This opponent (Rubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rubin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
0.90
2.07
1.07
1.13
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.75
1.25
3.00
2.50
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (26)
1.58
0.85
1.92
0.85
1.23
0.85
Clean sheet %
43% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Baltika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
54.9%
Under 1.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
26.8%
Under 2.5
73.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
10.8%
Under 3.5
89.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
36.4%
No
63.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
17.9%
1-1
14.7%
1-0
13.9%
0-1 ✓
13.2%
2-0
7.0%
0-2
6.4%
2-1
6.1%
1-2
5.9%
Baltika goals ↓
Rubin goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
18%
13%
6.4%
1.9%
0.4%
1
14%
15%
5.9%
1.7%
0.4%
2
7.0%
6.1%
2.7%
0.8%
0.2%
3
2.1%
1.9%
0.8%
0.2%
0.1%
4
0.5%
0.4%
0.2%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Baltika goals (down), columns = Rubin goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Rubin
2.03
Baltika
1.97
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.82
Enisey
1.59
Rodina Moskva
1.47
Dinamo Makhachkala
1.38
FK Neftekhimik
1.38
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.35
Akron
1.35
Ska-khabarovsk
1.29
Volgar Astrakhan
1.29
KAMAZ
1.29
Arsenal Tula
1.21
Urozhay
1.09
Veles
0.97
Krasnodar 2
0.91
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.88
FC UFA
0.88
Baltika is 0.06 points worse than Rubin in terms of average points per game (1.97 vs 2.03).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.65
Baltika
1.65
Rubin
1.56
Ska-khabarovsk
1.47
Enisey
1.26
Rodina Moskva
1.24
Akron
1.12
Arsenal Tula
1.09
Volgar Astrakhan
1.09
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.06
Urozhay
1.06
Veles
1.03
KAMAZ
1.03
FK Neftekhimik
1.00
Krasnodar 2
0.94
FC UFA
0.94
Dinamo Makhachkala
0.74
Volga Ulyanovsk
0.68
Baltika is 0.09 goals better than Rubin in terms of goals scored per game (1.65 vs 1.56).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Dinamo Makhachkala
0.76
Rubin
0.79
Baltika
0.88
FK Neftekhimik
0.97
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
1.03
Enisey
1.03
Akron
1.06
KAMAZ
1.06
Rodina Moskva
1.12
Ska-khabarovsk
1.15
Volga Ulyanovsk
1.21
Shinnik Yaroslavl
1.21
Volgar Astrakhan
1.21
Urozhay
1.21
Arsenal Tula
1.35
FC UFA
1.35
Krasnodar 2
1.59
Veles
1.62
Baltika is 0.09 goals worse than Rubin in terms of goals conceded per game (0.88 vs 0.79).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Baltika
For 7.1 · Against 3.4 · Total 10.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.8
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Rubin
For 6.1 · Against 4.1 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.4 · Total 5.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Baltika
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (31)
10.2
10.0
10.3
1.5
1.5
1.6
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
10.5
13.0
8.0
0.6
1.3
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (24)
10.1
9.4
10.8
1.8
1.5
2.1
-
-
-
% over line
50%
50%
50%
26%
27%
25%
-
-
-
% under line
50%
50%
50%
74%
73%
75%
-
-
-
This opponent (Rubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rubin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (31)
9.8
10.4
9.1
2.2
2.2
2.3
-
-
-
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (5)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
vs Weaker (26)
9.8
10.4
9.1
2.7
2.7
2.6
-
-
-
% over line
50%
57%
43%
29%
25%
33%
-
-
-
% under line
50%
43%
57%
71%
75%
67%
-
-
-
This opponent (Baltika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Arsenal Tula
10.4
Baltika
10.2
Urozhay
10.0
Akron
10.0
FK Neftekhimik
9.9
Rubin
9.8
Shinnik Yaroslavl
9.7
Veles
9.7
Krasnodar 2
9.6
Enisey
9.6
FC UFA
9.2
Volgar Astrakhan
9.1
Rodina Moskva
8.6
KAMAZ
8.5
Ska-khabarovsk
8.4
Dinamo Makhachkala
8.1
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
8.0
Volga Ulyanovsk
6.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
KAMAZ
6.8
Ska-khabarovsk
6.8
Krasnodar 2
5.4
Enisey
5.4
Rubin
5.3
Dinamo Makhachkala
5.3
Akron
5.2
Urozhay
5.1
Volgar Astrakhan
5.1
FC UFA
5.0
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
4.9
Volga Ulyanovsk
4.9
FK Neftekhimik
4.7
Baltika
4.7
Rodina Moskva
4.6
Arsenal Tula
4.5
Veles
4.5
Shinnik Yaroslavl
3.8
⚠️ Total Fouls
Not collected for this league yet.
