Banants II vs Alashkert II Result & Analysis

Date: 16/09/2023

Time: 14:00

Final 1-0

Banants II

74%

14%

11%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Alashkert II

Armenia: First League

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Banants II win✓ Hit

74.2%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Draw✗ Miss

14.4%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Alashkert II win✗ Miss

11.3%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Banants II

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.9

Avg scored

1.6

Avg conceded

1.3

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.83	1.37	2.29	1.43	1.44	1.31
vs Stronger (11)	1.45	1.64	2.00	2.40	1.00	1.00
vs Similar (14)	2.00	1.07	2.17	0.67	1.88	1.38
vs Weaker (5)	2.20	1.60	3.00	1.33	1.00	2.00
Clean sheet %	27% (+1pp vs league)

This opponent (Alashkert II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Alashkert II

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

5.6

Avg scored

2.0

Avg conceded

3.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.40	3.27	1.67	3.07	1.13	3.47
vs Stronger (3)	1.00	2.33	1.00	3.00	1.00	2.00
vs Similar (19)	1.32	3.95	1.67	3.67	1.00	4.20
vs Weaker (8)	1.75	2.00	1.80	2.00	1.67	2.00
Clean sheet %	3% (-22pp vs league)

This opponent (Banants II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 4.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 6+ (28%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

94.0%

Under 1.5

6.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

81.9%

Under 2.5

18.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

64.6%

Under 3.5

35.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

69.3%

30.7%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

3-1

8.0%

2-1

7.6%

4-1

6.3%

3-0

6.3%

2-0

6.0%

1-1

5.3%

3-2

5.1%

4-0

5.0%

Banants II goals ↓

	Alashkert II goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	1.7%	1.0%	1.0%	0.4%	0.1%
1	3.3%	5.3%	3.0%	1.3%	0.4%
2	6.0%	7.6%	4.8%	2.0%	0.6%
3	6.3%	8.0%	5.1%	2.1%	0.7%
4	5.0%	6.3%	4.0%	1.7%	0.5%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Banants II goals (down), columns = Alashkert II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Gandzasar

2.64

BKMA II

2.25

Syunik

2.22

Lernayin Artsakh

2.07

Banants II

1.50

Andranik

1.46

Noah II

1.39

Ararat-Armenia II

1.39

Alashkert II

1.32

Shirak II

1.18

Ararat II

1.14

Pyunik II

1.07

Mika

0.61

Onor

0.59

Nikarm

0.43

Banants II is 0.18 points better than Alashkert II in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.32).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

BKMA II

2.89

Gandzasar

2.46

Lernayin Artsakh

2.21

Syunik

2.19

Noah II

1.89

Ararat II

1.86

Banants II

1.82

Pyunik II

1.79

Ararat-Armenia II

1.71

Alashkert II

1.64

Shirak II

1.46

Andranik

1.32

Nikarm

0.96

Onor

0.85

Mika

0.75

Banants II is 0.18 goals better than Alashkert II in terms of goals scored per game (1.82 vs 1.64).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Gandzasar

0.61

Syunik

0.89

Lernayin Artsakh

0.96

BKMA II

1.11

Banants II

1.21

Noah II

1.36

Ararat-Armenia II

1.46

Andranik

1.46

Ararat II

1.68

Alashkert II

1.75

Shirak II

1.79

Pyunik II

2.04

Mika

2.14

Onor

3.04

Nikarm

4.36

Banants II is 0.54 goals better than Alashkert II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.75).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Banants II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.3

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.70	0.63	0.69	0.56	0.71	0.71
vs Stronger (11)	0.55	1.00	0.80	1.20	0.33	0.83
vs Similar (13)	0.77	0.54	0.43	0.29	1.17	0.83
vs Weaker (6)	0.83	0.17	1.00	0.25	0.50	0.00
Clean sheet %	53% (+28pp vs league)

This opponent (Alashkert II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Alashkert II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.4

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

1.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.64	1.29	0.69	1.62	0.60	1.00
vs Stronger (3)	1.00	1.00	1.00	2.00	1.00	0.50
vs Similar (17)	0.47	1.59	0.62	2.00	0.33	1.22
vs Weaker (8)	0.88	0.75	0.75	0.75	1.00	0.75
Clean sheet %	29% (+3pp vs league)

This opponent (Banants II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Banants II over/under 0.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Banants II over/under 1.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Banants II over/under 2.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Alashkert II over/under 0.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Alashkert II over/under 1.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Alashkert II over/under 2.5 HT

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Banants II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.8

Avg scored

1.0

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.17	0.97	1.31	0.69	1.00	1.29
vs Stronger (11)	0.82	1.18	0.80	1.00	0.83	1.33
vs Similar (13)	1.54	0.62	1.71	0.29	1.33	1.00
vs Weaker (6)	1.00	1.33	1.25	1.00	0.50	2.00
Clean sheet %	33% (+8pp vs league)

This opponent (Alashkert II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Alashkert II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.2

Avg scored

1.3

Avg conceded

1.9

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.82	2.14	1.08	1.62	0.60	2.60
vs Stronger (3)	0.00	1.33	0.00	1.00	0.00	1.50
vs Similar (17)	1.00	2.41	1.25	1.88	0.78	2.89
vs Weaker (8)	0.75	1.88	1.00	1.25	0.50	2.50
Clean sheet %	14% (-12pp vs league)

This opponent (Banants II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Banants II over/under 0.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Banants II over/under 1.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Banants II over/under 2.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Alashkert II over/under 0.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Alashkert II over/under 1.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Alashkert II over/under 2.5 2H

Over

0.0%

Under

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Over 1.5	94.0%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss
Over 2.5	81.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✗ Miss
Home win	74.2%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

