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Baník Ostrava II vs Zbrojovka Brno Result & Analysis

Date: 03/11/2024
Time: 09:15
Final 1-2
Baník Ostrava II
Baník Ostrava II
Vs
34%
27%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Zbrojovka Brno
Zbrojovka Brno
Czech-Republic: FNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Baník Ostrava II win✗ Miss
34.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Zbrojovka Brno win✓ Hit
38.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-616L12L05L02L01L23L10W12L31W00DA·CHR10/08H·PRO18/08A·SIG25/08H·ART01/09H·ZLI22/09A·VLA27/09A·VIK02/10H·VYS06/10A·SLA20/10A·OPA25/10
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.142.000.831.671.382.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)1.172.170.801.601.432.57
vs Weaker (2)1.001.001.002.001.000.00
Clean sheet %21% (-5pp vs league)
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-662W12L11D31W14L13L22D24L11D04LA·TAT29/08H·ZLI01/09H·ART21/09A·BES25/09A·SIG29/09A·PRO02/10H·VLA05/10A·VIK20/10H·SLA25/10A·SPA30/10
Avg total
4.2
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
2.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.301.831.081.771.471.88
vs Stronger (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
vs Similar (20)1.351.751.001.881.581.67
vs Weaker (9)1.331.781.201.601.502.00
Clean sheet %20% (-7pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.6%
Under 1.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.8%
Under 2.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.5%
Under 3.5
68.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.5%
No
41.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
1-2 ✓
8.6%
2-1
8.1%
0-1
7.5%
0-0
7.1%
1-0
6.9%
0-2
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
Baník Ostrava II goals ↓
Zbrojovka Brno goals →
01234
07.1%7.5%6.3%3.1%1.1%
16.9%13%8.6%4.2%1.5%
25.5%8.1%5.9%2.9%1.1%
32.5%3.7%2.7%1.3%0.5%
40.9%1.3%0.9%0.4%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Baník Ostrava II goals (down), columns = Zbrojovka Brno goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zlin
2.37
Chrudim
1.77
Vyškov
1.53
Táborsko
1.37
Vlašim
1.33
Sparta Praha II
1.33
Zbrojovka Brno
1.30
Artis
1.30
Viktoria Žižkov
1.30
Vysočina Jihlava
1.23
Slavia Praha II
1.23
Prostějov
1.23
Opava
1.20
Baník Ostrava II
1.13
Varnsdorf
1.07
Sigma Olomouc II
0.80
Baník Ostrava II is 0.17 points worse than Zbrojovka Brno in terms of average points per game (1.13 vs 1.30).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Viktoria Žižkov
1.70
Chrudim
1.57
Zlin
1.50
Vlašim
1.43
Slavia Praha II
1.37
Sparta Praha II
1.37
Zbrojovka Brno
1.30
Varnsdorf
1.30
Baník Ostrava II
1.17
Vysočina Jihlava
1.17
Táborsko
1.13
Vyškov
1.10
Sigma Olomouc II
1.03
Artis
1.03
Prostějov
1.03
Opava
0.97
Baník Ostrava II is 0.13 goals worse than Zbrojovka Brno in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.30).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Zlin
0.47
Vyškov
0.80
Chrudim
1.00
Táborsko
1.00
Artis
1.17
Slavia Praha II
1.23
Opava
1.30
Vysočina Jihlava
1.30
Vlašim
1.30
Sparta Praha II
1.30
Zbrojovka Brno
1.37
Prostějov
1.40
Baník Ostrava II
1.53
Varnsdorf
1.57
Viktoria Žižkov
1.63
Sigma Olomouc II
1.80
Baník Ostrava II is 0.17 goals worse than Zbrojovka Brno in terms of goals conceded per game (1.53 vs 1.37).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-404L11D00D01L00D10W10W01L21W00DA·CHR10/08H·PRO18/08A·SIG25/08H·ART01/09H·ZLI22/09A·VLA27/09A·VIK02/10H·VYS06/10A·SLA20/10A·OPA25/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.860.170.670.621.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.330.920.000.600.571.14
vs Weaker (2)1.000.501.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W00D01L21W01L00D10W22D11D01LA·TAT29/08H·ZLI01/09H·ART21/09A·BES25/09A·SIG29/09A·PRO02/10H·VLA05/10A·VIK20/10H·SLA25/10A·SPA30/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.730.460.770.710.71
