 fouls at 72.5% all performed as expected, while Over 8.5 corners at 75.3% missed. The final score of 9-1 matched the actual result, underscoring the model’s accurate assessment of the match.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
AZ Alkmaar win✓ Hit
57.7%
Avg Implied 67.6% · @ 1.40
Edge
-9.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied 19.4% · @ 4.89
Edge
+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen win✗ Miss
19.2%
Avg Implied 13.0% · @ 7.26
Edge
+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
AZ Alkmaar
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
1.20
2.00
1.14
1.38
1.25
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
4.50
0.00
4.00
1.00
5.00
vs Similar (5)
1.20
1.20
1.67
1.33
0.50
1.00
vs Weaker (23)
1.87
0.91
2.30
0.80
1.54
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heerenveen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.83
1.94
1.88
1.29
1.79
vs Stronger (8)
1.00
3.12
1.75
3.75
0.25
2.50
vs Similar (19)
1.89
1.32
2.09
1.09
1.62
1.62
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.67
1.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.0%
Under 1.5
17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
60.6%
@ 1.57+0.4%
Under 2.5
39.4%
@ 2.37-0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
38.2%
Under 3.5
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
59.1%
No
40.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.0%
1-0
7.9%
3-1
6.7%
3-0
6.1%
2-2
5.5%
1-2
5.4%
AZ Alkmaar goals ↓
Heerenveen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.3%
3.8%
2.7%
1.0%
0.3%
1
7.9%
11%
5.4%
2.0%
0.5%
2
9.0%
9.9%
5.5%
2.0%
0.6%
3
6.1%
6.7%
3.7%
1.4%
0.4%
4
3.1%
3.4%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = AZ Alkmaar goals (down), columns = Heerenveen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
PSV Eindhoven
2.32
Ajax
2.29
Feyenoord
2.00
Telstar
2.00
Utrecht
1.88
Dordrecht
1.75
AZ Alkmaar
1.75
Twente
1.53
Cambuur
1.50
GO Ahead Eagles
1.50
NEC Nijmegen
1.26
Den Bosch
1.25
Heerenveen
1.23
Fortuna Sittard
1.21
PEC Zwolle
1.21
Sparta Rotterdam
1.15
Groningen
1.15
Heracles
1.12
NAC Breda
0.97
Willem II
0.79
Waalwijk
0.74
Almere City FC
0.65
De Graafschap
0.50
ADO Den Haag
0.00
AZ Alkmaar is 0.52 points better than Heerenveen in terms of average points per game (1.75 vs 1.23).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
PSV Eindhoven
3.03
Feyenoord
2.24
Ajax
1.97
Twente
1.83
Utrecht
1.82
AZ Alkmaar
1.81
GO Ahead Eagles
1.68
NEC Nijmegen
1.51
Dordrecht
1.50
Telstar
1.50
Waalwijk
1.29
PEC Zwolle
1.26
Heracles
1.24
Heerenveen
1.23
Groningen
1.18
Sparta Rotterdam
1.15
Fortuna Sittard
1.09
Willem II
1.08
NAC Breda
1.00
Almere City FC
0.68
Cambuur
0.50
Den Bosch
0.50
ADO Den Haag
0.00
De Graafschap
0.00
AZ Alkmaar is 0.58 goals better than Heerenveen in terms of goals scored per game (1.81 vs 1.23).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cambuur
0.50
Den Bosch
0.50
Telstar
0.67
Ajax
0.94
Dordrecht
1.00
De Graafschap
1.00
AZ Alkmaar
1.11
Feyenoord
1.12
PSV Eindhoven
1.15
Sparta Rotterdam
1.26
Utrecht
1.32
NEC Nijmegen
1.37
Twente
1.50
PEC Zwolle
1.50
ADO Den Haag
1.50
Groningen
1.56
Fortuna Sittard
1.59
GO Ahead Eagles
1.62
NAC Breda
1.71
Willem II
1.71
Heerenveen
1.74
Heracles
1.85
Almere City FC
1.88
Waalwijk
2.18
AZ Alkmaar is 0.63 goals better than Heerenveen in terms of goals conceded per game (1.11 vs 1.74).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
PSV Eindhoven
68%
Cambuur
66%
ADO Den Haag
64%
Ajax
58%
Feyenoord
58%
Heerenveen
53%
Twente
53%
AZ Alkmaar
52%
GO Ahead Eagles
51%
PEC Zwolle
50%
Dordrecht
50%
Sparta Rotterdam
49%
NEC Nijmegen
49%
De Graafschap
48%
Groningen
47%
Utrecht
46%
Telstar
46%
Heracles
45%
NAC Breda
45%
Willem II
45%
Fortuna Sittard
44%
Waalwijk
44%
Almere City FC
42%
Den Bosch
40%
AZ Alkmaar is 1.1 percentage points worse than Heerenveen in terms of average possession (52% vs 53%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
AZ Alkmaar
For 5.5 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.4
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.8 · Against 9.2 · Total 21.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Heerenveen
For 5.3 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.4 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 9.3 · Total 19.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
AZ Alkmaar
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
10.5
8.9
3.2
2.8
3.6
21.2
20.0
22.2
vs Stronger (3)
8.5
6.0
11.0
2.0
1.0
4.0
18.0
23.0
13.0
vs Similar (8)
8.1
8.0
8.2
2.5
3.2
1.8
20.6
20.2
21.0
vs Weaker (39)
10.1
11.3
8.9
3.5
2.9
3.9
21.5
19.8
22.9
% over line
50%
52%
48%
40%
38%
42%
54%
48%
60%
% under line
50%
48%
52%
60%
62%
58%
46%
52%
40%
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heerenveen
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.6
10.0
11.2
2.0
2.3
1.7
19.5
19.9
19.0
vs Stronger (12)
9.4
8.5
10.2
1.8
2.2
1.6
18.0
20.0
16.4
vs Similar (33)
11.2
10.6
11.8
2.1
2.5
1.6
20.0
19.6
20.5
vs Weaker (5)
9.8
9.0
10.5
2.0
1.3
3.0
19.5
21.5
17.5
% over line
59%
47%
72%
20%
28%
12%
30%
32%
28%
% under line
41%
53%
28%
80%
72%
88%
70%
68%
72%
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Heracles
11.5
Cambuur
11.5
Sparta Rotterdam
10.8
Utrecht
10.8
Dordrecht
10.7
Waalwijk
10.7
Telstar
10.6
Heerenveen
10.6
Feyenoord
10.6
NEC Nijmegen
10.5
ADO Den Haag
10.4
PSV Eindhoven
10.2
Willem II
10.1
De Graafschap
10.0
Den Bosch
9.9
GO Ahead Eagles
9.9
Twente
9.9
Fortuna Sittard
9.9
Groningen
9.8
Almere City FC
9.8
AZ Alkmaar
9.5
PEC Zwolle
9.5
NAC Breda
9.3
Ajax
9.0
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Feyenoord
4.1
Cambuur
4.1
Telstar
4.0
Twente
3.9
Den Bosch
3.9
Dordrecht
3.9
NAC Breda
3.9
Almere City FC
3.8
Heracles
3.7
Ajax
3.7
ADO Den Haag
3.7
Willem II
3.7
AZ Alkmaar
3.6
NEC Nijmegen
3.6
PEC Zwolle
3.4
Groningen
3.4
Fortuna Sittard
3.4
PSV Eindhoven
3.3
Waalwijk
3.3
Utrecht
3.3
De Graafschap
3.2
Sparta Rotterdam
3.0
GO Ahead Eagles
2.9
Heerenveen
2.7
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Telstar
24.6
Dordrecht
23.9
Almere City FC
23.6
Heracles
22.6
ADO Den Haag
22.5
Twente
22.4
Cambuur
22.0
Den Bosch
21.7
NAC Breda
21.6
Groningen
21.4
AZ Alkmaar
20.9
Willem II
20.7
Fortuna Sittard
20.6
Feyenoord
20.5
Utrecht
20.4
Waalwijk
20.2
NEC Nijmegen
20.1
PEC Zwolle
19.8
Ajax
19.7
GO Ahead Eagles
19.3
De Graafschap
18.9
Heerenveen
18.7
Sparta Rotterdam
18.6
PSV Eindhoven
18.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
64.1%
Under 9.5
35.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.3%
Under 3.5
65.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
27.5%
Under 21.5
72.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
AZ Alkmaar
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.63
0.71
0.64
0.75
0.62
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
2.50
0.00
3.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (5)
1.00
0.40
1.33
0.33
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (23)
0.74
0.52
0.60
0.50
0.85
0.54
Clean sheet %
60% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heerenveen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.77
0.88
0.94
0.50
0.57
vs Stronger (8)
0.62
1.50
1.00
1.75
0.25
1.25
vs Similar (19)
0.74
0.47
0.82
0.64
0.62
0.25
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
50% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
AZ Alkmaar
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.57
1.29
0.50
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
2.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
3.00
vs Similar (5)
0.20
0.80
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (23)
1.13
0.39
1.70
0.30
0.69
0.46
Clean sheet %
63% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (Heerenveen) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Heerenveen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.07
1.06
0.94
0.79
1.21
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.62
0.75
2.00
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (19)
1.16
0.84
1.27
0.45
1.00
1.38
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (AZ Alkmaar) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
AZ Alkmaar over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Heerenveen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 25.5 fouls
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
92.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 21.5 fouls
72.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
AZ Alkmaar
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Troy Parrott36%
Mexx Meerdink30%
Sven Mijnans23%
Ibrahim Sadiq22%
Ruben van Bommel18%
Ro-Zangelo Daal14%
Jayden Addai13%
Mayckel Lahdo11%
Denso Kasius11%
Zico Buurmeester10%
Ernest Poku8%
Kees Smit7%
David Möller Wolfe6%
Mees de Wit5%
Wouter Goes5%
Seiya Maikuma5%
Kristijan Belić4%
Peer Koopmeiners4%
Jordy Clasie3%
Alexandre Penetra2%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Elijah Dijkstra0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lequincio Zeefuik33%
Dave Kwakman30%
Kristijan Belić29%
Wouter Goes29%
Ro-Zangelo Daal29%
Ruben van Bommel18%
David Möller Wolfe17%
Jordy Clasie16%
Mees de Wit15%
Sven Mijnans14%
Kees Smit13%
Peer Koopmeiners13%
Maxim Dekker11%
Alexandre Penetra11%
Ernest Poku10%
Seiya Maikuma9%
Bruno Martins Indi8%
Mexx Meerdink8%
Ibrahim Sadiq7%
Denso Kasius7%
Jayden Addai4%
Troy Parrott2%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Mayckel Lahdo0%
Zico Buurmeester0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Elijah Dijkstra0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ruben van Bommel15%
David Möller Wolfe15%
Sven Mijnans14%
Ernest Poku12%
Peer Koopmeiners11%
Ibrahim Sadiq11%
Jordy Clasie11%
Dave Kwakman10%
Wouter Goes10%
Troy Parrott9%
Zico Buurmeester7%
Seiya Maikuma7%
Kees Smit7%
Denso Kasius7%
Mees de Wit5%
Mayckel Lahdo3%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Kristijan Belić0%
Alexandre Penetra0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Ro-Zangelo Daal0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Mexx Meerdink0%
Jayden Addai0%
Elijah Dijkstra0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ruben van Bommel27%
Sven Mijnans25%
Troy Parrott21%
Mexx Meerdink20%
Ibrahim Sadiq19%
Ernest Poku18%
Denso Kasius7%
Mayckel Lahdo6%
Jayden Addai4%
Peer Koopmeiners4%
Zico Buurmeester2%
Jeroen Zoet0%
Bruno Martins Indi0%
Jordy Clasie0%
Mees de Wit0%
Kristijan Belić0%
Alexandre Penetra0%
Seiya Maikuma0%
David Möller Wolfe0%
Myron Van Brederode0%
Lequincio Zeefuik0%
Maxim Dekker0%
Wouter Goes0%
Ro-Zangelo Daal0%
Dave Kwakman0%
Rome Jayden Owusu-Oduro0%
Elijah Dijkstra0%
Kees Smit0%
Heerenveen
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Ion Nicolaescu36%
Jacob Trenskow26%
Miloš Luković21%
Eser Gürbüz17%
Alireza Jahanbakhsh15%
Hristiyan Petrov12%
Ilias Sebaoui12%
Marcus Linday12%
Luuk Brouwers12%
Levi Smans11%
Simon Olsson8%
Dimitris Rallis8%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland6%
Sam Kersten3%
Espen Van Ee3%
Jordy de Wijs0%
Mats Köhlert0%
Andries Noppert0%
Mickey van der Hart0%
Ché Nunnely0%
Paweł Bochniewicz0%
Amara Condé0%
Denzel Hall0%
Hussein Ali0%
Daniel Karlsbakk0%
Danilo Al-Saed0%
Mateja Milovanović0%
