Bandırmaspor are poised to benefit from a strong home form, averaging 1.43 goals scored and only 0.57 conceded against similar opponents, while Boluspor have struggled away, netting just 0.75 goals and conceding 2.17. The model’s most likely outcome is a Bandırmaspor win, with a 58% probability, followed by a 26% draw and 16% away win. The average goal count is 2.5, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-0 for Bandırmaspor, carrying a 12.8% chance. The prediction diverges most sharply from market expectations on the Under 6.5 goals pick, where the model assigns a 98.5% probability and an edge of 4%. Other high-confidence selections include Under 7.5 (99.6%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.1%), Away under 3.5 goals (99.1%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.2%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.8% with a 9% edge), Under 5.5 (95.7% with a 5% edge), and Away under 2.5 goals (95.3% with a 1% edge).
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bandırmaspor win
58.1%
Avg Implied 74.9% · @ 1.23
Edge
-16.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.28
Betano
1.24
1xBet
1.23
Dafabet
1.23
BetVictor
1.22
Draw
25.8%
Avg Implied 16.8% · @ 5.48
Edge
+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
6.00
Dafabet
5.80
Pinnacle
5.55
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Boluspor win
16.1%
Avg Implied 8.4% · @ 10.97
Edge
+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
13.00
Dafabet
12.00
Bet365
12.00
Betano
11.25
BetVictor
11.00
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bandırmaspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.17
0.93
1.43
0.57
0.94
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.17
0.93
1.43
0.57
0.94
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Boluspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Boluspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
1.87
1.31
1.38
0.79
2.43
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
3.00
1.00
2.00
0.67
3.33
vs Similar (26)
1.12
1.69
1.33
1.33
0.82
2.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Bandırmaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.7%
@ 1.18-6.0%
Under 1.5
27.3%
@ 4.35+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
4.50
BetVictor
4.40
Pinnacle
4.20
1xBet
4.15
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
46.0%
@ 1.62-11.5%
Under 2.5
54.0%
@ 2.20+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.65
Betfair
1.65
Marathonbet
1.62
Betano
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Under
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.22
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.19
1xBet
2.16
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.6%
@ 2.53-12.1%
Under 3.5
75.4%
@ 1.46+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
BetVictor
2.60
Pinnacle
2.59
Betano
2.50
1xBet
2.49
Under
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.47
Betfair
1.47
BetVictor
1.44
Both teams to score
Yes
46.3%
@ 2.13+2.9%
No
53.7%
@ 1.63-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
2.20
William Hil
2.20
BetVictor
2.15
Bet365
2.10
Betfair
2.10
No
Bet365
1.67
Betfair
1.67
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.63
William Hil
1.62
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
12.8%@ 6.47+6.0%
1-1
12.2%@ 9.94+7.8%
2-0
11.9%@ 5.44+3.8%
2-1
9.5%@ 8.28+4.2%
0-0
9.2%@ 13.14+5.9%
3-0
6.8%@ 6.81+0.4%
3-1
5.4%@ 10.29+1.2%
0-1
5.4%@ 24.71+3.6%
Bandırmaspor goals ↓
Boluspor goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.2%
5.4%
2.6%
0.7%
0.1%
1
13%
12%
4.4%
1.2%
0.2%
2
12%
9.5%
3.8%
1.0%
0.2%
3
6.8%
5.4%
2.2%
0.6%
0.1%
4
2.9%
2.3%
0.9%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bandırmaspor goals (down), columns = Boluspor goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Batman Petrolspor
2.60
Bursaspor
2.40
Sarıyer
2.00
Kayserispor
2.00
Iğdır FK
1.80
Mardin 1969
1.80
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Fatih Karagümrük
1.60
Muğlaspor
1.60
Bandırmaspor
1.20
Antalyaspor
1.20
Pendikspor
1.00
Vanspor FK
0.80
Esenler Erokspor
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Sivasspor
0.60
Ümraniyespor
0.60
İstanbulspor
0.40
Boluspor
0.00
Bandırmaspor is 1.20 points better than Boluspor in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 0.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Keçiörengücü
2.40
Batman Petrolspor
2.00
Bursaspor
2.00
Manisa F.K.
2.00
Antalyaspor
1.60
Sarıyer
1.60
Mardin 1969
1.60
Iğdır FK
1.40
Pendikspor
1.40
Kayserispor
1.40
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Vanspor FK
1.00
Bandırmaspor
1.00
Sivasspor
1.00
İstanbulspor
1.00
Ümraniyespor
0.80
Muğlaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.40
Bodrum FK
0.40
Boluspor
0.20
Bandırmaspor is 0.80 goals better than Boluspor in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 0.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Muğlaspor
0.40
Bandırmaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.60
Mardin 1969
0.60
Bursaspor
0.60
Kayserispor
0.60
Sarıyer
0.80
Batman Petrolspor
0.80
Iğdır FK
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Ümraniyespor
1.20
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Sivasspor
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Antalyaspor
2.00
Vanspor FK
2.20
Boluspor
2.20
Pendikspor
2.20
İstanbulspor
2.60
Bandırmaspor is 1.60 goals better than Boluspor in terms of goals conceded per game (0.60 vs 2.20).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Esenler Erokspor
61%
Bandırmaspor
60%
Bursaspor
59%
Manisa F.K.
55%
Antalyaspor
55%
Kayserispor
53%
Batman Petrolspor
52%
Ümraniyespor
52%
Pendikspor
51%
Sarıyer
50%
Iğdır FK
49%
Mardin 1969
49%
Sivasspor
48%
Bodrum FK
46%
Keçiörengücü
45%
Fatih Karagümrük
45%
İstanbulspor
44%
Muğlaspor
43%
Vanspor FK
42%
Boluspor
41%
Bandırmaspor is 18.6 percentage points better than Boluspor in terms of average possession (60% vs 41%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bandırmaspor
For 3.6 · Against 4.7 · Total 8.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 12.5 · Total 25.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Boluspor
For 2.7 · Against 4.4 · Total 7.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.9 · Against 11.3 · Total 21.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bandırmaspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.4
9.6
4.5
4.8
4.3
24.2
24.6
23.8
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (50)
9.0
8.4
9.6
4.5
4.8
4.3
24.2
24.6
23.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
41%
40%
42%
66%
68%
64%
63%
72%
54%
% under line
59%
60%
58%
34%
32%
36%
37%
28%
46%
This opponent (Boluspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Boluspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.2
7.9
8.5
4.3
3.9
4.8
25.9
24.8
27.1
vs Stronger (7)
9.4
7.0
11.0
4.1
4.3
4.0
26.0
31.0
22.7
vs Similar (43)
8.1
8.0
8.1
4.4
3.8
5.0
25.9
24.2
27.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
30%
45%
60%
54%
67%
71%
70%
73%
% under line
62%
70%
55%
40%
46%
33%
29%
30%
27%
This opponent (Bandırmaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kayserispor
10.0
Sivasspor
9.5
Antalyaspor
9.1
Bursaspor
9.1
Bandırmaspor
9.1
Iğdır FK
9.0
Bodrum FK
8.9
Ümraniyespor
8.9
Fatih Karagümrük
8.9
Esenler Erokspor
8.8
Manisa F.K.
8.7
Mardin 1969
8.6
İstanbulspor
8.4
Pendikspor
8.4
Boluspor
8.3
Vanspor FK
8.3
Keçiörengücü
8.2
Batman Petrolspor
8.0
Sarıyer
7.8
Muğlaspor
6.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Muğlaspor
6.8
Batman Petrolspor
5.8
Antalyaspor
5.3
Pendikspor
5.1
Sarıyer
5.1
Vanspor FK
5.1
Boluspor
5.1
Manisa F.K.
