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Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris Result & Analysis

Date: 30/08/2026
Time: 15:45
Final 0-0
Banga
Banga
Vs
20%
29%
51%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuania: A Lyga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Banga enter the match after a 1-1 draw, their recent form showing a 0-0 average at home against stronger opponents, conceding 1.4 goals per game. Kauno Žalgiris, on the other hand, have averaged 1.86 goals scored and only 0.29 conceded away against weaker sides. The model’s most likely outcome is an away win, with a 51% probability, followed by a 29% chance of a draw and a 20% chance of a home win. The expected total is 2.3 goals, with the most probable total being two goals at 28%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.4% probability. The model’s edge lies in the away team’s superior away form and the home side’s defensive frailty, making a Kauno Žalgiris victory the standout pick. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (99.1%), Under 6.5 (99.0%), Home under 3.5 goals (98.9%), Home under 2.5 2H goals (98.2%), Under 5.5 (96.8% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (94.6%), and Home under 2.5 goals (94.5% with an 8% edge).

Results analysis

The 0-0 draw stunned the pundits, as the pre-match favourite, Kauno Žalgiris, failed to secure the win the model had predicted with a 51% probability. The match ended in a stalemate, matching the model’s 29% draw probability. Banga’s home form had recently slipped to a draw, while Kauno Žalgiris also finished the previous game in a 0-0 tie, underscoring the defensive stalemate. The model’s selection for an away win was therefore wrong. Every suggested pick was a hit: Under 7.5 goals at 99.7%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 99.2%, Under 6.5 at 99.0%, Home under 3.5 goals at 98.9%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.0%, Under 5.5 at 96.8%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 96.0%, and Home under 2.5 goals at 94.5%. The model’s predictions largely held, except for the away win.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Banga win✗ Miss
20.4%
Avg Implied 28.5% · @ 3.15
Edge
-8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
3.40
10Bet
3.40
Dafabet
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Superbet
3.25
Draw✓ Hit
28.8%
Avg Implied 29.3% · @ 3.07
Edge
-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.25
Bet365
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Dafabet
3.15
Betano
3.10
Kauno Žalgiris win✗ Miss
50.9%
Avg Implied 42.1% · @ 2.13
Edge
+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.30
William Hil
2.25
1xBet
2.21
Bet365
2.20
Marathonbet
2.19

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BangaBanga

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-660W00D40W00D31W01L31W03L32W11DH·DAI02/11A·KAU08/11A·VIL21/04A·DŽI20/05A·TRA12/07A·DŽI19/07A·ŠIA03/08H·SUD09/08A·FK 16/08A·HEG23/08
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.130.921.171.441.11
vs Stronger (12)0.581.420.001.401.001.43
vs Similar (17)1.531.001.571.001.501.00
vs Weaker (1)4.000.00--4.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W40W00D10W05L20W12L11D03L10WH·PAN11/07H·ŠIA18/07A·KI 21/07H·KI 29/07A·DIN04/08H·HEG08/08H·DIN11/08H·TRA16/08A·BEŞ20/08H·BEŞ27/08
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.001.940.881.141.14
vs Stronger (4)0.502.501.001.000.004.00
vs Similar (14)1.640.932.220.780.601.20
vs Weaker (12)1.830.581.801.001.860.29
Clean sheet %40% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.1%
@ 1.34+0.9%
Under 1.5
30.9%
@ 2.86-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.38
Bet365
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Superbet
1.34
Under
Betfair
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.97
Unibet
2.90
1xBet
2.88
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.5%
@ 2.09-2.4%
Under 2.5
58.5%
@ 1.63+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.16
10Bet
2.15
Bet365
2.15
Superbet
2.12
Under
Pinnacle
1.67
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Unibet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
20.9%
@ 3.67-3.8%
Under 3.5
79.1%
@ 1.21+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.10
10Bet
3.95
1xBet
3.78
Marathonbet
3.78
Bet365
3.75
Under
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Superbet
1.20
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
45.7%
@ 1.85-3.7%
No
54.3%
@ 1.80+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.91
Bet365
1.91
William Hil
1.91
Superbet
1.90
10Bet
1.85
No
Unibet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Betfair
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
William Hil
1.80

