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Baník Ostrava II vs Sparta Praha II Result & Analysis

Date: 25/05/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Baník Ostrava II
Baník Ostrava II
Vs
40%
27%
33%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Sparta Praha II
Sparta Praha II
Czech-Republic: FNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baník Ostrava II win✓ Hit
40.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II win✗ Miss
33.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L30W00D34L11D31W12L03L00D01LA·PRO28/03H·SIG07/04A·ART12/04H·VIK16/04A·ZLI20/04H·VLA28/04A·VYS02/05H·SLA07/05H·OPA12/05A·ZBR17/05
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.591.291.571.071.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)1.161.561.171.331.151.77
vs Weaker (4)1.251.752.003.000.500.50
Clean sheet %28% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D22D02L00D00D10W21W30W10W10WH·ZBR30/03H·CHR06/04A·TÁB12/04H·ART16/04A·VYŠ19/04H·ZLI27/04A·PRO03/05H·SIG07/05A·VIK11/05H·VLA17/05
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.471.670.931.072.00
vs Stronger (2)1.001.501.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (28)1.391.461.710.931.072.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
80.2%
Under 1.5
19.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.2%
Under 2.5
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.8%
Under 3.5
66.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.2%
No
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
1-0 ✓
7.1%
0-0
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
Baník Ostrava II goals ↓
Sparta Praha II goals →
01234
06.5%6.2%5.1%2.4%0.8%
17.1%13%7.9%3.6%1.3%
26.4%8.8%6.1%2.8%1.0%
33.3%4.6%3.2%1.5%0.5%
41.3%1.8%1.2%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Baník Ostrava II goals (down), columns = Sparta Praha II goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zlin
2.37
Chrudim
1.77
Vyškov
1.53
Táborsko
1.37
Vlašim
1.33
Sparta Praha II
1.33
Zbrojovka Brno
1.30
Artis
1.30
Viktoria Žižkov
1.30
Vysočina Jihlava
1.23
Slavia Praha II
1.23
Prostějov
1.23
Opava
1.20
Baník Ostrava II
1.13
Varnsdorf
1.07
Sigma Olomouc II
0.80
Baník Ostrava II is 0.20 points worse than Sparta Praha II in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Viktoria Žižkov
1.70
Chrudim
1.57
Zlin
1.50
Vlašim
1.43
Slavia Praha II
1.37
Sparta Praha II
1.37
Zbrojovka Brno
1.30
Varnsdorf
1.30
Baník Ostrava II
1.17
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Táborsko
1.13
Vyškov
1.10
Sigma Olomouc II
1.03
Artis
1.03
Prostějov
1.03
Opava
0.97
Baník Ostrava II is 0.20 goals worse than Sparta Praha II in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.37).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zlin
0.47
Vyškov
0.80
Chrudim
1.00
Táborsko
1.00
Artis
1.17
Slavia Praha II
1.23
Opava
1.30
Vysočina Jihlava
1.30
Vlašim
1.30
Sparta Praha II
1.30
Zbrojovka Brno
1.37
Prostějov
1.40
Baník Ostrava II
1.53
Varnsdorf
1.57
Viktoria Žižkov
1.63
Sigma Olomouc II
1.80
Baník Ostrava II is 0.23 goals worse than Sparta Praha II in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.30).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D00D00D13L01L10W10W01L00D00DA·PRO28/03H·SIG07/04A·ART12/04H·VIK16/04A·ZLI20/04H·VLA28/04A·VYS02/05H·SLA07/05H·OPA12/05A·ZBR17/05
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.480.660.430.710.530.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.440.600.330.500.540.69
vs Weaker (4)0.751.001.002.000.500.00
Clean sheet %59% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D21W00D00D00D00D21W00D10W10WH·ZBR30/03H·CHR06/04A·TÁB12/04H·ART16/04A·VYŠ19/04H·ZLI27/04A·PRO03/05H·SIG07/05A·VIK11/05H·VLA17/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.800.870.530.601.07
vs Stronger (2)1.001.001.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.710.790.860.500.571.07
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W00D21W10W21W02L02L00D01LA·PRO28/03H·SIG07/04A·ART12/04H·VIK16/04A·ZLI20/04H·VLA28/04A·VYS02/05H·SLA07/05H·OPA12/05A·ZBR17/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.690.930.860.860.531.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (25)0.720.960.830.830.621.08
vs Weaker (4)0.500.751.001.000.000.50
Clean sheet %45% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Sparta Praha II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D01L02L00D00D10W00D30W00D00DH·ZBR30/03H·CHR06/04A·TÁB12/04H·ART16/04A·VYŠ19/04H·ZLI27/04A·PRO03/05H·SIG07/05A·VIK11/05H·VLA17/05
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.670.800.400.470.93
vs Stronger (2)0.000.500.000.000.001.00
vs Similar (28)0.680.680.860.430.500.93
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sparta Praha II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
ZLI (27)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZB (10)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZLI (6)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
SPI (5)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
ZLI (13)
€2m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
BOI wins
1
Draws
0
SPI wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Baník Ostrava II vs Sparta Praha II · H/A from BOI
DateH/AGameScore
21/07/24ASparta Praha II Vs BOI2-2

Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/25AZbrojovka Brno Vs BOI1-0
12/05/25HBOI Vs Opava0-0
07/05/25HBOI Vs Slavia Praha II0-3
02/05/25AVysočina Jihlava Vs BOI2-1
28/04/25HBOI Vs Vlašim3-1
20/04/25AZlin Vs BOI1-1
16/04/25HBOI Vs Viktoria Žižkov3-4
12/04/25AArtis Vs BOI0-0
07/04/25HBOI Vs Sigma Olomouc II3-0
28/03/25AProstějov Vs BOI1-0

Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/05/25HSPI Vs Vlašim1-0
11/05/25AViktoria Žižkov Vs SPI0-1
07/05/25HSPI Vs Sigma Olomouc II3-0
03/05/25AProstějov Vs SPI1-2
27/04/25HSPI Vs Zlin1-0
19/04/25AVyškov Vs SPI0-0
16/04/25HSPI Vs Artis0-0
12/04/25ATáborsko Vs SPI2-0
06/04/25HSPI Vs Chrudim2-2
30/03/25HSPI Vs Zbrojovka Brno1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Baník Ostrava II
Baník Ostrava II
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDL1.07
HomeWLWLD1.00
AwayLDDLL1.13
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%29%27%
AVG goals2.762.862.67
Over 1.5 %69%79%60%
Over 2.5 %59%64%53%
Over 3.5 %34%29%40%
Scored1.171.291.07
Conceded1.591.571.60
BTTS52%50%53%
Clean Sheet28%29%27%
Corners---
Cards---
Sparta Praha II
Sparta Praha II
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 4 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.42
HomeDDWWW1.73
AwayLLDWW1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%46%29%
AVG goals3.223.083.38
Over 1.5 %82%85%79%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %42%35%50%
Scored1.641.921.33
Conceded1.581.152.04
BTTS64%65%62%
Clean Sheet28%31%25%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZlinZlin3071
70%
2.4
4514+31
2.0
67%
33%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.50.5
-
2ChrudimChrudim3053
50%
1.8
4730+17
2.6
77%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
3VyškovVyškov3046
40%
1.5
3324+9
1.9
60%
33%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.8
-
4TáborskoTáborsko3041
37%
1.4
3430+4
2.1
60%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.0
-
5VlašimVlašim3040
30%
1.3
4339+4
2.7
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.41.3
-
6Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II3040
33%
1.3
4139+2
2.7
70%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
7Viktoria ŽižkovViktoria Žižkov3039
37%
1.3
5149+2
3.3
80%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.6
-
8Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno3039
30%
1.3
3941-2
2.7
77%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3251.31.4
-
9ArtisArtis3039
30%
1.3
3135-4
2.2
70%
33%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2251.01.2
-
10Slavia Praha IISlavia Praha II3037
30%
1.2
4137+4
2.6
73%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
3261.41.2
-
11Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava3037
27%
1.2
3539-4
2.5
87%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.3
-
12ProstějovProstějov3037
30%
1.2
3142-11
2.4
73%
47%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.4
-
13OpavaOpava3036
30%
1.2
2939-10
2.3
63%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.3
-
14Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II3034
30%
1.1
3546-11
2.7
67%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.21.5
-
15VarnsdorfVarnsdorf3032
27%
1.1
3947-8
2.9
87%
57%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
16Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II3024
20%
0.8
3154-23
2.8
77%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
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Czech-Republic: FNL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →

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