Banants II, who have been averaging 1.83 goals for and 2.33 against in similar opposition, are heading into this match after a win, while Andranik, whose away form shows 2.43 goals scored and only 0.86 conceded, are coming off a defeat. The model predicts an away win with a 56% chance, a draw at 22% and a home win at 22%. The expected total of 3.5 goals points to a high-scoring affair, with the most likely total being 3 goals at 22%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 9.7% probability. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 goals (97.4%), Home under 3.5 goals (95.6%), Under 6.5 (93.7%), Away +2 handicap (90.6%), Away over 0.5 goals (88.5%), Over 1.5 (87.0%), Under 5.5 (86.2%) and Home under 2.5 goals (85.5%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Banants II win
21.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Andranik win
55.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Banants II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.97
1.62
1.69
1.65
2.18
vs Stronger (11)
1.00
1.73
1.40
1.80
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (13)
2.15
2.46
1.80
2.00
2.38
2.75
vs Weaker (6)
1.67
1.33
1.67
1.00
1.67
1.67
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Andranik
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
3.3
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.70
1.03
3.14
1.07
2.31
1.00
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
2.00
0.50
1.50
1.00
2.33
vs Similar (14)
2.50
1.07
3.00
1.50
2.12
0.75
vs Weaker (11)
3.82
0.55
4.17
0.50
3.40
0.60
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Banants II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
84.7%
Under 1.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
63.4%
Under 2.5
36.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
41.3%
Under 3.5
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
62.5%
No
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.5%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
7.9%
0-1
6.8%
1-3
6.6%
2-2
6.0%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.4%
Banants II goals ↓
Andranik goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.8%
6.8%
7.9%
5.4%
2.7%
1
3.7%
11%
9.7%
6.6%
3.4%
2
2.9%
5.9%
6.0%
4.1%
2.1%
3
1.2%
2.4%
2.5%
1.7%
0.9%
4
0.4%
0.7%
0.8%
0.5%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Banants II goals (down), columns = Andranik goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Olympia Yerevan
1.30
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Sardarapat 2
0.74
Shirak II
0.60
Banants II is 1.00 points worse than Andranik in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 2.20).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Banants II
1.53
Olympia Yerevan
1.50
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Mika
1.07
Sardarapat 2
0.85
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Banants II is 1.00 goals worse than Andranik in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 2.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hayq
0.80
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Olympia Yerevan
1.79
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Sardarapat 2
3.15
Banants II is 0.80 goals worse than Andranik in terms of goals conceded per game (1.80 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Banants II or Draw
45.0%
Avg Implied -
22%
23%
55%
covers Banants II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Banants II or Andranik
76.8%
Avg Implied -
22%
23%
55%
covers Banants II + Andranik
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Andranik
78.2%
Avg Implied -
22%
23%
55%
covers Draw + Andranik
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Banants II over/under 0.5
Over
70.8%
Under
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 1.5
Over
34.9%
Under
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 2.5
Over
12.7%
Under
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 3.5
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 0.5
Over
87.0%
Under
13.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 1.5
Over
60.4%
Under
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 2.5
Over
33.3%
Under
66.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 3.5
Over
15.0%
Under
85.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Banants II, so a minus line means Banants II give that many goals of a start and Andranik receive them. At -1, Banants II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Banants II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Banants II)
Banants II -2
2.9%
Draw -2
6.2%
Andranik +2
90.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Banants II)
Banants II -1
9.1%
Draw -1
12.7%
Andranik +1
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Banants II)
Banants II +1
45.0%
Draw +1
21.6%
Andranik -1
33.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Banants II)
Banants II +2
66.5%
Draw +2
17.0%
Andranik -2
16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Banants II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.90
0.69
0.69
0.71
1.06
vs Stronger (11)
0.27
0.55
0.60
0.60
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (13)
1.00
1.31
0.80
1.00
1.12
1.50
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.67
0.67
0.33
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Andranik
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
0.50
1.21
0.29
1.25
0.69
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
0.80
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.33
vs Similar (14)
1.29
0.57
1.17
0.67
1.38
0.50
vs Weaker (11)
1.73
0.27
1.67
0.00
1.80
0.60
Clean sheet %
67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Banants II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Banants II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Banants II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.07
0.92
1.00
0.94
1.12
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
1.18
0.80
1.20
0.67
1.17
vs Similar (13)
1.15
1.15
1.00
1.00
1.25
1.25
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.67
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Andranik) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Andranik
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
0.53
1.93
0.79
1.06
0.31
vs Stronger (5)
0.80
1.20
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (14)
1.21
0.50
1.83
0.83
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (11)
2.09
0.27
2.50
0.50
1.60
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Banants II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Banants II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Andranik over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
90.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
88.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
87.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
85.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +1 handicap
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
OY (15)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Banants II's squad is €1m less valuable than Andranik's (€0m vs €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
OY (2)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Banants II and Andranik have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
OY (4)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Banants II and Andranik have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (11)
€0m
OY (9)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Banants II and Andranik have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Armenia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Olympia Yerevan
BKMA II
Pyunik II
Mika
Lernayin Artsakh
Bentonit Ijevan
Noah II
Araks Ararat
Shirak II
Sardarapat 2
Ararat-Armenia II
Hayq
Ararat II