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.4%@ 5.58+5.8%
0-1
13.1%@ 6.12+6.1%
0-0 ✓
10.8%@ 7.43+5.1%
0-2
10.6%@ 9.02+5.9%
1-2
9.1%@ 8.06+3.8%
1-0
7.0%@ 8.00+1.7%
0-3
5.3%@ 18.39+3.0%
2-1
5.2%@ 10.48+1.1%
Banga goals ↓
Kauno Žalgiris goals →
01234
011%13%11%5.3%2.0%
17.0%13%9.1%4.5%1.7%
23.5%5.2%3.9%1.9%0.7%
31.0%1.5%1.1%0.5%0.2%
40.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Banga goals (down), columns = Kauno Žalgiris goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.67
Kauno Žalgiris
2.20
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.38
Banga
1.38
Panevėžys
1.38
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
Hegelmann Litauen
0.75
Šiauliai
0.38
Banga is 0.83 points worse than Kauno Žalgiris in terms of average points per game (1.38 vs 2.20).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.33
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.17
Kauno Žalgiris
2.00
Banga
1.25
Hegelmann Litauen
1.25
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.12
Panevėžys
1.12
Šiauliai
0.75
Banga is 0.75 goals worse than Kauno Žalgiris in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kauno Žalgiris
0.20
Suduva Marijampole
0.33
Panevėžys
1.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.25
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.33
Banga
1.50
Džiugas Telšiai
1.57
Hegelmann Litauen
2.00
Šiauliai
2.62
Banga is 1.30 goals worse than Kauno Žalgiris in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 0.20).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Banga or Draw✓ Hit
49.1%
Avg Implied 57.4% · @ 1.58
Edge
-8.3%
20%
29%
51%
covers Banga + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
1.67
Unibet
1.62
10Bet
1.62
Bet365
1.60
Superbet
1.59
Banga or Kauno Žalgiris✗ Miss
71.2%
Avg Implied 71.1% · @ 1.27
Edge
+0.1%
20%
29%
51%
covers Banga + Kauno Žalgiris
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.36
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Draw or Kauno Žalgiris✓ Hit
79.6%
Avg Implied 71.5% · @ 1.27
Edge
+8.2%
20%
29%
51%
covers Draw + Kauno Žalgiris
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Banga over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
57.4%
@ 1.45-6.3%
Under
42.6%
@ 2.54+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.46
Marathonbet
1.46
10Bet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Superbet
1.44
Under
Pinnacle
2.66
1xBet
2.63
Bet365
2.62
Superbet
2.47
10Bet
2.45
Banga over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
21.1%
@ 3.04-9.1%
Under
78.9%
@ 1.31+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.04
Bet365
3.00
Superbet
3.00
1xBet
2.90
Under
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.29
10Bet
1.25
Banga over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
5.5%
@ 7.55-6.6%
Under
94.5%
@ 1.04+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.20
1xBet
8.10
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.90
Under
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
Banga over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.1%
@ 12.00-6.6%
Under
98.9%
@ 1.01+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
12.00
Under
Bet365
1.01
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
77.4%
@ 1.26+4.8%
Under
22.6%
@ 3.35-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
Under
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.35
1xBet
3.34
Superbet
3.30
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
43.8%
@ 2.32+3.9%
Under
56.2%
@ 1.54-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.50
Pinnacle
2.36
Marathonbet
2.35
1xBet
2.28
Superbet
2.25
Under
Pinnacle
1.57
1xBet
1.56
10Bet
1.55
Superbet
1.55
Bet365
1.50
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
18.8%
@ 5.26+1.4%
Under
81.2%
@ 1.10-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.50
1xBet
5.40
Superbet
4.65
Under
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.4%
@ 9.95-2.9%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.02+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
9.90
Under
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Banga, so a minus line means Banga give that many goals of a start and Kauno Žalgiris receive them. At -1, Banga must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Banga win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Banga)Actual: Kauno Žalgiris
Banga -2
1.7%
@ 19.00-3.3%
Draw -2
5.2%
@ 10.00-4.2%
Kauno Žalgiris +2
93.1%
@ 1.10+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
19.00
Draw
Bet365
10.00
Away
Bet365
1.10
Handicap -1 (Banga)Actual: Kauno Žalgiris
Banga -1
6.9%
@ 7.23-5.5%
Draw -1
13.4%
@ 4.75-5.5%
Kauno Žalgiris +1
79.6%
@ 1.31+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.20
Bet365
7.00
Draw
Marathonbet
4.75
Bet365
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Away
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Handicap +1 (Banga)Actual: Banga
Banga +1
49.1%
@ 1.62-6.0%
Draw +1
24.3%
@ 3.73+0.3%
Kauno Žalgiris -1
26.6%
@ 4.29+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.53
Draw
Marathonbet
3.84
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Away
Marathonbet
4.55
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.00
Handicap +2 (Banga)Actual: Banga
Banga +2
73.4%
@ 1.17-0.8%
Draw +2
15.9%
@ 5.53+0.3%
Kauno Žalgiris -2
10.6%
@ 8.60+0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.13
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
4.55
Away
Bet365
11.00
Marathonbet
6.20

