Bandırmaspor are favourites to win as they're on a two-game winning run, including a 3-0 victory over İستانbullspor. However, Keçiörengücü aren't to be underestimated, having scored 1.73 goals on average when playing away against similar opponents. The expected total goals is 2.6.
The most likely match result is a home win, with a 51% probability. The draw is 27% likely, while Keçiörengücü winning is 22% likely. The most likely score is 1-1, occurring 12.9% of the time. When playing at home, Bandırmaspor score 1.11 goals and concede 0.33, while Keçiörengücü concede 1.36 goals when playing away against similar opponents.
The model suggests Over 1.5 goals with 74.8% probability, Under 3.5 goals with 73.2% probability, and Over 3.5 cards with 70.7% probability. Bandırmaspor have a 51% chance of winning, a 27% chance of drawing, and a 22% chance of losing.
Results analysis
The match ended 1-1, a draw that surprised everyone, especially after Bandirmaspor’s unbeaten run of five games. The pre-match favourite, Home win, was chosen by the model with a 51 % probability, but this call was wrong. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 at 99.4 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.7 %, Under 6.5 at 98.2 %, Away under 3.5 goals at 98.1 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.4 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.0 %, Under 5.5 at 94.9 %, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.4 %. The final score of 1-1 matched the most likely 1-1 outcome, which the model assigned a 12.9 % chance.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bandırmaspor win✗ Miss
50.9%
Avg Implied 35.9% · @ 2.54
Edge
+15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
2.65
Pinnacle
2.63
888Sport
2.63
Betano
2.62
Superbet
2.60
Draw✓ Hit
27.1%
Avg Implied 29.8% · @ 3.06
Edge
-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Pinnacle
3.19
Dafabet
3.15
Superbet
3.10
Keçiörengücü win✗ Miss
22.0%
Avg Implied 34.3% · @ 2.66
Edge
-12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.81
William Hil
2.75
Dafabet
2.70
Unibet
2.70
Superbet
2.67
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bandırmaspor
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
0.87
1.50
0.43
0.94
1.25
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
1.20
0.87
1.50
0.43
0.94
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Keçiörengücü) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Keçiörengücü
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.13
1.47
2.73
1.13
1.53
1.80
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.75
2.00
2.00
0.00
1.67
vs Similar (26)
2.38
1.42
2.79
1.07
1.92
1.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Bandırmaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.8%
@ 1.31+4.1%
Under 1.5
25.2%
@ 3.15-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.31
Under
Betfair
3.40
Pinnacle
3.35
Bet365
3.25
888Sport
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.7%
@ 2.01+2.4%
Under 2.5
51.3%
@ 1.73-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.08
Pinnacle
2.06
Unibet
2.02
Betano
2.02
888Sport
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.78
Betfair
1.75
Betano
1.75
888Sport
1.73
1xBet
1.73
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.8%
@ 3.49+0.3%
Under 3.5
73.2%
@ 1.26-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.61
BetVictor
3.60
888Sport
3.50
Betfair
3.50
Under
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
888Sport
1.25
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
51.8%
@ 1.75-1.0%
No
48.2%
@ 1.96+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.77
BetVictor
1.75
Betano
1.75
William Hil
1.75
No
888Sport
2.00
Betfair
2.00
William Hil
2.00
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.96
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.9%@ 5.63+5.1%
1-0
10.7%@ 7.62+4.9%
2-0
9.6%@ 11.70+5.8%
2-1
9.6%@ 9.06+4.7%
0-0
8.5%@ 8.22+3.1%
0-1
6.1%@ 7.74+0.4%
1-2
5.9%@ 9.15+1.0%
3-0
5.2%@ 25.88+3.5%
Bandırmaspor goals ↓
Keçiörengücü goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.5%
6.1%
3.6%
1.2%
0.3%
1
11%
13%
5.9%
1.9%
0.5%
2
9.6%
9.6%
4.8%
1.6%
0.4%
3
5.2%
5.2%
2.6%
0.9%
0.2%
4
2.1%
2.1%
1.0%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bandırmaspor goals (down), columns = Keçiörengücü goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Batman Petrolspor
2.60
Bursaspor
2.40
Sarıyer
2.00
Kayserispor
2.00
Iğdır FK
1.80
Mardin 1969
1.80
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Fatih Karagümrük
1.60
Muğlaspor
1.60
Bandırmaspor
1.20
Antalyaspor
1.20
Pendikspor
1.00
Vanspor FK
0.80
Esenler Erokspor
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Sivasspor
0.60
Ümraniyespor
0.60
İstanbulspor
0.40
Boluspor
0.00
Bandırmaspor is 0.40 points worse than Keçiörengücü in terms of average points per game (1.20 vs 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Keçiörengücü
2.40
Batman Petrolspor
2.00
Bursaspor
2.00
Manisa F.K.
2.00
Antalyaspor
1.60
Sarıyer
1.60
Mardin 1969
1.60
Iğdır FK
1.40
Pendikspor
1.40
Kayserispor
1.40
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Vanspor FK
1.00
Bandırmaspor
1.00
Sivasspor
1.00
İstanbulspor
1.00
Ümraniyespor
0.80
Muğlaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.40
Bodrum FK
0.40
Boluspor
0.20
Bandırmaspor is 1.40 goals worse than Keçiörengücü in terms of goals scored per game (1.00 vs 2.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Muğlaspor
0.40
Bandırmaspor
0.60
Esenler Erokspor
0.60
Mardin 1969
0.60
Bursaspor
0.60
Kayserispor
0.60
Sarıyer
0.80
Batman Petrolspor
0.80
Iğdır FK
0.80
Bodrum FK
0.80
Ümraniyespor
1.20
Fatih Karagümrük
1.20
Keçiörengücü
1.60
Sivasspor
1.60
Manisa F.K.
1.60
Antalyaspor
2.00
Vanspor FK
2.20
Boluspor
2.20
Pendikspor
2.20
İstanbulspor
2.60
Bandırmaspor is 1.00 goals better than Keçiörengücü in terms of goals conceded per game (0.60 vs 1.60).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Esenler Erokspor
61%
Bandırmaspor
60%
Bursaspor
59%
Manisa F.K.
55%
Antalyaspor
55%
Kayserispor
53%
Batman Petrolspor
52%
Ümraniyespor
52%
Pendikspor
51%
Sarıyer
50%
Iğdır FK
49%
Mardin 1969
49%
Sivasspor
48%
Bodrum FK
46%
Keçiörengücü
45%
Fatih Karagümrük
45%
İstanbulspor
44%
Muğlaspor
43%
Vanspor FK
42%
Boluspor
41%
Bandırmaspor is 14.4 percentage points better than Keçiörengücü in terms of average possession (60% vs 45%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bandırmaspor
For 3.5 · Against 6.7 · Total 10.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 10.9 · Total 21.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Keçiörengücü
For 5.3 · Against 4.0 · Total 9.3
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.1 · Against 10.3 · Total 21.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bandırmaspor
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.2
8.8
9.6
4.6
4.9
4.3
23.9
24.5
23.2
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (50)
9.2
8.8
9.6
4.6
4.9
4.3
23.9
24.5
23.2
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
45%
48%
42%
66%
68%
64%
61%
72%
50%
% under line
55%
52%
58%
34%
32%
36%
39%
28%
50%
This opponent (Keçiörengücü) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Keçiörengücü
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.1
8.3
7.9
4.0
4.0
4.0
23.5
23.5
23.5
vs Stronger (7)
6.8
5.5
7.5
3.4
3.5
3.4
20.8
24.0
19.2
vs Similar (43)
8.3
8.6
7.9
4.1
4.0
4.1
23.9
23.4
24.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
30%
29%
30%
58%
62%
54%
73%
67%
78%
% under line
70%
71%
70%
42%
38%
46%
27%
33%
22%
This opponent (Bandırmaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Kayserispor
10.0
Mardin 1969
10.0
Sivasspor
9.6
Bandırmaspor
9.3
Antalyaspor
9.3
Bodrum FK
9.3
Bursaspor
9.1
Muğlaspor
9.0
Ümraniyespor
9.0
Iğdır FK
8.9
Esenler Erokspor
8.8
Fatih Karagümrük
8.8
Manisa F.K.
