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Ballymena United vs Portadown Result & Analysis

Date: 22/02/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 2-0
Ballymena United
Ballymena United
Vs
30%
29%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Portadown
Portadown
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Ballymena United win✓ Hit
29.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Portadown win✗ Miss
41.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Ballymena UnitedBallymena United

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L01L32W22D02L00D12L22D13L11DH·CAR30/11H·DUN14/12A·LOU21/12A·COL26/12H·GLE30/12A·CAR18/01A·LAR25/01H·LIN07/02A·CRU15/02H·GLE18/02
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.371.211.361.061.38
vs Stronger (14)1.141.361.291.141.001.57
vs Similar (16)1.121.381.141.571.111.22
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Portadown) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PortadownPortadown

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W02L02L10W13L23L11D22D20WH·CLI14/12H·CRU21/12A·GLE26/12H·GLE30/12A·LOU11/01H·LIN18/01A·CRU25/01A·LAR01/02A·CLI09/02H·LAR15/02
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.131.191.061.361.21
vs Stronger (10)1.201.401.141.571.331.00
vs Similar (20)1.301.001.220.671.361.27
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballymena United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.1%
Under 1.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
47.6%
Under 2.5
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.9%
Under 3.5
74.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
53.3%
No
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
0-1
9.5%
0-0
8.9%
1-2
8.8%
1-0
7.6%
0-2
7.6%
2-1
7.3%
2-0 ✓
5.2%
Ballymena United goals ↓
Portadown goals →
01234
08.9%9.5%7.6%3.6%1.3%
17.6%14%8.8%4.1%1.5%
25.2%7.3%5.1%2.4%0.9%
32.0%2.8%2.0%0.9%0.3%
40.6%0.8%0.6%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Ballymena United goals (down), columns = Portadown goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Linfield
2.24
Larne
1.66
Cliftonville FC
1.60
Glentoran
1.56
Dungannon Swifts
1.50
Portadown
1.47
Coleraine FC
1.45
Crusaders FC
1.38
Ballymena United
1.24
Glenavon FC
1.21
Carrick Rangers
0.95
Loughgall
0.58
Annagh United
0.00
Ballymena United is 0.24 points worse than Portadown in terms of average points per game (1.24 vs 1.47).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Linfield
1.82
Cliftonville FC
1.55
Annagh United
1.50
Coleraine FC
1.40
Dungannon Swifts
1.34
Portadown
1.26
Glentoran
1.26
Ballymena United
1.24
Larne
1.21
Crusaders FC
1.21
Glenavon FC
1.11
Carrick Rangers
1.00
Loughgall
0.95
Ballymena United is 0.03 goals worse than Portadown in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.26).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Linfield
0.74
Larne
0.87
Glentoran
1.00
Cliftonville FC
1.02
Portadown
1.18
Glenavon FC
1.24
Dungannon Swifts
1.26
Coleraine FC
1.30
Crusaders FC
1.38
Ballymena United
1.42
Carrick Rangers
1.55
Loughgall
2.24
Annagh United
4.00
Ballymena United is 0.24 goals worse than Portadown in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.18).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Ballymena UnitedBallymena United

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D21W20W00D00D12L11D12L00DH·CAR30/11H·DUN14/12A·LOU21/12A·COL26/12H·GLE30/12A·CAR18/01A·LAR25/01H·LIN07/02A·CRU15/02H·GLE18/02
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.430.500.360.620.50
vs Stronger (14)0.430.360.290.290.570.43
vs Similar (16)0.690.500.710.430.670.56
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %63% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Portadown) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PortadownPortadown

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W00D01L01L10W03L11D00D11D20WH·CLI14/12H·CRU21/12A·GLE26/12H·GLE30/12A·LOU11/01H·LIN18/01A·CRU25/01A·LAR01/02A·CLI09/02H·LAR15/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.530.440.690.430.36
vs Stronger (10)0.300.700.431.000.000.00
vs Similar (20)0.500.450.440.440.550.45
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballymena United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Ballymena United over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballymena United over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballymena United over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Ballymena UnitedBallymena United

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L01L11D02L02L00D00D11D01L11DH·CAR30/11H·DUN14/12A·LOU21/12A·COL26/12H·GLE30/12A·CAR18/01A·LAR25/01H·LIN07/02A·CRU15/02H·GLE18/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.930.711.000.440.88
vs Stronger (14)0.711.001.000.860.431.14
vs Similar (16)0.440.880.431.140.440.67
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Portadown) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PortadownPortadown

