Baník Ostrava II is heavily favored to win at home against Arsenal Česká Lípa, with a predicted win probability of 83%. The model rates them so highly due to their strong home form against weaker opponents, having averaged 2.25 goals scored and just 0.25 conceded in such matches. In contrast, Arsenal Česká Lípa's away form against stronger opponents has been poor, with an average of 1.5 goals scored and 2.5 conceded. The expected total number of goals is 3.9, with the most likely score being 3-0 to Baník Ostrava II, which has a probability of 10.6%. The model suggests a home win (82.9%), over 1.5 goals (90.3%), and over 2.5 goals (74.2%) as its selections. Baník Ostrava II has a 83% chance of winning, a 12% chance of drawing, and a 5% chance of losing.
Results analysis
The upset came early as Baník Ostrava II fell to a 0-1 defeat, extending their losing streak and leaving the pre-match favourite, a home win with an 83 % probability, wrong. The model’s prediction was therefore incorrect. Despite the heavy odds, every suggested pick hit: Away under 3.5 goals at 99.3 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1 %, Home +2 handicap at 98.5 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.9 %, Away under 2.5 goals at 95.9 %, Under 7.5 at 95.7 %. Only Home over 0.5 goals (95.6 %) and Home or Draw (94.7 %) missed. The final score of 0-1 confirmed the away win, a stark reversal of the model’s expectation.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Baník Ostrava II win✗ Miss
83.0%
Avg Implied 55.7% · @ 1.63
Edge
+27.3%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.69
Superbet
1.68
Unibet
1.67
Betano
1.67
888Sport
1.67
Draw✗ Miss
11.7%
Avg Implied 22.7% · @ 4.00
Edge
-11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.59
Marathonbet
4.33
1xBet
4.33
BetVictor
4.10
William Hil
4.00
Arsenal Česká Lípa win✓ Hit
5.3%
Avg Implied 21.6% · @ 4.20
Edge
-16.3%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
4.60
Dafabet
4.40
Betano
4.40
Betfair
4.40
Bet365
4.33
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Baník Ostrava II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.37
1.33
1.31
1.12
1.43
1.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
1.10
1.57
1.17
1.33
1.00
1.89
vs Weaker (9)
2.00
0.78
1.75
0.50
2.20
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Česká Lípa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.56
2.11
1.50
2.00
1.60
2.20
vs Stronger (9)
1.56
2.11
1.50
2.00
1.60
2.20
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
22% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (20%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
90.3%
@ 1.15+10.7%
Under 1.5
9.7%
@ 4.50-10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.18
BetVictor
1.14
Under
Betfair
5.20
BetVictor
4.80
Marathonbet
4.70
1xBet
4.70
Bet365
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
74.2%
@ 1.55+14.6%
Under 2.5
25.8%
@ 2.29-14.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.60
BetVictor
1.53
Under
Pinnacle
2.52
Betfair
2.40
BetVictor
2.38
Superbet
2.30
Marathonbet
2.26
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
54.0%
@ 2.46+16.5%
Under 3.5
46.0%
@ 1.48-16.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
2.60
Unibet
2.55
Pinnacle
2.55
Bet365
2.50
1xBet
2.46
Under
BetVictor
1.53
Betano
1.52
Superbet
1.52
Betfair
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.0%
@ 1.59-7.1%
No
49.0%
@ 2.21+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.62
888Sport
1.62
William Hil
1.62
Unibet
1.61
Betano
1.60
No
BetVictor
2.30
Superbet
2.25
Betfair
2.25
William Hil
2.20
888Sport
2.20
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
3-0
10.6%@ 12.61+7.0%
2-0
10.2%@ 8.55+5.0%
4-0
8.2%@ 24.43+6.4%
3-1
8.0%@ 11.20+4.0%
2-1
7.7%@ 7.28+1.5%
4-1
6.2%@ 21.35+4.1%
1-0
6.0%@ 8.29+0.7%
1-1
5.4%@ 7.46-0.6%
Baník Ostrava II goals ↓
Arsenal Česká Lípa goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
2.6%
1.1%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
1
6.0%
5.4%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
2
10%
7.7%
2.9%
0.7%
0.1%
3
11%
8.0%
3.0%
0.8%
0.1%
4
8.2%
6.2%
2.3%
0.6%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Baník Ostrava II goals (down), columns = Arsenal Česká Lípa goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Karviná
2.00
Slavia Praha II
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Táborsko
1.83
Dukla Praha
1.67
Kladno
1.33
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.33
Baník Ostrava II
1.17
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Opava
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Prostějov
0.83
Hanácká
0.67
Třinec
0.67
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Baník Ostrava II is 0.17 points worse than Arsenal Česká Lípa in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha II
