PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Balzan FC vs Zabbar St. Patrick Result & Analysis

Date: 01/12/2024
Time: 15:00
Final 1-2
Balzan FC
Balzan FC
Vs
45%
28%
27%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Zabbar St. Patrick
Zabbar St. Patrick
Malta: Premier League
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Balzan FC win✗ Miss
45.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zabbar St. Patrick win✓ Hit
27.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Balzan FCBalzan FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W02L11D12L21W02L03L01L22D12LH·NAX29/08H·ZAB16/09H·HAM21/09A·MAR28/09H·GZI03/10A·MEL20/10A·FLO26/10H·HIB01/11A·MOS06/11A·MAR24/11
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.271.001.131.071.40
vs Stronger (7)0.712.431.003.000.502.00
vs Similar (22)1.090.950.910.731.271.18
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Zabbar St. Patrick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L20W33D12L13L02L24L13L13L12LH·FLO28/08A·BAL16/09H·NAX22/09H·HIB28/09H·MAR02/10A·SLI20/10A·MOS27/10A·GZI02/11H·MEL06/11A·GZI24/11
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.531.271.331.331.73
vs Stronger (3)0.332.670.003.000.502.50
vs Similar (23)1.351.611.331.421.361.82
vs Weaker (4)1.750.251.500.002.000.50
Clean sheet %30% (-1pp vs league)
This opponent (Balzan FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
76.3%
Under 1.5
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
50.5%
Under 2.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
28.5%
Under 3.5
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.0%
No
45.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
9.2%
2-0
8.0%
0-0
8.0%
1-2 ✓
6.9%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.3%
Balzan FC goals ↓
Zabbar St. Patrick goals →
01234
08.0%6.6%4.5%1.7%0.5%
19.2%13%6.9%2.7%0.8%
28.0%9.3%5.3%2.1%0.6%
34.1%4.8%2.7%1.1%0.3%
41.6%1.8%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Balzan FC goals (down), columns = Zabbar St. Patrick goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Floriana
1.94
Birkirkara
1.74
Sliema Wanderers
1.71
Hamrun Spartans
1.65
Hibernians
1.53
Marsaxlokk
1.47
Gzira United
1.31
Mosta
1.19
Zabbar St. Patrick
1.12
Naxxar Lions
1.06
Balzan FC
0.91
Melita
0.88
Balzan FC is 0.22 points worse than Zabbar St. Patrick in terms of average points per game (0.91 vs 1.12).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Floriana
1.53
Sliema Wanderers
1.47
Marsaxlokk
1.47
Hamrun Spartans
1.44
Zabbar St. Patrick
1.41
Birkirkara
1.35
Hibernians
1.34
Melita
1.15
Mosta
1.09
Balzan FC
1.06
Gzira United
1.06
Naxxar Lions
0.94
Balzan FC is 0.34 goals worse than Zabbar St. Patrick in terms of goals scored per game (1.06 vs 1.41).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Floriana
0.68
Hamrun Spartans
0.82
Birkirkara
0.85
Sliema Wanderers
0.94
Marsaxlokk
1.22
Hibernians
1.25
Gzira United
1.31
Balzan FC
1.56
Zabbar St. Patrick
1.56
Mosta
1.66
Naxxar Lions
1.67
Melita
1.91
Balzan FC and Zabbar St. Patrick are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.56).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Balzan FCBalzan FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W01L01L11D10W01L01L00D00D11DH·NAX29/08H·ZAB16/09H·HAM21/09A·MAR28/09H·GZI03/10A·MEL20/10A·FLO26/10H·HIB01/11A·MOS06/11A·MAR24/11
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.570.670.400.400.73
vs Stronger (7)0.431.140.671.000.251.25
vs Similar (22)0.550.410.640.270.450.55
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Zabbar St. Patrick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W11D10W12L02L11D11D11D01LH·FLO28/08A·BAL16/09H·NAX22/09H·HIB28/09H·MAR02/10A·SLI20/10A·MOS27/10A·GZI02/11H·MEL06/11A·GZI24/11
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.670.530.670.93
vs Stronger (3)0.002.000.003.000.001.50
vs Similar (22)0.680.680.670.420.701.00
vs Weaker (5)1.000.201.000.001.000.33
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Balzan FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Balzan FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Balzan FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Balzan FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zabbar St. Patrick over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zabbar St. Patrick over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zabbar St. Patrick over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Balzan FCBalzan FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W01L11D01L02L01L22D01LH·NAX29/08H·ZAB16/09H·HAM21/09A·MAR28/09H·GZI03/10A·MEL20/10A·FLO26/10H·HIB01/11A·MOS06/11A·MAR24/11
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.700.330.730.670.67
vs Stronger (7)0.291.290.332.000.250.75
vs Similar (22)0.550.550.270.450.820.64
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %50% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Zabbar St. Patrick) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W22D02L01L00D13L02L02L11DH·FLO28/08A·BAL16/09H·NAX22/09H·HIB28/09H·MAR02/10A·SLI20/10A·MOS27/10A·GZI02/11H·MEL06/11A·GZI24/11
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.870.600.800.870.93
vs Stronger (3)0.330.670.000.000.501.00
vs Similar (22)0.731.000.671.000.801.00
vs Weaker (5)1.000.400.500.001.330.67
Clean sheet %47% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Balzan FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Balzan FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Balzan FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Balzan FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zabbar St. Patrick over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zabbar St. Patrick over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zabbar St. Patrick over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.576.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.571.5%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SW (25)
€7m
HIB (28)
€5m
HS (23)
€5m
FLO (22)
€5m
ZSP (24)
€4m
MAR (22)
€4m
MOS (24)
€3m
GU (13)
€3m
BIR (12)
€3m
BF (10)
€2m
NL (16)
€1m
Balzan FC's squad is €3m less valuable than Zabbar St. Patrick's (€2m vs €4m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SW (11)
€3m
HIB (10)
€2m
FLO (7)
€2m
BIR (6)
€2m
MAR (8)
€1m
MOS (8)
€1m
ZSP (6)
€1m
HS (7)
€1m
BF (4)
€1m
GU (4)
€1m
NL (4)
€0m
Balzan FC and Zabbar St. Patrick have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HS (10)
€3m
SW (4)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
FLO (6)
€1m
MOS (4)
€1m
ZSP (6)
€1m
GU (3)
€1m
HIB (4)
€1m
BIR (2)
€1m
NL (5)
€0m
BF (2)
€0m
Balzan FC and Zabbar St. Patrick have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HIB (14)
€3m
ZSP (12)
€2m
SW (10)
€2m
FLO (9)
€2m
GU (6)
€1m
HS (6)
€1m
MOS (12)
€1m
BIR (4)
€1m
MAR (8)
€1m
NL (7)
€1m
BF (4)
€1m
Balzan FC's defence is €2m less valuable than Zabbar St. Patrick's (€1m vs €2m).

