Banga vs Suduva Marijampole Result & Analysis

Defensive numbers set the tone: Banga’s home form shows 1.5 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per game, while Suduva Marijampole’s away record is 0.33 scored and 1.33 conceded. The model favours a home win, with a 46% chance, a 31% draw, and a 23% away win. The expected total of 2.1 goals points to a tight match, and the single most likely score is 1-1 at 14.2%. The most probable total goals is two, with a 28% probability. Suggested picks include Under 3.5, with an 83.6% chance. The model’s selection list also contains the home win, draw and away win probabilities as 46%, 31% and 23% respectively. Banga’s recent form is a draw, coming off a 0-0 against Kauno Žalgiris, while Suduva is on a five-game winning streak, having beaten Šiauliai 2-1. The final score of 0-1 confirms the model’s prediction of an away win, but the forecast favoured a home victory.

The upset came early, with the away side snatching a 0-1 victory over the home side, ending the home team’s streak of draws. The pre-match favourite was a home win, projected at 46 percent, but the model’s call was wrong. The model’s selection of Under 3.5 goals hit, with an 83.6 percent probability. The final score of 0-1 gave the away team a win, contradicting the model’s expectation of a home triumph. The most likely total of two goals and the 1-1, 1-0, and 0-0 scorelines were all ruled out, as the match finished with a single goal for the visitors.