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
51.9%
Under 9.5
48.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
75.2%
Under 3.5
24.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Baltika
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.30
1.07
0.27
0.73
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.57
0.67
0.33
0.75
0.75
vs Weaker (23)
0.96
0.22
1.17
0.25
0.73
0.18
Clean sheet %
70% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Rubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rubin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.33
1.13
0.33
0.40
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
1.00
0.75
2.00
1.50
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (26)
0.73
0.27
1.00
0.15
0.46
0.38
Clean sheet %
77% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Baltika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Baltika over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baltika over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baltika over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rubin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rubin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rubin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Baltika
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.47
0.67
0.60
1.00
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (7)
0.71
0.43
0.00
0.33
1.25
0.50
vs Weaker (23)
0.87
0.48
0.83
0.67
0.91
0.27
Clean sheet %
63% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Rubin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rubin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
0.93
0.73
0.73
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (4)
0.75
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.00
vs Weaker (26)
0.85
0.58
0.92
0.69
0.77
0.46
Clean sheet %
57% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Baltika) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Baltika over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baltika over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baltika over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rubin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rubin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Rubin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
89.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
88.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
75.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5
73.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
71.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Baltika · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Brayan Gil40%
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor33%
Eldar Ćivić25%
Aymane Mourid20%
Andrey Mendel17%
Nikolay Titkov17%
Maksim Petrov17%
Sergey Varatynov17%
Evgeniy Latyshonok0%
Fahd Moufi0%
Mingiyan Beveev0%
Eduardo Anderson0%
Konstantin Shiltsov0%
Nathan Gassama0%
Ivan Belikov0%
Vladislav Pospelov0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aymane Mourid60%
Mingiyan Beveev33%
Eduardo Anderson33%
Andrey Mendel33%
Nikolay Titkov33%
Maksim Petrov17%
Evgeniy Latyshonok0%
Fahd Moufi0%
Eldar Ćivić0%
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor0%
Brayan Gil0%
Konstantin Shiltsov0%
Nathan Gassama0%
Sergey Varatynov0%
Ivan Belikov0%
Vladislav Pospelov0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nathan Gassama33%
Aymane Mourid20%
Nikolay Titkov17%
Maksim Petrov17%
Sergey Varatynov17%