GAN (25)

€3m

SYU (23)

€2m

AND (29)

€1m

BI (16)

€0m

MIK (21)

€0m

AI (11)

€0m

PI (13)

€0m

SI (8)

€0m

BI (9)

€0m

LA (8)

€0m

NI (4)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

GAN (8)

€1m

SYU (9)

€1m

AND (10)

€1m

BI (3)

€0m

SI (1)

€0m

MIK (4)

€0m

PI (1)

€0m

NI (1)

€0m

BI (2)

€0m

LA (1)

€0m

AI (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

GAN (5)

€1m

SYU (6)

€0m

AND (8)

€0m

BI (6)

€0m

MIK (10)

€0m

AI (5)

€0m

SI (4)

€0m

PI (4)

€0m

LA (4)

€0m

BI (3)

€0m

NI (0)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

GAN (12)

€1m

SYU (8)

€0m

AND (11)

€0m

AI (6)

€0m

BI (7)

€0m

PI (8)

€0m

MIK (7)

€0m

SI (3)

€0m

BI (4)

€0m

NI (3)

€0m

LA (3)

€0m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings

BI wins

Draws

AI wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Banants II vs Alashkert II · H/A from BI

Date	H/A	Game	Score
28/05/23	A	Alashkert II Vs BI	4-3
29/03/23	H	BI Vs Alashkert II	5-2
08/10/22	A	Alashkert II Vs BI	0-7

Banants II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
31/08/23	A	Syunik Vs BI	1-0
25/08/23	H	BI Vs Andranik	0-0
21/08/23	A	Shirak II Vs BI	3-2
15/08/23	H	BI Vs Nikarm	5-1
05/08/23	A	Lernayin Artsakh Vs BI	1-1
01/08/23	H	BI Vs Mika	3-1
28/05/23	A	Alashkert II Vs BI	4-3
23/05/23	H	BI Vs Shirak II	0-0
19/05/23	H	BI Vs Ararat-Armenia II	2-2
14/05/23	A	Pyunik II Vs BI	0-0

Alashkert II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
01/09/23	H	AI Vs Noah II	4-1
26/08/23	A	Ararat II Vs AI	5-0
21/08/23	H	AI Vs Ararat-Armenia II	2-2
06/08/23	A	Syunik Vs AI	5-1
28/05/23	H	AI Vs Banants II	4-3
23/05/23	A	Pyunik II Vs AI	3-4
14/05/23	A	Ararat II Vs AI	2-1
09/05/23	H	AI Vs West Armenia	2-7
04/05/23	A	Mika Vs AI	3-2
29/04/23	H	AI Vs Gandzasar	0-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Banants II

Armenia: First League

Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	DWLDL	1.34
Home	DDWWD	1.63
Away	DLDLL	1.05

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	37%	47%	26%
AVG goals	3.50	3.58	3.42
Over 1.5 %	79%	79%	79%
Over 2.5 %	61%	68%	53%
Over 3.5 %	42%	47%	37%
Scored	1.82	2.16	1.47
Conceded	1.68	1.42	1.95
BTTS	63%	74%	53%
Clean Sheet	24%	21%	26%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Alashkert II

Armenia: First League

Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WLDLW	0.69
Home	LLWDW	0.88
Away	LLWLL	0.50

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	24%	17%
AVG goals	4.57	4.59	4.56
Over 1.5 %	94%	94%	94%
Over 2.5 %	86%	82%	89%
Over 3.5 %	66%	71%	61%
Scored	1.37	1.65	1.11
Conceded	3.20	2.94	3.44
BTTS	63%	65%	61%
Clean Sheet	6%	6%	6%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Gandzasar	28	74	86%	2.6	69	17	+52	3.1	82%	50%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	2.5	0.6	-
2	BKMA II	28	63	71%	2.2	81	31	+50	4.0	93%	79%	61%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.9	1.1	-
3	Syunik	27	60	70%	2.2	59	24	+35	3.1	70%	52%	41%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	0	2.2	0.9	-
4	Lernayin Artsakh	28	58	64%	2.1	62	27	+35	3.2	86%	57%	32%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.2	1.0	-
5	Banants II	28	42	36%	1.5	51	34	+17	3.0	75%	57%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	1.2	-
6	Andranik	28	41	43%	1.5	37	41	-4	2.8	75%	54%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	1	1	0	0	1.3	1.5	-
7	Noah II	28	39	39%	1.4	53	38	+15	3.2	79%	50%	39%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.9	1.4	-
8	Ararat-Armenia II	28	39	39%	1.4	48	41	+7	3.2	82%	57%	36%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.7	1.5	-
9	Alashkert II	28	37	36%	1.3	46	49	-3	3.4	75%	71%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.6	1.8	-
10	Shirak II	28	33	36%	1.2	41	50	-9	3.2	71%	61%	39%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	1.8	-
11	Ararat II	28	32	32%	1.1	52	47	+5	3.5	79%	71%	46%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.9	1.7	-
12	Pyunik II	28	30	32%	1.1	50	57	-7	3.8	82%	68%	54%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.8	2.0	-
13	Mika	28	17	14%	0.6	21	60	-39	2.9	71%	61%	36%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.8	2.1	-
14	Onor	27	16	15%	0.6	23	82	-59	3.9	78%	67%	56%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.9	3.0	-
15	Nikarm	28	12	14%	0.4	27	122	-95	5.3	86%	79%	75%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	4.4	-

Armenia: First League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

← all matches

Banants II vs Alashkert II Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Banants II

Alashkert II

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Banants II

Alashkert II

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Banants II

Alashkert II

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Banants II

Alashkert II

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature