The encounter between Baník Ostrava II and Slavia Praha II is a tight one, with the model favouring a home win. Home odds sit at 38%, a draw at 27%, and an away victory at 34%. The expected total is 2.8 goals, but the most likely total is two goals, a 25% chance. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13% probability, a tidy reflection of the evenly matched sides.
Baník, playing at home, averages 1.09 goals scored and 1.27 conceded against similar opposition. Slavia, on the road, scores 1.43 and concedes 2.14 against comparable teams, suggesting a slightly higher defensive risk for the visitors.
The model’s selections are: Under 7.5 (99.1%), Under 6.5 (97.4%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.9%), Home under 3.5 goals (94.0%), Under 5.5 (93.2%), Under 4.5 (84.3%), Away under 2.5 goals (83.9%), and Home +2 handicap (83.8%). These picks underline the expectation of a low-scoring affair and a modest advantage for the home side.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Baník Ostrava II win
38.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II win
34.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Baník Ostrava II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.27
1.19
1.06
1.71
1.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
1.11
1.53
1.09
1.27
1.12
1.88
vs Weaker (11)
2.00
0.82
1.40
0.60
2.50
1.00
Clean sheet %
30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Praha II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slavia Praha II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.53
1.63
1.94
1.44
1.07
1.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.58
1.75
1.80
1.20
1.43
2.14
vs Weaker (18)
1.50
1.56
2.00
1.55
0.71
1.57
Clean sheet %
10% (-17pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
78.6%
Under 1.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
53.8%
Under 2.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
31.5%
Under 3.5
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
58.5%
No
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
2-1
8.6%
1-2
8.1%
1-0
7.4%
0-0
7.1%
0-1
6.9%
2-0
6.2%
2-2
5.9%
Baník Ostrava II goals ↓
Slavia Praha II goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.1%
6.9%
5.6%
2.6%
0.9%
1
7.4%
13%
8.1%
3.7%
1.3%
2
6.2%
8.6%
5.9%
2.7%
0.9%
3
3.0%
4.2%
2.9%
1.3%
0.5%
4
1.1%
1.5%
1.0%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Baník Ostrava II goals (down), columns = Slavia Praha II goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Karviná
2.00
Slavia Praha II
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Táborsko
1.83
Dukla Praha
1.67
Kladno
1.33
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.33
Baník Ostrava II
1.17
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Opava
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Prostějov
0.83
Hanácká
0.67
Třinec
0.67
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Baník Ostrava II is 0.83 points worse than Slavia Praha II in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 2.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha II
2.67
Karviná
2.00
Dukla Praha
1.83
Baník Ostrava II
1.83
Ústí nad Labem
1.83
Příbram
1.83
Vlašim
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Táborsko
1.33
Opava
1.33
Prostějov
1.33
Kladno
1.33
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Třinec
1.00
Hanácká
0.50
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Baník Ostrava II is 0.83 goals worse than Slavia Praha II in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 2.67).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.67
Ústí nad Labem
0.83
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Karviná
1.17
Kladno
1.17
Baník Ostrava II
1.33
Příbram
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Vlašim
1.50
Opava
1.67
Slavia Praha II
1.67
Třinec
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
Hanácká
2.17
Viktoria Žižkov
2.50
Baník Ostrava II is 0.33 goals better than Slavia Praha II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 1.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Baník Ostrava II or Draw
65.6%
Avg Implied -
38%
27%
34%
covers Baník Ostrava II + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II or Slavia Praha II
72.6%
Avg Implied -
38%
27%
34%
covers Baník Ostrava II + Slavia Praha II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Slavia Praha II
61.9%
Avg Implied -
38%
27%
34%
covers Draw + Slavia Praha II
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 0.5
Over
76.7%
Under
23.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 1.5
Over
42.8%
Under
57.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 2.5
Over
18.0%
Under
82.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 3.5
Over
6.0%
Under
94.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 0.5
Over
74.7%
Under
25.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 1.5
Over
40.0%
Under
60.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 2.5
Over
16.1%
Under
83.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 3.5
Over
5.1%
Under
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Baník Ostrava II, so a minus line means Baník Ostrava II give that many goals of a start and Slavia Praha II receive them. At -1, Baník Ostrava II must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Baník Ostrava II win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Baník Ostrava II)
Baník Ostrava II -2
7.1%
Draw -2
11.6%
Slavia Praha II +2
81.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Baník Ostrava II)
Baník Ostrava II -1
18.7%
Draw -1
19.4%
Slavia Praha II +1
61.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Baník Ostrava II)
Baník Ostrava II +1
65.6%
Draw +1
18.2%
Slavia Praha II -1
16.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Baník Ostrava II)
Baník Ostrava II +2
83.8%
Draw +2
10.4%
Slavia Praha II -2
5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Baník Ostrava II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.57
0.25
0.50
1.00
0.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.42
0.79
0.27
0.64
0.62
1.00
vs Weaker (11)
0.91
0.18
0.20
0.20
1.50
0.17
Clean sheet %
53% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Praha II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slavia Praha II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.83
0.81
0.75
0.36
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
0.50
0.83
0.60
0.20
0.43
1.29
vs Weaker (18)
0.67
0.83
0.91
1.00
0.29
0.57
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Baník Ostrava II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
0.94
0.56
0.71
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (19)
0.68
0.74
0.82
0.64
0.50
0.88
vs Weaker (11)
1.09
0.64
1.20
0.40
1.00
0.83
Clean sheet %
47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Slavia Praha II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Slavia Praha II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.80
1.12
0.69
0.71
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (12)
1.08
0.92
1.20
1.00
1.00
0.86
vs Weaker (18)
0.83
0.72
1.09
0.55
0.43
1.00
Clean sheet %
40% (+13pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Slavia Praha II over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
94.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
93.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
84.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
83.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
83.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
82.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
81.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
74.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
72.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
KAR (24)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Baník Ostrava II's squad is €8m less valuable than Slavia Praha II's (€3m vs €11m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (11)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
VLA (8)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Baník Ostrava II's attack is €2m less valuable than Slavia Praha II's (€1m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (5)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Baník Ostrava II's midfield is €1m less valuable than Slavia Praha II's (€1m vs €2m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Baník Ostrava II's defence is €5m less valuable than Slavia Praha II's (€2m vs €6m).
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →
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Ústí nad Labem
Karviná
Příbram
Táborsko
Dukla Praha
Kladno
Arsenal Česká Lípa
Vysočina Jihlava
Vlašim
Opava
Prostějov
Třinec
Hanácká
Viktoria Žižkov