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BangaBanga

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W00D20W00D11D01L21W02L11D10WH·DAI02/11A·KAU08/11A·VIL21/04A·DŽI20/05A·TRA12/07A·DŽI19/07A·ŠIA03/08H·SUD09/08A·FK 16/08A·HEG23/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.470.420.580.720.39
vs Stronger (12)0.250.500.000.400.430.57
vs Similar (17)0.760.470.710.710.800.30
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W20W00D00D02L20W02L10W02L00DH·PAN11/07H·ŠIA18/07A·KI 21/07H·KI 29/07A·DIN04/08H·HEG08/08H·DIN11/08H·TRA16/08A·BEŞ20/08H·BEŞ27/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.400.880.250.710.57
vs Stronger (4)0.001.500.001.000.002.00
vs Similar (14)0.790.361.000.110.400.80
vs Weaker (12)1.080.081.000.201.140.00
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
69.0%
@ 1.41+4.8%
Under 0.5
31.0%
@ 2.54-4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Under
Betfair
2.75
William Hil
2.70
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.62
10Bet
2.60
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.1%
@ 3.00+3.7%
Under 1.5
65.9%
@ 1.31-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.08
1xBet
3.04
Marathonbet
3.04
Under
William Hil
1.35
Pinnacle
1.33
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Superbet
1.31
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.7%
@ 7.05-1.3%
Under 2.5
88.3%
@ 1.05+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
8.50
Betfair
8.00
Bet365
7.50
1xBet
7.20
Superbet
6.80
Under
Bet365
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Superbet
1.04

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Banga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
34.3%
@ 2.40-3.9%
Under
65.7%
@ 1.49+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.45
Pinnacle
2.43
1xBet
2.36
Marathonbet
2.36
Under
Pinnacle
1.53
Marathonbet
1.48
1xBet
1.48
Superbet
1.46
Banga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.7%
@ 9.30-2.1%
Under
92.3%
@ 1.01+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.30
Marathonbet
9.30
Under
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
Banga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.8%
Under
99.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
50.6%
@ 2.04+5.6%
Under
49.4%
@ 1.68-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.09
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
2.03
Superbet
2.02
Under
Pinnacle
1.70
Superbet
1.70
1xBet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
17.6%
@ 6.90+4.4%
Under
82.4%
@ 1.05-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.90
Marathonbet
6.90
Under
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BangaBanga

