PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom vs Šamorín Result & Analysis

Date: 06/09/2025
Time: 14:00
Final 2-1
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Vs
35%
24%
41%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Šamorín
Šamorín
Slovakia: 2. liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom win✓ Hit
34.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Šamorín win✗ Miss
41.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Baník Lehota p.VtáčnikomBaník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-641W60W12L02L12L23L12L15L13L23LA·BAN28/08H·FOM25/09H·AS 16/10A·LIP26/07A·POV02/08H·SLO08/08A·MAL17/08H·LOK22/08A·TRE27/08A·ŽIL31/08
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
2.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.092.272.502.501.862.14
vs Stronger (5)2.801.803.501.002.332.33
vs Similar (6)1.502.671.504.001.502.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %9% (-16pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠamorínŠamorín

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L11D01L23L21W02L11D32W41W11DH·TAT02/05A·HUM09/05H·POV16/05H·ŽIL26/07H·SLÁ02/08A·STA09/08H·POH16/08A·PÚC23/08A·IME27/08H·PET30/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.671.131.471.401.87
vs Stronger (6)1.671.831.672.001.671.67
vs Similar (22)1.181.641.001.271.362.00
vs Weaker (2)1.001.501.002.001.001.00
Clean sheet %7% (-19pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%119%222%319%413%514%6+
The model estimates around 3.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
87.4%
Under 1.5
12.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
68.1%
Under 2.5
31.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
46.5%
Under 3.5
53.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
69.2%
No
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-1 ✓
7.7%
2-2
7.1%
1-3
5.2%
0-2
5.0%
0-1
4.6%
2-3
4.3%
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom goals ↓
Šamorín goals →
01234
03.9%4.6%5.0%3.1%1.4%
14.1%10%8.4%5.2%2.4%
24.2%7.7%7.1%4.3%2.0%
32.3%4.3%3.9%2.4%1.1%
41.0%1.8%1.6%1.0%0.5%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom goals (down), columns = Šamorín goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dukla Banská Bystrica
2.20
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.62
Petržalka
1.60
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.60
Malženice
1.57
Komárno
1.50
Zlaté Moravce
1.47
Pohronie
1.47
Inter Bratislava
1.40
Slovan Bratislava II
1.33
Šamorín
1.27
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.17
Považská Bystrica
1.10
Žilina II
1.10
Slávia TU Košice
1.07
Púchov
0.97
Stará Ľubovňa
0.87
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom is 0.10 points worse than Šamorín in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dukla Banská Bystrica
2.03
Zlaté Moravce
1.90
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.83
Pohronie
1.57
Komárno
1.50
Petržalka
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.47
Šamorín
1.47
Malženice
1.47
Žilina II
1.43
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.37
Považská Bystrica
1.27
Slávia TU Košice
1.27
Stará Ľubovňa
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Púchov
1.10
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom is 0.10 goals worse than Šamorín in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.47).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Komárno
0.50
Dukla Banská Bystrica
0.83
Petržalka
1.03
Pohronie
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.20
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.22
Malženice
1.27
Šamorín
1.53
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.57
Slovan Bratislava II
1.60
Považská Bystrica
1.63
Zlaté Moravce
1.63
Púchov
1.67
Stará Ľubovňa
1.73
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.73
Slávia TU Košice
1.80
Žilina II
1.97
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom is 0.20 goals worse than Šamorín in terms of goals conceded per game (1.73 vs 1.53).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Baník Lehota p.VtáčnikomBaník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W01L01L11D22D01L13L11D01LA·BAN28/08H·FOM25/09H·AS 16/10A·LIP26/07A·POV02/08H·SLO08/08A·MAL17/08H·LOK22/08A·TRE27/08A·ŽIL31/08
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.821.091.001.500.710.86
vs Stronger (5)0.600.800.500.500.671.00
vs Similar (6)1.001.331.502.500.750.75
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %18% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠamorínŠamorín

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D01L01L01L00D01L22D11D01LH·TAT02/05A·HUM09/05H·POV16/05H·ŽIL26/07H·SLÁ02/08A·STA09/08H·POH16/08A·PÚC23/08A·IME27/08H·PET30/08
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.870.270.800.600.93
vs Stronger (6)0.500.670.330.670.670.67
vs Similar (22)0.411.000.180.910.641.09
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %30% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Baník Lehota p.VtáčnikomBaník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W50W11D01L01L01L11D02L02L22DA·BAN28/08H·FOM25/09H·AS 16/10A·LIP26/07A·POV02/08H·SLO08/08A·MAL17/08H·LOK22/08A·TRE27/08A·ŽIL31/08
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.181.501.001.141.29
vs Stronger (5)2.201.003.000.501.671.33
vs Similar (6)0.501.330.001.500.751.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %18% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Šamorín) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ŠamorínŠamorín

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L11D00D22D20W02L10W10W30W10WH·TAT02/05A·HUM09/05H·POV16/05H·ŽIL26/07H·SLÁ02/08A·STA09/08H·POH16/08A·PÚC23/08A·IME27/08H·PET30/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.800.870.670.800.93
vs Stronger (6)1.171.171.331.331.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.770.640.820.360.730.91
vs Weaker (2)0.501.500.002.001.001.00
Clean sheet %50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Šamorín over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.587.4%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (24)
€3m
DBB (24)
€3m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
BLP (20)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
IB (18)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom and Šamorín have a similar squad value (both €1m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (10)
€1m
DBB (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
BLP (6)
€0m
IB (5)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom and Šamorín have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DBB (6)
€1m
KOM (5)
€1m
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
BLP (3)
€0m
IB (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom and Šamorín have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOM (9)
€1m
DBB (11)
€1m
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
BLP (11)
€0m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
IB (9)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom and Šamorín have a similar defence value (both €0m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
BLP wins
0
Draws
0
ŠAM wins

Head-to-head

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom vs Šamorín · H/A from BLP
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Baník Lehota p.VtáčnikomBaník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/25AŽilina II Vs BLP3-2
27/08/25ATrenčianske Stankovce Vs BLP3-1
22/08/25HBLP Vs Lokomotíva Zvolen1-5
17/08/25AMalženice Vs BLP2-1
08/08/25HBLP Vs Slovan Bratislava II2-3
02/08/25APovažská Bystrica Vs BLP2-1
26/07/25ALiptovský Mikuláš Vs BLP2-0
16/10/24HBLP Vs AS Trencin1-2
25/09/24HBLP Vs Fomat Martin6-0
28/08/24ABaník Prievidza Vs BLP1-4

ŠamorínŠamorín

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/25HŠAM Vs Petržalka1-1
27/08/25AImeľ Vs ŠAM1-4
23/08/25APúchov Vs ŠAM2-3
16/08/25HŠAM Vs Pohronie1-1
09/08/25AStará Ľubovňa Vs ŠAM2-0
02/08/25HŠAM Vs Slávia TU Košice2-1
26/07/25HŠAM Vs Žilina II2-3
16/05/25HŠAM Vs Považská Bystrica0-1
09/05/25AHumenné Vs ŠAM1-1
02/05/25HŠAM Vs Tatran Prešov1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 2 Wins / 0 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.82
HomeWLLL0.75
AwayLLLLL0.86
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%25%29%
AVG goals4.365.004.00
Over 1.5 %100%100%100%
Over 2.5 %91%100%86%
Over 3.5 %64%75%57%
Scored2.092.501.86
Conceded2.272.502.14
BTTS82%75%86%
Clean Sheet9%25%0%
Corners---
Cards---
Šamorín
Šamorín
Slovakia: 2. liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWD1.34
HomeLLWDD1.56
AwayWDLWW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals2.902.683.12
Over 1.5 %86%88%84%
Over 2.5 %54%52%56%
Over 3.5 %26%20%32%
Scored1.521.521.52
Conceded1.381.161.60
BTTS60%64%56%
Clean Sheet20%24%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Dukla Banská BystricaDukla Banská Bystrica3066
67%
2.2
6125+36
2.9
77%
53%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1112.00.8
-
2Lokomotíva ZvolenLokomotíva Zvolen3252
44%
1.6
4739+8
2.7
72%
50%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.51.2
-
3PetržalkaPetržalka3048
47%
1.6
4531+14
2.5
67%
50%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1011.51.0
-
4Liptovský MikulášLiptovský Mikuláš3048
43%
1.6
5547+8
3.4
90%
70%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
1001.81.6
-
5MalženiceMalženice3047
43%
1.6
4438+6
2.7
70%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.3
-
6PohroniePohronie3044
37%
1.5
4735+12
2.7
73%
57%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.61.2
-
7Zlaté MoravceZlaté Moravce3044
40%
1.5
5749+8
3.5
83%
73%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0011.91.6
-
8Inter BratislavaInter Bratislava3042
40%
1.4
3536-1
2.4
70%
47%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.21.2
-
9Slovan Bratislava IISlovan Bratislava II3040
33%
1.3
4548-3
3.1
83%
53%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.51.6
-
10ŠamorínŠamorín3038
33%
1.3
4446-2
3.0
87%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0111.51.5
-
11Baník Lehota p.VtáčnikomBaník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom3035
30%
1.2
4152-11
3.1
80%
60%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.41.7
-
12Považská BystricaPovažská Bystrica3033
27%
1.1
3849-11
2.9
83%
47%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.31.6
-
13Žilina IIŽilina II3033
30%
1.1
4359-16
3.4
77%
57%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
1
0001.42.0
-
14Slávia TU KošiceSlávia TU Košice3032
27%
1.1
3854-16
3.1
83%
60%
43%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.8
-
15PúchovPúchov3029
20%
1.0
3350-17
2.8
67%
50%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.7
-
16Stará ĽubovňaStará Ľubovňa3026
20%
0.9
3552-17
2.9
83%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.7
-
17KomárnoKomárno23
50%
1.5
31+2
2.0
50%
50%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.50.5
-
Slovakia: 2. liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →

← all matches