This highly anticipated match between Baník Ostrava II and Táborško is finely balanced, with both teams showing inconsistent recent form. Baník Ostrava II is coming off a defeat, while Táborško is still reeling from a draw. The model predicts a home win, with a 39% chance of success for Baník Ostrava II, 29% for a draw, and 32% for Táborško to win. The expected total goals is 2.5, with a most likely total of 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 14%. Baník Ostrava II has been scoring an average of 1.46 goals at home, conceding 1.08, while Táborško has scored 1.3 goals away, conceding 1.7 against similar opponents. The model's selection is the home win, with a suggested pick of Under 3.5, at 75.1%, and Over 1.5, at 73.2%. Home win percentage is 39%, draw percentage is 29%, and away win percentage is 32%.
Results analysis
In a stunning upset, Táborško secured an away win with a final score of 1-2, extending their run of inconsistent form. The model's selection, a home win by Baník Ostrava II, was incorrect, as the pre-match favourite held a 39% probability of winning. The model's call was wrong, as the actual result defied expectations. Meanwhile, the model's suggested picks performed well, with 'Under 3.5' hitting at 75.1% probability and 'Over 1.5' also hitting at 73.2% probability.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Baník Ostrava II win✗ Miss
39.2%
Avg Implied 35.3% · @ 2.56
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.68
Dafabet
2.65
BetVictor
2.63
Betano
2.62
William Hil
2.62
Draw✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied 28.8% · @ 3.14
Edge
+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
3.30
Betfair
3.30
Betano
3.25
Dafabet
3.25
10Bet
3.25
Táborsko win✓ Hit
31.5%
Avg Implied 35.8% · @ 2.53
Edge
-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
2.60
Pinnacle
2.60
Dafabet
2.60
Betano
2.57
Superbet
2.55
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Baník Ostrava II
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.47
1.30
1.56
1.00
1.36
1.64
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.36
1.50
1.50
1.17
1.20
1.90
vs Weaker (8)
1.75
0.75
1.75
0.50
1.75
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Táborsko) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Táborsko
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.50
1.40
1.47
1.40
1.53
1.40
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
4.00
0.00
5.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
1.69
1.23
1.62
1.08
1.77
1.38
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
1.00
1.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+7pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.2%
@ 1.28+1.4%
Under 1.5
26.8%
@ 3.25-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.29
Under
Bet365
3.40
888Sport
3.40
Betfair
3.30
Unibet
3.25
BetVictor
3.25
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
46.4%
@ 1.92-1.8%
Under 2.5
53.6%
@ 1.80+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
SBO
2.00
Pinnacle
1.98
10Bet
1.95
Superbet
1.92
Under
888Sport
1.83
Betano
1.83
Pinnacle
1.83
Unibet
1.81
Betfair
1.80
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.9%
@ 3.27-3.2%
Under 3.5
75.1%
@ 1.28+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Betfair
3.30
1xBet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.32
888Sport
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.6%
@ 1.71-1.3%
No
47.4%
@ 2.00+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.73
10Bet
1.73
William Hil
1.73
Superbet
1.72
No
888Sport
2.10
Betano
2.05
Unibet
2.02
1xBet
2.02
BetVictor
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%@ 5.70+6.3%
1-0
9.4%@ 7.78+3.8%
0-0
9.2%@ 8.90+4.3%
2-1
8.5%@ 8.87+3.6%
0-1
8.1%@ 7.69+2.5%
1-2 ✓
7.5%@ 8.82+2.6%
2-0
7.2%@ 11.95+3.6%
0-2
5.6%@ 11.72+1.8%
Baník Ostrava II goals ↓
Táborsko goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.2%
8.1%
5.6%
2.2%
0.7%
1
9.4%
14%
7.5%
3.0%
0.9%
2
7.2%
8.5%
5.1%
2.0%
0.6%
3
3.2%
3.8%
2.3%
0.9%
0.3%
4
1.1%
1.3%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Baník Ostrava II goals (down), columns = Táborsko goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Ústí nad Labem
2.33
Karviná
2.00
Slavia Praha II
2.00
Příbram
2.00
Táborsko
1.83
Dukla Praha
1.67
Kladno
1.33
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.33
Baník Ostrava II
1.17
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Opava
1.00
Vlašim
1.00
Prostějov
0.83
Hanácká
0.67
Třinec
0.67
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Baník Ostrava II is 0.67 points worse than Táborsko in terms of average points per game (1.17 vs 1.83).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Slavia Praha II
2.67
Karviná
2.00
Dukla Praha
1.83
Baník Ostrava II
1.83
Ústí nad Labem
1.83
Příbram
1.83
Vlašim
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
1.50
Táborsko
1.33
Opava
1.33
Prostějov
1.33
Kladno
1.33
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Třinec
1.00
Hanácká
0.50
Viktoria Žižkov
0.50
Baník Ostrava II is 0.50 goals better than Táborsko in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.33).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Táborsko
0.67
Ústí nad Labem
0.83
Vysočina Jihlava
1.00
Karviná
1.17
Kladno
1.17
Baník Ostrava II
1.33
Příbram
1.33
Dukla Praha
1.50
Prostějov
1.50
Vlašim
1.50
Opava
1.67
Slavia Praha II
1.67
Třinec
1.67
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.00
Hanácká
2.17
Viktoria Žižkov
2.50
Baník Ostrava II is 0.67 goals worse than Táborsko in terms of goals conceded per game (1.33 vs 0.67).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Baník Ostrava II
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.63
0.50
0.50
0.71
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.64
0.82
0.58
0.67
0.70
1.00
vs Weaker (8)
0.50
0.12
0.25
0.00
0.75
0.25
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Táborsko) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Táborsko
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.63
0.73
0.67
1.07
0.60
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (26)
1.00
0.62
0.77
0.54
1.23
0.69
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Táborsko over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Táborsko over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Táborsko over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Baník Ostrava II
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.67
1.06
0.50
0.64
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.73
0.68
0.92
0.50
0.50
0.90
vs Weaker (8)
1.25
0.62
1.50
0.50
1.00
0.75
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Táborsko) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Táborsko
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.77
0.73
0.73
0.47
0.80
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.62
0.85
0.54
0.54
0.69
vs Weaker (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Táborsko over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Táborsko over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Táborsko over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 3.5
75.1%
1.28
Betano
1.32
888Sport
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Betfair
1.29
10Bet
1.28
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
73.2%
1.28
BetVictor
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Betano
1.30
Bet365
1.30
Betfair
1.29
+1.4%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
KAR (24)
€7m
DP (29)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
ÚNL (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
HAN (24)
€2m
PŘÍ (21)
€2m
KLA (11)
€2m
AČL (9)
€1m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Baník Ostrava II and Táborsko have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KAR (11)
€4m
DP (13)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
VLA (8)
€2m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
AČL (3)
€0m
KLA (4)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Baník Ostrava II and Táborsko have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (5)
€2m
DP (6)
€1m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
KAR (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
ÚNL (6)
€1m
HAN (7)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
KLA (2)
€1m
AČL (2)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
Baník Ostrava II and Táborsko have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
KAR (9)
€2m
DP (10)
€2m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
HAN (10)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
PŘÍ (7)
€1m
KLA (5)
€1m
ÚNL (8)
€1m
AČL (4)
€0m
TŘI (3)
€0m
Baník Ostrava II and Táborsko have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →