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B36 II vs Hoyvík Result & Analysis

Date: 13/05/2023
Time: 12:00
Final 3-0
B36 II
B36 II
Vs
49%
21%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Hoyvík
Hoyvík
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The model signals a high-scoring affair, with an expected average of four goals and the most likely total of six or more, a 22% chance. B36 II, playing at home against a stronger opponent, has been scoring 1.56 goals per game but conceding two, while Hoyvík, on the road against a weaker side, averages three goals for and three against. The single most probable scoreline is 2-1 for B36 II, a 8.1% chance. The probabilities for the match result are 49% home win, 21% draw, and 30% away win, making a home win the model’s pick. Suggested selections include Over 1.5 with 91.7%, Over 2.5 with 76.6%, and BTTS Yes with 74.9%. The recent form shows both sides after three straight defeats, B36 II losing 3-5 to B71 and Hoyvík losing 0-3 to Suduroy, yet the data still favours a B36 II victory.

Results analysis

The win extends B36 II’s recent run, ending a three-match losing streak with a 3-0 triumph over Hoyvík. The model’s favourite, a home win, came through with a 49% probability, and the prediction proved correct. The suggested picks were mixed: Over 1.5 goals, with a 91.7% chance, hit; Over 2.5 goals, at 76.6%, also hit; but BTTS Yes, at 74.9%, missed as Hoyvík failed to score. The most likely scoreline of 2-1 fell short of the 3-0 reality, and the 6+ total goals call, at 22% probability, was also unfulfilled. Overall, the model nailed the outcome but over-estimated the goal tally.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

B36 II win✓ Hit
49.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík win✗ Miss
29.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

B36 IIB36 II

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-606L13L31W12L01L03L02L44D50W41WA·KÍ 15/10H·VÍK21/10H·EB 04/03H·B7101/04A·VÍK06/04A·SKÁ11/04H·NSI15/04A·HB 25/04A·B6829/04H·KÍ 04/05
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.902.031.871.671.932.40
vs Stronger (18)1.392.281.562.001.222.56
vs Similar (8)2.751.502.251.003.252.00
vs Weaker (4)2.502.002.501.502.502.50
Clean sheet %10% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HoyvíkHoyvík

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-534L12L10W21W21W34L15L33DA·KÍ 04/03A·B6809/03A·SKÁ01/04H·B7106/04H·HB 15/04H·VÍK25/04A·NSI29/04A·EB 04/05
Avg total
4.5
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.002.502.332.001.802.80
vs Stronger (1)2.001.002.001.00--
vs Similar (5)1.803.003.004.001.502.75
vs Weaker (2)2.502.002.001.003.003.00
Clean sheet %12% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (B36 II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%2%06%115%219%320%416%522%6+
The model estimates around 4.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
91.7%
Under 1.5
8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
76.6%
Under 2.5
23.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
57.2%
Under 3.5
42.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
74.9%
No
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-1
8.1%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
7.1%
1-2
6.3%
3-1
6.1%
3-2
5.4%
2-0
4.6%
2-3
4.2%
B36 II goals ↓
Hoyvík goals →
01234
02.5%2.4%2.8%1.6%0.7%
13.3%7.8%6.3%3.7%1.6%
24.6%8.1%7.1%4.2%1.8%
33.5%6.1%5.4%3.1%1.4%
42.0%3.5%3.0%1.8%0.8%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = B36 II goals (down), columns = Hoyvík goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Skála
2.59
NSI Runavik
2.04
Víkingur II
1.74
KÍ II
1.74
B71
1.70
Hoyvík
1.37
B36 II
1.22
HB II
1.04
B68 II
0.63
EB / Streymur II
0.33
B36 II is 0.15 points worse than Hoyvík in terms of average points per game (1.22 vs 1.37).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Skála
3.04
KÍ II
2.33
NSI Runavik
2.30
Víkingur II
2.26
B36 II
2.07
B71
1.96
Hoyvík
1.78
HB II
1.59
B68 II
0.96
EB / Streymur II
0.78
B36 II is 0.30 goals better than Hoyvík in terms of goals scored per game (2.07 vs 1.78).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Skála
0.74
NSI Runavik
1.00
B71
1.22
KÍ II
1.48
Víkingur II
1.56
B36 II
1.85
Hoyvík
1.96
HB II
2.33
B68 II
3.04
EB / Streymur II
3.89
B36 II is 0.11 goals better than Hoyvík in terms of goals conceded per game (1.85 vs 1.96).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

B36 IIB36 II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L11D11D12L00D00D02L12L20W11DA·KÍ 15/10H·VÍK21/10H·EB 04/03H·B7101/04A·VÍK06/04A·SKÁ11/04H·NSI15/04A·HB 25/04A·B6829/04H·KÍ 04/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.930.690.880.641.00
vs Stronger (18)0.501.060.601.100.381.00
vs Similar (8)1.000.750.750.501.251.00
vs Weaker (4)0.750.751.000.500.501.00
Clean sheet %37% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HoyvíkHoyvík

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D00D10W20W23L13L12LA·KÍ 04/03A·SKÁ01/04H·B7106/04H·HB 15/04H·VÍK25/04A·NSI29/04A·EB 04/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.291.431.671.001.001.75
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (4)1.252.002.003.001.001.67
vs Weaker (2)1.501.002.000.001.002.00
Clean sheet %43% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (B36 II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
B36 II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

B36 IIB36 II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L02L20W00D01L03L00D32W30W30WA·KÍ 15/10H·VÍK21/10H·EB 04/03H·B7101/04A·VÍK06/04A·SKÁ11/04H·NSI15/04A·HB 25/04A·B6829/04H·KÍ 04/05
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.101.250.811.291.43
vs Stronger (18)0.941.221.100.900.751.62
vs Similar (8)1.750.751.500.502.001.00
vs Weaker (4)1.751.251.501.002.001.50
Clean sheet %40% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Hoyvík) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

HoyvíkHoyvík

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L10W11D01L11D02L21WA·KÍ 04/03A·SKÁ01/04H·B7106/04H·HB 15/04H·VÍK25/04A·NSI29/04A·EB 04/05
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.861.140.671.001.001.25
vs Stronger (1)1.001.001.001.00--
vs Similar (4)0.751.251.001.000.671.33
vs Weaker (2)1.001.000.001.002.001.00
Clean sheet %14% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (B36 II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
B36 II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
B36 II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hoyvík over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.591.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.576.6%-------✓ Hit
BTTS Yes74.9%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NR (29)
€3m
SKÁ (20)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
VI (5)
€0m
E/S (7)
€0m
HI (4)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NR (6)
€1m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
VI (1)
€0m
E/S (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NR (10)
€1m
SKÁ (5)
€0m
E/S (6)
€0m
HI (2)
€0m
BI (1)
€0m
VI (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
NR (13)
€1m
SKÁ (10)
€0m
VI (3)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
E/S (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
BI wins
0
Draws
0
HOY wins

Head-to-head

B36 II vs Hoyvík · H/A from BI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

B36 IIB36 II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/23HBI Vs KÍ II4-1
29/04/23AB68 II Vs BI0-5
25/04/23AHB II Vs BI4-4
15/04/23HBI Vs NSI Runavik0-2
11/04/23ASkála Vs BI3-0
06/04/23AVíkingur II Vs BI1-0
01/04/23HBI Vs B711-2
04/03/23HBI Vs EB / Streymur II3-1
21/10/22HBI Vs Víkingur II1-3
15/10/22AKÍ II Vs BI6-0

HoyvíkHoyvík

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/05/23AEB / Streymur II Vs HOY3-3
29/04/23ANSI Runavik Vs HOY5-1
25/04/23HHOY Vs Víkingur II3-4
15/04/23HHOY Vs HB II2-1
06/04/23HHOY Vs B712-1
01/04/23ASkála Vs HOY0-1
09/03/23AB68 II Vs HOY2-1
04/03/23AKÍ II Vs HOY4-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

B36 II
B36 II
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDWW1.06
HomeLWLLW1.17
AwayLLLDW0.94
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%33%24%
AVG goals3.913.614.24
Over 1.5 %91%100%82%
Over 2.5 %77%83%71%
Over 3.5 %60%56%65%
Scored1.741.781.71
Conceded2.171.832.53
BTTS66%78%53%
Clean Sheet9%11%6%
Corners---
Cards---
Hoyvík
Hoyvík
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLD1.25
HomeWWL2.00
AwayLLWLD0.80
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%67%20%
AVG goals4.504.334.60
Over 1.5 %88%100%80%
Over 2.5 %88%100%80%
Over 3.5 %50%33%60%
Scored2.002.331.80
Conceded2.502.002.80
BTTS88%100%80%
Clean Sheet12%0%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SkálaSkála2770
85%
2.6
8220+62
3.8
89%
74%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0003.00.7
-
2NSI RunavikNSI Runavik2755
63%
2.0
6227+35
3.3
81%
59%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.31.0
-
3KÍ IIKÍ II2747
56%
1.7
6340+23
3.8
89%
70%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.5
-
4Víkingur IIVíkingur II2747
56%
1.7
6142+19
3.8
89%
78%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.6
-
5B71B712746
48%
1.7
5333+20
3.2
85%
63%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.01.2
-
6HoyvíkHoyvík2737
41%
1.4
4853-5
3.7
93%
70%
44%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.0
-
7B36 IIB36 II2733
37%
1.2
5650+6
3.9
93%
74%
52%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.9
-
8HB IIHB II2728
30%
1.0
4363-20
3.9
85%
74%
59%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.62.3
-
9B68 IIB68 II2717
19%
0.6
2682-56
4.0
93%
74%
56%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.03.0
-
10EB / Streymur IIEB / Streymur II279
7%
0.3
21105-84
4.7
93%
81%
63%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.83.9
-
Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Faroe-Islands: 1. Deild stats & trends →

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