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Banga vs Panevėžys Result & Analysis

Date: 03/09/2026
Time: 16:00
Final 0-3
Banga
Banga
Vs
34%
30%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Panevėžys
Panevėžys
Lithuania: A Lyga
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

The model’s edge comes from its sharp view that Panevėžys will edge Banga, a result that the market has only 36% of the chance for. The prediction shows a 34% chance of a home win, 30% draw and 36% away win, with the away win as the single most likely outcome. The expected total is 2.4 goals, with a 28% chance that exactly two goals will be scored. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.4% probability.

Banga, at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.57 goals scored and 1.0 conceded. Panevėžys, on the road, averages 1.42 goals scored and 1.75 conceded against similar teams. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.9% with a 6% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.2%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.1%), Home under 3.5 goals (96.8% with a 9% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (96.6% with a 3% edge) and Under 5.5 (96.5% with a 7% edge).

Results analysis

Banga’s recent run of defeats has been broken by a decisive 0-3 victory over Panevėžys, confirming the model’s prediction that the away side would win. The Pythia model had named “Away win” as the favourite with a 36% probability, and it was correct. The final score of 0-3 matched the actual result, with Panevėžys extending their two-game winning streak. The model’s selections performed exceptionally well: Under 7.5 hit at 99.7%, Under 6.5 at 98.9%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.4%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.1%, Home under 3.5 goals at 96.8%, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.6%, and Under 5.5 at 96.5%. All picks were settled and hit.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Banga win✗ Miss
34.1%
Avg Implied 50.6% · @ 1.78
Edge
-16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.84
Pinnacle
1.83
Superbet
1.82
William Hil
1.80
SBO
1.80
Draw✗ Miss
30.4%
Avg Implied 27.0% · @ 3.33
Edge
+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.60
10Bet
3.60
Betfair
3.60
William Hil
3.40
Betano
3.40
Panevėžys win✓ Hit
35.6%
Avg Implied 22.4% · @ 4.02
Edge
+13.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.52
Superbet
4.40
Unibet
4.35
1xBet
4.29
Marathonbet
4.20

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BangaBanga

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D40W00D31W01L31W03L32W11D00DA·KAU08/11A·VIL21/04A·DŽI20/05A·TRA12/07A·DŽI19/07A·ŠIA03/08H·SUD09/08A·FK 16/08A·HEG23/08H·KAU30/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.070.851.081.471.06
vs Stronger (13)0.541.310.001.171.001.43
vs Similar (16)1.560.941.571.001.560.89
vs Weaker (1)4.000.00--4.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PanevėžysPanevėžys

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W30W12L11D03L11D20W01L02L20WA·RAD29/04A·ATM20/05A·MIN23/06H·HEG04/07A·KAU11/07H·DŽI03/08A·TRA10/08A·ŠIA17/08A·SUD23/08H·FK 30/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.071.250.581.891.39
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)1.331.191.220.441.421.75
vs Weaker (9)2.330.781.331.002.830.67
Clean sheet %33% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%019%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
70.1%
@ 1.22-4.5%
Under 1.5
29.9%
@ 3.60+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.30
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
Under
Betfair
4.20
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.70
1xBet
3.70
10Bet
3.70
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
42.6%
@ 1.73-10.4%
Under 2.5
57.4%
@ 1.96+10.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.85
Unibet
1.81
10Bet
1.77
Superbet
1.76
Pinnacle
1.74
Under
Bet365
2.08
Pinnacle
2.07
Betfair
2.00
Marathonbet
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.8%
@ 2.73-11.5%
Under 3.5
78.2%
@ 1.37+11.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.95
10Bet
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Under
Betfair
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
49.8%
@ 1.66-5.0%
No
50.2%
@ 2.02+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.75
Bet365
1.73
Unibet
1.73
10Bet
1.67
Betfair
1.67
No
Betfair
2.15
1xBet
2.10
Superbet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
10Bet
2.00