2.67
Karviná
2.00
Dukla Praha
1.83
Baník Ostrava II
1.83
Ústí nad Labem
1.83
Příbram
1.83
Vlašim
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Táborsko
1.33
Opava
1.33
Prostějov
1.33
Kladno
1.33
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Třinec
1.00
Hanácká
0.50
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Baník Ostrava II is 0.33 goals better than Arsenal Česká Lípa in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.67
Ústí nad Labem
0.83
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Karviná
1.17
Kladno
1.17
Baník Ostrava II
1.33
Příbram
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Vlašim
1.50
Opava
1.67
Slavia Praha II
1.67
Třinec
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
Hanácká
2.17
Viktoria Žižkov
2.50
Baník Ostrava II is 0.67 goals better than Arsenal Česká Lípa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 2.00).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Baník Ostrava II or Draw✗ Miss
94.7%
Avg Implied 78.2% · @ 1.18
Edge
+16.5%
83%
12%
5%
covers Baník Ostrava II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
888Sport
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Baník Ostrava II or Arsenal Česká Lípa✓ Hit
88.3%
Avg Implied 77.5% · @ 1.19
Edge
+10.7%
83%
12%
5%
covers Baník Ostrava II + Arsenal Česká Lípa
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.23
888Sport
1.20
Superbet
1.20
William Hil
1.20
Draw or Arsenal Česká Lípa✓ Hit
17.0%
Avg Implied 44.3% · @ 2.08
Edge
-27.2%
83%
12%
5%
covers Draw + Arsenal Česká Lípa
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
2.20
Betano
2.18
William Hil
2.15
1xBet
2.13
Marathonbet
2.13
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
95.6%
@ 1.10+11.1%
Under
4.4%
@ 5.99-11.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
Under
1xBet
6.80
Bet365
6.50
Betano
5.40
Superbet
5.25
Baník Ostrava II over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
81.7%
@ 1.58+23.3%
Under
18.3%
@ 2.22-23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.62
Unibet
1.61
Superbet
1.58
Bet365
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Under
Pinnacle
2.33
1xBet
2.30
Bet365
2.25
Marathonbet
2.24
Betano
2.22
Baník Ostrava II over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
60.2%
@ 2.78+27.1%
Under
39.8%
@ 1.38-27.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.85
Marathonbet
2.84
1xBet
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Superbet
2.72
Under
Bet365
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.36
Marathonbet
1.35
Baník Ostrava II over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
37.8%
@ 5.30+20.1%
Under
62.2%
@ 1.14-20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
Betano
5.50
1xBet
4.40
Under
1xBet
1.17
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
52.9%
@ 1.38-13.8%
Under
47.1%
@ 2.77+13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.40
Unibet
1.38
Superbet
1.36
Under
Bet365
3.00
Pinnacle
2.84
888Sport
2.80
1xBet
2.75
Marathonbet
2.75
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
17.4%
@ 2.77-15.8%
Under
82.6%
@ 1.38+15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.87
1xBet
2.84
Marathonbet
2.84
888Sport
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.43
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.37
888Sport
1.36
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.1%
@ 6.83-9.5%
Under
95.9%
@ 1.07+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.70
888Sport
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Betano
6.50
1xBet
6.30
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Superbet
1.06
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.7%
@ 18.50-4.5%
Under
99.3%
@ 1.01+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
888Sport
23.00
Bet365
21.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Baník Ostrava II, so a minus line means Baník Ostrava II give that many goals of a start and Arsenal Česká Lípa receive them. At -1, Baník Ostrava II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Baník Ostrava II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Baník Ostrava II)Actual: Arsenal Česká Lípa
Baník Ostrava II -2
44.9%
@ 5.40+28.1%
Draw -2
20.8%
@ 4.92+2.5%
Arsenal Česká Lípa +2
34.3%
@ 1.39-30.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
Draw
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.85
Away
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.38
Handicap -1 (Baník Ostrava II)Actual: Arsenal Česká Lípa
Baník Ostrava II -1
65.7%
@ 2.61+32.6%
Draw -1
17.3%
@ 3.54-7.1%
Arsenal Česká Lípa +1
17.0%
@ 2.04-25.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
2.75
Marathonbet
2.62
Betfair
2.60
Unibet
2.48
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.42
Unibet
3.00
Away
Marathonbet
2.13
Betfair
2.10
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
1.91
Handicap +1 (Baník Ostrava II)Actual: Draw
Baník Ostrava II +1
94.7%
@ 1.17+20.6%
Draw +1
3.8%
@ 5.65-11.5%
Arsenal Česká Lípa -1
1.5%
@ 8.10-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
Draw
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
4.30
Away
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
6.20
Handicap +2 (Baník Ostrava II)Actual: Baník Ostrava II
Baník Ostrava II +2
98.5%
@ 1.04+8.3%
Draw +2
1.2%
@ 15.00-5.0%
Arsenal Česká Lípa -2
0.3%
@ 26.00-3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.04
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Away
Bet365
26.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Baník Ostrava II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.63
0.38
0.56
0.79
0.71
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.86
0.42
0.75
0.56
1.00
vs Weaker (9)
0.78
0.11
0.25
0.00
1.20
0.20
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Česká Lípa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.89
1.11
1.00
1.00
0.80
1.20
vs Stronger (9)
0.89
1.11
1.00
1.00
0.80
1.20
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
44% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.2%
@ 1.25-1.3%
Under 0.5
27.8%
@ 3.48+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.25
Betfair
1.25
Under
Marathonbet
3.84
1xBet
3.84
Betfair
3.50
BetVictor
3.50
Bet365
3.40
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
34.7%
@ 2.31-5.3%
Under 1.5
65.3%
@ 1.54+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.40
Bet365
2.38
Betano
2.37
Pinnacle
2.36
Marathonbet
2.28
Under
Betfair
1.57
Superbet
1.57
BetVictor
1.56
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
13.2%
@ 5.21-4.5%
Under 2.5
86.8%
@ 1.12+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
6.00
BetVictor
5.75
1xBet
5.25
Marathonbet
5.25
Betfair
5.00
Under
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
55.5%
@ 1.58-3.1%
Under
44.5%
@ 2.23+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.65
Pinnacle
1.61
Superbet
1.57
1xBet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.52
Under
1xBet
2.32
Marathonbet
2.27
Pinnacle
2.23
Superbet
2.22
Betano
2.12
Baník Ostrava II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
21.1%
@ 3.79-3.1%
Under
78.9%
@ 1.21+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.98
Betano
3.90
1xBet
3.50
Under
1xBet
1.24
Betano
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
Baník Ostrava II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.4%
@ 9.25-3.6%
Under
93.6%
@ 1.02+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
34.4%
@ 2.29-6.0%
Under
65.6%
@ 1.55+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.42
Betano
2.35
Superbet
2.27
Marathonbet
2.22
1xBet
2.17
Under
1xBet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.54
Superbet
1.53
Betano
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
7.6%
@ 7.63-4.5%
Under
92.4%
@ 1.05+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.70
1xBet
7.30
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Baník Ostrava II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.80
0.70
0.94
0.56
0.64
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (21)
0.62
0.71
0.75
0.58
0.44
0.89
vs Weaker (9)
1.22
0.67
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal Česká Lípa) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.80
1.00
vs Stronger (9)
0.67
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.80
1.00
vs Similar (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava II) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
80.4%
@ 1.15+0.6%
Under 0.5
19.6%
@ 4.53-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
Under
Marathonbet
4.70
1xBet
4.70
Bet365
4.50
William Hil
4.50
Betano
4.45
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
49.2%
@ 1.80-2.0%
Under 1.5
50.8%
@ 1.89+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.82
William Hil
1.80
Superbet
1.78
Under
Betano
1.95
Superbet
1.92
William Hil
1.91
1xBet
1.86
Marathonbet
1.86
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.6%
@ 3.49-4.7%
Under 2.5
78.4%
@ 1.25+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
1xBet
3.58
Superbet
3.25
Under
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
65.6%
@ 1.38-0.9%
Under
34.4%
@ 2.75+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Superbet
1.39
1xBet
1.36
Under
1xBet
2.90
Betano
2.72
Superbet
2.62
Baník Ostrava II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
23.8%
@ 2.81-9.0%
Under
76.2%
@ 1.37+9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.97
Betano
2.80
1xBet
2.65
Under
1xBet