5.0
Sivasspor
5.0
Esenler Erokspor
4.9
Iğdır FK
4.9
Bandırmaspor
4.7
İstanbulspor
4.7
Keçiörengücü
4.6
Kayserispor
4.6
Bursaspor
4.5
Fatih Karagümrük
4.3
Ümraniyespor
4.3
Bodrum FK
4.2
Mardin 1969
4.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Muğlaspor
30.8
Bursaspor
28.9
Fatih Karagümrük
28.7
Vanspor FK
27.8
Antalyaspor
27.4
Pendikspor
26.5
Batman Petrolspor
26.2
Mardin 1969
25.6
Boluspor
25.6
Kayserispor
24.8
Bandırmaspor
24.2
Bodrum FK
23.9
Iğdır FK
23.8
Keçiörengücü
23.7
Sivasspor
23.7
Manisa F.K.
23.6
Sarıyer
23.4
Ümraniyespor
23.2
İstanbulspor
23.1
Esenler Erokspor
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
33.8%
Under 9.5
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
75.7%
Under 3.5
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
74.9%
Under 21.5
25.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bandırmaspor or Draw
83.9%
Avg Implied 90.7% · @ 1.04
Edge
-6.8%
58%
26%
16%
covers Bandırmaspor + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.05
William Hil
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Bandırmaspor or Boluspor
74.2%
Avg Implied 84.5% · @ 1.11
Edge
-10.4%
58%
26%
16%
covers Bandırmaspor + Boluspor
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
Draw or Boluspor
41.9%
Avg Implied 24.8% · @ 3.80
Edge
+17.1%
58%
26%
16%
covers Draw + Boluspor
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
4.20
Betano
4.10
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.45
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bandırmaspor over/under 0.5
Over
82.0%
@ 1.05-7.2%
Under
18.0%
@ 8.70+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.03
Under
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
9.50
Betfair
8.00
Betano
7.30
Bandırmaspor over/under 1.5
Over
51.2%
@ 1.36-17.0%
Under
48.8%
@ 2.92+17.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.40
Marathonbet
1.37
Betano
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Under
Bet365
3.25
Betano
2.95
Pinnacle
2.89
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.80
Bandırmaspor over/under 2.5
Over
24.7%
@ 2.16-18.4%
Under
75.3%
@ 1.63+18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.25
1xBet
2.25
Pinnacle
2.21
Marathonbet
2.18
Betano
2.07
Under
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.63
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.58
Bandırmaspor over/under 3.5
Over
9.6%
@ 3.97-13.9%
Under
90.4%
@ 1.22+13.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.50
1xBet
4.00
Pinnacle
3.97
Bet365
3.75
Betano
3.65
Under
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Betfair
1.17
Boluspor over/under 0.5
Over
55.0%
@ 1.99+8.5%
Under
45.0%
@ 1.74-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.07
1xBet
2.03
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Pinnacle
1.94
Under
Pinnacle
1.82
Marathonbet
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Betfair
1.73
1xBet
1.70
Boluspor over/under 1.5
Over
19.1%
@ 6.08+3.8%
Under
80.9%
@ 1.10-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.00
Betfair
6.00
Betano
5.90
1xBet
5.50
Under
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
Boluspor over/under 2.5
Over
4.7%
@ 18.88-0.4%
Under
95.3%
@ 1.01+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Boluspor over/under 3.5
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bandırmaspor, so a minus line means Bandırmaspor give that many goals of a start and Boluspor receive them. At -1, Bandırmaspor must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bandırmaspor win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bandırmaspor)
Bandırmaspor -2
15.0%
@ 2.91-15.8%
Draw -2
18.4%
@ 3.88-4.7%
Boluspor +2
66.6%
@ 1.94+20.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.10
Marathonbet
2.88
Bet365
2.75
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.90
Betfair
3.75
Away
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
1.90
Betfair
1.83
Handicap -1 (Bandırmaspor)
Bandırmaspor -1
33.4%
@ 1.72-18.4%
Draw -1
24.7%
@ 3.72+0.7%
Boluspor +1
41.9%
@ 3.68+17.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.77
Betfair
1.73
Bet365
1.67
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
Away
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.45
Handicap +1 (Bandırmaspor)
Bandırmaspor +1
83.9%
@ 1.04-7.0%
Draw +1
10.9%
@ 15.00+4.6%
Boluspor -1
5.2%
@ 34.00+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Away
Bet365
34.00
Handicap +2 (Bandırmaspor)
Bandırmaspor +2
94.8%
Draw +2
4.0%
Boluspor -2
1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bandırmaspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.40
0.57
0.21
0.50
0.56
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.53
0.40
0.57
0.21
0.50
0.56
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Boluspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Boluspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.93
0.44
0.69
0.36
1.21
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.50
0.00
1.00
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (26)
0.42
0.85
0.47
0.67
0.36
1.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Bandırmaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
69.6%
@ 1.29-2.5%
Under 0.5
30.4%
@ 3.34+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.32
Betano
1.32
BetVictor
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Under
William Hil
3.75
Bet365
3.50
BetVictor
3.40
Betfair
3.25
Marathonbet
3.25
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
33.9%
@ 2.33-6.0%
Under 1.5
66.1%
@ 1.54+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.43
Betano
2.40
Betfair
2.38
1xBet
2.36
Marathonbet
2.36
Under
William Hil
1.65
Bet365
1.57
BetVictor
1.54
Betfair
1.53
Betano
1.53
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.2%
@ 5.31-4.2%
Under 2.5
86.8%
@ 1.12+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.45
Marathonbet
5.45
Under
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
BetVictor
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bandırmaspor over/under 0.5 HT
Over
55.1%
@ 1.42-10.1%
Under
44.9%
@ 2.68+10.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.42
1xBet
1.40
Under
1xBet
2.75
Pinnacle
2.73
Betano
2.55
Bandırmaspor over/under 1.5 HT
Over
19.3%
@ 3.17-9.8%
Under
80.7%
@ 1.30+9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.20
Betano
3.00
Under
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Bandırmaspor over/under 2.5 HT
Over
4.3%
@ 7.85-7.6%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.05+7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.00
Betano
6.70
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.03
Boluspor over/under 0.5 HT
Over
34.5%
@ 3.62+8.9%
Under
65.5%
@ 1.24-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.85
Betano
3.65
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Under
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
Betano
1.24
Boluspor over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.0%
@ 10.25-3.1%
Under
94.0%
@ 1.02+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Boluspor over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bandırmaspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.53
0.86
0.36
0.44
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.63
0.53
0.86
0.36
0.44
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Boluspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Boluspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.93
0.88
0.69
0.43
1.21
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.50
1.00
1.00
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.85
0.87
0.67
0.45
1.09
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Bandırmaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
77.9%
@ 1.16-1.6%
Under 0.5
22.1%
@ 4.52+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
Under
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.45
1xBet
4.45
Betano
4.35
William Hil
4.33
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
44.0%
@ 1.83-6.7%
Under 1.5
56.0%
@ 1.88+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.93
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
William Hil
1.85
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.2%
@ 3.52-6.1%
Under 2.5
79.8%
@ 1.25+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.80
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Betano
3.30
Under
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bandırmaspor over/under 0.5 2H
Over
61.0%
@ 1.28-10.9%
Under
39.0%
@ 3.30+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.30
Betano
1.27
Under
Betano
3.40
1xBet
3.20
Bandırmaspor over/under 1.5 2H
Over
27.4%
@ 2.31-12.5%
Under
72.6%
@ 1.53+12.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.40
Marathonbet
2.34
Betano
2.20
Under
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
Bandırmaspor over/under 2.5 2H
Over
7.7%
@ 5.05-10.6%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.14+10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.60
Betano
4.50
Under
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.10
Boluspor over/under 0.5 2H
Over
39.6%
@ 2.89+7.6%
Under
60.4%
@ 1.36-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.00
Marathonbet
2.91
1xBet
2.75
Under
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Boluspor over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.3%
@ 10.00+1.1%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.02-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.50
1xBet
10.50
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Boluspor over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.5%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+5.1%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
95.7%
1.05
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
+7.6%
Under 5.5
95.7%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
BetVictor
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
+6.6%
Away under 2.5 goals
95.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+0.4%
Home +2 handicap
94.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.0%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+3.1%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
92.3%
1.14
Betano
1.17
1xBet
1.10
-
-
-
+10.6%
Home under 3.5 goals
90.4%
1.22
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Pinnacle
1.21
1xBet
1.20
Betfair
1.17
+13.9%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
-1.1%
Under 4.5
88.9%
1.17
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Pinnacle
1.19
Betfair
1.17
1xBet
1.14
+9.5%
Over 2.5 cards
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.8%
1.12
William Hil
1.17
Betano
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.13
BetVictor
1.11
+4.2%
Over 19.5 fouls
86.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 11.5 corners
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
83.9%
1.04
Betano
1.05
William Hil
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-6.8%
Home +1 handicap
83.9%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
-7.0%
Home over 0.5 goals
82.0%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Bet365
1.06
1xBet
1.03
-
-7.2%
Away under 1.5 goals
80.9%
1.10
Betano
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
-3.8%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
80.7%
1.30
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
-
-
+9.8%
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.8%
1.25
Betano
1.29
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
1xBet
1.22
Marathonbet
1.22
+6.1%
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.9%
1.16
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.14
1xBet
1.14
-1.6%
Under 10.5 corners
77.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
75.4%
1.46
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.50
Pinnacle
1.47
Betfair
1.47
BetVictor
1.44
+12.1%
Home under 2.5 goals
75.3%
1.63
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.63
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.58
+18.4%
Over 21.5 fouls
74.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
74.2%
1.11
Bet365
1.14
Betano
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
Marathonbet
1.09
-10.4%
Over 1.5
72.7%
1.18
Pinnacle
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Betano
1.20
BetVictor
1.17
Bet365
1.17
