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Bangor vs Cliftonville FC Result & Analysis

Date: 15/08/2026
Time: 14:00
Final 0-3
Bangor
Bangor
Vs
28%
27%
46%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Cliftonville FC
Cliftonville FC
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Bangor is expected to face a tough challenge at home against Cliftonville FC, with the away team's strong recent form likely to dictate the outcome. Cliftonville FC is coming off a win and has a history of performing well against stronger opponents. This storyline suggests a narrow victory for the visitors.

The model predicts a 45% chance of an away win, with Bangor's chances at 28% and a draw at 27%. The expected total number of goals is 2.9, indicating a relatively low-scoring match. The most likely correct score is 1-1 with a 12.7% probability.

Bangor's home form has been underwhelming, scoring an average of 1 goal per game while conceding 1.64. Cliftonville FC, on the other hand, has been more prolific on the road, scoring 0.83 goals per game against stronger opponents. The home team has struggled to contain opponents, conceding 1.64 goals per game.

The model's selection is the Away win, with a 45% probability. The suggested picks include Over 1.5, which has an 78.9% probability and a 3% edge.

Results analysis

The win extends Bangor's losing streak to 4 games after 3 consecutive defeats, with their most recent loss coming against Cliftonville FC in a 0-3 scoreline. Meanwhile, Cliftonville FC's recent form has been impressive, with a 2-game winning run, including a 3-0 victory over Bangor. The model's selection, an away win, was correct, with Cliftonville FC ultimately prevailing 0-3. The model's call was made with a pre-match probability of 46%. The model's selection of an away win was the favourite. The model's suggested picks largely came in, with 'Over 1.5' hitting at 79%.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bangor win✗ Miss
27.6%
Avg Implied 24.5% · @ 3.70
Edge
+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.85
1xBet
3.78
Dafabet
3.75
William Hil
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Draw✗ Miss
26.7%
Avg Implied 25.7% · @ 3.54
Edge
+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.79
Dafabet
3.70
Betano
3.60
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.54
Cliftonville FC win✓ Hit
45.6%
Avg Implied 49.8% · @ 1.83
Edge
-4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.87
Dafabet
1.87
William Hil
1.85
Betano
1.85
888Sport
1.85

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BangorBangor

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D13L11D04L10W11D00D00D03L24LA·CRU14/02H·GLE21/02A·CAR28/02H·GLE10/03A·DUN21/03A·CRU07/04H·GLE11/04A·BAL15/04H·CAR18/04H·POR25/04
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.630.931.671.131.60
vs Stronger (4)0.752.500.001.001.003.00
vs Similar (26)1.081.501.001.711.171.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Cliftonville FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-601L03L22D02L12L26L10W21W12L21WA·COL14/03A·GLE18/03H·BAL21/03A·LAR28/03H·GLE07/04A·COL11/04H·DUN18/04A·LIN25/04H·DUN09/05H·CRU07/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.571.801.471.271.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)1.421.461.581.171.251.75
vs Weaker (6)2.002.002.672.671.331.33
Clean sheet %30% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Bangor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
79.0%
@ 1.21+3.7%
Under 1.5
21.0%
@ 3.69-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
888Sport
1.22
Under
Bet365
4.00
Pinnacle
3.97
1xBet
3.85
Marathonbet
3.85
888Sport
3.80
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
54.4%
@ 1.71+0.8%
Under 2.5
45.6%
@ 1.98-0.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.76
10Bet
1.75
888Sport
1.75
Bet365
1.75
Marathonbet
1.72
Under
Pinnacle
2.06
Bet365
2.05
Marathonbet
2.00
10Bet
2.00
888Sport
2.00
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.1%
@ 2.75-1.1%
Under 3.5
67.9%
@ 1.36+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.97
10Bet
2.90
888Sport
2.90
Bet365
2.75
Marathonbet
2.74
Under
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.38
10Bet
1.38
Betano
1.38
888Sport
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.0%
@ 1.63+2.1%
No
42.0%
@ 2.06-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.65
888Sport
1.65
William Hil
1.65
Marathonbet
1.64
No
William Hil
2.15
888Sport
2.15
Bet365
2.10
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.07

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%@ 6.39+6.0%
1-2
9.4%@ 7.39+3.6%
0-1
8.2%@ 7.21+2.3%
0-2
7.6%@ 8.79+2.8%
2-1
7.0%@ 11.22+3.2%
0-0
6.9%@ 11.36+3.1%
1-0
5.9%@ 11.25+2.1%
2-2
5.7%@ 11.57+2.1%
Bangor goals ↓
Cliftonville FC goals →
01234
06.9%8.2%7.6%4.1%1.7%
15.9%13%9.4%5.1%2.1%
24.3%7.0%5.7%3.1%1.3%
31.8%2.9%2.3%1.3%0.5%
40.5%0.9%0.7%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bangor goals (down), columns = Cliftonville FC goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Larne
2.18
Coleraine FC
2.11
Glentoran
2.03
Linfield
1.77
Cliftonville FC
1.36
Carrick Rangers
1.36
Dungannon Swifts
1.27
Portadown
1.16
Bangor
1.03
Ballymena United
1.03
Crusaders FC
0.97
Limavady United
0.96
Bangor is 0.33 points worse than Cliftonville FC in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.36).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Coleraine FC
2.18
Larne
1.92
Glentoran
1.92
Carrick Rangers
1.67
Linfield
1.64
Cliftonville FC
1.44
Crusaders FC
1.30
Ballymena United
1.21
Dungannon Swifts
1.17
Portadown
1.16
Bangor
1.08
Limavady United
1.02
Bangor is 0.36 goals worse than Cliftonville FC in terms of goals scored per game (1.08 vs 1.44).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Larne
0.68
Linfield
0.87
Coleraine FC
0.97
Glentoran
1.00
Ballymena United
1.53
Cliftonville FC
1.56
Carrick Rangers
1.56
Bangor
1.71
Portadown
1.74
Dungannon Swifts
2.00
Crusaders FC
2.12
Limavady United
2.22
Bangor is 0.15 goals worse than Cliftonville FC in terms of goals conceded per game (1.71 vs 1.56).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BangorBangor

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L11D02L10W10W00D00D02L12LA·CRU14/02H·GLE21/02A·CAR28/02H·GLE10/03A·DUN21/03A·CRU07/04H·GLE11/04A·BAL15/04H·CAR18/04H·POR25/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.800.400.730.600.87
vs Stronger (4)0.251.000.000.000.331.33
vs Similar (26)0.540.770.430.790.670.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Cliftonville FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D01L20W01L02L24L00D21W11D10WA·COL14/03A·GLE18/03H·BAL21/03A·LAR28/03H·GLE07/04A·COL11/04H·DUN18/04A·LIN25/04H·DUN09/05H·CRU07/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.730.800.670.800.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.620.620.500.420.750.83
vs Weaker (6)1.501.172.001.671.000.67
Clean sheet %50% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Bangor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bangor over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cliftonville FC over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cliftonville FC over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cliftonville FC over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BangorBangor

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L12L00D02L00D01L00D00D01L12LA·CRU14/02H·GLE21/02A·CAR28/02H·GLE10/03A·DUN21/03A·CRU07/04H·GLE11/04A·BAL15/04H·CAR18/04H·POR25/04
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.830.530.930.530.73
vs Stronger (4)0.501.500.001.000.671.67
vs Similar (26)0.540.730.570.930.500.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Cliftonville FC) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L02L01L10W02L10W00D01L11DA·COL14/03A·GLE18/03H·BAL21/03A·LAR28/03H·GLE07/04A·COL11/04H·DUN18/04A·LIN25/04H·DUN09/05H·CRU07/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.831.000.800.470.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (24)0.790.831.080.750.500.92
vs Weaker (6)0.500.830.671.000.330.67
Clean sheet %43% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Bangor) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bangor over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bangor over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cliftonville FC over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cliftonville FC over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cliftonville FC over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.0%1.21
10Bet
1.25
Pinnacle
1.24
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
888Sport
1.22
+3.7%✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (23)
€4m
CF (23)
€3m
GLE (24)
€3m
DS (21)
€3m
LIN (17)
€2m
CF (23)
€2m
BU (20)
€2m
BAN (20)
€2m
CR (20)
€2m
POR (16)
€1m
CF (18)
€1m
LU (5)
€0m
Bangor and Cliftonville FC have a similar squad value (both €2m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (6)
€1m
CF (8)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
GLE (10)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
POR (6)
€1m
BU (3)
€1m
DS (6)
€0m
LIN (4)
€0m
CR (6)
€0m
BAN (4)
€0m
LU (1)
€0m
Bangor and Cliftonville FC have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (7)
€1m
DS (7)
€1m
BU (8)
€1m
CF (5)
€1m
GLE (5)
€1m
LIN (6)
€1m
CR (6)
€1m
CF (4)
€1m
BAN (5)
€1m
CF (6)
€0m
POR (3)
€0m
LU (2)
€0m
Bangor and Cliftonville FC have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LAR (10)
€2m
DS (8)
€1m
GLE (9)
€1m
LIN (7)
€1m
BAN (11)
€1m
CF (10)
€1m
BU (9)
€1m
CF (9)
€1m
POR (7)
€1m
CR (8)
€1m
CF (7)
€1m
LU (2)
€0m
Bangor and Cliftonville FC have a similar defence value (both €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
BAN wins
1
Draws
1
CF wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bangor vs Cliftonville FC · H/A from BAN
DateH/AGameScore
10/02/26ACliftonville FC Vs BAN3-1
20/12/25HBAN Vs Cliftonville FC1-1
10/08/25HBAN Vs Cliftonville FC3-1