1.42
Betano
1.39
Marathonbet
1.31
Baník Ostrava II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
10.0%
@ 6.35-4.4%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.07+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.60
Betano
6.10
Under
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
42.7%
@ 1.92-5.3%
Under
57.3%
@ 1.77+5.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.96
Betano
1.93
Superbet
1.92
1xBet
1.86
Under
1xBet
1.84
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.70
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
11.9%
@ 5.67-4.4%
Under
88.1%
@ 1.10+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.40
1xBet
5.40
Betano
5.20
Under
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.06
Arsenal Česká Lípa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.1%
@ 10.25-6.9%
Under
97.9%
@ 1.02+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.25
Under
Betano
1.02
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 3.5 goals
99.3%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
888Sport
1.01
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
98.5%
1.04
Bet365
1.04
-
-
-
-
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.9%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
95.9%
1.07
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.08
888Sport
1.08
Superbet
1.06
+9.5%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
95.6%
1.10
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.07
-
+11.1%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
94.7%
1.18
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.22
888Sport
1.22
BetVictor
1.20
Bet365
1.18
+16.5%
✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 HT goals
93.6%
1.02
Betano
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.4%
1.05
Betano
1.07
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.02
-
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
90.3%
1.15
888Sport
1.20
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
Unibet
1.18
BetVictor
1.14
+10.7%
✗ Miss
Under 6.5
90.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
-
-
-3.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
90.0%
1.07
Betano
1.09
1xBet
1.06
-
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Home or Away
88.3%
1.19
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.23
888Sport
1.20
Superbet
1.20
William Hil
1.20
+10.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.1%
1.10
Betano
1.13
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.06
-
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
86.8%
1.12
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.14
Superbet
1.12
William Hil
1.12
Bet365
1.12
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
82.6%
1.38
Pinnacle
1.43
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.37
888Sport
1.36
+15.8%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
80.6%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
BetVictor
1.05
Superbet
1.05
888Sport
1.05
-8.1%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
80.4%
1.15
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.17
Superbet
1.13
Marathonbet
1.12
+0.6%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
78.9%
1.21
1xBet
1.24
Betano
1.22
Marathonbet
1.18
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.4%
1.25
Betano
1.30
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.21
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
76.2%
1.37
1xBet
1.42
Betano
1.39
Marathonbet
1.31
-
-
+9.0%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5
74.2%
1.55
888Sport
1.62
Unibet
1.62
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.60
BetVictor
1.53
+14.6%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
72.2%
1.25
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
BetVictor
1.25
Betfair
1.25
-1.3%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
KAR (24)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Baník Ostrava II's squad is €2m more valuable than Arsenal Česká Lípa's (€3m vs €1m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (11)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
VLA (8)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Baník Ostrava II and Arsenal Česká Lípa have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (5)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Baník Ostrava II and Arsenal Česká Lípa have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Baník Ostrava II's defence is €1m more valuable than Arsenal Česká Lípa's (€2m vs €0m).
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
BOI wins
0
Draws
0
AČL wins
Head-to-head
Baník Ostrava II vs Arsenal Česká Lípa · H/A from BOI
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →