Baník Lehota p.Vátnikom hosts Malženice in a Slovakia 2. liga match. Recent form notes a draw for Baník Lehota p.Vátnikom coming off a 2-2 tie against Zlaté Moravce, while Malženice is coming off a 4-2 win against Slovan Bratislava II.
The model predicts a home win, with a 40% chance of Baník Lehota p.Vátnikom taking the three points. The draw percentage is 25%, and the away win percentage is 35%. The expected total goals is 3.3, with the most likely total being exactly 3 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 11%.
Baník Lehota p.Vátnikom has averaged 1.93 goals scored at home, conceding 2.07. Malženice has averaged 1.46 goals scored away, conceding 1.69 against similar opponents. The model's selection is Over 1.5 goals, with an 85.1% probability, and a 10% edge.
Results analysis
A surprise in Slovakia's 2. liga as Baníck Lehota p.Vtádnikom's recent form storyline came to an end with a draw. Their run of consecutive draws was extended to five games after being level at 1-1 against Maleníce. The model's selection, Home win, was wrong, with a pre-match probability of 40%. The model's call was incorrect as Maleníce's away form, coming off a draw, was not enough to secure a win. The model's selection Over 1.5 hit, with a probability of 85.1%, and the final score was 1-1, fitting the most likely outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom win✗ Miss
40.3%
Avg Implied 47.1% · @ 1.94
Edge
-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.02
Dafabet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
1.97
BetVictor
1.93
Draw✓ Hit
25.0%
Avg Implied 26.7% · @ 3.42
Edge
-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.60
Betfair
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
Pinnacle
3.47
Dafabet
3.45
Malženice win✗ Miss
34.7%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.48
Edge
+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
3.65
1xBet
3.59
Dafabet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.52
William Hil
3.50
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.77
1.87
1.87
1.07
1.67
vs Stronger (11)
1.36
1.91
1.80
1.20
1.00
2.50
vs Similar (19)
1.53
1.68
1.90
2.20
1.11
1.11
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Malženice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Malženice
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.33
1.47
1.13
1.47
1.53
vs Stronger (6)
1.17
1.67
1.00
1.33
1.33
2.00
vs Similar (24)
1.54
1.25
1.58
1.08
1.50
1.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
85.1%
@ 1.21+9.7%
Under 1.5
14.9%
@ 3.72-9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.25
Betfair
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.19
Under
Betfair
4.20
10Bet
3.90
Marathonbet
3.75
1xBet
3.75
Superbet
3.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
64.0%
@ 1.74+10.6%
Under 2.5
36.0%
@ 1.99-10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Bet365
1.75
Pinnacle
1.74
BetVictor
1.73
Under
Bet365
2.05
10Bet
2.05
Pinnacle
2.04
Betfair
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.9%
@ 2.76+8.6%
Under 3.5
58.1%
@ 1.38-8.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.80
Pinnacle
2.79
Betano
2.72
10Bet
2.70
Under
10Bet
1.42
Betfair
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
1xBet
1.36
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
66.1%
@ 1.62+9.6%
No
33.9%
@ 2.11-9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Superbet
1.68
William Hil
1.65
Betano
1.62
BetVictor
1.62
Betfair
1.62
No
Betfair
2.20
10Bet
2.15
BetVictor
2.15
1xBet
2.13
William Hil
2.10
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.0%@ 6.18+4.4%
2-1
8.6%@ 7.70+3.3%
1-2
7.9%@ 10.17+3.9%
2-2
6.8%@ 11.17+3.1%
2-0
5.4%@ 8.83+0.8%
1-0
5.3%@ 7.65-0.0%
3-1
4.9%@ 12.83+1.7%
0-1
4.9%@ 10.17+0.8%
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom goals ↓
Malženice goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.7%
4.9%
4.6%
2.4%
1.0%
1
5.3%
11%
7.9%
4.2%
1.7%
2
5.4%
8.6%
6.8%
3.6%
1.4%
3
3.1%
4.9%
3.9%
2.1%
0.8%
4
1.3%
2.1%
1.7%
0.9%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom goals (down), columns = Malženice goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.33
Malženice
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Galanta
1.17
Humenné
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
Slovan Bratislava II
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.50
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.50
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom is 0.50 points better than Malženice in terms of average points per game (1.67 vs 1.17).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.67
Šamorín
2.17
Pohronie
2.00
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.83
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.67
Inter Bratislava
1.50
Tatran Prešov
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Žilina II
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.67
Humenné
0.67
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.67
Galanta
0.67
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom is 0.17 goals better than Malženice in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.33
Šamorín
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.17
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.33
Humenné
1.50
Galanta
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.67
MFK Bytča
3.17
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom is 0.33 goals better than Malženice in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.77
1.13
0.87
0.53
0.67
vs Stronger (11)
0.55
0.64
0.80
0.20
0.33
1.00
vs Similar (19)
1.00
0.84
1.30
1.20
0.67
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Malženice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Malženice
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.57
0.47
0.53
0.47
0.60
vs Stronger (6)
0.33
0.83
0.33
0.33
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (24)
0.50
0.50
0.50
0.58
0.50
0.42
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.00
0.73
1.00
0.53
1.00
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
1.27
1.00
1.00
0.67
1.50
vs Similar (19)
0.53
0.84
0.60
1.00
0.44
0.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Malženice) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Malženice
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
0.77
1.00
0.60
1.00
0.93
vs Stronger (6)
0.83
0.83
0.67
1.00
1.00
0.67
vs Similar (24)
1.04
0.75
1.08
0.50
1.00
1.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Malženice over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
85.1%
1.21
Betano
1.25
Betfair
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.21
1xBet
1.19
+9.7%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
BLP (20)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
IB (18)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom and Malženice have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
BLP (6)
€0m
IB (5)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom and Malženice have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
BLP (3)
€0m
IB (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom and Malženice have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
BLP (11)
€0m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
IB (9)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom and Malženice have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Petržalka
Šamorín
Pohronie
Považská Bystrica
Žilina II
Tatran Prešov
Liptovský Mikuláš
Inter Bratislava
Galanta
Humenné
Slovan Bratislava II
Zlaté Moravce
Lokomotíva Zvolen
MFK Bytča