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Banants II vs Lernayin Artsakh Result & Analysis

Date: 26/05/2026
Time: 12:00
Final 3-2
Banants II
Banants II
Vs
51%
25%
23%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lernayin Artsakh
Lernayin Artsakh
Armenia: First League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Banants II a 51% win probability against Lernayin Artsakh in the Armenia: First League on 2026-05-26, with 25% for the draw and 23% for Lernayin Artsakh. The model estimates around 2.9 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (24%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (12.0%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Over 1.5 (80%).

Results analysis

Banants II finished 3-2 against Lernayin Artsakh (Home win). Pythia had modelled a 51% home win, 25% draw and 23% away win. Picks that landed: Over 1.5 (80%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Banants II win✓ Hit
51.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lernayin Artsakh win✗ Miss
23.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Banants IIBanants II

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-501L31W24L05L01L13L32W35L00D03LA·HAY19/03H·ARA23/03A·AND28/03H·SYU08/04A·BEN14/04H·VAN21/04A·MIK27/04A·SHI06/05H·NOA11/05A·BKM20/05
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
2.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.801.271.531.732.07
vs Stronger (10)0.702.200.802.200.602.20
vs Similar (12)2.081.501.501.172.671.83
vs Weaker (8)1.621.751.501.251.752.25
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Lernayin Artsakh) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L02L10W13L04L11D06L04L03L02LA·PYU19/03H·SAR24/03A·ARA31/03H·ARA07/04A·HAY14/04H·ARA22/04A·AND25/04H·SYU04/05A·BEN11/05H·VAN20/05
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
2.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.872.330.812.500.932.14
vs Stronger (14)0.862.360.572.711.142.00
vs Similar (12)1.082.251.292.000.802.60
vs Weaker (4)0.252.500.003.500.501.50
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Banants II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.3%
Under 1.5
19.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
56.4%
Under 2.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
34.0%
Under 3.5
66.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.0%
No
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.7%
2-0
8.5%
1-0
8.4%
0-0
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
3-1
5.8%
2-2
5.6%
Banants II goals ↓
Lernayin Artsakh goals →
01234
06.4%5.0%3.5%1.3%0.4%
18.4%12%6.2%2.4%0.7%
28.5%9.7%5.6%2.1%0.6%
35.1%5.8%3.3%1.3%0.4%
42.3%2.6%1.5%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Banants II goals (down), columns = Lernayin Artsakh goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Sardarapat
2.53
BKMA II
2.37
Hayq
2.27
Syunik
2.21
Andranik
2.20
Pyunik II
1.47
Ararat II
1.27
Araks Ararat
1.23
Banants II
1.20
Noah II
1.03
Bentonit Ijevan
0.97
Mika
0.93
Ararat-Armenia II
0.80
Van II
0.80
Lernayin Artsakh
0.79
Shirak II
0.60
Banants II is 0.41 points better than Lernayin Artsakh in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 0.79).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Syunik
2.76
Sardarapat
2.70
BKMA II
2.57
Andranik
2.53
Hayq
1.97
Banants II
1.53
Ararat-Armenia II
1.53
Ararat II
1.43
Pyunik II
1.43
Noah II
1.30
Araks Ararat
1.27
Shirak II
1.13
Bentonit Ijevan
1.10
Van II
1.10
Mika
1.07
Lernayin Artsakh
0.76
Banants II is 0.77 goals better than Lernayin Artsakh in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 0.76).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Sardarapat
0.60
Hayq
0.80
Syunik
0.90
Andranik
1.00
BKMA II
1.03
Pyunik II
1.43
Bentonit Ijevan
1.63
Araks Ararat
1.70
Banants II
1.80
Ararat II
1.93
Noah II
1.93
Van II
1.93
Mika
2.00
Ararat-Armenia II
2.07
Lernayin Artsakh
2.45
Shirak II
2.97
Banants II is 0.65 goals better than Lernayin Artsakh in terms of goals conceded per game (1.80 vs 2.45).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.3%-------✓ Hit

