This opponent (Hegelmann Litauen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hegelmann Litauen
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.70
0.93
1.67
1.08
1.72
0.83
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
1.50
1.17
1.62
1.12
1.40
1.20
vs Weaker (12)
2.00
0.58
1.75
1.00
2.12
0.38
Clean sheet %
43% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
77.7%
Under 1.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
52.6%
Under 2.5
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
30.4%
Under 3.5
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
57.5%
No
42.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.2%
1-2
8.6%
2-1
8.0%
0-1
7.7%
0-0 ✓
7.4%
1-0
7.1%
0-2
6.4%
2-2
5.8%
Banga goals ↓
Hegelmann Litauen goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.4%
7.7%
6.4%
3.1%
1.1%
1
7.1%
13%
8.6%
4.1%
1.5%
2
5.6%
8.0%
5.8%
2.8%
1.0%
3
2.5%
3.6%
2.6%
1.2%
0.4%
4
0.8%
1.2%
0.9%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Banga goals (down), columns = Hegelmann Litauen goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hegelmann Litauen
2.60
Džiugas Telšiai
2.25
Kauno Žalgiris
2.25
Atmosfera
2.25
Banga
2.20
Nemunas
2.00
Alternatyvus FK
2.00
FK Trakai
2.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
2.00
Viltis Vilnius
2.00
Minija
2.00
Jonava
2.00
Ekranas
2.00
FKS Ukmergė
2.00
Babrungas
2.00
Be1 NFA
1.50
Dembava
1.50
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.50
VGTU Vilkai
1.50
Sendvaris
1.50
Sirijus Klaipėda
1.50
Tauras
1.50
Garliava
1.50
Euforija
1.50
BFA
1.50
Klaipėdos FM
1.33
Šiauliai
1.33
Nevėžis
1.33
Suduva Marijampole
1.00
Sviedinys Vilnius
0.00
Širvėna Biržai
0.00
Tera
0.00
Kazlų Rūda Kaunas
0.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
0.00
Dainava
0.00
Katastrofa Vilnius
0.00
Geležinis Vilkas
0.00
Trivartis Vilnius
0.00
TOP Kickers
0.00
Venta
0.00
Sveikata
0.00
Futboliukas Vilnius
0.00
Ave.Ko
0.00
Granitas
0.00
Utenis Utena
0.00
Baltai
0.00
Fortūna Kaunas
0.00
Nadruvis
0.00
Saned Joniškis
0.00
Utenos Utena
0.00
Panevėžys
0.00
Šilutė
0.00
Banga is 0.40 points worse than Hegelmann Litauen in terms of average points per game (2.20 vs 2.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
VGTU Vilkai
5.50
Ekranas
5.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
4.67
FKS Ukmergė
4.33
Alternatyvus FK
4.00
Dembava
4.00
Tauras
4.00
Kauno Žalgiris
3.75
Klaipėdos FM
3.67
Babrungas
3.67
FK Trakai
3.00
TOP Kickers
3.00
Jonava
3.00
Sendvaris
3.00
Euforija
3.00
Banga
2.60
Džiugas Telšiai
2.50
Sirijus Klaipėda
2.50
Garliava
2.50
Atmosfera
2.50
Hegelmann Litauen
2.20
Minija
2.00
Šiauliai
2.00
BFA
2.00
Nemunas
1.67
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.50
Viltis Vilnius
1.50
Sviedinys Vilnius
1.00
Be1 NFA
1.00
Kazlų Rūda Kaunas
1.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
1.00
Suduva Marijampole
1.00
Geležinis Vilkas
1.00
Trivartis Vilnius
1.00
Sveikata
1.00
Fortūna Kaunas
1.00
Panevėžys
1.00
Nevėžis
1.00
Šilutė
1.00
Širvėna Biržai
0.00
Tera
0.00
Dainava
0.00
Katastrofa Vilnius
0.00
Venta
0.00
Futboliukas Vilnius
0.00
Ave.Ko
0.00
Granitas
0.00
Utenis Utena
0.00
Baltai
0.00
Nadruvis
0.00
Saned Joniškis
0.00
Utenos Utena
0.00
Banga is 0.40 goals better than Hegelmann Litauen in terms of goals scored per game (2.60 vs 2.20).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Be1 NFA
0.50
Alternatyvus FK
0.50
Minija
0.50
Kauno Žalgiris
0.50
Hegelmann Litauen
0.60
Ekranas
0.67
Banga
0.80
Suduva Marijampole
1.00
Viltis Vilnius
1.00
VGTU Vilkai
1.00
Atmosfera
1.25
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.33
Jonava
1.33
FKS Ukmergė
1.33
Šiauliai
1.33
Džiugas Telšiai
1.50
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.50
Klaipėdos FM
1.67
Sviedinys Vilnius
2.00
Dainava
2.00
FK Trakai
2.00
Granitas
2.00
Tauras
2.00
Fortūna Kaunas
2.00
Panevėžys
2.00
Babrungas
2.00
Šilutė
2.00
Nevėžis
2.33
Sirijus Klaipėda
2.50
Garliava
2.50
Nemunas
3.00
Neptūną Klaipėda
3.00
Sveikata
3.00
Futboliukas Vilnius
3.00
Sendvaris
3.00
Baltai
3.00
BFA
3.00
Dembava
3.50
Kazlų Rūda Kaunas
4.00
Venta
4.00
Širvėna Biržai
5.00
Tera
5.00
Geležinis Vilkas
5.00
TOP Kickers
5.00
Saned Joniškis
5.00
Euforija
5.50
Utenis Utena
7.00
Ave.Ko
8.00
Utenos Utena
9.00
Katastrofa Vilnius
10.00
Trivartis Vilnius
10.00
Nadruvis
13.00
Banga is 0.20 goals worse than Hegelmann Litauen in terms of goals conceded per game (0.80 vs 0.60).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Banga or Draw✓ Hit
61.7%
Avg Implied -
34%
28%
38%
covers Banga + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Banga or Hegelmann Litauen✗ Miss
72.3%
Avg Implied -
34%
28%
38%
covers Banga + Hegelmann Litauen
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Hegelmann Litauen✓ Hit
66.1%