BangorBangor

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/26HBAN Vs Portadown2-4
18/04/26HBAN Vs Carrick Rangers0-3
15/04/26ABallymena United Vs BAN0-0
11/04/26HBAN Vs Glenavon FC0-0
07/04/26ACrusaders FC Vs BAN1-1
21/03/26ADungannon Swifts Vs BAN0-1
10/03/26HBAN Vs Glentoran0-4
28/02/26ACarrick Rangers Vs BAN1-1
21/02/26HBAN Vs Glenavon FC1-3
14/02/26ACrusaders FC Vs BAN2-2

Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
07/08/26HCF Vs Crusaders FC2-1
09/05/26HCF Vs Dungannon Swifts1-2
25/04/26ALinfield Vs CF1-2
18/04/26HCF Vs Dungannon Swifts1-0
11/04/26AColeraine FC Vs CF6-2
07/04/26HCF Vs Glentoran1-2
28/03/26ALarne Vs CF2-0
21/03/26HCF Vs Ballymena United2-2
18/03/26AGlentoran Vs CF3-0
14/03/26AColeraine FC Vs CF1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bangor
Bangor
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDDLL1.22
HomeLLDLL1.19
AwayDDWDD1.25
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%35%29%
AVG goals2.863.152.54
Over 1.5 %78%85%71%
Over 2.5 %56%65%46%
Over 3.5 %38%46%29%
Scored1.301.381.21
Conceded1.561.771.33
BTTS54%58%50%
Clean Sheet24%15%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Cliftonville FC
Cliftonville FC
Northern-Ireland: Premiership
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWLW1.58
HomeDLWLW1.76
AwayLLLLW1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%52%40%
AVG goals3.063.162.96
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %60%64%56%
Over 3.5 %38%40%36%
Scored1.661.881.44
Conceded1.401.281.52
BTTS56%56%56%
Clean Sheet30%36%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Coleraine FCColeraine FC410
75%
2.5
81+7
2.2
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.00.2
-
2Carrick RangersCarrick Rangers49
75%
2.2
73+4
2.5
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.80.8
-
3Dungannon SwiftsDungannon Swifts49
75%
2.2
63+3
2.2
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0111.50.8
-
4Crusaders FCCrusaders FC49
75%
2.2
86+2
3.5
100%
100%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1012.01.5
-
5LinfieldLinfield49
75%
2.2
54+1
2.2
75%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.21.0
-
6GlentoranGlentoran46
50%
1.5
64+2
2.5
100%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.51.0
-
7Cliftonville FCCliftonville FC46
50%
1.5
54+1
2.2
75%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.21.0
-
8Ballymena UnitedBallymena United33
33%
1.0
44+0
2.7
100%
67%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1111.31.3
-
9LarneLarne11
0%
1.0
00+0
0.0
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1120.00.0
-
10Limavady UnitedLimavady United30
0%
0.0
16-5
2.3
100%
33%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.32.0
-
11PortadownPortadown40
0%
0.0
28-6
2.5
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1010.52.0
-
12BangorBangor30
0%
0.0
09-9
3.0
100%
67%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0110.03.0
-
Northern-Ireland: Premiership 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Northern-Ireland: Premiership stats & trends →

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