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%@ 6.39+7.7%
0-0
10.5%@ 9.58+6.1%
0-1
9.8%@ 11.36+6.0%
1-0
9.5%@ 7.27+3.6%
1-2
7.9%@ 11.94+4.3%
2-1
7.7%@ 7.44+2.0%
0-2
6.7%@ 20.77+4.7%
2-0
6.4%@ 8.34+1.2%
Banga goals ↓
Panevėžys goals →
01234
011%9.8%6.7%2.7%0.8%
19.5%14%7.9%3.2%1.0%
26.4%7.7%4.7%1.9%0.6%
32.5%3.0%1.8%0.7%0.2%
40.7%0.9%0.5%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Banga goals (down), columns = Panevėžys goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.67
Kauno Žalgiris
2.20
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.38
Banga
1.38
Panevėžys
1.38
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
Hegelmann Litauen
0.75
Šiauliai
0.38
Banga and Panevėžys are level in average points per game (both 1.38).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Suduva Marijampole
2.33
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
2.17
Kauno Žalgiris
2.00
Banga
1.25
Hegelmann Litauen
1.25
Džiugas Telšiai
1.14
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.12
Panevėžys
1.12
Šiauliai
0.75
Banga is 0.12 goals better than Panevėžys in terms of goals scored per game (1.25 vs 1.12).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Kauno Žalgiris
0.20
Suduva Marijampole
0.33
Panevėžys
1.00
TransINVEST Vilnius
1.25
FK Zalgiris Vilnius
1.33
Banga
1.50
Džiugas Telšiai
1.57
Hegelmann Litauen
2.00
Šiauliai
2.62
Banga is 0.50 goals worse than Panevėžys in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 1.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Banga or Draw✗ Miss
64.4%
Avg Implied 77.7% · @ 1.17
Edge
-13.3%
34%
30%
36%
covers Banga + Draw
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Betano
1.21
Betfair
1.20
10Bet
1.18
Banga or Panevėžys✓ Hit
69.6%
Avg Implied 73.8% · @ 1.23
Edge
-4.2%
34%
30%
36%
covers Banga + Panevėžys
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.29
1xBet
1.26
Marathonbet
1.26
Betano
1.26
William Hil
1.25
Draw or Panevėžys✓ Hit
65.9%
Avg Implied 48.4% · @ 1.87
Edge
+17.5%
34%
30%
36%
covers Draw + Panevėžys
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.96
10Bet
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Betfair
1.91
Superbet
1.85

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Banga over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
69.2%
@ 1.14-11.1%
Under
30.8%
@ 4.65+11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.14
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.12
Under
Betfair
5.00
1xBet
4.70
Superbet
4.55
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Banga over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
32.9%
@ 1.76-19.5%
Under
67.1%
@ 1.94+19.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Superbet
1.77
10Bet
1.77
Pinnacle
1.76
Unibet
1.75
Under
Pinnacle
2.03
Betfair
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Superbet
1.95
Marathonbet
1.94
Banga over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
11.6%
@ 3.32-16.1%
Under
88.4%
@ 1.27+16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Betfair
3.25
Superbet
3.25
Marathonbet
3.10
Under
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Banga over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.2%
@ 7.43-9.3%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.06+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
7.80
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Under
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Panevėžys over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
70.1%
@ 1.42+5.3%
Under
29.9%
@ 2.61-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.43
1xBet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
Under
Pinnacle
2.77
Bet365
2.75
Betfair
2.75
1xBet
2.60
Superbet
2.57
Panevėžys over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
34.0%
@ 2.96+3.1%
Under
66.0%
@ 1.33-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.98
Superbet
2.95
Under
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Betfair
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Panevėžys over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
12.2%
@ 7.40-0.2%
Under
87.8%
@ 1.05+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.40
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.20
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.90
Under
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Panevėžys over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.4%
@ 12.00-4.3%
Under
96.6%
@ 1.01+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
12.00
Under
Bet365
1.01

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Banga, so a minus line means Banga give that many goals of a start and Panevėžys receive them. At -1, Banga must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Banga win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Banga)Actual: Panevėžys
Banga -2
4.8%
@ 5.37-11.3%
Draw -2
10.0%
@ 4.72-8.3%
Panevėžys +2
85.2%
@ 1.31+19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.40
Unibet
4.70
Draw
Marathonbet
5.15
Bet365
5.00
Unibet
4.00
Away
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.31
Unibet
1.27
Handicap -1 (Banga)Actual: Panevėžys
Banga -1
14.8%
@ 3.00-14.1%
Draw -1
19.3%
@ 3.50-5.5%
Panevėžys +1
65.9%
@ 1.87+19.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Marathonbet
2.92
Unibet
2.63
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.66
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.50
Unibet
3.00
Away
10Bet
1.95
Betfair
1.91
Unibet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Marathonbet
1.82
Handicap +1 (Banga)Actual: Panevėžys
Banga +1
64.4%
@ 1.20-9.8%
Draw +1
19.8%
@ 5.70+4.3%
Panevėžys -1
15.7%
@ 8.75+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.14
Draw
Marathonbet
5.90
Bet365
5.50
Away
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
8.50
Handicap +2 (Banga)Actual: Panevėžys
Banga +2
84.3%
@ 1.07-3.4%
Draw +2
10.5%
@ 12.00+2.7%
Panevėžys -2
5.2%
@ 21.00+0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
Draw
Bet365
12.00
Away
Bet365
21.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BangaBanga

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W00D11D01L21W02L11D10W00DA·KAU08/11A·VIL21/04A·DŽI20/05A·TRA12/07A·DŽI19/07A·ŠIA03/08H·SUD09/08A·FK 16/08A·HEG23/08H·KAU30/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.470.380.540.710.41
vs Stronger (13)0.230.460.000.330.430.57
vs Similar (16)0.750.500.710.710.780.33
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PanevėžysPanevėžys

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W01L00D02L10W10W01L00D20WA·RAD29/04A·ATM20/05A·MIN23/06H·HEG04/07A·KAU11/07H·DŽI03/08A·TRA10/08A·ŠIA17/08A·SUD23/08H·FK 30/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.430.580.171.000.61
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.670.520.560.110.750.83
vs Weaker (9)1.220.220.670.331.500.17
Clean sheet %67% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
70.4%
@ 1.32+1.4%
Under 0.5
29.6%
@ 2.94-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.32
William Hil
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.20
Pinnacle
3.13
10Bet
3.10
William Hil
3.10
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.8%
@ 2.46-6.1%
Under 1.5
69.2%
@ 1.44+6.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.63
Unibet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.53
William Hil
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Under
Bet365
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Pinnacle
1.47
Superbet
1.46
1xBet
1.45
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
10.3%
@ 5.38-6.6%
Under 2.5
89.7%
@ 1.10+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
6.00
Betfair
6.00
1xBet
5.60
Bet365
5.50
Superbet
5.20
Under
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.09

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Banga over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
42.9%
@ 1.68-12.1%
Under
57.1%
@ 2.06+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.73
Pinnacle
1.70
1xBet
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Under
Superbet
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Pinnacle
2.10
Marathonbet
1.92
Banga over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.8%
@ 4.60-8.2%
Under
88.2%
@ 1.15+8.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.40
Under
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Banga over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.9%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Panevėžys over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
41.6%
@ 2.40+3.4%
Under
58.4%
@ 1.49-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.51
Superbet
2.42
Marathonbet
2.39
1xBet
2.30
Under
1xBet
1.50
Pinnacle
1.50
Superbet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Panevėžys over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
11.4%
@ 8.90+1.1%
Under
88.6%
@ 1.03-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.50
Marathonbet
8.30
Under
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
Panevėžys over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BangaBanga

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D20W00D20W00D10W01L21W01L00DA·KAU08/11A·VIL21/04A·DŽI20/05A·TRA12/07A·DŽI19/07A·ŠIA03/08H·SUD09/08A·FK 16/08A·HEG23/08H·KAU30/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.600.460.540.760.65
vs Stronger (13)0.310.850.000.830.570.86
vs Similar (16)0.810.440.860.290.780.56
vs Weaker (1)2.000.00--2.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Panevėžys) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

PanevėžysPanevėžys

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W20W11D11D01L01L10W00D02L00DA·RAD29/04A·ATM20/05A·MIN23/06H·HEG04/07A·KAU11/07H·DŽI03/08A·TRA10/08A·ŠIA17/08A·SUD23/08H·FK 30/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.630.670.420.890.78
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (21)0.670.670.670.330.670.92
vs Weaker (9)1.110.560.670.671.330.50
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Banga) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.3%
@ 1.19-2.0%
Under 0.5
24.7%
@ 4.06+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Under
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.20
William Hil
3.80
Superbet
3.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
40.2%
@ 1.92-7.7%
Under 1.5
59.8%
@ 1.77+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.87
1xBet
1.87
Under
Bet365
1.83
Marathonbet
1.81
1xBet
1.81
William Hil
1.73
Superbet
1.73
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
16.6%
@ 3.89-7.2%
Under 2.5
83.4%
@ 1.21+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.20
1xBet
3.80
Superbet
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Under
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.18

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Banga over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
51.3%
@ 1.50-10.0%
Under
48.7%
@ 2.38+10.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.53
1xBet
1.48
Under
1xBet
2.46
Superbet
2.30
Banga over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
15.7%
@ 3.21-12.8%
Under
84.3%
@ 1.28+12.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.30
Marathonbet
3.12
Under
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Banga over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.9%
@ 8.90-6.4%
Under
96.1%
@ 1.02+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.90
Under
1xBet
1.02
Panevėžys over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
48.7%
@ 1.99+2.4%
Under
51.3%
@ 1.71-2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
2.06
Marathonbet
1.96
Superbet
1.95
Under
Superbet
1.76
Marathonbet
1.70
1xBet
1.68
Panevėžys over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
15.3%
@ 6.28+0.8%
Under
84.7%
@ 1.06-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.60
Marathonbet
5.95
Under
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Panevėžys over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 7.599.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 6.598.9%1.01
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
---+6.6%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals98.4%-------✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals98.1%-------✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals97.1%-------✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals96.8%1.06
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.04
--+9.3%✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals96.6%1.01
Bet365
1.01
----+4.3%✓ Hit
Under 5.596.5%1.03
Bet365
1.05
1xBet
1.04
Betfair
1.04
BetVictor
1.01
-+6.9%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals96.1%1.02
1xBet
1.02
----+6.4%✓ Hit
Under 4.590.6%1.13
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
1xBet
1.13
Superbet
1.11
+10.3%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals89.7%1.10
Bet365
1.12
Betfair
1.11
William Hil
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Superbet
1.09
+6.6%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals88.6%1.03
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.02
----1.1%✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals88.4%1.27
Betfair
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.25
Superbet
1.25
+16.1%✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals88.2%1.15
Marathonbet
1.15
1xBet
1.14
---+8.2%✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals87.8%1.05
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
+0.2%✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap85.2%1.31
Bet365
1.36
Marathonbet
1.31
Unibet
1.27
--+19.6%✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals84.7%1.06
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.06
----0.8%✗ Miss
Home +2 handicap84.3%1.07
Bet365
1.07
-----3.4%✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals84.3%1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
1xBet
1.28
---+12.8%✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals83.4%1.21
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.21
William Hil
1.20
Superbet
1.18
-+7.2%✓ Hit
Under 3.578.2%1.37
Betfair
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.39
Marathonbet
1.39
+11.5%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals75.3%1.19
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.19
Superbet
1.18
Bet365
1.18
--2.0%✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals70.4%1.32
Betano
1.38
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Pinnacle
1.32
William Hil
1.30
+1.4%✓ Hit
Over 1.570.1%1.22
Pinnacle
1.30
10Bet
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.22
-4.5%✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals70.1%1.42
Unibet
1.47
Pinnacle
1.43
1xBet
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.41
+5.3%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (27)
€10m
FZV (29)
€7m
PAN (28)
€6m
ŠIA (28)
€6m
SM (26)
€6m
BAN (22)
€6m
HL (22)
€6m
TV (24)
€5m
DT (22)
€5m
Banga and Panevėžys have a similar squad value (both €6m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (11)
€4m
SM (10)
€2m
BAN (7)
€2m
TV (8)
€2m
FZV (9)
€2m
PAN (8)
€2m
HL (6)
€2m
ŠIA (7)
€2m
DT (5)
€1m
Banga and Panevėžys have a similar attack value (both €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FZV (8)
€3m
PAN (7)
€2m
DT (7)
€2m
KŽ (4)
€2m
ŠIA (10)
€2m
HL (7)
€2m
BAN (5)
€1m
SM (5)
€1m
TV (5)
€1m
Banga and Panevėžys have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KŽ (12)
€4m
FZV (12)
€3m
ŠIA (11)
€3m
PAN (13)
€2m
TV (11)
€2m
HL (9)
€2m
SM (11)
€2m
BAN (10)
€2m
DT (10)
€2m
Banga and Panevėžys have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
BAN wins
3
Draws
2
PAN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Banga vs Panevėžys · H/A from BAN
DateH/AGameScore
18/10/25HBAN Vs Panevėžys2-2
20/08/25APanevėžys Vs BAN1-0
23/05/25HBAN Vs Panevėžys1-1
30/03/25APanevėžys Vs BAN1-1
15/09/24HBAN Vs Panevėžys2-3
29/06/24APanevėžys Vs BAN0-1
11/05/24HBAN Vs Panevėžys2-0
16/03/24APanevėžys Vs BAN0-1