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L01L00D10W12L11D11D00DH·CLI14/12H·CRU21/12A·GLE26/12H·GLE30/12A·LOU11/01H·LIN18/01A·CRU25/01A·LAR01/02A·CLI09/02H·LAR15/02
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.600.750.380.930.86
vs Stronger (10)0.900.700.710.571.331.00
vs Similar (20)0.800.550.780.220.820.82
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %53% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Ballymena United) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Ballymena United over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballymena United over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ballymena United over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Portadown over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.574.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (23)
€4m
CF (23)
€3m
GLE (24)
€3m
DS (21)
€3m
LIN (17)
€2m
CF (23)
€2m
BU (20)
€2m
CR (20)
€2m
POR (16)
€1m
CF (18)
€1m
GF (13)
€1m
LOU (3)
€0m
Ballymena United and Portadown have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (6)
€1m
CF (8)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
GLE (10)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
POR (6)
€1m
BU (3)
€1m
DS (6)
€0m
LIN (4)
€0m
CR (6)
€0m
GF (3)
€0m
LOU (1)
€0m
Ballymena United and Portadown have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (7)
€1m
DS (7)
€1m
BU (8)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
GLE (5)
€1m
LIN (6)
€1m
CR (6)
€1m
CF (4)
€1m
CF (6)
€0m
POR (3)
€0m
GF (1)
€0m
LOU (0)
€0m
Ballymena United and Portadown have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (10)
€2m
DS (8)
€1m
GLE (9)
€1m
LIN (7)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
BU (9)
€1m
CF (9)
€1m
POR (7)
€1m
CR (8)
€1m
GF (9)
€1m
CF (7)
€1m
LOU (2)
€0m
Ballymena United and Portadown have a similar defence value (both €1m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
2
BU wins
1
Draws
3
POR wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Ballymena United vs Portadown · H/A from BU
DateH/AGameScore
01/11/24HBU Vs Portadown0-3
28/09/24APortadown Vs BU0-1
07/04/23APortadown Vs BU1-0
11/02/23HBU Vs Portadown0-0
10/12/22APortadown Vs BU1-0
08/10/22HBU Vs Portadown2-0

Ballymena UnitedBallymena United

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
18/02/25HBU Vs Glentoran1-1
15/02/25ACrusaders FC Vs BU3-1
07/02/25HBU Vs Linfield2-2
25/01/25ALarne Vs BU2-1
18/01/25ACarrick Rangers Vs BU0-0
30/12/24HBU Vs Glenavon FC0-2
26/12/24AColeraine FC Vs BU2-2
21/12/24ALoughgall Vs BU2-3
14/12/24HBU Vs Dungannon Swifts0-1
30/11/24HBU Vs Carrick Rangers1-2

PortadownPortadown

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/02/25HPOR Vs Larne2-0
09/02/25ACliftonville FC Vs POR2-2
01/02/25ALarne Vs POR1-1
25/01/25ACrusaders FC Vs POR3-2
18/01/25HPOR Vs Linfield1-3
11/01/25ALoughgall Vs POR0-1
30/12/24HPOR Vs Glentoran0-2
26/12/24AGlenavon FC Vs POR2-0
21/12/24HPOR Vs Crusaders FC1-0
14/12/24HPOR Vs Cliftonville FC2-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Ballymena United
Ballymena United
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 1 Wins / 4 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDLD1.10
HomeLLLDD1.12
AwayWDDLL1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%31%
AVG goals2.562.622.50
Over 1.5 %64%67%62%
Over 2.5 %44%42%46%
Over 3.5 %32%33%31%
Scored1.041.210.88
Conceded1.521.421.62
BTTS36%38%35%
Clean Sheet24%21%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Portadown
Portadown
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLDDW1.64
HomeWWLLW1.81
AwayLWLDD1.46
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%54%42%
AVG goals2.923.042.79
Over 1.5 %84%81%88%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %32%38%25%
Scored1.581.691.46
Conceded1.341.351.33
BTTS58%62%54%
Clean Sheet24%23%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LinfieldLinfield3885
71%
2.2
6928+41
2.6
71%
55%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.80.7
-
2Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC4064
48%
1.6
6241+21
2.6
78%
45%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.61.0
-
3LarneLarne3863
45%
1.7
4633+13
2.1
66%
34%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.20.9
-
4GlentoranGlentoran3961
44%
1.6
4939+10
2.3
67%
41%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.31.0
-
5Coleraine FCColeraine FC4058
40%
1.4
5652+4
2.7
80%
55%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.41.3
-
6Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts3857
45%
1.5
5148+3
2.6
71%
42%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0111.31.3
-
7PortadownPortadown3856
42%
1.5
4845+3
2.4
76%
42%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.31.2
-
8Crusaders FCCrusaders FC3954
41%
1.4
4754-7
2.6
67%
51%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1011.21.4
-
9Ballymena UnitedBallymena United3847
37%
1.2
4754-7
2.7
66%
47%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.4
-
10Glenavon FCGlenavon FC3846
32%
1.2
4247-5
2.3
71%
37%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.11.2
-
11Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers4038
22%
0.9
4062-22
2.5
70%
55%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.01.6
-
12LoughgallLoughgall3822
13%
0.6
3685-49
3.2
82%
63%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.2
-
13Annagh UnitedAnnagh United20
0%
0.0
38-5
5.5
100%
100%
100%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.54.0
-
Northern-Ireland: Premiership 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Premiership stats & trends →

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