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W00D20W00D20W00D10W01L21W01LH·DAI02/11A·KAU08/11A·VIL21/04A·DŽI20/05A·TRA12/07A·DŽI19/07A·ŠIA03/08H·SUD09/08A·FK 16/08A·HEG23/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.670.500.580.720.72
vs Stronger (12)0.330.920.001.000.570.86
vs Similar (17)0.760.530.860.290.700.70
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Kauno Žalgiris) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W20W00D10W03L00D10W01L01L10WH·PAN11/07H·ŠIA18/07A·KI 21/07H·KI 29/07A·DIN04/08H·HEG08/08H·DIN11/08H·TRA16/08A·BEŞ20/08H·BEŞ27/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.601.060.620.430.57
vs Stronger (4)0.501.001.000.000.002.00
vs Similar (14)0.860.571.220.670.200.40
vs Weaker (12)0.750.500.800.800.710.29
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
76.8%
@ 1.27+4.4%
Under 0.5
23.2%
@ 3.33-4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.34
Marathonbet
3.34
William Hil
3.25
Superbet
3.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
41.9%
@ 2.31+2.1%
Under 1.5
58.1%
@ 1.52-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.40
William Hil
2.30
Superbet
2.30
1xBet
2.29
Marathonbet
2.29
Under
Bet365
1.57
William Hil
1.53
Superbet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.51
1xBet
1.51
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.6%
@ 5.17+0.8%
Under 2.5
81.4%
@ 1.12-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.50
William Hil
5.50
1xBet
4.90
Superbet
4.80
Under
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.11

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Banga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
42.4%
@ 2.03-2.9%
Under
57.6%
@ 1.68+2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.07
1xBet
2.03
Marathonbet
1.99
Under
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
Superbet
1.66
Banga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.7%
@ 6.45-2.5%
Under
88.3%
@ 1.06+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.60
1xBet
6.30
Under
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
Banga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.0%
Under
98.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
57.7%
@ 1.73+4.6%
Under
42.3%
@ 1.96-4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.74
Marathonbet
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Under
1xBet
1.98
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.92
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
21.9%
@ 4.78+2.8%
Under
78.1%
@ 1.13-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.95
1xBet
4.60
Under
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
Kauno Žalgiris over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
7.2%
Under
92.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.7%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals99.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.599.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals98.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+6.6%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals98.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.596.8%1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
--+2.9%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals96.0%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals94.5%1.04
Bet365
1.08
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
-+6.6%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals93.6%1.02
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.01
---+2.9%✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap93.1%1.10
Bet365
1.10
----+7.4%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals92.8%-------✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals92.3%1.01
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
---+2.1%✓ Hit
Under 4.591.1%1.04
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Superbet
1.04
BetVictor
1.03
1xBet
1.02
+4.3%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals88.3%1.05
Bet365
1.07
William Hil
1.07
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Superbet
1.04
+1.3%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals88.3%1.06
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
---+2.5%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals82.4%1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
1xBet
1.05
----4.4%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals81.4%1.12
Bet365
1.14
1xBet
1.13
William Hil
1.12
Superbet
1.11
--0.8%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals81.2%1.10
Bet365
1.12
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.08
--1.4%✓ Hit
Draw or Away79.6%1.27
William Hil
1.33
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
+8.2%✓ Hit
Away +1 handicap79.6%1.31
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
--+10.9%✓ Hit
Under 3.579.1%1.21
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Superbet
1.20
+3.8%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 goals78.9%1.31
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.29
10Bet
1.25
+9.1%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals78.1%1.13
1xBet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
----2.8%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals77.4%1.26
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.27
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.24
-+4.8%✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals76.8%1.27
William Hil
1.30
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
+4.4%✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap73.4%1.17
Bet365
1.20
Marathonbet
1.13
----0.8%✓ Hit
Home or Away71.2%1.27
William Hil
1.36
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
+0.1%✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (27)
€10m
FZV (29)
€7m
PAN (28)
€6m
ŠIA (28)
€6m
SM (26)
€6m
BAN (22)
€6m
HL (22)
€6m
TV (24)
€5m
DT (22)
€5m
Banga's squad is €4m less valuable than Kauno Žalgiris's (€6m vs €10m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (11)
€4m
SM (10)
€2m
BAN (7)
€2m
TV (8)
€2m
FZV (9)
€2m
PAN (8)
€2m
HL (6)
€2m
ŠIA (7)
€2m
DT (5)
€1m
Banga's attack is €2m less valuable than Kauno Žalgiris's (€2m vs €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FZV (8)
€3m
PAN (7)
€2m
DT (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ŠIA (10)
€2m
HL (7)
€2m
BAN (5)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
TV (5)
€1m
Banga and Kauno Žalgiris have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (12)
€4m
FZV (12)
€3m
ŠIA (11)
€3m
PAN (13)
€2m
TV (11)
€2m
HL (9)
€2m
SM (11)
€2m
BAN (10)
€2m
DT (10)
€2m
Banga's defence is €2m less valuable than Kauno Žalgiris's (€2m vs €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
BAN wins
4
Draws
1
KŽ wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris · H/A from BAN
DateH/AGameScore
08/11/25AKauno Žalgiris Vs BAN0-0
30/08/25HBAN Vs Kauno Žalgiris0-0
30/06/25HBAN Vs Kauno Žalgiris0-2
27/04/25AKauno Žalgiris Vs BAN0-1
19/10/24AKauno Žalgiris Vs BAN1-1
18/09/24AKauno Žalgiris Vs BAN0-1
26/07/24HBAN Vs Kauno Žalgiris1-1
24/04/24AKauno Žalgiris Vs BAN0-3

BangaBanga

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/08/26AHegelmann Litauen Vs BAN1-1
16/08/26AFK Zalgiris Vilnius Vs BAN2-3
09/08/26HBAN Vs Suduva Marijampole0-3
03/08/26AŠiauliai Vs BAN1-3
19/07/26ADžiugas Telšiai Vs BAN1-0
12/07/26ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs BAN1-3
20/05/26ADžiugas Telšiai Vs BAN0-0
21/04/26AVilniaus Vytis Vs BAN0-4
08/11/25AKauno Žalgiris Vs BAN0-0
02/11/25HBAN Vs Dainava6-0

Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/26HKŽ Vs Beşiktaş1-0
20/08/26ABeşiktaş Vs KŽ3-0
16/08/26HKŽ Vs TransINVEST Vilnius1-1
11/08/26HKŽ Vs Dinamo Zagreb1-2
08/08/26HKŽ Vs Hegelmann Litauen2-0
04/08/26ADinamo Zagreb Vs KŽ5-0
29/07/26HKŽ Vs KI Klaksvik1-0
21/07/26AKI Klaksvik Vs KŽ0-0
18/07/26HKŽ Vs Šiauliai4-0
11/07/26HKŽ Vs Panevėžys3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Banga
Banga
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 5 Wins / 3 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWD1.22
HomeLLDWL1.00
AwayWLWWD1.41
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%26%37%
AVG goals2.222.092.33
Over 1.5 %64%65%63%
Over 2.5 %36%26%44%
Over 3.5 %22%13%30%
Scored1.120.961.26
Conceded1.101.131.07
BTTS36%30%41%
Clean Sheet30%26%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW1.96
HomeWWLDW2.12
AwayWWDLL1.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %58%65%50%
AVG goals2.582.772.38
Over 1.5 %74%81%67%
Over 2.5 %56%62%50%
Over 3.5 %22%23%21%
Scored1.762.081.42
Conceded0.820.690.96
BTTS40%42%38%
Clean Sheet44%46%42%
Corners11.008.0017.00
Cards3.673.005.00

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole616
83%
2.7
142+12
2.7
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2122.30.3
-
2FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius612
67%
2.0
138+5
3.5
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2332.21.3
-
3Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris511
60%
2.2
101+9
2.2
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4242.00.2
-
4PanevėžysPanevėžys811
38%
1.4
98+1
2.1
88%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.11.0
-
5TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius811
38%
1.4
910-1
2.4
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.2
-
6BangaBanga811
38%
1.4
1012-2
2.8
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.21.5
-
7Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai78
29%
1.1
811-3
2.7
71%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.11.6
-
8Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen86
12%
0.8
1016-6
3.2
100%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.22.0
-
9ŠiauliaiŠiauliai83
12%
0.4
621-15
3.4
88%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2230.82.6
-
10FK TrakaiFK Trakai00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Lithuania: A Lyga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: A Lyga stats & trends →

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