8.5
Pendikspor
8.5
Vanspor FK
8.3
İstanbulspor
8.3
Boluspor
8.3
Keçiörengücü
8.2
Sarıyer
7.9
Batman Petrolspor
7.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Batman Petrolspor
7.5
Muğlaspor
7.0
Vanspor FK
5.2
Antalyaspor
5.2
Sarıyer
5.1
Sivasspor
5.0
Pendikspor
5.0
Esenler Erokspor
5.0
Boluspor
5.0
Manisa F.K.
4.8
Iğdır FK
4.8
İstanbulspor
4.7
Keçiörengücü
4.7
Bandırmaspor
4.7
Kayserispor
4.5
Bursaspor
4.4
Fatih Karagümrük
4.4
Ümraniyespor
4.3
Bodrum FK
4.1
Mardin 1969
3.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Muğlaspor
34.5
Bursaspor
29.1
Fatih Karagümrük
29.0
Vanspor FK
27.7
Antalyaspor
27.1
Pendikspor
26.5
Mardin 1969
26.0
Boluspor
25.6
Kayserispor
24.8
Bodrum FK
24.0
Bandırmaspor
23.8
Keçiörengücü
23.5
Iğdır FK
23.5
Manisa F.K.
23.4
Sarıyer
23.3
Ümraniyespor
23.2
İstanbulspor
23.2
Sivasspor
23.0
Batman Petrolspor
23.0
Esenler Erokspor
22.8
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
33.8%
@ 2.15-9.2%
Under 9.5
66.2%
@ 1.61+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.17
Betano
2.15
Marathonbet
2.14
1xBet
2.13
Under
Pinnacle
1.64
1xBet
1.63
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.57
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
70.2%
Under 3.5
29.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
63.5%
Under 21.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bandırmaspor or Draw✓ Hit
78.0%
Avg Implied 65.7% · @ 1.40
Edge
+12.4%
51%
27%
22%
covers Bandırmaspor + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Superbet
1.42
888Sport
1.40
Bandırmaspor or Keçiörengücü✗ Miss
72.9%
Avg Implied 70.1% · @ 1.31
Edge
+2.8%
51%
27%
22%
covers Bandırmaspor + Keçiörengücü
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.36
888Sport
1.36
Bet365
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Betano
1.33
Draw or Keçiörengücü✓ Hit
49.1%
Avg Implied 64.2% · @ 1.43
Edge
-15.1%
51%
27%
22%
covers Draw + Keçiörengücü
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.45
Superbet
1.44
888Sport
1.44
William Hil
1.44
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bandırmaspor over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
80.3%
@ 1.30+9.2%
Under
19.7%
@ 3.21-9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
888Sport
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.40
Bet365
3.25
888Sport
3.20
Betfair
3.20
BetVictor
3.20
Bandırmaspor over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
48.3%
@ 2.49+11.1%
Under
51.7%
@ 1.48-11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.58
Superbet
2.50
Bet365
2.50
888Sport
2.50
BetVictor
2.50
Under
Pinnacle
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Betano
1.50
Superbet
1.48
Bandırmaspor over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
22.3%
@ 5.86+6.5%
Under
77.7%
@ 1.10-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
888Sport
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
1xBet
5.70
Under
Betano
1.13
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
888Sport
1.11
Bandırmaspor over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
8.2%
@ 15.42+2.0%
Under
91.8%
@ 1.02-2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
19.00
Bet365
17.00
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.02
Keçiörengücü over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
63.0%
@ 1.31-7.5%
Under
37.0%
@ 3.15+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.33
Betano
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Under
Pinnacle
3.32
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.25
888Sport
3.20
Betano
3.15
Keçiörengücü over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.2%
@ 2.55-10.0%
Under
73.8%
@ 1.45+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.76
BetVictor
2.60
1xBet
2.58
Marathonbet
2.58
Superbet
2.52
Under
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Superbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
Keçiörengücü over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.9%
@ 6.03-7.4%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.09+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
6.05
1xBet
6.05
888Sport
6.00
BetVictor
6.00
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
888Sport
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.10
Keçiörengücü over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.9%
@ 16.17-4.1%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.02+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
888Sport
19.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bandırmaspor, so a minus line means Bandırmaspor give that many goals of a start and Keçiörengücü receive them. At -1, Bandırmaspor must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bandırmaspor win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bandırmaspor)Actual: Keçiörengücü
Bandırmaspor -2
11.8%
@ 11.62+4.2%
Draw -2
16.0%
@ 6.58+2.6%