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (27)
€2m
BI (40)
€2m
HAY (36)
€1m
AND (40)
€1m
SYU (27)
€1m
NI (44)
€1m
BI (46)
€1m
SI (51)
€1m
PI (38)
€1m
LA (55)
€0m
BI (47)
€0m
MIK (42)
€0m
AI (34)
€0m
Banants II and Lernayin Artsakh have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (0)
€0m
SYU (0)
€0m
AND (0)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
HAY (0)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
MIK (0)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
PI (0)
€0m
SI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (0)
€0m
SYU (0)
€0m
AND (0)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
HAY (0)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
MIK (0)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
PI (0)
€0m
SI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SAR (0)
€0m
SYU (0)
€0m
AND (0)
€0m
AI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
BI (0)
€0m
HAY (0)
€0m
LA (0)
€0m
MIK (0)
€0m
NI (0)
€0m
PI (0)
€0m
SI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Banants II vs Lernayin Artsakh · H/A from BI
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/25ALernayin Artsakh Vs BI0-5
26/04/25ALernayin Artsakh Vs BI2-1
24/09/24HBI Vs Lernayin Artsakh3-1
03/12/23HBI Vs Lernayin Artsakh1-1
05/08/23ALernayin Artsakh Vs BI1-1

Banants IIBanants II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/26ABKMA II Vs BI3-0
11/05/26HBI Vs Noah II0-0
06/05/26AShirak II Vs BI5-3
27/04/26AMika Vs BI2-3
21/04/26HBI Vs Van II1-3
14/04/26ABentonit Ijevan Vs BI1-0
08/04/26HBI Vs Syunik0-5
28/03/26AAndranik Vs BI4-2
23/03/26HBI Vs Ararat-Armenia II3-1
19/03/26AHayq Vs BI1-0

Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/05/26HLA Vs Van II0-2
11/05/26ABentonit Ijevan Vs LA3-0
04/05/26HLA Vs Syunik0-4
25/04/26AAndranik Vs LA6-0
22/04/26HLA Vs Ararat-Armenia II1-1
14/04/26AHayq Vs LA4-0
07/04/26HLA Vs Araks Ararat1-3
31/03/26AArarat II Vs LA0-1
24/03/26HLA Vs Sardarapat0-2
19/03/26APyunik II Vs LA1-0

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Banants II
Banants II
Armenia: First League
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLDL1.36
HomeWWLLD1.42
AwayLLWLL1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%33%38%
AVG goals3.322.883.73
Over 1.5 %84%83%85%
Over 2.5 %60%54%65%
Over 3.5 %44%38%50%
Scored1.681.461.88
Conceded1.641.421.85
BTTS64%71%58%
Clean Sheet20%21%19%
Corners---
Cards---
Lernayin Artsakh
Lernayin Artsakh
Armenia: First League
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLL1.18
HomeLLDLL1.23
AwayLWLLL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%38%33%
AVG goals3.423.583.25
Over 1.5 %82%96%67%
Over 2.5 %66%73%58%
Over 3.5 %46%46%46%
Scored1.381.541.21
Conceded2.042.042.04
BTTS48%58%38%
Clean Sheet22%12%33%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1SardarapatSardarapat3076
80%
2.5
8118+63
3.3
87%
67%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0002.70.6
-
2BKMA IIBKMA II3071
73%
2.4
7731+46
3.6
80%
63%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0002.61.0
-
3HayqHayq3068
73%
2.3
5924+35
2.8
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.00.8
-
4AndranikAndranik3066
70%
2.2
7630+46
3.5
73%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.51.0
-
5SyunikSyunik2964
72%
2.2
8026+54
3.7
83%
79%
48%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0002.80.9
-
6Pyunik IIPyunik II3044
40%
1.5
4343+0
2.9
77%
57%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.4
-
7Ararat IIArarat II3038
40%
1.3
4358-15
3.4
87%
67%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.9
-
8Araks AraratAraks Ararat3037
37%
1.2
3851-13
3.0
73%
50%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.7
-
9Banants IIBanants II3036
30%
1.2
4654-8
3.3
77%
57%
47%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.8
-
10Noah IINoah II3031
27%
1.0
3958-19
3.2
73%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.9
-
11Bentonit IjevanBentonit Ijevan3029
23%
1.0
3349-16
2.7
77%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
12MikaMika3028
23%
0.9
3260-28
3.1
80%
57%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.12.0
-
13Ararat-Armenia IIArarat-Armenia II3024
20%
0.8
4662-16
3.6
87%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.1
-
14Van IIVan II3024
20%
0.8
3358-25
3.0
70%
43%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.9
-
15Lernayin ArtsakhLernayin Artsakh2923
24%
0.8
2271-49
3.2
76%
62%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.4
-
16Shirak IIShirak II3018
13%
0.6
3489-55
4.1
80%
70%
53%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.13.0
-
Armenia: First League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Armenia: First League stats & trends →

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