BangaBanga

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HBAN Vs Kauno Žalgiris0-0
23/08/26AHegelmann Litauen Vs BAN1-1
16/08/26AFK Zalgiris Vilnius Vs BAN2-3
09/08/26HBAN Vs Suduva Marijampole0-3
03/08/26AŠiauliai Vs BAN1-3
19/07/26ADžiugas Telšiai Vs BAN1-0
12/07/26ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs BAN1-3
20/05/26ADžiugas Telšiai Vs BAN0-0
21/04/26AVilniaus Vytis Vs BAN0-4
08/11/25AKauno Žalgiris Vs BAN0-0

PanevėžysPanevėžys

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HPAN Vs FK Zalgiris Vilnius2-0
23/08/26ASuduva Marijampole Vs PAN2-0
17/08/26AŠiauliai Vs PAN1-0
10/08/26ATransINVEST Vilnius Vs PAN0-2
03/08/26HPAN Vs Džiugas Telšiai1-1
11/07/26AKauno Žalgiris Vs PAN3-0
04/07/26HPAN Vs Hegelmann Litauen1-1
23/06/26AMinija Vs PAN2-1
20/05/26AAtmosfera Vs PAN0-3
29/04/26ARadviliškis Vs PAN0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Banga
Banga
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWDD1.22
HomeLDWLD1.00
AwayWLWWD1.41
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%26%37%
AVG goals2.182.002.33
Over 1.5 %62%61%63%
Over 2.5 %36%26%44%
Over 3.5 %22%13%30%
Scored1.100.911.26
Conceded1.081.091.07
BTTS34%26%41%
Clean Sheet32%30%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Panevėžys
Panevėžys
Lithuania: A Lyga
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLW1.56
HomeLWDDW1.71
AwayLLWLL1.45
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%52%41%
AVG goals2.942.193.48
Over 1.5 %82%67%93%
Over 2.5 %52%29%69%
Over 3.5 %28%14%38%
Scored1.801.382.10
Conceded1.140.811.38
BTTS48%33%59%
Clean Sheet34%43%28%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Suduva MarijampoleSuduva Marijampole616
83%
2.7
142+12
2.7
83%
50%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2122.30.3
-
2FK Zalgiris VilniusFK Zalgiris Vilnius612
67%
2.0
138+5
3.5
100%
67%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2332.21.3
-
3Kauno ŽalgirisKauno Žalgiris511
60%
2.2
101+9
2.2
80%
40%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
4242.00.2
-
4PanevėžysPanevėžys811
38%
1.4
98+1
2.1
88%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.11.0
-
5TransINVEST VilniusTransINVEST Vilnius811
38%
1.4
910-1
2.4
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2121.11.2
-
6BangaBanga811
38%
1.4
1012-2
2.8
75%
62%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2121.21.5
-
7Džiugas TelšiaiDžiugas Telšiai78
29%
1.1
811-3
2.7
71%
29%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
1221.11.6
-
8Hegelmann LitauenHegelmann Litauen86
12%
0.8
1016-6
3.2
100%
50%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2221.22.0
-
9ŠiauliaiŠiauliai83
12%
0.4
621-15
3.4
88%
75%
38%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
6
2230.82.6
-
10FK TrakaiFK Trakai00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.00.0
-
Lithuania: A Lyga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Lithuania: A Lyga stats & trends →

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