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Banga II vs Neptūną Klaipėda Result & Analysis

Date: 21/06/2024
Time: 16:00
Final 0-6
Banga II
Banga II
Vs
16%
21%
62%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Neptūną Klaipėda
Neptūną Klaipėda
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Banga II win✗ Miss
16.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
21.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Neptūną Klaipėda win✓ Hit
62.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Banga IIBanga II

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L11D12L12L13L22D11D21W02L01LA·ATM12/04A·FK 19/04H·PAN29/04A·KAU04/05H·FA 13/05A·BFA18/05H·EKR25/05A·GAR31/05H·MIN09/06A·BAB16/06
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.971.002.290.881.69
vs Stronger (9)0.441.110.501.750.400.60
vs Similar (12)1.082.581.142.431.002.80
vs Weaker (9)1.222.001.332.671.171.67
Clean sheet %10% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Neptūną Klaipėda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D42W13L10W22D01L21W20W11D50WH·BFA05/04A·EKR13/04H·FK 22/04H·GAR26/04A·MIN03/05H·BAB10/05H·TAU17/05A·NEV24/05A·BE131/05H·HEG14/06
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.171.172.310.882.001.50
vs Stronger (9)1.671.221.601.401.751.00
vs Similar (13)2.381.152.670.832.141.43
vs Weaker (8)2.381.122.600.402.002.33
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.7%
Under 1.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.5%
Under 2.5
36.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
41.4%
Under 3.5
58.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.3%
No
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-2
9.8%
1-1
9.8%
0-2
9.2%
0-1
7.5%
1-3
7.2%
0-3
6.8%
2-2
5.3%
2-1
4.8%
Banga II goals ↓
Neptūną Klaipėda goals →
01234
04.7%7.5%9.2%6.8%3.7%
13.2%9.8%9.8%7.2%4.0%
22.2%4.8%5.3%3.9%2.1%
30.8%1.7%1.9%1.4%0.8%
40.2%0.5%0.5%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Banga II goals (down), columns = Neptūną Klaipėda goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
FK Trakai
2.47
Be1 NFA
2.10
Babrungas
1.90
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.90
Tauras
1.57
Nevėžis
1.57
Atmosfera
1.47
Ekranas
1.30
BFA
1.23
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.17
Hegelmann II
1.13
Panevėžys II
1.13
FA Šiauliai II
1.07
Minija
1.03
Garliava
0.77
Banga II
0.40
Banga II is 1.50 points worse than Neptūną Klaipėda in terms of average points per game (0.40 vs 1.90).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
FK Trakai
2.33
Neptūną Klaipėda
2.13
Be1 NFA
1.90
Babrungas
1.87
Tauras
1.83
FA Šiauliai II
1.77
BFA
1.50
Nevėžis
1.47
Ekranas
1.40
Kauno Žalgiris II
1.30
Hegelmann II
1.23
Panevėžys II
1.23
Atmosfera
1.20
Garliava
0.97
Minija
0.93
Banga II
0.60
Banga II is 1.53 goals worse than Neptūną Klaipėda in terms of goals scored per game (0.60 vs 2.13).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
FK Trakai
0.63
Be1 NFA
0.87
Babrungas
0.93
Tauras
1.03
Nevėžis
1.07
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.27
Atmosfera
1.30
Minija
1.33
Ekranas
1.60
BFA
1.60
Garliava
1.70
Panevėžys II
1.77
Hegelmann II
1.97
Kauno Žalgiris II
2.03
Banga II
2.27
FA Šiauliai II
2.30
Banga II is 1.00 goals worse than Neptūną Klaipėda in terms of goals conceded per game (2.27 vs 1.27).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Banga IIBanga II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L01L00D01L01L11D20W00D01LA·ATM12/04A·FK 19/04H·PAN29/04A·KAU04/05H·FA 13/05A·BFA18/05H·EKR25/05A·GAR31/05H·MIN09/06A·BAB16/06
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.930.430.930.440.94
vs Stronger (9)0.000.890.001.250.000.60
vs Similar (12)0.580.920.710.710.401.20
vs Weaker (9)0.671.000.331.000.831.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Neptūną Klaipėda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D22D10W10W01L00D20W01L20WA·FA 29/03H·BFA05/04A·EKR13/04H·GAR26/04A·MIN03/05H·BAB10/05H·TAU17/05A·NEV24/05A·BE131/05H·HEG14/06
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.431.120.250.790.64
vs Stronger (9)1.110.441.400.400.750.50
vs Similar (13)0.690.380.830.330.570.43
vs Weaker (8)1.250.501.200.001.331.33
Clean sheet %63% (+37pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Banga II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Banga IIBanga II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W11D12L12L21W00D01L02L00DA·ATM12/04A·FK 19/04H·PAN29/04A·KAU04/05H·FA 13/05A·BFA18/05H·EKR25/05A·GAR31/05H·MIN09/06A·BAB16/06
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.501.030.571.360.440.75
vs Stronger (9)0.440.220.500.500.400.00
vs Similar (12)0.501.670.431.710.601.60
vs Weaker (9)0.561.001.001.670.330.67
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Neptūną Klaipėda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D11D20W00D12L00D21W00D10W30WA·FA 29/03H·BFA05/04A·EKR13/04H·GAR26/04A·MIN03/05H·BAB10/05H·TAU17/05A·NEV24/05A·BE131/05H·HEG14/06
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.631.120.441.210.86
vs Stronger (9)0.440.440.000.401.000.50
vs Similar (13)1.690.771.830.501.571.00
vs Weaker (8)1.120.621.400.400.671.00
Clean sheet %53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Banga II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Neptūną Klaipėda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.584.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HI (4)
€0m
MIN (3)
€0m
FŠI (4)
€0m
TAU (2)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TAU (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FŠI (2)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
HI (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
TAU (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
KŽI (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
HI (2)
€0m
TAU (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
FŠI (1)
€0m
KŽI (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