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
BF wins
0
Draws
1
ZSP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Balzan FC vs Zabbar St. Patrick · H/A from BF
DateH/AGameScore
16/09/24HBF Vs Zabbar St. Patrick0-2

Balzan FCBalzan FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/11/24AMarsaxlokk Vs BF2-1
06/11/24AMosta Vs BF2-2
01/11/24HBF Vs Hibernians0-1
26/10/24AFloriana Vs BF3-0
20/10/24AMelita Vs BF2-0
03/10/24HBF Vs Gzira United2-1
28/09/24AMarsaxlokk Vs BF2-1
21/09/24HBF Vs Hamrun Spartans1-1
16/09/24HBF Vs Zabbar St. Patrick0-2
29/08/24HBF Vs Naxxar Lions2-0

Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/11/24AGzira United Vs ZSP2-1
06/11/24HZSP Vs Melita1-3
02/11/24AGzira United Vs ZSP3-1
27/10/24AMosta Vs ZSP4-2
20/10/24ASliema Wanderers Vs ZSP2-0
02/10/24HZSP Vs Marsaxlokk1-3
28/09/24HZSP Vs Hibernians1-2
22/09/24HZSP Vs Naxxar Lions3-3
16/09/24ABalzan FC Vs ZSP0-2
28/08/24HZSP Vs Floriana0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Balzan FC
Balzan FC
Malta: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 2 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL1.22
HomeWLDWL1.16
AwayLLLDL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%28%32%
AVG goals2.462.322.60
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %44%44%44%
Over 3.5 %24%16%32%
Scored1.100.881.32
Conceded1.361.441.28
BTTS42%32%52%
Clean Sheet28%36%20%
Corners15.0015.5014.00
Cards6.677.505.00
Zabbar St. Patrick
Zabbar St. Patrick
Malta: Premier League
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL1.49
HomeLDLLL1.72
AwayWLLLL1.26
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %43%50%37%
AVG goals2.702.442.95
Over 1.5 %70%67%74%
Over 2.5 %49%39%58%
Over 3.5 %38%28%47%
Scored1.381.331.42
Conceded1.321.111.53
BTTS49%39%58%
Clean Sheet38%50%26%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FlorianaFloriana3466
53%
1.9
5223+29
2.2
74%
41%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.50.7
-
2BirkirkaraBirkirkara3459
50%
1.7
4629+17
2.2
65%
26%
15%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2111.40.9
-
3Sliema WanderersSliema Wanderers3458
50%
1.7
5032+18
2.4
62%
41%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
3221.50.9
-
4Hamrun SpartansHamrun Spartans3456
47%
1.6
4928+21
2.3
62%
38%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1311.40.8
-
5HiberniansHibernians3249
44%
1.5
4340+3
2.6
81%
44%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2131.31.2
-
6MarsaxlokkMarsaxlokk3247
41%
1.5
4739+8
2.7
72%
53%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1211.51.2
-
7Gzira UnitedGzira United3242
34%
1.3
3442-8
2.4
69%
50%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.3
-
8MostaMosta3238
38%
1.2
3553-18
2.8
75%
50%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.7
-
9Zabbar St. PatrickZabbar St. Patrick3236
31%
1.1
4550-5
3.0
84%
66%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1121.41.6
-
10Naxxar LionsNaxxar Lions3335
27%
1.1
3155-24
2.6
76%
45%
21%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0010.91.7
-
11Balzan FCBalzan FC3229
19%
0.9
3450-16
2.6
78%
53%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.11.6
-
12MelitaMelita3329
21%
0.9
3863-25
3.1
88%
55%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
Malta: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Malta: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches