Banants II, riding a win after a 3-2 victory over BKMA II, will host Ararat-Armenia II, who are coming off five straight defeats. The model favours a home win, with a 54% chance, a 24% draw probability and a 22% chance for the visitors. The expected total goals is 3.2, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.8% probability. Banants II average 1.67 goals scored and 1.0 conceded at home against weaker opposition, while Ararat-Armenia II average 1.33 goals scored and 2.44 conceded away against stronger teams. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (98.3%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.5%), Under 6.5 (95.5%), Home +2 handicap (90.8%), Under 5.5 (89.4%), Away under 2.5 goals (87.6%), Home over 0.5 goals (86.2%) and Home under 3.5 goals (86.0%).
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Banants II win
54.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II win
22.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Banants II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.97
1.62
1.69
1.65
2.18
vs Stronger (11)
1.00
1.73
1.40
1.80
0.67
1.67
vs Similar (13)
2.15
2.46
1.80
2.00
2.38
2.75
vs Weaker (6)
1.67
1.33
1.67
1.00
1.67
1.67
Clean sheet %
13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ararat-Armenia II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
2.00
1.67
2.07
1.20
1.93
vs Stronger (18)
1.72
2.39
1.90
2.20
1.50
2.62
vs Similar (12)
1.00
1.42
1.20
1.80
0.86
1.14
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Banants II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.9%
Under 1.5
16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
62.1%
Under 2.5
37.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
39.8%
Under 3.5
60.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
61.8%
No
38.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.8%
2-0
8.0%
1-0
7.1%
3-1
6.4%
1-2
6.0%
2-2
5.9%
3-0
5.3%
Banants II goals ↓
Ararat-Armenia II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.0%
4.0%
3.0%
1.2%
0.4%
1
7.1%
11%
6.0%
2.4%
0.7%
2
8.0%
9.8%
5.9%
2.4%
0.7%
3
5.3%
6.4%
3.9%
1.6%
0.5%
4
2.6%
3.2%
2.0%
0.8%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Banants II goals (down), columns = Ararat-Armenia II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Olympia Yerevan
1.30
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Sardarapat 2
0.74
Shirak II
0.60
Banants II is 0.40 points better than Ararat-Armenia II in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 0.80).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Banants II
1.53
Olympia Yerevan
1.50
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Mika
1.07
Sardarapat 2
0.85
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Banants II and Ararat-Armenia II are level in goals scored per game (both 1.53).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hayq
0.80
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Olympia Yerevan
1.79
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Sardarapat 2
3.15
Banants II is 0.27 goals better than Ararat-Armenia II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.80 vs 2.07).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Banants II or Draw
77.8%
Avg Implied -
54%
24%
22%
covers Banants II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Banants II or Ararat-Armenia II
76.3%
Avg Implied -
54%
24%
22%
covers Banants II + Ararat-Armenia II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ararat-Armenia II
45.9%
Avg Implied -
54%
24%
22%
covers Draw + Ararat-Armenia II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Banants II over/under 0.5
Over
86.2%
Under
13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 1.5
Over
59.0%
Under
41.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 2.5
Over
31.9%
Under
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 3.5
Over
14.0%
Under
86.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 0.5
Over
70.5%
Under
29.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 1.5
Over
34.4%
Under
65.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 2.5
Over
12.5%
Under
87.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 3.5
Over
3.5%
Under
96.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Banants II, so a minus line means Banants II give that many goals of a start and Ararat-Armenia II receive them. At -1, Banants II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Banants II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Banants II)
Banants II -2
15.7%
Draw -2
16.7%
Ararat-Armenia II +2
67.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Banants II)
Banants II -1
32.5%
Draw -1
21.7%
Ararat-Armenia II +1
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Banants II)
Banants II +1
77.8%
Draw +1
12.9%
Ararat-Armenia II -1
9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Banants II)
Banants II +2
90.7%
Draw +2
6.3%
Ararat-Armenia II -2
2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Banants II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.90
0.69
0.69
0.71
1.06
vs Stronger (11)
0.27
0.55
0.60
0.60
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (13)
1.00
1.31
0.80
1.00
1.12
1.50
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.67
0.67
0.33
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ararat-Armenia II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
1.00
0.87
0.93
0.60
1.07
vs Stronger (18)
0.83
1.17
1.00
1.10
0.62
1.25
vs Similar (12)
0.58
0.75
0.60
0.60
0.57
0.86
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Banants II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
70.6%
Under 0.5
29.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
34.8%
Under 1.5
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.2%
Under 2.5
86.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Banants II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
49.8%
Under
50.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
16.6%
Under
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
39.7%
Under
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Banants II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.07
0.92
1.00
0.94
1.12
vs Stronger (11)
0.73
1.18
0.80
1.20
0.67
1.17
vs Similar (13)
1.15
1.15
1.00
1.00
1.25
1.25
vs Weaker (6)
0.83
0.67
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Ararat-Armenia II) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ararat-Armenia II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.00
0.80
1.13
0.60
0.87
vs Stronger (18)
0.89
1.22
0.90
1.10
0.88
1.38
vs Similar (12)
0.42
0.67
0.60
1.20
0.29
0.29
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Banants II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.0%
Under 0.5
24.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
47.3%
Under 1.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.1%
Under 2.5
79.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Banants II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
55.9%
Under
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
22.8%
Under
77.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banants II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.0%
Under
94.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
49.0%
Under
51.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
15.4%
Under
84.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ararat-Armenia II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
3.4%
Under
96.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
90.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
87.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
86.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
86.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
83.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
78.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
77.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
70.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
70.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (29)
€1m
HAY (13)
€1m
BI (16)
€0m
OY (15)
€0m
BI (16)
€0m
MIK (21)
€0m
AI (11)
€0m
PI (13)
€0m
SI (8)
€0m
BI (9)
€0m
LA (8)
€0m
NI (4)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Banants II and Ararat-Armenia II have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (10)
€1m
HAY (8)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
SI (1)
€0m
MIK (4)
€0m
OY (2)
€0m
PI (1)
€0m
NI (1)
€0m
BI (2)
€0m
LA (1)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Banants II and Ararat-Armenia II have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (8)
€0m
BI (6)
€0m
MIK (10)
€0m
AI (5)
€0m
OY (4)
€0m
SI (4)
€0m
BI (5)
€0m
PI (4)
€0m
LA (4)
€0m
BI (3)
€0m
HAY (1)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
S2 (0)
€0m
Banants II and Ararat-Armenia II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AND (11)
€0m
OY (9)
€0m
HAY (4)
€0m
BI (8)
€0m
AI (6)
€0m
BI (7)
€0m
PI (8)
€0m
MIK (7)
€0m
SI (3)
€0m
BI (4)
€0m
NI (3)
€0m
LA (3)
€0m
S2 (2)
€0m
Banants II and Ararat-Armenia II have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Armenia: First League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Olympia Yerevan
BKMA II
Pyunik II
Andranik
Mika
Lernayin Artsakh
Bentonit Ijevan
Noah II
Araks Ararat
Shirak II
Sardarapat 2
Hayq
Ararat II