The model projects a high-scoring affair, with an expected total of 3.3 goals and a 22 % chance that the final tally will be exactly three. The most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.8 % probability, while the favoured result is an away win, 43 % of the time. Home side Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom, playing at home against a stronger opponent, averages two goals scored and one conceded, whereas Žilina II, on the road against a weaker side, averages 0.7 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (97.9 %), Under 6.5 (94.7 %), Home under 3.5 goals (93.0 %), Away under 3.5 goals (89.1 %), Under 5.5 (87.9 %), Over 1.5 (85.5 %), Away +2 handicap (84.4 %) and Away over 0.5 goals (83.5 %). Home win probability is 32 %, draw 25 %, and away win 43 %. The recent form notes that Baník Lehota have gone unbeaten in their last five, drawing 2-2 with Slovan Bratislava II, while Žilina II come off a win, 2-1 over Malénič.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom win
34.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
25.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Žilina II win
40.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.40
1.81
1.56
1.36
1.21
vs Stronger (9)
1.33
1.67
1.80
1.20
0.75
2.25
vs Similar (20)
1.75
1.35
1.90
1.90
1.60
0.80
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.20
1.73
1.47
1.73
0.93
1.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
1.20
1.70
1.00
1.60
1.40
1.80
vs Weaker (20)
1.20
1.75
1.70
1.80
0.70
1.70
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
83.7%
Under 1.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
61.7%
Under 2.5
38.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
39.4%
Under 3.5
60.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
64.4%
No
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.5%
1-2
8.7%
2-1
8.0%
2-2
6.6%
0-1
5.8%
0-2
5.7%
1-0
5.2%
0-0
5.2%
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom goals ↓
Žilina II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.2%
5.8%
5.7%
3.2%
1.3%
1
5.2%
12%
8.7%
4.8%
2.0%
2
4.8%
8.0%
6.6%
3.7%
1.5%
3
2.4%
4.0%
3.4%
1.9%
0.8%
4
0.9%
1.5%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom goals (down), columns = Žilina II goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Petržalka
3.00
Šamorín
2.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Žilina II
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.33
Malženice
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Galanta
1.17
Humenné
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
Slovan Bratislava II
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.50
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.50
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom and Žilina II are level in average points per game (both 1.67).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Petržalka
2.67
Šamorín
2.17
Pohronie
2.00
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.83
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.67
Inter Bratislava
1.50
Tatran Prešov
1.50
Slovan Bratislava II
1.50
Žilina II
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
0.83
MFK Bytča
0.67
Humenné
0.67
Lokomotíva Zvolen
0.67
Galanta
0.67
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom is 0.83 goals better than Žilina II in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.00).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Petržalka
0.33
Šamorín
1.00
Žilina II
1.00
Liptovský Mikuláš
1.00
Zlaté Moravce
1.17
Lokomotíva Zvolen
1.17
Inter Bratislava
1.17
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
1.33
Humenné
1.50
Galanta
1.50
Považská Bystrica
1.67
Malženice
1.67
Pohronie
1.67
Tatran Prešov
1.67
Slovan Bratislava II
1.67
MFK Bytča
3.17
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom is 0.33 goals worse than Žilina II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom or Draw
59.7%
Avg Implied -
34%
26%
40%
covers Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom or Žilina II
74.5%
Avg Implied -
34%
26%
40%
covers Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom + Žilina II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Žilina II
65.8%
Avg Implied -
34%
26%
40%
covers Draw + Žilina II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 0.5
Over
78.2%
Under
21.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 1.5
Over
44.9%
Under
55.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 2.5
Over
19.7%
Under
80.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 3.5
Over
6.8%
Under
93.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 0.5
Over
81.1%
Under
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5
Over
49.6%
Under
50.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5
Over
23.3%
Under
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 3.5
Over
8.8%
Under
91.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom, so a minus line means Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom give that many goals of a start and Žilina II receive them. At -1, Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom)
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom -2
6.5%
Draw -2
10.3%
Žilina II +2
83.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom)
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom -1
16.8%
Draw -1
17.4%
Žilina II +1
65.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom)
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom +1
59.7%
Draw +1
19.1%
Žilina II -1
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom)
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom +2
78.8%
Draw +2
12.4%
Žilina II -2
8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.60
1.06
0.69
0.86
0.50
vs Stronger (9)
0.56
0.56
0.80
0.20
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (20)
1.15
0.65
1.20
1.00
1.10
0.30
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.83
0.73
0.93
0.27
0.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.40
0.90
0.40
0.80
0.40
1.00
vs Weaker (20)
0.55
0.80
0.90
1.00
0.20
0.60
Clean sheet %
50% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.0%
Under 0.5
29.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
33.1%
Under 1.5
66.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
13.1%
Under 2.5
86.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 0.5 HT
Over
52.2%
Under
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 1.5 HT
Over
15.3%
Under
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.1%
Under
96.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
39.9%
Under
60.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
10.1%
Under
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.6%
Under
98.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
0.80
0.75
0.88
0.50
0.71
vs Stronger (9)
0.78
1.11
1.00
1.00
0.50
1.25
vs Similar (20)
0.60
0.70
0.70
0.90
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Žilina II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Žilina II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.90
0.73
0.80
0.67
1.00
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.80
0.80
0.60
0.80
1.00
0.80
vs Weaker (20)
0.65
0.95
0.80
0.80
0.50
1.10
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
80.6%
Under 0.5
19.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
47.2%
Under 1.5
52.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
19.3%
Under 2.5
80.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 0.5 2H
Over
59.2%
Under
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 1.5 2H
Over
22.1%
Under
77.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom over/under 2.5 2H
Over
5.1%
Under
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
49.9%
Under
50.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
13.3%
Under
86.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Žilina II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
98.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
89.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
83.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
81.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
78.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
78.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
78.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
74.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (19)
€2m
PET (23)
€2m
ŠAM (22)
€2m
POH (17)
€1m
LZ (16)
€1m
ZM (14)
€1m
LM (14)
€1m
BLP (20)
€1m
PB (17)
€1m
ŽI (12)
€1m
IB (18)
€1m
SBI (18)
€1m
MAL (13)
€1m
HUM (4)
€0m
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom and Žilina II have a similar squad value (both €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TP (7)
€1m
PET (10)
€1m
LM (8)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€0m
ŽI (4)
€0m
POH (4)
€0m
BLP (6)
€0m
IB (5)
€0m
PB (4)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ZM (3)
€0m
HUM (2)
€0m
SBI (4)
€0m
LZ (3)
€0m
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom and Žilina II have a similar attack value (both €0m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ŠAM (6)
€1m
LZ (3)
€0m
TP (4)
€0m
PB (6)
€0m
SBI (8)
€0m
PET (5)
€0m
POH (5)
€0m
ZM (4)
€0m
BLP (3)
€0m
IB (4)
€0m
LM (2)
€0m
MAL (3)
€0m
ŽI (1)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom and Žilina II have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
PET (8)
€1m
ZM (7)
€1m
TP (8)
€1m
POH (8)
€1m
LZ (10)
€1m
ŠAM (8)
€1m
BLP (11)
€0m
ŽI (7)
€0m
PB (7)
€0m
IB (9)
€0m
MAL (7)
€0m
SBI (6)
€0m
LM (4)
€0m
HUM (1)
€0m
Baník Lehota p.Vtáčnikom and Žilina II have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Slovakia: 2. liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovakia: 2. liga stats & trends →