In this matchup between Bandırmaspor and İstanbulspor, the home team's recent form has been impressive, with an unbeaten run in their last 5 games, including a 1-0 win over Sivasspor. However, they face a strong opponent in İstanbulspor, who have been on a 4-game winning run, with their last game ending in an 8-1 victory over Adana Demirspor.
Bandırmaspor is the favourite to win, with a 44% chance of taking home the win, while a draw is 30% likely and an away win for İstanbulspor is 26% likely. The expected total number of goals in this match is 2.3. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a probability of 14.2%.
At home, Bandırmaspor has been scoring an average of 1.75 goals and conceding 1 goal, while their away opponents, İstanbulspor, have been scoring 1 goal and conceding 1.83 goals on average when playing against stronger opponents.
The model's selections are Under 3.5 goals with a 79.6% probability and Over 3.5 cards with a 73% probability. Bandırmaspor has a 44% chance of winning, a 30% chance of drawing, and a 26% chance of losing, while İstanbulspor has a 26% chance of winning, a 30% chance of drawing, and a 44% chance of losing.
The win extends Bandırmaspor's 2-game winning run, having previously defeated İstanbullspor 3-0. The 3-0 scoreline saw the home team secure a convincing victory, as predicted by the Pythia model. The model's call for a home win was correct, given the pre-match probability of 44%. The model's selection, a home win, was the favoured outcome. The suggested picks largely came in, with the model correctly predicting an under 3.5 goals total (79.6% probability) and over 3.5 cards (73% probability), both of which hit.
Bandırmaspor| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.13 | 0.90 | 1.29 | 0.43 | 1.00 | 1.31 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (30) | 1.13 | 0.90 | 1.29 | 0.43 | 1.00 | 1.31 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+20pp vs league) | |||||
İstanbulspor| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.77 | 1.57 | 1.93 | 1.93 | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 1.25 | 3.75 | 0.50 | 5.00 | 2.00 | 2.50 |
| vs Similar (26) | 1.85 | 1.23 | 2.15 | 1.46 | 1.54 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (-6pp vs league) | |||||
| İstanbulspor goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 11% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 12% | 14% | 6.2% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| 2 | 9.0% | 8.7% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| 3 | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| 4 | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Bandırmaspor
İstanbulspor
Bandırmaspor| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.4 | 8.8 | 10.0 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 4.3 | 23.5 | 24.4 | 22.5 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (49) | 9.3 | 8.8 | 9.7 | 4.6 | 4.8 | 4.3 | 23.5 | 24.4 | 22.6 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 16.0 | - | 16.0 | 4.0 | - | 4.0 | 22.0 | - | 22.0 |
| % over line | 47% | 48% | 46% | 66% | 68% | 64% | 61% | 72% | 50% |
| % under line | 53% | 52% | 54% | 34% | 32% | 36% | 39% | 28% | 50% |
İstanbulspor| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 8.5 | 8.0 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 3.3 | 4.8 | 23.1 | 22.7 | 23.5 |
| vs Stronger (7) | 9.8 | 9.7 | 10.0 | 2.3 | 1.0 | 4.0 | 20.4 | 19.7 | 21.5 |
| vs Similar (43) | 8.3 | 7.8 | 8.9 | 4.3 | 3.7 | 5.0 | 23.4 | 23.1 | 23.7 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | 42% | 35% | 50% | 54% | 46% | 62% | 60% | 52% | 68% |
| % under line | 58% | 65% | 50% | 46% | 54% | 38% | 40% | 48% | 32% |
Bandırmaspor| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.47 | 0.37 | 0.36 | 0.14 | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (30) | 0.47 | 0.37 | 0.36 | 0.14 | 0.56 | 0.56 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 73% (+44pp vs league) | |||||
İstanbulspor| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.73 | 0.83 | 0.80 | 0.93 | 0.67 | 0.73 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 0.75 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| vs Similar (26) | 0.73 | 0.73 | 0.85 | 0.85 | 0.62 | 0.62 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+4pp vs league) | |||||
Bandırmaspor| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.67 | 0.53 | 0.93 | 0.29 | 0.44 | 0.75 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (30) | 0.67 | 0.53 | 0.93 | 0.29 | 0.44 | 0.75 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+34pp vs league) | |||||
İstanbulspor| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.03 | 0.73 | 1.13 | 1.00 | 0.93 | 0.47 |
| vs Stronger (4) | 0.50 | 2.25 | 0.00 | 3.50 | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (26) | 1.12 | 0.50 | 1.31 | 0.62 | 0.92 | 0.38 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 63% (+34pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 cards | 86.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 3.5 | 79.6% | 1.25 | 1.30 | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.26 | 1.25 | +5.2% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 19.5 fouls | 78.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Under 11.5 corners | 78.5% | 1.17 | 1.17 | - | - | - | - | +1.5% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 3.5 cards | 71.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ✓ Hit |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 20/10/25 | A | 1-1 | |