vs Stronger (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.550.800.381.000.670.67
vs Weaker (9)0.780.560.600.401.000.75
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L01L05L01L01L13L00D11D10W00DA·CHR10/08H·PRO18/08A·SIG25/08H·ART01/09H·ZLI22/09A·VLA27/09A·VIK02/10H·VYS06/10A·SLA20/10A·OPA25/10
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.711.140.671.000.751.25
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (12)0.831.250.801.000.861.43
vs Weaker (2)0.000.500.001.000.000.00
Clean sheet %43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Zbrojovka Brno) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D12L10W10W13L13L12L02L00D03LA·TAT29/08H·ZLI01/09H·ART21/09A·BES25/09A·SIG29/09A·PRO02/10H·VLA05/10A·VIK20/10H·SLA25/10A·SPA30/10
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.701.100.621.000.761.18
vs Stronger (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
vs Similar (20)0.800.950.620.880.921.00
vs Weaker (9)0.561.220.601.200.501.25
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Baník Ostrava II) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Baník Ostrava II over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Zbrojovka Brno over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.578.6%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Zbrojovka Brno · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Daniel Vašulín60%
Lucky Ezeh33%
Tadeáš Vachoušek25%
Antonin Vanicek20%
Filip Vedral20%
Jaromír Zmrhal0%
Jakub Janetzký0%
Jakub Klíma0%
Patrik Čavoš0%
Oliver Velich0%
Amadou Dante0%
Štěpán Langer0%
Martin Rymarenko0%
Adam Hrdina0%
Lukas Penxa0%
Kauan Carneiro Kaka0%
Lukáš Saal0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Antonin Vanicek40%
Amadou Dante40%
Jakub Janetzký25%
Patrik Čavoš25%
Filip Vedral20%
Lukáš Saal20%
Jaromír Zmrhal0%
Jakub Klíma0%
Daniel Vašulín0%
Oliver Velich0%
Štěpán Langer0%
Martin Rymarenko0%
Tadeáš Vachoušek0%
Adam Hrdina0%
Lucky Ezeh0%
Lukas Penxa0%
Kauan Carneiro Kaka0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tadeáš Vachoušek50%
Amadou Dante40%
Antonin Vanicek20%
Filip Vedral20%
Jaromír Zmrhal0%
Jakub Janetzký0%
Jakub Klíma0%
Patrik Čavoš0%
Daniel Vašulín0%
Oliver Velich0%
Štěpán Langer0%
Martin Rymarenko0%
Adam Hrdina0%
Lucky Ezeh0%
Lukas Penxa0%
Kauan Carneiro Kaka0%
Lukáš Saal0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Tadeáš Vachoušek25%
Antonin Vanicek20%
Daniel Vašulín20%
Jaromír Zmrhal0%
Jakub Janetzký0%
Jakub Klíma0%
Patrik Čavoš0%
Filip Vedral0%
Oliver Velich0%
Amadou Dante0%
Štěpán Langer0%
Martin Rymarenko0%
Adam Hrdina0%
Lucky Ezeh0%
Lukas Penxa0%
Kauan Carneiro Kaka0%
Lukáš Saal0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (26)
€11m
ZB (31)
€10m
ART (30)
€9m
ZLI (27)
€7m
VLA (22)
€4m
BOI (17)
€3m
TÁB (23)
€3m
PRO (25)
€3m
VJ (18)
€3m
VŽ (22)
€3m
OPA (21)
€3m
Baník Ostrava II's squad is €6m less valuable than Zbrojovka Brno's (€3m vs €10m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZB (10)
€3m
SPI (8)
€3m
ART (9)
€2m
ZLI (8)
€2m
VLA (8)
€2m
BOI (6)
€1m
OPA (7)
€1m
TÁB (7)
€1m
VJ (4)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
VŽ (5)
€1m
Baník Ostrava II's attack is €2m less valuable than Zbrojovka Brno's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ZLI (6)
€2m
ZB (8)
€2m
SPI (5)
€2m
ART (8)
€2m
VŽ (9)
€1m
VJ (6)
€1m
VLA (5)
€1m
PRO (7)
€1m
TÁB (6)
€1m
OPA (5)
€1m
BOI (3)
€1m
Baník Ostrava II's midfield is €1m less valuable than Zbrojovka Brno's (€1m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
SPI (13)
€6m
ART (13)
€5m
ZB (13)
€5m
ZLI (13)
€2m
BOI (8)
€2m
TÁB (10)
€1m
VLA (9)
€1m
PRO (11)
€1m
VJ (8)
€1m
VŽ (8)
€1m
OPA (9)
€1m
Baník Ostrava II's defence is €3m less valuable than Zbrojovka Brno's (€2m vs €5m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
BOI wins
0
Draws
0
ZB wins