Vladislav Pospelov17%
Evgeniy Latyshonok0%
Fahd Moufi0%
Mingiyan Beveev0%
Eldar Ćivić0%
Eduardo Anderson0%
Andrey Mendel0%
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor0%
Brayan Gil0%
Konstantin Shiltsov0%
Ivan Belikov0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nnamdi Chinonso Offor50%
Aymane Mourid20%
Maksim Petrov17%
Evgeniy Latyshonok0%
Fahd Moufi0%
Mingiyan Beveev0%
Eldar Ćivić0%
Eduardo Anderson0%
Andrey Mendel0%
Brayan Gil0%
Nikolay Titkov0%
Konstantin Shiltsov0%
Nathan Gassama0%
Sergey Varatynov0%
Ivan Belikov0%
Vladislav Pospelov0%
Rubin · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jacques Siwe40%
Bogdan Jočić33%
Aleksandar Jukić25%
Ilya Rozhkov20%
Anderson Arroyo17%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Ignacio Saavedra0%
Denil Maldonado0%
Ilya Samoshnikov0%
Igor Vujačić0%
Ugochukwu Iwu0%
Evgeniy Staver0%
Veldin Hodža0%
Egor Teslenko0%
Ruslan Bezrukov0%
Daniil Kuznetsov0%
Nikita Lobov0%
Maksim Ignatjev0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aleksandar Jukić50%
Veldin Hodža33%
Igor Vujačić20%
Ilya Rozhkov20%
Ignacio Saavedra17%
Anderson Arroyo17%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Denil Maldonado0%
Ilya Samoshnikov0%
Ugochukwu Iwu0%
Evgeniy Staver0%
Bogdan Jočić0%
Egor Teslenko0%
Jacques Siwe0%
Ruslan Bezrukov0%
Daniil Kuznetsov0%
Nikita Lobov0%
Maksim Ignatjev0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ilya Samoshnikov25%
Ilya Rozhkov20%
Ignacio Saavedra17%
Evgeniy Staver17%
Anderson Arroyo17%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Aleksandar Jukić0%
Denil Maldonado0%
Igor Vujačić0%
Ugochukwu Iwu0%
Bogdan Jočić0%
Veldin Hodža0%
Egor Teslenko0%
Jacques Siwe0%
Ruslan Bezrukov0%
Daniil Kuznetsov0%
Nikita Lobov0%
Maksim Ignatjev0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Ugochukwu Iwu33%
Aleksandar Jukić25%
Nazmi Gripshi0%
Ignacio Saavedra0%
Denil Maldonado0%
Ilya Samoshnikov0%
Igor Vujačić0%
Evgeniy Staver0%
Anderson Arroyo0%
Bogdan Jočić0%
Veldin Hodža0%
Egor Teslenko0%
Jacques Siwe0%
Ruslan Bezrukov0%
Daniil Kuznetsov0%
Ilya Rozhkov0%
Nikita Lobov0%
Maksim Ignatjev0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUB (27)
€45m
BAL (31)
€30m
AKR (25)
€25m
DM (29)
€20m
RM (26)
€17m
AT (26)
€8m
SKA (27)
€6m
VU (24)
€6m
SY (24)
€6m
ENI (24)
€6m
FU (25)
€5m
KAM (24)
€5m
VEL (23)
€5m
FN (25)
€5m
Baltika's squad is €15m less valuable than Rubin's (€30m vs €45m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AKR (9)
€11m
BAL (10)
€10m
DM (13)
€9m
RUB (5)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
AT (8)
€3m
VU (9)
€2m
ENI (7)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
SY (9)
€2m
KAM (9)
€2m
FN (9)
€2m
FU (7)
€2m
VEL (7)
€2m
Baltika's attack is €2m more valuable than Rubin's (€10m vs €8m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUB (6)
€12m
BAL (6)
€6m
AKR (6)
€6m
RM (4)
€3m
DM (5)
€3m
AT (8)
€2m
SKA (8)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
ENI (5)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
SY (5)
€1m
VU (5)
€1m
FN (5)
€1m
KAM (4)
€1m
Baltika's midfield is €6m less valuable than Rubin's (€6m vs €12m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
RUB (16)
€25m
BAL (15)
€15m
AKR (10)
€8m
DM (11)
€8m
RM (11)
€7m
AT (10)
€3m
VU (10)
€3m
SKA (11)
€3m
SY (10)
€2m
KAM (11)
€2m
FN (11)
€2m
ENI (12)
€2m
FU (9)
€2m
VEL (8)
€2m
Baltika's defence is €11m less valuable than Rubin's (€15m vs €25m).
Russia: First League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Russia: First League stats & trends →