| 17/02/25 | H | 1-0 | |
| 22/09/24 | A | 0-0 |
Bandırmaspor| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 26/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 07/04/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 03/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 21/03/26 | A | 0-0 | |
| 16/03/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 12/03/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 07/03/26 | H | 1-0 |
İstanbulspor| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/05/26 | H | 8-1 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 13/04/26 | A | 1-3 | |
| 09/04/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 04/04/26 | A | 2-2 | |
| 22/03/26 | H | 0-1 | |
| 14/03/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 11/03/26 | H | 0-4 | |
| 07/03/26 | A | 1-0 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Batman Petrolspor | 4 | 10 | 75% | 2.5 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 3.0 | 100% | 75% | 25% | 8.0 | 50% | 6.5 | 100% | 25.8 | 75% | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 2 | Kayserispor | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 6 | 2 | +4 | 2.0 | 75% | 25% | 0% | 10.2 | 100% | 5.0 | 67% | 21.0 | 50% | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 1.5 | 0.5 | - |
| 3 | Bursaspor | 4 | 9 | 75% | 2.2 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 2.2 | 75% | 50% | 0% | 9.2 | 50% | 2.8 | 25% | 24.0 | 50% | 19 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 1.5 | 0.8 | - |
| 4 | Mardin 1969 | 4 | 8 | 50% | 2.0 | 6 | 1 | +5 | 1.8 | 75% | 25% | 0% | 8.8 | 25% | 3.8 | 50% | 23.0 | 75% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | - |
| 5 | Manisa F.K. | 4 | 8 | 50% | 2.0 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 3.0 | 75% | 75% | 50% | 7.5 | 25% | 4.3 | 67% | 23.8 | 50% | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 46% |
| 6 | Sarıyer | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 2.5 | 100% | 50% | 0% | 7.0 | 33% | 6.0 | 100% | 28.3 | 100% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.5 | 1.0 | 48% |
| 7 | Fatih Karagümrük | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 2.5 | 100% | 50% | 0% | 9.5 | 25% | 2.8 | 25% | 24.5 | 75% | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1.2 | 1.2 | - |
| 8 | Bandırmaspor | 4 | 6 | 25% | 1.5 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 1.8 | 75% | 25% | 0% | 6.8 | 0% | 5.0 | 100% | 32.8 | 100% | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 45% |
| 9 | Iğdır FK | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 3 | 2 | +1 | 1.2 | 25% | 0% | 0% | 9.0 | 50% | 3.0 | 25% | 27.8 | 75% | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 56% |
| 10 | Keçiörengücü | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 4.5 | 100% | 75% | 75% | 8.5 | 0% | 4.2 | 75% | 24.5 | 75% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 48% |
| 11 | Muğlaspor | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 2 | 2 | +0 | 1.0 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 7.0 | 33% | 6.7 | 100% | 33.0 | 100% | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0.5 | 0.5 | - |
| 12 | Pendikspor | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 4.0 | 100% | 75% | 75% | 8.2 | 25% | 4.8 | 75% | 26.0 | 50% | 6 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1.8 | 2.2 | 52% |
| 13 | Vanspor FK | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | 7.5 | 25% | 4.3 | 67% | 23.0 | 50% | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 55% |
| 14 | Ümraniyespor | 4 | 3 | 0% | 0.8 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 2.2 | 75% | 50% | 25% | 10.5 | 50% | 3.5 | 25% | 25.8 | 100% | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 47% |
| 15 | Esenler Erokspor | 4 | 3 | 0% | 0.8 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 1.2 | 50% | 0% | 0% | 10.2 | 75% | 4.2 | 75% | 25.0 | 75% | 11 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 58% |
| 16 | Bodrum FK | 4 | 3 | 0% | 0.8 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 1.5 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 9.2 | 50% | 4.7 | 33% | 20.5 | 25% | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 49% |
| 17 | Antalyaspor | 4 | 3 | 25% | 0.8 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 4.2 | 100% | 75% | 50% | 8.2 | 25% | 5.2 | 100% | 27.2 | 100% | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 1.8 | 2.5 | - |
| 18 | Sivasspor | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2.2 | 75% | 50% | 25% | 9.5 | 75% | 6.0 | 100% | 26.0 | 75% | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 50% |
| 19 | İstanbulspor | 4 | 2 | 0% | 0.5 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 3.5 | 100% | 75% | 50% | 7.2 | 25% | 3.8 | 50% | 24.0 | 75% | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 48% |
| 20 | Boluspor | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 1 | 9 | -8 | 2.5 | 100% | 50% | 0% | 6.2 | 25% | 4.8 | 50% | 22.5 | 75% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.2 | 2.2 | 57% |