PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Baník Ostrava II vs Vlašim Result & Analysis

Date: 26/07/2026
Time: 12:30
Final 2-2
Baník Ostrava II
Baník Ostrava II
Vs
39%
31%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Vlašim
Vlašim
Czech-Republic: FNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Odd / Even7 Home & Away Over/Under8 Handicap9 Top picks for this game10 Squad value11 Games History12 Overall Statistics13 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Pythia gives Baník Ostrava II a 39% win probability against Vlašim in the Czech-Republic: FNL on 2026-07-26, with 31% for the draw and 31% for Vlašim. The model estimates around 2.3 total goals, with 2 the most likely total (28%) and 1-1 the most likely scoreline (14.4%). High-confidence angles (70%+): Under 3.5 (79%).

Results analysis

Baník Ostrava II finished 2-2 against Vlašim (Draw). Pythia had modelled a 39% home win, 31% draw and 31% away win. Missed: Under 3.5 (79%).

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baník Ostrava II win✗ Miss
38.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
30.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Vlašim win✗ Miss
30.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L31W20W22D21W30W11D12L10W10WH·PŘÍ04/04A·PRO10/04H·OPA15/04A·VIK19/04H·VYS26/04A·SLA03/05H·ZBR06/05H·ÚST10/05A·VLA16/05H·SPA23/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.271.530.931.471.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (20)1.251.401.401.101.101.70
vs Weaker (10)2.001.001.800.602.201.40
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Vlašim) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VlašimVlašim

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W31W00D20W11D11D31W01L01L23LH·OPA03/04A·ART11/04H·PŘÍ15/04A·CHR18/04H·PRO24/04A·VYS01/05H·VIK06/05A·ZBR10/05H·BAN16/05A·SLA23/05
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.131.730.931.001.33
vs Stronger (4)0.501.500.001.001.002.00
vs Similar (22)1.451.231.821.001.091.45
vs Weaker (4)1.750.253.000.500.500.00
Clean sheet %30% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.2%
Under 1.5
30.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.6%
Under 2.5
58.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
21.0%
Under 3.5
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.8%
No
51.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.4%
0-0
10.9%
1-0
10.7%
0-1
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
2-0
7.5%
1-2
7.2%
0-2
5.7%
Baník Ostrava II goals ↓
Vlašim goals →
01234
011%9.2%5.7%2.1%0.6%
111%14%7.2%2.6%0.7%
27.5%8.2%4.5%1.6%0.4%
33.1%3.4%1.9%0.7%0.2%
41.0%1.1%0.6%0.2%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Baník Ostrava II goals (down), columns = Vlašim goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Karviná
2.01
Dukla Praha
1.82
Táborsko
1.77
Ústí nad Labem
1.60
Baník Ostrava II
1.57
Příbram
1.53
Opava
1.47
Viktoria Žižkov
1.37
Slavia Praha II
1.27
Vlašim
1.27
Hanácká
1.13
Prostějov
1.00
Vysočina Jihlava
0.97
Třinec
0.74
Arsenal Česká Lípa
0.68
Kladno
0.68
Baník Ostrava II is 0.30 points better than Vlašim in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Karviná
1.93
Ústí nad Labem
1.77
Dukla Praha
1.74
Táborsko
1.63
Baník Ostrava II
1.50
Slavia Praha II
1.40
Opava
1.40
Vlašim
1.37
Viktoria Žižkov
1.27
Hanácká
1.07
Prostějov
1.07
Vysočina Jihlava
1.07
Příbram
0.97
Třinec
0.71
Arsenal Česká Lípa
0.65
Kladno
0.65
Baník Ostrava II is 0.13 goals better than Vlašim in terms of goals scored per game (1.50 vs 1.37).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Karviná
0.93
Příbram
1.00
Dukla Praha
1.03
Opava
1.03
Táborsko
1.10
Vlašim
1.13
Baník Ostrava II
1.27
Vysočina Jihlava
1.30
Hanácká
1.43
Prostějov
1.47
Ústí nad Labem
1.53
Slavia Praha II
1.57
Viktoria Žižkov
1.73
Třinec
2.53
Arsenal Česká Lípa
2.74
Kladno
2.74
Baník Ostrava II is 0.13 goals worse than Vlašim in terms of goals conceded per game (1.27 vs 1.13).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔢 6. Odd / Even

🥅 7. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 8. Handicap

🔥 9. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.579.0%-------✗ Miss

💰 10. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (57)
€40m
KAR (38)
€22m
DP (44)
€13m
BOI (53)
€13m
VLA (44)
€5m
VJ (33)
€4m
PRO (40)
€4m
TÁB (34)
€4m
PŘÍ (41)
€3m
OPA (34)
€3m
HAN (40)
€3m
VŽ (35)
€3m
ÚNL (33)
€2m
TŘI (25)
€0m
AČL (30)
€0m
KLA (32)
€0m
Baník Ostrava II's squad is €7m more valuable than Vlašim's (€13m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AČL (0)
€0m
BOI (0)
€0m
DP (0)
€0m
HAN (0)
€0m
KAR (0)
€0m
KLA (0)
€0m
OPA (0)
€0m
PŘÍ (0)
€0m
PRO (0)
€0m
SPI (0)
€0m
TÁB (0)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
ÚNL (0)
€0m
VŽ (0)
€0m
VLA (0)
€0m
VJ (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AČL (0)
€0m
BOI (0)
€0m
DP (0)
€0m
HAN (0)
€0m
KAR (0)
€0m
KLA (0)
€0m
OPA (0)
€0m
PŘÍ (0)
€0m
PRO (0)
€0m
SPI (0)
€0m
TÁB (0)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
ÚNL (0)
€0m
VŽ (0)
€0m
VLA (0)
€0m
VJ (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
AČL (0)
€0m
BOI (0)
€0m
DP (0)
€0m
HAN (0)
€0m
KAR (0)
€0m
KLA (0)
€0m
OPA (0)
€0m
PŘÍ (0)
€0m
PRO (0)
€0m
SPI (0)
€0m
TÁB (0)
€0m
TŘI (0)
€0m
ÚNL (0)
€0m
VŽ (0)
€0m
VLA (0)
€0m
VJ (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 11. Games History

Head-to-head

Baník Ostrava II vs Vlašim · H/A from BOI
DateH/AGameScore
16/05/26AVlašim Vs BOI0-1
02/11/25HBOI Vs Vlašim1-0
28/04/25HBOI Vs Vlašim3-1
27/09/24AVlašim Vs BOI3-2

Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26HBOI Vs Sparta Praha II1-0
16/05/26AVlašim Vs BOI0-1
10/05/26HBOI Vs Ústí nad Labem1-2
06/05/26HBOI Vs Zbrojovka Brno1-1
03/05/26ASlavia Praha II Vs BOI0-3
26/04/26HBOI Vs Vysočina Jihlava2-1
19/04/26AViktoria Žižkov Vs BOI2-2
15/04/26HBOI Vs Opava2-0
10/04/26AProstějov Vs BOI1-3
04/04/26HBOI Vs Příbram0-3

VlašimVlašim

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/26ASlavia Praha II Vs VLA3-2
16/05/26HVLA Vs Baník Ostrava II0-1
10/05/26AZbrojovka Brno Vs VLA1-0
06/05/26HVLA Vs Viktoria Žižkov3-1
01/05/26AVysočina Jihlava Vs VLA1-1
24/04/26HVLA Vs Prostějov1-1
18/04/26AChrudim Vs VLA0-2
15/04/26HVLA Vs Příbram0-0
11/04/26AArtis Vs VLA1-3
03/04/26HVLA Vs Opava2-0

📊 12. Overall Statistics

Baník Ostrava II
Baník Ostrava II
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWW1.48
HomeWWDLW1.60
AwayLWDWW1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%48%36%
AVG goals2.562.642.48
Over 1.5 %68%76%60%
Over 2.5 %52%56%48%
Over 3.5 %30%20%40%
Scored1.381.521.24
Conceded1.181.121.24
BTTS44%40%48%
Clean Sheet38%44%32%
Corners---
Cards---
Vlašim
Vlašim
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLLL1.26
HomeWDDWL1.48
AwayWWDLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%40%24%
AVG goals2.502.642.36
Over 1.5 %68%72%64%
Over 2.5 %44%44%44%
Over 3.5 %28%24%32%
Scored1.321.601.04
Conceded1.181.041.32
BTTS56%52%60%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 13. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KarvináKarviná49
75%
2.2
85+3
3.2
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
22
0002.01.2
-
2TáborskoTáborsko48
50%
2.0
73+4
2.5
75%
75%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.80.8
-
3Slavia Praha IISlavia Praha II48
50%
2.0
96+3
3.8
100%
75%
75%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
40
0002.21.5
-
4Ústí nad LabemÚstí nad Labem48
50%
2.0
74+3
2.8
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
0001.81.0
-
5PříbramPříbram48
50%
2.0
75+2
3.0
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0001.81.2
-
6Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava47
50%
1.8
62+4
2.0
50%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.50.5
-
7Dukla PrahaDukla Praha47
50%
1.8
75+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
0001.81.2
-
8VlašimVlašim45
25%
1.2
75+2
3.0
75%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
0001.81.2
-
9KladnoKladno45
25%
1.2
44+0
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.0
-
10Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II44
25%
1.0
76+1
3.2
75%
75%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
13
0001.81.5
-
11OpavaOpava44
25%
1.0
35-2
2.0
75%
25%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.81.2
-
12TřinecTřinec43
0%
0.8
34-1
1.8
50%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.0
-
13Viktoria ŽižkovViktoria Žižkov43
25%
0.8
39-6
3.0
50%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.82.2
-
14ProstějovProstějov42
0%
0.5
46-2
2.5
75%
50%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
0001.01.5
-
15Arsenal Česká LípaArsenal Česká Lípa42
0%
0.5
611-5
4.2
100%
50%
50%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.52.8
-
16HanáckáHanácká41
0%
0.2
08-8
2.0
75%
25%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0000.02.0
-
Czech-Republic: FNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →

← all matches