Keçiörengücü +2
72.2%
@ 1.11-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
15.00
Bet365
13.00
Marathonbet
6.85
Draw
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.50
Marathonbet
4.75
Away
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
Handicap -1 (Bandırmaspor)Actual: Keçiörengücü
Bandırmaspor -1
27.8%
@ 5.10+10.7%
Draw -1
23.2%
@ 3.98+1.4%
Keçiörengücü +1
49.1%
@ 1.42-12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.10
Unibet
4.30
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.40
Away
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.41
Unibet
1.38
Handicap +1 (Bandırmaspor)Actual: Bandırmaspor
Bandırmaspor +1
78.0%
@ 1.39+15.7%
Draw +1
13.7%
@ 4.14-7.2%
Keçiörengücü -1
8.2%
@ 5.17-8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.36
Unibet
1.33
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Unibet
3.55
Away
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
Betfair
5.00
Unibet
4.70
Handicap +2 (Bandırmaspor)Actual: Bandırmaspor
Bandırmaspor +2
91.8%
@ 1.11+10.4%
Draw +2
6.0%
@ 7.75-5.7%
Keçiörengücü -2
2.3%
@ 13.00-4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.10
Draw
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Away
Betfair
13.00
Bet365
13.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bandırmaspor
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.33
0.50
0.14
0.50
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.50
0.33
0.50
0.14
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
77% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Keçiörengücü) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Keçiörengücü
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.30
0.67
1.53
0.53
1.07
0.80
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (26)
1.46
0.62
1.57
0.43
1.33
0.83
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Bandırmaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
71.2%
@ 1.41+5.6%
Under 0.5
28.8%
@ 2.68-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
1xBet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.41
Under
Pinnacle
2.90
Betfair
2.88
William Hil
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.72
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
36.5%
@ 2.90+4.6%
Under 1.5
63.5%
@ 1.36-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.05
Bet365
3.00
Betano
2.95
1xBet
2.91
Marathonbet
2.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.38
Superbet
1.37
BetVictor
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.6%
@ 7.35-0.1%
Under 2.5
87.4%
@ 1.06+0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
8.00
Bet365
8.00
William Hil
7.50
1xBet
7.40
Marathonbet
7.40
Under
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bandırmaspor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
47.7%
@ 2.14+4.4%
Under
52.3%
@ 1.64-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.18
Pinnacle
2.16
Superbet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.12
1xBet
2.10
Under
Pinnacle
1.68
1xBet
1.65
Superbet
1.63
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
Bandırmaspor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.5%
@ 6.97+1.2%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.07-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.20
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
Bandırmaspor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
3.0%
@ 11.25-5.2%
Under
97.0%
@ 1.01+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
Keçiörengücü over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
40.5%
@ 2.16-2.2%
Under
59.5%
@ 1.61+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.24
Marathonbet
2.19
Betano
2.18
Superbet
2.17
1xBet
2.00
Under
Pinnacle
1.64
1xBet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.57
Keçiörengücü over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.7%
@ 6.97-1.6%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.06+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.60
1xBet
7.00
Betano
6.30
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
Keçiörengücü over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.3%
@ 11.25-6.9%
Under
98.7%
@ 1.01+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bandırmaspor
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.53
1.00
0.29
0.44
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (30)
0.70
0.53
1.00
0.29
0.44
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Keçiörengücü) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Keçiörengücü
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.80
1.20
0.60
0.47
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.25
0.75
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (26)
0.92
0.81
1.21
0.64
0.58
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Bandırmaspor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
76.7%
@ 1.24+2.7%
Under 0.5