Oliver Braude0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Oliver Braude33%
Daniel Karlsbakk29%
Jordy de Wijs25%
Luuk Brouwers23%
Paweł Bochniewicz23%
Espen Van Ee18%
Alireza Jahanbakhsh15%
Marcus Linday12%
Denzel Hall11%
Mats Köhlert10%
Simon Olsson8%
Sam Kersten6%
Amara Condé6%
Andries Noppert6%
Levi Smans6%
Mickey van der Hart5%
Dimitris Rallis4%
Ion Nicolaescu4%
Ché Nunnely0%
Hussein Ali0%
Hristiyan Petrov0%
Danilo Al-Saed0%
Jacob Trenskow0%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland0%
Mateja Milovanović0%
Ilias Sebaoui0%
Miloš Luković0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mats Köhlert23%
Alireza Jahanbakhsh15%
Danilo Al-Saed14%
Ché Nunnely12%
Amara Condé12%
Marcus Linday12%
Jacob Trenskow11%
Eser Gürbüz8%
Luuk Brouwers8%
Simon Olsson8%
Espen Van Ee6%
Levi Smans6%
Oliver Braude6%
Dimitris Rallis4%
Sam Kersten3%
Ion Nicolaescu0%
Jordy de Wijs0%
Andries Noppert0%
Mickey van der Hart0%
Paweł Bochniewicz0%
Denzel Hall0%
Hussein Ali0%
Daniel Karlsbakk0%
Hristiyan Petrov0%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland0%
Mateja Milovanović0%
Ilias Sebaoui0%
Miloš Luković0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alireza Jahanbakhsh25%
Miloš Luković21%
Ion Nicolaescu18%
Ilias Sebaoui16%
Jacob Trenskow15%
Levi Smans11%
Espen Van Ee9%
Luuk Brouwers8%
Simon Olsson8%
Oliver Braude3%
Jordy de Wijs0%
Mats Köhlert0%
Andries Noppert0%
Mickey van der Hart0%
Sam Kersten0%
Ché Nunnely0%
Paweł Bochniewicz0%
Amara Condé0%
Denzel Hall0%
Hussein Ali0%
Daniel Karlsbakk0%
Hristiyan Petrov0%
Danilo Al-Saed0%
Marcus Linday0%
Nikolai Soyset Hopland0%
Mateja Milovanović0%
Eser Gürbüz0%
Dimitris Rallis0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (29)
€280m
FEY (30)
€229m
AJA (26)
€173m
AA (32)
€136m
TWE (32)
€87m
UTR (26)
€61m
NN (29)
€54m
HEE (21)
€50m
GRO (24)
€32m
SR (23)
€28m
GAE (25)
€22m
PZ (23)
€21m
FS (20)
€17m
ADH (23)
€13m
WI (24)
€13m
CAM (24)
€12m
NB (23)
€10m
ACF (27)
€10m
HER (28)
€8m
TEL (21)
€8m
WAA (22)
€8m
DG (21)
€6m
DOR (21)
€6m
DB (17)
€5m
AZ Alkmaar's squad is €85m more valuable than Heerenveen's (€136m vs €50m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (11)
€106m
AJA (11)
€95m
FEY (11)
€93m
AA (13)
€61m
TWE (12)
€34m
UTR (10)
€33m
HEE (9)
€24m
NN (11)
€22m
SR (10)
€14m
GRO (7)
€12m
GAE (9)
€9m
PZ (8)
€8m
ADH (11)
€7m
FS (6)
€6m
ACF (10)
€5m
WI (8)
€4m
NB (10)
€4m
HER (13)
€4m
WAA (8)
€3m
CAM (10)
€3m
TEL (7)
€3m
DB (7)
€3m
DOR (8)
€2m
DG (8)
€2m
AZ Alkmaar's attack is €37m more valuable than Heerenveen's (€61m vs €24m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (5)
€60m
FEY (4)
€43m
AA (4)
€21m
AJA (3)
€15m
UTR (6)
€14m
TWE (5)
€13m
HEE (2)
€6m
GRO (5)
€6m
NN (5)
€5m
GAE (4)
€4m
PZ (5)
€4m
WI (4)
€4m
FS (4)
€4m
NB (3)
€2m
ACF (5)
€2m
DOR (5)
€2m
DG (5)
€2m
TEL (4)
€2m
SR (2)
€2m
HER (4)
€1m
ADH (3)
€1m
CAM (4)
€1m
DB (3)
€1m
WAA (3)
€1m
AZ Alkmaar's midfield is €15m more valuable than Heerenveen's (€21m vs €6m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PE (13)
€115m
FEY (15)
€93m
AJA (12)
€63m
AA (15)
€54m
TWE (15)
€39m
NN (13)
€26m
HEE (10)
€20m
UTR (10)
€15m
GRO (12)
€14m
SR (11)
€12m
PZ (10)
€10m
GAE (12)
€8m
CAM (10)
€8m
FS (10)
€7m
WI (12)
€5m
ADH (9)
€5m
NB (10)
€4m
TEL (10)
€3m
WAA (11)
€3m
HER (11)
€3m
ACF (12)
€3m
DG (8)
€2m
DOR (8)
€2m
DB (7)
€1m
AZ Alkmaar's defence is €33m more valuable than Heerenveen's (€54m vs €20m).
Netherlands: Eredivisie 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Netherlands: Eredivisie stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
PSV Eindhoven
Ajax
Feyenoord
Utrecht
Twente
GO Ahead Eagles
NEC Nijmegen
PEC Zwolle
Fortuna Sittard
Sparta Rotterdam
Groningen
Heracles
NAC Breda
Willem II
Waalwijk
Almere City FC
Telstar
Dordrecht
Den Bosch
Cambuur
De Graafschap
ADO Den Haag