-6.0%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
72.6%
1.53
Betano
1.60
Marathonbet
1.50
1xBet
1.50
-
-
+12.5%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bandırmaspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gianni Bruno33%
Amidou Badji33%
Muhammed Gümüşkaya0%
R. Mulumba0%
Lucas Lima0%
Akin Alkan0%
A. Ülgen0%
Tosin Kehinde0%
D. Liço0%
Emirhan Acar0%
Yusuf Kocatürk0%
Enes Aydın0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
A. Ülgen67%
R. Mulumba33%
Lucas Lima33%
D. Liço33%
Yusuf Kocatürk33%
Muhammed Gümüşkaya0%
Gianni Bruno0%
Akin Alkan0%
Tosin Kehinde0%
Emirhan Acar0%
Enes Aydın0%
Amidou Badji0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Muhammed Gümüşkaya33%
Amidou Badji33%
R. Mulumba0%
Gianni Bruno0%
Lucas Lima0%
Akin Alkan0%
A. Ülgen0%
Tosin Kehinde0%
D. Liço0%
Emirhan Acar0%
Yusuf Kocatürk0%
Enes Aydın0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gianni Bruno33%
Muhammed Gümüşkaya0%
R. Mulumba0%
Lucas Lima0%
Akin Alkan0%
A. Ülgen0%
Tosin Kehinde0%
D. Liço0%
Emirhan Acar0%
Yusuf Kocatürk0%
Enes Aydın0%
Amidou Badji0%
Boluspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Furkan Kaçmaz25%
Muhammed Mert0%
R. Rivas0%
E. Özkayımoğlu0%
A. Kırım0%
Kevin Cuesta0%
A. Tafas0%
Mustafa Alptekin Cayli0%
B. Göçmen0%
Tolunay Artuç0%
Muhammet Zeki Dursun0%
Jose Diaz Lopez0%
Juan Arguello0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Muhammet Zeki Dursun67%
Juan Arguello67%
A. Kırım50%
Mustafa Alptekin Cayli33%
Kevin Cuesta25%
Tolunay Artuç25%
Muhammed Mert0%
R. Rivas0%
E. Özkayımoğlu0%
A. Tafas0%
B. Göçmen0%
Jose Diaz Lopez0%
Furkan Kaçmaz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Muhammed Mert0%
R. Rivas0%
E. Özkayımoğlu0%
A. Kırım0%
Kevin Cuesta0%
A. Tafas0%
Mustafa Alptekin Cayli0%
B. Göçmen0%
Tolunay Artuç0%
Muhammet Zeki Dursun0%
Jose Diaz Lopez0%
Juan Arguello0%
Furkan Kaçmaz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
E. Özkayımoğlu33%
Muhammed Mert0%
R. Rivas0%
A. Kırım0%
Kevin Cuesta0%
A. Tafas0%
Mustafa Alptekin Cayli0%
B. Göçmen0%
Tolunay Artuç0%
Muhammet Zeki Dursun0%
Jose Diaz Lopez0%
Juan Arguello0%
Furkan Kaçmaz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
BF (31)
€13m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
EE (23)
€11m
SIV (26)
€10m
IF (26)
€9m
MF (24)
€9m
BP (25)
€9m
İST (28)
€8m
BAN (29)
€7m
ÜMR (25)
€7m
PEN (26)
€6m
M1 (25)
€6m
VF (21)
€6m
KEÇ (25)
€6m
MUĞ (19)
€6m
SAR (20)
€5m
BOL (18)
€3m
Bandırmaspor's squad is €5m more valuable than Boluspor's (€7m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (10)
€10m
BF (10)
€6m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
EE (8)
€4m
SIV (10)
€4m
BP (10)
€4m
IF (7)
€4m
VF (10)
€3m
İST (10)
€3m
ÜMR (8)
€3m
MUĞ (8)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
SAR (7)
€2m
MF (7)
€2m
BAN (8)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
PEN (10)
€2m
BOL (5)
€1m
Bandırmaspor's attack is €2m more valuable than Boluspor's (€2m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (5)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
EE (6)
€3m
FK (3)
€3m
BF (10)
€3m
MF (7)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
BP (5)
€2m
ÜMR (7)
€2m
IF (7)
€2m
BAN (6)
€2m
KAY (4)
€2m
PEN (5)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
MUĞ (7)
€2m
SAR (4)
€1m
VF (2)
€1m
İST (5)
€1m
BOL (5)
€1m
Bandırmaspor's midfield is €1m more valuable than Boluspor's (€2m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ANT (11)
€7m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
BF (11)
€4m
FK (11)
€4m
MF (10)
€4m
İST (13)
€4m
IF (12)
€3m
BAN (15)
€3m
PEN (11)
€3m
EE (9)
€3m
BP (10)
€3m
KEÇ (11)
€3m
SIV (11)
€3m
VF (9)
€2m
M1 (9)
€2m
SAR (9)
€2m
ÜMR (10)
€2m
MUĞ (4)
€2m
BOL (8)
€1m
Bandırmaspor's defence is €2m more valuable than Boluspor's (€3m vs €1m).
Turkey: 1. Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Batman Petrolspor
Bursaspor
Sarıyer
Kayserispor
Mardin 1969
Iğdır FK
Keçiörengücü
Manisa F.K.
Muğlaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Antalyaspor
Pendikspor
Esenler Erokspor
Bodrum FK
Vanspor FK
Ümraniyespor
Sivasspor
İstanbulspor