23.3%
@ 3.53-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
Under
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.55
Betano
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
45.7%
@ 2.17+2.9%
Under 1.5
54.3%
@ 1.62-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.20
William Hil
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
Superbet
2.17
1xBet
2.17
Under
Betano
1.65
William Hil
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Superbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.4%
@ 4.68-1.2%
Under 2.5
81.6%
@ 1.15+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
William Hil
4.80
Superbet
4.75
1xBet
4.65
Marathonbet
4.65
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bandırmaspor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
52.6%
@ 1.78+1.0%
Under
47.4%
@ 1.90-1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.82
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Under
Betano
1.93
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.89
Superbet
1.88
Bandırmaspor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.8%
@ 4.85+0.9%
Under
80.2%
@ 1.13-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.00
1xBet
5.00
Betano
4.55
Under
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Bandırmaspor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.6%
@ 9.50-4.2%
Under
94.4%
@ 1.03+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Keçiörengücü over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
43.7%
@ 1.81-7.2%
Under
56.3%
@ 1.88+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
Betano
1.78
Under
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.87
1xBet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Keçiörengücü over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
12.3%
@ 5.02-6.0%
Under
87.7%
@ 1.13+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.25
Betano
4.55
Under
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
Keçiörengücü over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 9.50-7.1%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.03+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.7%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+1.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
98.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+7.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
94.9%
1.02
Betano
1.03
888Sport
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.4%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
92.1%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
888Sport
1.11
Betfair
1.11
Superbet
1.10
+7.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
91.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
888Sport
1.02
-
-
-2.0%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.8%
1.11
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.10
-
-
-
+10.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
88.3%
1.06
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
-
-
+1.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
87.7%
1.13
Betano
1.16
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.11
-
-
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
87.5%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
888Sport
1.08
+1.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.4%
1.06
William Hil
1.08
Bet365
1.08
Betano
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.07
+0.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.5%
1.07
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-
-1.2%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
85.5%
1.16
1xBet
1.16
-
-
-
-
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.6%
1.15
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.17
William Hil
1.15
Superbet
1.15
Marathonbet
1.12
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
80.3%
1.30
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.31
888Sport
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
+9.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.2%
1.13
Betano
1.16
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
-
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
78.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
78.0%
1.40
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Superbet
1.42
888Sport
1.40
+12.4%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
78.0%
1.39
Betfair
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Marathonbet
1.36
Unibet
1.33
-
+15.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
77.7%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Betfair
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.11
888Sport
1.11
-6.5%
✓ Hit
Under 10.5 corners
77.1%
1.33
1xBet
1.34
Marathonbet
1.32
-
-
-
+8.9%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
76.7%
1.24
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.22