Avg Implied -
34%
28%
38%
covers Draw + Hegelmann Litauen
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Banga over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
73.9%
Under
26.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
38.8%
Under
61.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
15.3%
Under
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.7%
Under
95.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
76.3%
Under
23.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
42.1%
Under
57.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
17.6%
Under
82.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
5.8%
Under
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Banga, so a minus line means Banga give that many goals of a start and Hegelmann Litauen receive them. At -1, Banga must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Banga win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Banga)Actual: Hegelmann Litauen
Banga -2
5.6%
Draw -2
10.2%
Hegelmann Litauen +2
84.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Banga)Actual: Hegelmann Litauen
Banga -1
15.7%
Draw -1
18.2%
Hegelmann Litauen +1
66.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Banga)Actual: Banga
Banga +1
61.7%
Draw +1
19.6%
Hegelmann Litauen -1
18.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Banga)Actual: Banga
Banga +2
81.3%
Draw +2
11.7%
Hegelmann Litauen -2
7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Banga
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.43
0.50
0.50
0.67
0.39
vs Stronger (12)
0.50
0.42
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.38
vs Similar (18)
0.67
0.44
0.50
0.50
0.80
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Hegelmann Litauen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hegelmann Litauen
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.43
0.67
0.58
0.56
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.67
0.75
0.75
0.40
0.60
vs Weaker (12)
0.67
0.08
0.50
0.25
0.75
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+40pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Banga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Banga
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.73
0.67
0.75
1.00
0.72
vs Stronger (12)
0.83
0.92
0.75
1.25
0.88
0.75
vs Similar (18)
0.89
0.61
0.62
0.50
1.10
0.70
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Hegelmann Litauen) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hegelmann Litauen
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.50
1.00
0.50
1.17
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (18)
0.94
0.50
0.88
0.38
1.00
0.60
vs Weaker (12)
1.33
0.50
1.25
0.75
1.38
0.38
Clean sheet %
60% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Banga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Banga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hegelmann Litauen over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
82.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Away over 0.5 goals
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
73.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
72.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (27)
€10m
FZV (29)
€7m
PAN (28)
€6m
ŠIA (28)
€6m
SM (26)
€6m
BAN (22)
€6m
HL (22)
€6m
TV (24)
€5m
DT (22)
€5m
MIN (3)
€0m
TAU (2)
€0m
DAI (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
BFA (2)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
Banga and Hegelmann Litauen have a similar squad value (both €6m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (11)
€4m
SM (10)
€2m
BAN (7)
€2m
TV (8)
€2m
FZV (9)
€2m
PAN (8)
€2m
HL (6)
€2m
ŠIA (7)
€2m
DT (5)
€1m
TAU (1)
€0m
NK (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
GAR (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
Banga and Hegelmann Litauen have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FZV (8)
€3m
PAN (7)
€2m
DT (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ŠIA (10)
€2m
HL (7)
€2m
BAN (5)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
TV (5)
€1m
DAI (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
BFA (1)
€0m
EKR (1)
€0m
ATM (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
TAU (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
Banga and Hegelmann Litauen have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (12)
€4m
FZV (12)
€3m
ŠIA (11)
€3m
PAN (13)
€2m
TV (11)
€2m
HL (9)
€2m
SM (11)
€2m
BAN (10)
€2m
DT (10)
€2m
TAU (1)
€0m
MIN (1)
€0m
GAR (0)
€0m
EKR (0)
€0m
NK (0)
€0m
ATM (0)
€0m
BFA (0)
€0m
DAI (0)
€0m
Banga and Hegelmann Litauen have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Lithuania: A Lyga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: A Lyga stats & trends →