2 previous meetings
0
BI wins
0
Draws
2
NK wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Banga II vs Neptūną Klaipėda · H/A from BI
DateH/AGameScore
05/08/22ANeptūną Klaipėda Vs BI4-1
27/03/22HBI Vs Neptūną Klaipėda0-5

Banga IIBanga II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/06/24ABabrungas Vs BI1-0
09/06/24HBI Vs Minija0-2
31/05/24AGarliava Vs BI1-2
25/05/24HBI Vs Ekranas1-1
18/05/24ABFA Vs BI2-2
13/05/24HBI Vs FA Šiauliai II1-3
04/05/24AKauno Žalgiris II Vs BI2-1
29/04/24HBI Vs Panevėžys II1-2
19/04/24AFK Trakai Vs BI1-1
12/04/24AAtmosfera Vs BI1-0

Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/06/24HNK Vs Hegelmann II5-0
31/05/24ABe1 NFA Vs NK1-1
24/05/24ANevėžis Vs NK0-2
17/05/24HNK Vs Tauras2-1
10/05/24HNK Vs Babrungas0-1
03/05/24AMinija Vs NK2-2
26/04/24HNK Vs Garliava1-0
22/04/24HNK Vs FK Trakai1-3
13/04/24AEkranas Vs NK2-4
05/04/24HNK Vs BFA2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Banga II
Banga II
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 1 Wins / 3 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWLL0.66
HomeLLLDL0.76
AwayDLDWL0.57
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %16%19%13%
AVG goals2.913.242.61
Over 1.5 %75%86%65%
Over 2.5 %59%57%61%
Over 3.5 %36%48%26%
Scored0.841.050.65
Conceded2.072.191.96
BTTS48%57%39%
Clean Sheet11%10%13%
Corners---
Cards---
Neptūną Klaipėda
Neptūną Klaipėda
Lithuania: 1 Lyga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDW1.88
HomeLWLWW2.11
AwayWWDWD1.61
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %54%63%43%
AVG goals3.102.853.39
Over 1.5 %76%74%78%
Over 2.5 %58%59%57%
Over 3.5 %42%37%48%
Scored2.002.041.96
Conceded1.100.811.43
BTTS56%48%65%
Clean Sheet36%48%22%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1FK TrakaiFK Trakai3074
80%
2.5
7019+51
3.0
73%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.30.6
-
2Be1 NFABe1 NFA3063
63%
2.1
5726+31
2.8
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.9
-
3BabrungasBabrungas3057
53%
1.9
5628+28
2.8
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.90.9
-
4Neptūną KlaipėdaNeptūną Klaipėda3057
57%
1.9
6438+26
3.4
80%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.11.3
-
5TaurasTauras3047
43%
1.6
5531+24
2.9
73%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.81.0
-
6NevėžisNevėžis3047
43%
1.6
4432+12
2.5
70%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.1
-
7AtmosferaAtmosfera3044
43%
1.5
3639-3
2.5
70%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.3
-
8EkranasEkranas3039
33%
1.3
4248-6
3.0
80%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.6
-
9BFABFA3037
30%
1.2
4548-3
3.1
83%
53%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.6
-
10Kauno Žalgiris IIKauno Žalgiris II3035
33%
1.2
3961-22
3.3
97%
70%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.32.0
-
11Panevėžys IIPanevėžys II3034
30%
1.1
3753-16
3.0
80%
60%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.8
-
12Hegelmann IIHegelmann II3034
33%
1.1
3759-22
3.2
90%
63%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
13FA Šiauliai IIFA Šiauliai II3032
33%
1.1
5369-16
4.1
87%
77%
67%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.82.3
-
14MinijaMinija3031
20%
1.0
2840-12
2.3
67%
37%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.3
-
15GarliavaGarliava3023
17%
0.8
2951-22
2.7
67%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.7
-
16Banga IIBanga II3012
7%
0.4
1868-50
2.9
83%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.3
-
Lithuania: 1 Lyga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: 1 Lyga stats & trends →

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