Head-to-head

Baník Ostrava II vs Zbrojovka Brno · H/A from BOI
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/10/24AOpava Vs BOI0-0
20/10/24ASlavia Praha II Vs BOI1-3
06/10/24HBOI Vs Vysočina Jihlava1-2
02/10/24AViktoria Žižkov Vs BOI0-1
27/09/24AVlašim Vs BOI3-2
22/09/24HBOI Vs Zlin0-1
01/09/24HBOI Vs Artis0-2
25/08/24ASigma Olomouc II Vs BOI5-0
18/08/24HBOI Vs Prostějov1-2
10/08/24AChrudim Vs BOI6-1

Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/10/24ASparta Praha Vs ZB4-0
25/10/24HZB Vs Slavia Praha II1-1
20/10/24AViktoria Žižkov Vs ZB4-2
05/10/24HZB Vs Vlašim2-2
02/10/24AProstějov Vs ZB3-1
29/09/24ASigma Olomouc II Vs ZB4-1
25/09/24ABeskyd Frenštát Vs ZB1-3
21/09/24HZB Vs Artis1-1
01/09/24HZB Vs Zlin1-2
29/08/24ATatran Bohunice Vs ZB2-6

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Baník Ostrava II
Baník Ostrava II
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Draws / 7 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWD1.00
HomeWLLLL0.50
AwayLLWWD1.38
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %29%17%38%
AVG goals3.142.503.62
Over 1.5 %79%83%75%
Over 2.5 %64%50%75%
Over 3.5 %43%17%62%
Scored1.140.831.38
Conceded2.001.672.25
BTTS57%50%62%
Clean Sheet21%17%25%
Corners---
Cards---
Zbrojovka Brno
Zbrojovka Brno
Czech-Republic: FNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDL1.16
HomeDLDDD1.00
AwayWLLLL1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%23%36%
AVG goals2.842.413.18
Over 1.5 %70%59%79%
Over 2.5 %48%36%57%
Over 3.5 %32%23%39%
Scored1.301.051.50
Conceded1.541.361.68
BTTS56%45%64%
Clean Sheet24%27%21%
Corners15.3315.0015.50
Cards2.001.002.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZlinZlin3071
70%
2.4
4514+31
2.0
67%
33%
7%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
7
2221.50.5
-
2ChrudimChrudim3053
50%
1.8
4730+17
2.6
77%
50%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
3VyškovVyškov3046
40%
1.5
3324+9
1.9
60%
33%
13%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.8
-
4TáborskoTáborsko3041
37%
1.4
3430+4
2.1
60%
40%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.11.0
-
5VlašimVlašim3040
30%
1.3
4339+4
2.7
80%
50%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.41.3
-
6Sparta Praha IISparta Praha II3040
33%
1.3
4139+2
2.7
70%
50%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
7Viktoria ŽižkovViktoria Žižkov3039
37%
1.3
5149+2
3.3
80%
63%
40%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.71.6
-
8Zbrojovka BrnoZbrojovka Brno3039
30%
1.3
3941-2
2.7
77%
43%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
10
3251.31.4
-
9ArtisArtis3039
30%
1.3
3135-4
2.2
70%
33%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
2251.01.2
-
10Slavia Praha IISlavia Praha II3037
30%
1.2
4137+4
2.6
73%
57%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
11
3261.41.2
-
11Vysočina JihlavaVysočina Jihlava3037
27%
1.2
3539-4
2.5
87%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.21.3
-
12ProstějovProstějov3037
30%
1.2
3142-11
2.4
73%
47%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.4
-
13OpavaOpava3036
30%
1.2
2939-10
2.3
63%
43%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1111.01.3
-
14Baník Ostrava IIBaník Ostrava II3034
30%
1.1
3546-11
2.7
67%
57%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
1121.21.5
-
15VarnsdorfVarnsdorf3032
27%
1.1
3947-8
2.9
87%
57%
20%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.6
-
16Sigma Olomouc IISigma Olomouc II3024
20%
0.8
3154-23
2.8
77%
67%
37%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
Czech-Republic: FNL 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Czech-Republic: FNL stats & trends →

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