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
74.8%
1.31
Betano
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.32
Superbet
1.31
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
73.8%
1.45
Bet365
1.50
Betano
1.50
Betfair
1.50
Superbet
1.46
Pinnacle
1.45
+10.0%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
73.2%
1.26
Betfair
1.29
Pinnacle
1.29
Betano
1.28
Superbet
1.27
888Sport
1.25
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
72.9%
1.31
William Hil
1.36
888Sport
1.36
Bet365
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Betano
1.33
+2.8%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
72.2%
1.11
Bet365
1.14
Betfair
1.10
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-6.8%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.2%
1.41
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
1xBet
1.43
Pinnacle
1.41
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
70.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bandırmaspor
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gianni Bruno33%
Amidou Badji33%
Muhammed Gümüşkaya0%
R. Mulumba0%
Lucas Lima0%
Akin Alkan0%
A. Ülgen0%
Tosin Kehinde0%
D. Liço0%
Emirhan Acar0%
Yusuf Kocatürk0%
Enes Aydın0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
A. Ülgen67%
R. Mulumba33%
Lucas Lima33%
D. Liço33%
Yusuf Kocatürk33%
Muhammed Gümüşkaya0%
Gianni Bruno0%
Akin Alkan0%
Tosin Kehinde0%
Emirhan Acar0%
Enes Aydın0%
Amidou Badji0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Muhammed Gümüşkaya33%
Amidou Badji33%
R. Mulumba0%
Gianni Bruno0%
Lucas Lima0%
Akin Alkan0%
A. Ülgen0%
Tosin Kehinde0%
D. Liço0%
Emirhan Acar0%
Yusuf Kocatürk0%
Enes Aydın0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gianni Bruno33%
Muhammed Gümüşkaya0%
R. Mulumba0%
Lucas Lima0%
Akin Alkan0%
A. Ülgen0%
Tosin Kehinde0%
D. Liço0%
Emirhan Acar0%
Yusuf Kocatürk0%
Enes Aydın0%
Amidou Badji0%
Keçiörengücü
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Diouf100%
İbrahim Akdağ33%
Süleyman Luş33%
Oğuzcan Çalışkan33%
Francis Ezeh25%
Ishak Karaoğul25%
H. Ayan25%
Moryke Fofana0%
O. Roshi0%
Jefferson0%
Wellington Nascimento0%
A. Çelik0%
E. Satılmış0%
M. Keskin0%
Enes Yilmaz0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
İbrahim Akdağ100%
E. Satılmış33%
M. Diouf25%
O. Roshi25%
Wellington Nascimento25%
Francis Ezeh25%
M. Keskin25%
Moryke Fofana0%
Jefferson0%
A. Çelik0%
Süleyman Luş0%
Ishak Karaoğul0%
Oğuzcan Çalışkan0%
H. Ayan0%
Enes Yilmaz0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
İbrahim Akdağ33%
O. Roshi25%
Jefferson25%
Francis Ezeh25%
H. Ayan25%
M. Diouf0%
Moryke Fofana0%
Wellington Nascimento0%
A. Çelik0%
E. Satılmış0%
M. Keskin0%
Süleyman Luş0%
Ishak Karaoğul0%
Oğuzcan Çalışkan0%
Enes Yilmaz0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Francis Ezeh75%
M. Diouf50%
İbrahim Akdağ33%
Oğuzcan Çalışkan33%
Moryke Fofana0%
O. Roshi0%
Jefferson0%
Wellington Nascimento0%
A. Çelik0%
E. Satılmış0%
M. Keskin0%
Süleyman Luş0%
Ishak Karaoğul0%
H. Ayan0%
Enes Yilmaz0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (27)
€19m
ANT (25)
€16m
BF (31)
€13m
FK (23)
€12m
KAY (23)
€12m
EE (23)
€11m
SIV (26)
€10m
IF (26)
€9m
MF (24)
€9m
BP (25)
€9m
İST (28)
€8m
BAN (29)
€7m
ÜMR (25)
€7m
PEN (26)
€6m
M1 (25)
€6m
VF (21)
€6m
KEÇ (25)
€6m
MUĞ (19)
€6m
SAR (20)
€5m
BOL (18)
€3m
Bandırmaspor's squad is €1m more valuable than Keçiörengücü's (€7m vs €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (10)
€10m
BF (10)
€6m
FK (9)
€5m
KAY (9)
€5m
ANT (8)
€5m
EE (8)
€4m
SIV (10)
€4m
BP (10)
€4m
IF (7)
€4m
VF (10)
€3m
İST (10)
€3m
ÜMR (8)
€3m
MUĞ (8)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
SAR (7)
€2m
MF (7)
€2m
BAN (8)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
PEN (10)
€2m
BOL (5)
€1m
Bandırmaspor and Keçiörengücü have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BUR (5)
€4m
ANT (6)
€4m
EE (6)
€3m
FK (3)
€3m
BF (10)
€3m
MF (7)
€3m
SIV (5)
€3m
M1 (8)
€2m
BP (5)
€2m
ÜMR (7)
€2m
IF (7)
€2m
BAN (6)
€2m
KAY (4)
€2m
PEN (5)
€2m
KEÇ (7)
€2m
MUĞ (7)
€2m
SAR (4)
€1m
VF (2)
€1m
İST (5)
€1m
BOL (5)
€1m
Bandırmaspor and Keçiörengücü have a similar midfield value (both €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ANT (11)
€7m
KAY (10)
€5m
BUR (12)
€4m
BF (11)
€4m
FK (11)
€4m
MF (10)
€4m
İST (13)
€4m
IF (12)
€3m
BAN (15)
€3m
PEN (11)
€3m
EE (9)
€3m
BP (10)
€3m
KEÇ (11)
€3m
SIV (11)
€3m
VF (9)
€2m
M1 (9)
€2m
SAR (9)
€2m
ÜMR (10)
€2m
MUĞ (4)
€2m
BOL (8)
€1m
Bandırmaspor and Keçiörengücü have a similar defence value (both €3m).
Turkey: 1. Lig 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Turkey: 1. Lig stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Batman Petrolspor
Bursaspor
Sarıyer
Kayserispor
Mardin 1969
Iğdır FK
Manisa F.K.
Muğlaspor
Fatih Karagümrük
Antalyaspor
Pendikspor
Esenler Erokspor
Bodrum FK
Vanspor FK
Ümraniyespor
Sivasspor
İstanbulspor
Boluspor